ili/5:xl/— s/ay psychological traffic simulation system on...

6
ili/5:xl/ S/ay Psychological Traffic Simulation System on a Three-Line Highway 7K^ ^ Ryo Mizutani -it E-mail: [email protected] Abstract In recent years, the rapid progress of information tech nology in automobiles has been bringing an increasing attention to a fully automatic driving system. The realization of the automatic driving system requires sufficient experiments and analyses, which need enor mous time and cost when these are carried out using real cars because of the risk of having serious acci dents. A traffic simulation system, which is proposed in this paper using psychological aspects of drivers, reduces time and cost in experiment and analyses. The traffic simulation system has three psychological types: aggressive; careful; and situation-dependent. Psychological Traffic Simulation System (PTSS) has been realized using Netlogo and has capability of an alyzing traffic jams on a three-line highway. Results of experiment and analyses using PTSS are also de scribed in this paper. Keywords- iiSJ^f A, SjS 5 .3.1/— a Netlogo, 1 (PCS) •T-f y hD-;l/ (AGO)[5] A ITS (Intelligent Transport Systems)[2] ^ [1]. Si!)jIIe.Xt"A0 0t [3][4] (Dm -m, 7. X A {b0 m b tiT C iinfc jS'fs0@^M^^ CEATEC(Combined Exhibition of Advanced Technologies) JAPAN 2013 "Cli, 0^^i& W-C fcnt 6g iljjIIe 7. x a 0x ^ y 7. hU-iyay^mMbtz. Supervisor: Prof. Kenji Ohmori gMtegii*7!)J^'0J:7CS/S1- 67!)^i:i^o/c:x^ >7. hU-->3 VT-abS. #7 Sllj^0 IT fbir i: <^d;oTfo^O, ^^±^T'0gill^0gSl)jI^i^7.xA0 gM^i^7.xA mm.(Dtztb(Dmmt^^^^ w^ofztb, mm tWst}bxm^^nyr\,^6mt^tEt^. mm<D^m a P-i/3 >-e{iilSiiiiS§0^ji?if£ h^ h yx'f)V(D 3M 1-A^iJ^tiTt^-5. X;!/b0^ xOiz-e^O, hv hy^x>'Ki^ ;nr5^L, hVh >{i|fli}c^x;U-e^6. Zti [8] (Dm^p^77=-XA^mmt6z Atl/c Psychological Traffic X x-'1/^ s/7xAT'{i, um<Dnm^m^t^t^iz, mmt E"Ctfij1-63^M0g#x->>'xyh^jg V h^-70^x;UT'ib'5. ^x^mSo'^v^P^x-S/x > h ^xU yi/^^Netlogo[6] 3 L ^aP—i/ a > (Psychological Traffic Simulation System) 0^^^l -S. 2 iy^iL[y-i/By'^^}\yWtW xw\ II j: ^ t g i/ 7. X A u tzm J: 0 Af^b -^it)btifc;!/—;^{I0^#o\^T^f ij 161,0 ^M00 (ifS DT tf i&l" 6 0 ^ - 161 -

Upload: hatuyen

Post on 13-Apr-2018

214 views

Category:

Documents


2 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: ili/5:xl/— S/ay Psychological Traffic Simulation System on ...repo.lib.hosei.ac.jp/bitstream/10114/9789/1/161-166_水谷_亮.pdf · y A z^y— y B y'^%Vs't^. slider {±iy 5 n u—•>

ili/5:xl/ — S/ay

Psychological Traffic Simulation System on a Three-Line Highway

7K^ ^Ryo Mizutani

-itE-mail: ryo. [email protected]

Abstract

In recent years, the rapid progress of information technology in automobiles has been bringing an increasingattention to a fully automatic driving system. Therealization of the automatic driving system requiressufficient experiments and analyses, which need enormous time and cost when these are carried out usingreal cars because of the risk of having serious accidents. A traffic simulation system, which is proposedin this paper using psychological aspects of drivers,reduces time and cost in experiment and analyses.The traffic simulation system has three psychologicaltypes: aggressive; careful; and situation-dependent.Psychological Traffic Simulation System (PTSS) hasbeen realized using Netlogo and has capability of analyzing traffic jams on a three-line highway. Resultsof experiment and analyses using PTSS are also described in this paper.

Keywords- iiSJ^fA, SjS 5 .3.1/— aNetlogo,

1

(PCS)•T-f y hD-;l/ (AGO)[5]

A ITS (Intelligent TransportSystems)[2] ^ [1]. Si!)jIIe.Xt"A0

0 t [3][4] (Dm-m,

7. X A {b0 m b tiT C iinfc

jS'fs0@^M^^ CEATEC(Combined Exhibition ofAdvanced Technologies) JAPAN 2013 "Cli, 0^^i&W-Cfcnt 6 g iljjIIe 7. x a 0x^ y 7.hU-iyay^mMbtz.

Supervisor: Prof. Kenji Ohmori

gMtegii*7!)J^'0J:7CS/S1-67!)^i:i^o/c:x^ >7. hU-->3 VT-abS.

#7 Sllj^0 IT fbir i:

<^d;oTfo^O, ^^±^T'0gill^0gSl)jI^i^7.xA0gM^i^7.xA

mm.(Dtztb(Dmmt^^^^

w^ofztb, mm

tWst}bxm^^nyr\,^6mt^tEt^. mm<D^m

a P-i/3 >-e{iilSiiiiS§0^ji?if£

h ^ h yx'f)V(D 3 M

1-A^iJ^tiTt^-5. X;!/b0^

xOiz-e^O, hv hy^x>'Ki^

;nr5^L, h V h >{i|fli}c^x;U-e^6. Zti

[8] (Dm^p^77=-XA^mmt6z

Atl/c Psychological Traffic X x-'1/^s/7xAT'{i, um<Dnm^m^t^t^iz, mmt

E"Ctfij1-63^M0g#x->>'xyh^jg

V h^-70^x;UT'ib'5.

^x^mSo'^v^P^x-S/x > h

^xU yi/^^Netlogo[6] 3L ^ a P —i/ a > (Psychological Traffic

Simulation System) 0^^^l-S.

2 iy^iL[y-i/By'^^}\yWtW

xw\ II j: ^ t g i/ 7. X A u tzm

J: 0 Af^b

-^it)btifc;!/—;^{I0^#o\^T^f

ij161,0 ^ M 0 0 (ifS D T tfi&l" 6 0 ^

- 161 -

Page 2: ili/5:xl/— S/ay Psychological Traffic Simulation System on ...repo.lib.hosei.ac.jp/bitstream/10114/9789/1/161-166_水谷_亮.pdf · y A z^y— y B y'^%Vs't^. slider {±iy 5 n u—•>

-> 3 > i ilJ^tfills 7. f A ^A f7)

tzib(Dm7i^n-^m^zt=§:smt.

'erJl'SiIcDiy ^zj-ly-iy 3 y^mi:^^t6Zt (zJ:-o

3 Psychological Traffic ^-j-OU

^mt6.

3.1

ztx^hh. M • zH

Ui^Mth^6S^L/TV><5

3^TCD-iil5(Tv^T.1, # 0 tb, iEWM '

MTvi^l". 'fi?!l;l{i'|§|l F'30;fe(?)il|{cfcv^T,

C(D)t^ai(ilOO i:^d;0, Z(Dt^

^^4'<DEI{±ph^^ll^^TchfIfcH^T 100 (D^ §{iiinii

^mt-Moio

Z(D^Oi^ bXl^^MB t ^-yom

2{zBt.

«®»..... .•». -Q-'-0-u. ..AO. .Aw.QSfiei' "

' '"W _Lzi_ "Hill. mmm'bm(Dnm^^ii->m

nm

0 0 X

0 1 X turn1 0 X

1 1 X MM

2.

nm

0 0 X

1 0 X liUMX 1 X MM

3 tfT®-ii^{c J: O T 8 ^ - y

^ztii^X^^,

3.2

4'^l^^:^^c^7&n^§ i: o-C^^Tb J; 9 i:

tfz,

•cms 0 M i: BfM'ns ck 9 ^d^iSIs^ =b c: (DM^X

$>^.

3-5 {C/Tn-T.

ms. mmmjbm(DtEW-mm7m(Dnm^^^-y

nm

0 0 X

0 1 X APM

1 0 X

1 1 X MM

4. mm^'brno^^mmmimconm^^iSf-y

nm

X 0 X iPM

X 1 0

X 1 1 MM

5. mmm'bm(D:^^^^m7m<Dnm^<^-y

nm

X 0 0

X 1 0 iJPMX X 1 MM

3 ^^^xxmit^tzsb 24 o^VsWi^^

:57-y7{>S#;^btlS. bTi^b,^^fJBiiiST'tS. J;oT

4 ^<^ —yiZ^tl^. ttz^@^<Dm7

^-yizmmx^fz. Ph^ • MM/Mm^^(D pfj iz imi3iz s ^t> ^ o

;fe^$^^^bTiiv^MT^a<^^0H4=b#^E-rS7i^

fJ (i ^ M V - (c ;g-fs/i ^"C (i c: ti ^ #0 bS,

3.3

X, ®i^bTi.^S^|Jj»rb/cJ|^aTT'(iMI0fc-^f5itT

f£^<DX$)6.

zmm'M

^ ns-*n(D {::ck O T ^ SI>(ia-iagM

ii2(i^J^(D^?^)^,i[^bTv^s.

- 162 -

Page 3: ili/5:xl/— S/ay Psychological Traffic Simulation System on ...repo.lib.hosei.ac.jp/bitstream/10114/9789/1/161-166_水谷_亮.pdf · y A z^y— y B y'^%Vs't^. slider {±iy 5 n u—•>

El 2.

3.4

Psychological Ti'affic (i^,!^ FT (Dsd

1. L : (^^)2. T : :xI/-'>3 yB#rs1

alp {± A,S,C0 3o^D, S lirHl®m, c {Na. Nb, Nc)

N = Na-^Nb-\- Nc

5. vaipAt): mm t i (Dmm. 31- VA,i' '^B,i' Vc.i<D 3

^ j7. ViBnit ••

8. Max Vaip.i- alp CD^ i

Max Valp,i ~ '̂ iiinii "I" '̂ alp {j"Ayi ^ "^C.i ^ ^Z?.t)

t^h §. Taipyi alp 0 m i iz fett ^ SLM-C-S)?).

9. Vaipit) :m%^\tiZtSi-fi>^L^malp(D^.(D^m'^f^. ^3.

Vaipit) = -— X^ Valp,iit)

10. PaipAt) • t alp (D^i. 5*i5, 8CckoT^7i^n-5.

X 100

11. Paipit) : 0#^J t alp 3, 10

Palp{t) = "7T ^ y ]Palpyi{t)

12. XaipA^) : IHfM t alp(D-^ i13. a„i„: M/S. aAt aB0:>2nm(D^V^^.

14. daip-Miilt. a>,^ ac® 2aSgcO^"e^a.

i^X±mdn^m^t L, FT

/ A

(1) Jinii'^alp,iit) ^ '̂ alp,i{t 1) 4" ®a/p X1 + Salp,iif ^(ilp,i ^ Max Vaip^i

ValpA^) ^ ^alp.ii* SaipA^'L-^alpO^mi Clb'l-t-SaM)

(2)"^^(lipyiit) Vj dalpIf '̂ 'alp,i{t) < 0

"^alpyiit) ^ 0(3)

Xalp,i{t) ^ ^alp,iit 1) 4" Valp,i{t) X 1V J

El 3. FT ^f-Ohco5g®5;h-;l/

4 Psychological Traffic Simulation System

4.1 Netlogo

^0T^T'(± Netlogo ^ Ix—'> 3 y Netlogo i± NorthwesternUri Wilensky b 4;^Ti.

A ^y-y 3 t'd ^'7 5 y-if^^X'

$>^. Netlogo lix—i/X V h (agent) "CfiS 0 ioTt'^6. :i:—i^x > h bn/ct^^jMO t;E!j< t cO-efe

0, ::5^ —h.Jk (turtle), 'y4^ (patch), U>^(link)i?!)h;ki±yD^'7 A|^-efj<

i>hT'feO. /N°7^(±H^t^^M-C$)0,

h;k. 3Ehl^jig&^y^y5^-7:-^igL-ci30, WAt-^-^yhtD4;oC:&:^ffi]C|^[^bT 3

h;k, - h;k.

ttyyy'-^(D^-h

Mb, %M, b fz. FTSS(Fsychological Traffic SimulationSystem) liEl 4 {I/jn'T.

El 4. Psychological Traffic Simulation System

4.2 ->5 a y-y a

•> 5 a u--> 3 ymm(b>m-^mmiz^yxMmt^.

FTSS (rti 2 X)<D Button t 9 x>(DU^(D Slider

SyIt setup t. go 0 , setup it^^ y y ^At-SBiSl"^#, y A zi-y—y By<D'^'M^bsy, goiiy A z^y —y B y'^%Vs't^. slider {±iy 5 n u—•> 3

yxUAtlt^py , :/nbrains, ttz,

bxmy b

0, y5.zLy-y3y\p(D^^(DM(D^M'kyKziy-

y3yiz^\i^^it^zt.-f)^'^mx'$>^. ^Sb/c9xxd

- 163 -

Page 4: ili/5:xl/— S/ay Psychological Traffic Simulation System on ...repo.lib.hosei.ac.jp/bitstream/10114/9789/1/161-166_水谷_亮.pdf · y A z^y— y B y'^%Vs't^. slider {±iy 5 n u—•>

Slider 6

^6. PTSS 07.71' KA 5

Mm

num-of-A aiiM>bS04fM^ {Na) mnum-of-B (ATb)num-of-C mm^^3jbm<D^nwi {Nc) #6^

Accel-of-A aMM>M0j!jP)gl: (a^)Accel-of-B y|^M>M0)jP)ifi (ob) mm

dec-of-A a@5a>ra0J^iifi {dA) ®}64

dec-of-B y^@M>M0'Miia {ds) mm

limit-speed ill64

judge-num fj64

$0iSjl± setup t0^n^*ti0^0iC{::

PTSS ^S!i^jSlEi^7.-rA0^tT?£l:iov>-Clti^-r^. AT^, Nb, Nc = 20(J;oTN=60)

b, limit-speed=0.30, judge-num=4 0|SI^t'T?).Max Vaip,i tMt>^ Taip li, 0.1 < ta < 0-2, 0 < tb <0.05, 0.05 <Tc < 0.1 t btz.

7T'^b, ^ 11 ^N°7-y0

^7.

Accel-ofA Accel-of-B dec-of-A dec-of-B

® 0.0010 0.0010 0.0010 0.0010

® 0.0010 0.0010 0.0010 0.0015

@ 0.0010 0.0010 0.0010 0.0020

@ 0.0010 0.0010 0.0015 0.0015

® 0.0010 0.0010 0.0015 0.0020

® 0.0010 0.0010 0.0020 0.0020

® 0.0015 0.0010 0.0010 0.0010

® 0.0015 0.0015 0.0010 0.0010

® 0.0020 0.0010 0.0010 0.0010

@ 0.0020 0.0015 0.0010 0.0010

0.0020 0.0020 0.0010 0.0010

Netlogo y h i:

^0^/7 704'#^ CSV

7M^I^ 5 {1^4".

^ 5.

^m^m{VA{t), Veit), Vc{t)),'-"^lirnitt (MaX Va* Pis» l^c)

• »mO•w«<4.B• •9M4.ClUnA*speedEEluaM^AI3Lipm4.BE]i.i9«t4,0

7 7t±};bbrt>'5. Max K4. Vfc. Kb. MUSii/g UBmit- ^0{&0B#m?iJT-^7&5¥

(P,i(<), Pb(0, Pc{t)) ^m<Dy*yyxihtJLX\,^6. 4s:^^lilN0

2000step(r = 2000) tb, 1 7-7b"C1000 bfc.

bxmifYt^.

11C0^^{IJ:O

i:'0c); 7 ^ 7 0#^{w^o'§ 2 0C:$^{dT7'7 7'fbb/c. ::ttb0^\/^{i^T0

^^7 7-7 0.0010 0(i)S?iCi^ji0<5?^^{t:$i±/i=b0

^(D~®. j!inji0^^^b$-i±7cfe0^ ^ b"cv^

6.1

1000 lil0iiJt{^ll-r^^t5c$gm^Iil 6 iz

m't.

me. a®M>M0¥i^iiJ!^{iiia-r6^ic

300jf/(l/5nim)

2(H).

mmm

100 200

|H l.'Kiii)

HIT.

^M&t00i^ii)ig&(:iti{dS3:sM^45:|il (HI 7) Xlt,

0 7'7 7 T'{± t 300~500 Wi^XlUti 0 0^11{I tn 0.t>iooo •r'{i#< Ti^'fSiMi^iUtb-rv^'g). (£i^{il0[i#

(i. 7 7^^mizA 0 bX\,^SXt f}^-m\X16. -m^{± t>1000 Xtj^mim':k^ < 7d;oTl^

^0|g^H^c):o•rt^S^^•7 7-7{i|il6 F»30±7!)^b®.®.®'C?^)'5. cn'^0/'?7 7-7 0#^l±MjiJ!^7!)^'Atv^ci:T'^6. »^^0/^ia0 1 o{i^0ii^ii0iiiMi;£;{w4;-DT4b6rt\ ©,®,@ 0^:tc

b/i®l!(7!)S#l^7ci^){I^i(^a75^'# < 7d: o fc:0

164 -

Page 5: ili/5:xl/— S/ay Psychological Traffic Simulation System on ...repo.lib.hosei.ac.jp/bitstream/10114/9789/1/161-166_水谷_亮.pdf · y A z^y— y B y'^%Vs't^. slider {±iy 5 n u—•>

-S9T-

(<l0!^sooos)'do^soos:?OC'O=CoWWMn^U-mda^sT09?)-i©

W>-i¥a.:?(®~©)(@~©)xv'\c.i}SfJDl?'9*^xmCDWmm•WM^mm•

mmM•4.^/::}n-^zi

'^^-^wii^^dt^r^fTbcowwc^^iii0001i=?

'n:?(?)'''"yi^=mm^ooos

mmm^ik£-9

'wmm

^'CiT/Tin'om'^mmm'scoi^?)«jQ^>^1infJDI?::}'̂)'

mmm*n^vn'-m'^-^jmrn^^-mmwuj^--}i+ii'niifaL«ja)cos>?>0't)xwmm-

(©-©)nii

0ZO2OI0T

OZSIOtOX

stsiotox-

ozoxoxox

sxoxoxox-

oxoxoxox

'4-^:^71IT

^coi:'c^<$!(f^'\w\<r^7mo)c^j:?a>w^mMm'a

K'\x<^:f^>0001>?>0',:??}<2':pa?)i^

©~©'tmmcD^^j^cox•9v'ianKi>5J^}S#V'iiJ-i¥-1a2^-1^4,ycou^

•9'j(;^^:?^W9'v'iac-y^>5>5|̂!}}i^coI•9'Gafai¥Xti5<;^3§]fiJ::}^MW?)GOGS>?>gggt

':^94-SB^WdC0GGS>?>G

{Bp'Vp)'•^Wj^^^'ilJaMO)GGGT>?>G

(©-0)-OXm

ozozoxox

ozsxoxox

sxsxoxox

ozoxoxox

sxoxoxox-

oxoxoxox

'4-^

7)GT27^cowwj^^o(^-^com'Q'mmMIfiTl^itZ9

a)iyih'\i¥GT5W3^^'?=a4x©W?|ci)T

:?r§4->?>^5>3i^a^lf:iGGGT<T'^jae®•9'<$

xmcomM:?ci)'^9'v'»a<^y^>^^^mcoM^co9HI?)•v'\#5Mlii^»^^aaifa)©'©'©¥)a8^

*6111

OIOtOCIK

OtOlSlOt

OTOTCnW

OIQlSSSt-

OIOIOKI

oecKotoi

02SIOT01

SISIOIOI-

oraiotot

SIOIOIOI-

ototoioi

HIG0HI99©HIG©Hl^C©ilG©HIC©HIG©Hln©HIT©HlC©

HIG©

•i-#

(tl:«lIlGGGT)3i^5^;^^.a)a2S^-)^^K#'8^

'9^

^Bnco2•9vian^iJ'?v(^|!}-^n;t^^d9:)S00OT^(gc'g)^iJiiri$?)GGC9'vianxn^a)%9y'\X^UW7)^

TOOI=?

GGC<(?)M^oooz

an^^>:?9viajM^^Bl^^¥)aGG0x=T

oggi=t?)a

*8m

atieMtriir]>n>M<lr|0

pa»a»^iiunH0'|w«»Q]g-pa*0tQ

VKld

Page 6: ili/5:xl/— S/ay Psychological Traffic Simulation System on ...repo.lib.hosei.ac.jp/bitstream/10114/9789/1/161-166_水谷_亮.pdf · y A z^y— y B y'^%Vs't^. slider {±iy 5 n u—•>

^12.

Im 13.

iiiiiii014.

^ ct t \nm<D

6.4 w-mm^

(D-V, 1001 <^ < 2000 0

{gT^ns 4i: O T ^ ^ 9

.

^9.

I mmm I I mmimm'^l^ri^-JEJ^ I ^ 85% I m 97% I m 90%

imw-m • •

^nTl^6;6^^/^^L•rv^•S. oso, 97%i:V^^^^®M

fiT"f]^o•rv^-5a®M(±.

X' h )i7- -y cJ' (it'j: -3 T :: i: Tb^'^Tii^^.

7 l^tisb

•MMxxit 3 (#iiiM • mmm •fi!(#M) ^^mbtz PT 305cM'>5 aU—i>3 y^M'^btz. 'M'ikbtz Psychological Traffic Simulation System

^ 9 mm(D/<7

T. 11 • ^W]

M • :51-fl5c • ^^70M&tttrot^T

mm^nrytz.

l|i(::?:j:r>/i. ^

L tz-ik <0 ^ ^TM#®^#

m LT^c^tT^iS^-C# S 3:9 i: i t^0T'i^T'd:

PTSST-

^£ttz, m'M t J: o

[1] -^111 /g;^," ",VoI.2009-MBL-51, No.9

[2] 'm 310, im jfitii, ¥?K m^, mm "Mit#

VoL64, No.2, pp. 215-218(2012)[3] M lE^, msi 5A^ii, h

No.458, pp. 65-71(1993)

mmtcDmw, N0.524, pp. 69-78[5] '>;^TA^03i{SE^&#",

Vol. 100, No. 242,

pp. 21-24(2010)[6] Seth Tisue, Uri Wilensky, "Design and imple

mentation of a multi-agent modeling environment", Proceedings of the Agent 2004 Conferenceon Social Dynamics: Interaction, Refiexivity andEmergence, Chicago, IL.

[7] 7j<@ %-kM Mi^,"Netlogo^ U-->3 y",FIT2013(?^

12 ®'ltll^^4^7:4«7;i--vA),M-043[8] iiffi, ;^4I^ ^f-^, "^Xl'tf3i^$r#mL7E;b-

^T-tf3D, mW. • yy^y-K J92-D(ll),

1935-1944, 2009-11-01[Q] :^-;p- Vy^yyy (^), (l®m),"^$fi

•rs"

- 166 -