investment in hk
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Investment in HK. Lam Shing Yu 2008017786. Outline. Statistical judgment on several example Informative judgment on stock One of my successful stock transaction based on information and statistical guess. STATISTICAL JUDGMENT. 1919.HK ( 中國遠洋控股股份有限公司 ). 1055.HK ( 中國南方航空股份有限公司 ). - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Investment in HKLam Shing Yu 2008017786
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Outline
Statistical judgment on several example Informative judgment on stock One of my successful stock transaction
based on information and statistical guess
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STATISTICAL JUDGMENT
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1919.HK (中國遠洋控股股份有限公司 )
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1055.HK (中國南方航空股份有限公司 )
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0386.HK (中國石油化工股份有限公司 )
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Comparison
All have long-term average crossed by rising short-term average
General trend proved have ability to reach high value
High trading volume Reasonable P/E ratio
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INFORMATIVE JUDGMENT
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1398.HK (中國工商銀行股份有限公司 )
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Relating information to period of effect
Short term (several days) Less expectation on
increasing value of RMB soon press down prices
European’s problem sounds at ease less pessimisms in general market
Middle term (around a year) RMB will rise (I believe)
support price Some bad news may come
out due to the new evaluation on loans to local government during 2009
The agreement on giving out loans to Greece by EU may have bad news due to rejection by respective parliament
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MY STORY
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0729.HK (嘉盛控股 )
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When? Why? How is the result?
Buy at $0.9 at Jan 2010 1-25 Why?
Li Ka Shing buy at $0.9 a month before Long-term guaranteed I don’t think he will be more stupid than me
When this news is first come out, price went to $1.53, but then it back to $1.05 – $1.30
From both statistic view and informative judgment it is lucrative Buy
Forecast: it may rise to $4-$5 in short run
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Q&A SESSIONThank you for paying attention to my presentation