investor presentation) - emperador brandy feb... · 1990 2003 2004 2005 2006 2010 2011 2013...
TRANSCRIPT
This document does not cons.tute or form part of and should not be construed as an offer to sell or issue or the solicita.on of an offer to buy or acquire securi.es of the Company or any of its subsidiaries or affiliates in any jurisdic.on or as an inducement to enter into investment ac.vity. No part of this document, nor the fact of its distribu.on, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connec.on with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. This document is not financial, legal, tax or other product advice. This document has been prepared by the Company based on informa.on available to them for use at a non-‐deal road show presenta.on by the Company for selected recipients for informa.on purposes only and does not cons.tute a recommenda.on regarding any securi.es of the Company. The informa.on has not been independently verified. No representa.on, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the informa.on or the opinions contained herein. None of the Company or any of its affiliates, advisors or representa.ves shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connec.on with the document. This document is highly confiden.al and being given solely for your informa.on and for your use and may not be retained by you nor may this document, or any por.on thereof, be shared, copied, reproduced or redistributed to any other person in any manner. The statements contained in this document speak only as at the date as of which they are made, and the Company expressly disclaims any obliga.on or undertaking to supplement, amend or disseminate any updates or revisions to any statements contained herein to reflect any change in events, condi.ons or circumstances on which any such statements are based. By preparing this presenta.on, none of the Company, its management, and their respec.ve advisers undertakes any obliga.on to provide the recipient with access to any addi.onal informa.on or to update this presenta.on or any addi.onal informa.on or to correct any inaccuracies in any such informa.on which may become apparent. This presenta.on is not an offer of securi.es for sale in the United States. Securi.es may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registra.on or an exemp.on from registra.on. Any offering in the United States may be made only by means of an offering circular that may be obtained from the Company and that will contain detailed informa.on about the Company and management, as well as financial statements. This presenta.on contains forward-‐looking statements based on the currently held beliefs and assump.ons of the management of the Company, which are expressed in good faith and, in their opinion, reasonable. Forward-‐looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertain.es and other factors, which may cause the actual results, financial condi.on, performance, or achievements of the Company or industry results, to differ materially from the results, financial condi.on, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-‐looking statements. Given these risks, uncertain.es and other factors, recipients of this document are cau.oned not to place undue reliance on these forward-‐looking statements. Any reference herein to "the Company" shall mean, collec.vely, Emperador Inc. and its subsidiaries and investments.
Disclaimer
2
1990 2003 2004 2005 2006 2010 2011 2013
Launch of Emperador brandy
Launch of Don Pedro brandy
(Tanduay)
Launch of Barcelona brandy
(Tanduay)
Launch of Guerrero brandy
(Tanduay)
Launch of Gran
Matador (Ginebra)
Launch of Emperador
Light
Launch of Gran Matador Light, GSM
Light (Ginebra),
Tanduay Light
Launch of Emperador Deluxe • Excelente (Cosco) • Companero Light (Tanduay)
0 0 0 5 0 10 20 33
EMPERADOR VOLUME (millions of 9-‐liter cases) … …
History of Product EvoluQon & Enhancements
Source: EMP 4
Key Milestones in 2014 • Feb 2014: PHP3.7b addiTonal investment in Spain on top of PHP2.1b investment in 2013 for a total of PHP5.8b (vineyards and brandy producTon faciliTes)
• Oct 2014:
q £210m loan q Closing of PHP31b (£430m) acquisiTon of 100% stake in Whyte & Mackay (W&M) Group Limited
• Nov 2014: PHP17.6b investment by GIC of Singapore 5
Whyte & Mackay AcquisiQon
Scale § 5th largest Scotch Whisky maker § Products sold in more than 50 countries
Aged Inventory
§ £130m at book value, £232m brokerage value and £532m when sold as branded
Capacity § 50m litres of alcohol p.a. (grain & malt) § 5 disTlleries, one boaling plant
Marquee brands with
strong growth
21% Historical sales CAGR (FY11-‐14(1)):
20% 12% (1) FY refers to FYE Mar
31st 6
EMP
AGI 13,132m 87.55%
Public 1,868m 12.45%
15,000m
EMP Ownership Structure
EMP
Public 1,868m 11.25%
AGI 13,132m 79.11%
GIC 1,120m (equity)
480m (ELS) B6.95% A9.64%
Pre-‐GIC investment Post-‐GIC investment
16,600m
B: before ELS conversion A: acer ELS conversion
Notes: AGI – Alliance Global Group Inc.; ELS – equity-‐linked securiTes 7
Revenues* (PHPm) Gross profit*
EBITDA Net profit
17,355
23,594 29,865
2011 2012 2013
4,445
8,256 9,290
2011 2012 2013
3,377
7,145 8,320
2011 2012 2013
2,305
5,000 5,831
2011 2012 2013
31% CAGR 45% CAGR
57% CAGR 59% CAGR
* Consolidated (sale of goods + other revenues); gross profit on sale of goods
Robust Financial History
9
9M2014 Performance Update
2014 3Q14 9M14 Commentary
Q1 Q2 Q3 9M QoQ YoY YoY
Revenues (Php m) 7,694 5,552 6,788 20,034 22.3% 2.8% (2.7%) Ø 4% price hike in April
2014; ≈2% yoy decline in 9M14 volume
Gross profit (Php m) 2,779 1,725 2,572 7,076 49.1% 12.8% 6.8% Ø Lower cost of raw
materials Ø Higher raTo of recycled
boales versus new boales (65-‐35 versus usual 60-‐40 raTo)
Gross profit margin (%) 37.2% 31.7% 38.7% 36.2% 7pps 3.8pps 2.6pps
Net income (Php m) 1,717 1,341 1,509 4,566 12.5% 14.6% 1.7% Ø STll the most profitable
liquor company in the Philippines
Ø 9M14 net income at 78% of last year’s full-‐year earnings
Net income margin (%) 22.3% 24.2% 22.2% 22.8% -‐2pps 2.3pps 1pp
Source: EMP 17Qs; Note: pps – percentage points 10
Emperador’s Volume Market Share
48.6%
70.7%
56.6%
25.1%
33.4%
50.0%
72.1%
56.4%
28.9%
38.4%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
Philippines Greater Manila Area
Luzon Visayas Mindanao
9M13
9M14
Source: EMP esTmates 11
Consumer Sales (9M14 vs 9M13)
-‐1.4% -‐1.7% -‐4.0%
4.7%
0.1% 1.4% 0.3% -‐4.3%
20.5%
15.0%
-‐10.0%
-‐5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
Philippines Greater Manila Area
Luzon Visayas Mindanao
Industry Emperador
12 Note: Figures refer to the increase/decrease in sales consumed by end customers
Pillars of Growth
Growing middle-‐
income class
Tap price point
between USD2 (local brands) &
USD7 (foreign brands)
Launch of higher priced
products
Bigger market share in Visayas & Mindanao
Penetrate small boales
Build stronger sales
distribuTon
Use of W&M internaTonal
route
W&M presence in
50 countries
Explore foreign
markets for Emperador products
Develop whisky drinking culture
Undeveloped whisky
market in Phils
Vision to replicate success of brandy in Phils
Future growth of W&M in global liquor
space
Whisky, one of the world’s
fastest growing liquor
segments
Growth potenTal in Asia given
liale presence of Dalmore &
Jura
14
2015 q Php40b consolidated revenues
§ New products § IntroducTon of W&M products
q Emperador – sustained market dominance § 4-‐5% volume growth
q Whyte & Mackay – grow single malt brands (Dalmore & Jura)
q Explore new markets q Dividend target – 40% of
previous year’s earnings q Mid 30s GP margin
Envisioned market share q As a liquor company – at
least 60-‐65% naTonwide
Net income target (PHPb)
Plans & Guidance
5.8
2013 2017 15
Aim to double net income by 2017