ipcc 第三工作小組 正式報告中文摘譯

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  • 1

    IPCC AR5

    4/13 IPCCSummary for Policymakers

    SPM.1

    IPCC

    IPCC (2007)(SRREN)

    ()

    (

    )

    SPM.2

    (Mitigation) (

    20

    5 )

    (equity)

    ()

  • 2

    (equity)(justice)(fairness)

    SPM.3

    1970-2010

    ()

    1970-2010

    78%2000-2010()

  • 3

    SPM.1. 1970-2010

    (FOLU)(CO2)(CH4)(N2O)

    (F-gases)

    1750-201040(

    )

    2000-2010100,

    (47%)(30%)(11%)(3%)(

    )()

  • 4

    SPM.2 (sector)5

    2000201030

    ()

  • 5

    SPM.3 1971-2010

    GDPGDP

    ()

    2100

    3.7C4.8C

    SPM.4

    SPM.4.1

  • 6

    SPM.4. ()(/

    )203020502100

    2010 ()

    2C2100

    450ppm ()

  • 7

    SPM.1

    2100450ppm

    (

    )

    2100450 ppm 500-550 ppm

    (overshoot)

    (BECCS)(CDR)

    ()

    2020

    2C(

    )

    20302C

    ()

  • 8

    SPM.5 ()2030;20302050

    ;()203020502100

    450-500 ppm

    (

    )()

    SPM.2

  • 9

    21001.5C(

    );430 ppm()

    2100450500ppm

    ()

    SPM.6 20502005(BC)(SO2)

    (2005)(baseline)

    (stringent Climate Policy)2100

    430530ppm

  • 10

    (spillovers)()

    ()

    ()

    SPM4.2

    SPM4.2.1

    (AFOLU)

    ()

    ()

    (AFOLU)

    ()

    2100 450ppm(

    )

  • 11

    SPM.7. (

    )

    2100 450ppm 500ppm

    () (

    )

  • 12

    SPM.8. ()()

    SPM4.2.2

  • 13

    2050 2010(144/) 2~3

    ()(430~530ppm )

    1993

    ()

    ()

    (CCS)

    ()

    (BECCS)

    ()

    SPM4.2.3

    2010 27% 67

    2050()

  • 14

    2050 40%

    ()

    ()

    ()

    2010 32% 88

    () 2050

    50-150% ()

    2050

    ()

    (

    )

    ()

    ()

  • 15

    2010 28% 130

    2050

    50~150%

    25%

    ()

    ()

    ()

    SPM.4.2.4 (AFOLU)

    (AFOLU)(

    100-120)

    ()

    (AFOLU)

    ()

  • 16

    ()

    SPM 4.2.5

    ()

    ()

    ()

    (

    )

    ()

    (

    )

    SPM.5

  • 17

    SPM 5.1

    SPM.9 2100430-530 ppm20

    2100430-530 ppm

    ()

  • 18

    (

    )(

    )

    (

    )

    GDP (

    )

    ()

    ()

    ()

    ()

    ()

    (

    )

    SPM.5.2 International cooperation

  • 19

    (UNFCCC)

    UNFCCC

    ()

    2007UNFCCC

    ()