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Konference nejen o Retailu 2009 Bratislava Slide 2 OLDBURY CONSULTANTS LIMITED Slide 3 miestnosti alebo sbory miestnost, ktor s poda rozhodnutia stavebnho radu uren na in ely ako na bvanie = > Zkon o njme NP uvanie nebytovho priestoru pred prvoplatnou kolaudciou NP Spsobuje neplatnos zmluvy o njme nebytovch priestorov? (judikatra Slovenskch sdov) OLDBURY CONSULTANTS LIMITED Slide 4 striktn prava podstatnch nleitost zmluvy o njme urench zkonom o njme NB (ich nedostatok ohrozuje platnos zmluvy) obmedzen vpovedn dvody pri njme na urit as vpove njomcu pri zmene vlastnka nehnutenosti OLDBURY CONSULTANTS LIMITED Prvna prava nezodpoved poiadavkm trhu potreba novelizcie komparcia s R Slide 5 680 ods. 3 OZ = > prvo njomcu vypoveda njomn zmluvu v prpade prevodu vlastnckeho prva k nehnutenosti njomn zmluvy uzatvoren na urit i neurit as nejednotn vklad k monosti odlinej pravy pri njme nebytovho priestoru porovnanie s obdobnou eskou prvnou pravou OLDBURY CONSULTANTS LIMITED Slide 6 zbezpeky pohybliv zloky njomnho uplynutie doby njmu a vypratanie NP zdrn a zlon prvo technick zhodnotenie majetku odpisovanho njomcom pri ukonen njomnej zmluvy sluby svisiace s prenjmom (marketing, poistenie, upratovacie sluby, strna sluba) konkurenn doloky OLDBURY CONSULTANTS LIMITED Slide 7 Bratislava-Prague-London Radlinskeho 2, 811 07, Bratislava, Slovakia (00421) 2 52 637 930 Slovak Republic stefan@oldburyconsultants.eu www.oldburyconsultants.eu FUTEJ & Partners, s.r.o. Radlinskho 2, 811 07 Bratislava (00421) 2 52 633 161, 52 633 163 futej@futej.sk www.futej.sk Slide 8 Our focus SEE/CEE Slide 9 Our Clients Slide 10 Situation of real estate markets in CEE 1 year ago: Enormous Boom Far too much money (from AUT, TR, GER, GB, IT, ISR, RU) but not enough adequate projects Speed counts!? Significantly shrinking yields Image-projects preferred over more profitable but unspectacular projects Involvement of financiers in earlier phase of project development uncoupling of supply and demand Everyone knew: Its a bubble... Slide 11 Situation of real estate markets in CEE now: Devastated Real Estate Corporations within a nervous stock- market Funds not paying out Significantly rising yields Reluctant end-users Retailers postpone the expansion 10 % projects cancelled, 50 % projects postponed Practically no new projects at all (missing financing) Forecasts very difficult and high range of variation Who knows, what comes next! Slide 12 Situation of real estate markets in CEE in one year: Market adjustment (developers, operators, investors, retailers,...) Formula for survival & succes: own equity! Realistic and thoughtful actions of all participants beyond the bubble Financiers and end-investors unwilling to take a risk Higher importance of sustainability (location, concepts, users, maybe: energy/environment) Users determine conditions (retailers, office tennants, buyers of accommodation,...) -> Gradually return to normality and professionality Slide 13 Comparison of SC sales areas Slide 14 Slide 15 Retail real estate development Too much money on the market so all possible investments were made and realized, even if they were pointless risky! Strong rise in sales areas but purchasing power only going up slowly gap was too big Still too many projects- hoping for better times and counting on continuation of credo speed counts is the wrong approach Professional work and long-term thinking necessary Location and project analysis are no nice to haves they are fundamental! Slide 16 Conclusio Actually, the current crisis should not have any impact on future investment decisions (GDP-decrease, unemployment rate, etc.) : Time horizon: crisis: 1 2 years Leasing contracts (retailers, offices, etc.): 10 years Real estate investments: 20 25 years The currently very depressive situation constrains sustainable and reasonable project decisions Slide 17 Conclusio Speed counts, friendships and Cowboys do not have a future in the development of real estate markets! From consumers point of view there is still a market for retail projects but more diversity is necessary Forecasts based on longterm data from the past (5-10) years are essential Professional work means to develop for consumers needs Slide 18 VZKUM TRHU, MDI a VEEJNHO MNN, VVOJ SOFTWARE MEDIAN, Nrodnch hrdin 73, 190 12 Praha 9, tel.: 225 301 111, fax: 225 301 101, http: //www.median.cz, e-mail: median@median.cz ROV KD ve slubch marketingu Slide 19 VYUIT ROVHO KDU VYUIT ROVHO KDU ELEKTRONICK SLEDOVN NKUP (snmn rovho kdu u bnho nkupu i pouze u vybran produktov kategorie) Neptme se co si lid mysl, e nakupuj, ale Vme jak znaky koupili Jak mnostv Kdy a kde nakupovali Kolik utratili a vme, jac jsou to lid ELEKTRONICK SLEDOVN POHYBU OSOB (snmn rovho kdu z visaek astnk vzkumu nap. v shopping centrech, kongresech, vstavitch, kulturnch akcch) Neptme se co si lid mysl, e navtvili, ale Vme jak msta navtvili Jak dlouho se tam zdreli Monost nvaznosti na dal vzkumn projekty Slide 20 Konkrtn ukzka vzkum pomoc rovho kdu Slide 21 Mal konkrtn ukzka vzkum pomoc rovho kdu Slide 22 VZKUM TRHU, MDI a VEEJNHO MNN, VVOJ SOFTWARE MEDIAN, Nrodnch hrdin 73, 190 12 Praha 9, tel.: 225 301 111, fax: 225 301 101, http: //www.median.cz, e-mail: median@median.cz Dkuji za pozornost. Slide 23 Trendy vo vianonej vzdobe 2009 Slide 24 tandardn vianon vzdoba inovatvne prvky Dynamika- pohyb Projekcia- prca so svetlom Symbolick prvky v dekorcich - varicie Slide 25 Pohyb Slide 26 Svetlo Slide 27 Projekcia svetlo hudba Slide 28 Symbolick prvky - varicie Slide 29 Slide 30 Dekorcia ako sas projektu Anketa Sa Program Reklama Slide 31 Hadanie vekononch vajok Slide 32 Bratislavsk 8 Trnava 917 00 Tel., fax: +421 / 33/ 59 36 804 0911/ 721 220 email: info@kvetiny-sos.sk www.kvetiny-sos.sk www.kvetiny-sos.sk Slide 33 Roenka nejen o Retailu Slide 34 Spoleensk st Slide 35 Konference nejen o Retailu 2010 Kvten - Praha erven - Bratislava