long-term business plan for the fiscal year ending march 2020 · 5/1/2015 · machinery, energy...
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Long-Term Business Plan for
the Fiscal Year Ending March 2020
May 1, 2015
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© 2013 Stable performance as a result of increased automobile production
37.5
45.7
58.2*
67.5
40.2
27.3
47.1
66.2 67.4
73.0
67.5 70.0
6.88
7.59 8.12
8.69
7.10 7.28 7.34 7.53
8.56 8.95 8.95 9.12
当期純利益(当社計画値含む)
トヨタ年間生産台数(当社推測値含む)
1
(万台)
(億円) 140.0
Historical Overview of Net Income
*Excludes the JPY 19.0 billion tax reduction effect due to the merger. Fiscal years to March 31
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (Net income before
amortization of goodwill)
Toyota Motor’s annual car production volume (Million units; includes Toyota Tsusho estimates)
Net income (Billion yen; includes Toyota Tsusho estimates)
2013 2014 2015 2016 2020
Plan Target
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© 2013 2
Initiatives to achieve the long-term business plan
Strengthen the earnings
foundation of the automotive
business
・Propose businesses that meet
customer needs in each region
・Develop peripheral businesses that
leverage strengths
・Successfully monetize the
businesses we launch
・Restructure for more growth
businesses
Build businesses in which we
have invested and expand
earnings in them
Create a new generation of
businesses
・Rigorously invest in areas that
leverage our strengths and
businesses that are highly
profitable
Issues and Initiatives to Achieve Annual and Long-Term Plans
Issues Initiative Policies
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© 2013
140.0
3
70.0
Returns on
new investments
Amortization of
goodwill
completed
(Tomen, Eurus,
etc.)
Amortization of
goodwill
suspended
(CFAO, etc.)
Existing business
growth
Monetize prior
investments
Fiscal Year Ending March 2020: Multistage
Net Income Targets
March 2020 Target
March 2016 Plan
+20.0
+20.0
+20.0
(Net income before
amortization of
goodwill) +10.0
(Billion yen)
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© 2013
March 2014
Results
March 2015
Results
March 2016
Plan
March 2020
Target
Net sales 7,743.2 8,663.4 8,400.0 9,500.0
PL Operating income 161.3 169.4 158.0 270.0
Net income 73.0 67.5 70.0 140.0
Total assets 4,072.7 4,533.6 4,900.0 6,500.0
Shareholders’ equity 799.8 844.4 900.0 1,200.0
Comprehensive income 172.9 281.0 – –
Net assets 1,156.0 1,304.4 1,370.0 1,900.0
Net interest-bearing
debt 1,088.9 1,233.6 1,300.0 1,600.0
Net DER 1.1 1.1 1.1 ≥1.5 times
New investments 146.1 208.8 Invest within the scope
of operating cash flow
4
BS
Emphasize sound finances
Quantitative Targets of Long-Term Business Plan (Billion yen)
Fin
an
cia
l
Ben
ch
mark
s
Investments
(Net income before amortization
of goodwill)
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© 2013 5
Americas & Europe Asia Pacific & China Emerging Countries
& Africa
Automobile
Production
Automobile
Sales
Implement production and sales strategies for each region
Dep
loy T
oyo
ta G
rou
p C
olle
ctiv
e E
xp
erie
nc
e O
uts
ide
To
yo
ta G
rou
p
・Start in Mexico
・Deal with changing
car models
・Improve processing
technology
・Use new materials
・Improve capabilities
in China
・Implement IMV
・Establish Mekong
distribution
・Techno-park
・Implement IMV ・Lower costs
・Expand OEM use
・Enhance sales network
・Create individual demand
・Pre-owned cars and sales
finance
Strengthen the Earnings Foundation of the Automotive Business
・Enhance sales network
in main countries
・Scrap and build
・Deal in commercial
components
* Circle size corresponds to the extent of business expansion
・Raise management
efficiency
・Popularize brands
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© 2013 6
Division Business Areas Future Initiatives
Metals ・Rare earths
・Lithium
・Increasing productivity from stable operations
・Expand sales channels
Global Parts & Logistics ・Techno-park
・Aftermarket component sales
・Strengthen Tier 1 and Tier 2 relationships
・Sell more materials and form local relationships
Automotive
・Pre-owned cars & sales finance
・Hydrogen & electric vehicle
businesses
・Alliances with new car dealers
・Create framework for popularizing brands
Machinery, Energy &
Project
・Gas business
・Power generation business
・Rigorous control of development schedule
・Strengthen relationships with strong partners
Chemicals & Electronics ・Iodine
・Superabsorbent polymers (SAP) ・Secure sales routes for unique products
Food & Agribusiness ・Wheat & sugar businesses
・Development of businesses from upstream to
downstream
・Expand sales channels
Consumer Products &
Services ・Hospital & nursing services ・Operate in peripheral service businesses
Implement initiatives required for rapid returns
Build Businesses in Which We Have Invested and Expand Earnings in Them – Successfully Monetize the Businesses We Launch
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© 2013 7
Division Business Area Future Initiatives
Machinery, Energy &
Project ・Renewable energy
・Portfolio balanced among Japan, Europe
and the USA
・Diversify generation methods (solar,
biomass, geothermal, offshore wind, etc.)
Chemicals &
Electronics
・Electronics
・Pharmaceuticals business
・Exercise Group synergies
・Expand business in which Toyota Tsusho
is strong, incl. automotive
・Increase products handled by building
ties with manufacturers and constructing
networks
Food & Agribusiness ・Grain business
・Beverage business
・Build value chains from upstream to
downstream
・Strengthen relationships and
development with strong partners
Consumer Products &
Services
・Insurance package services
・Textiles
・Operate overseas, and increase insurance
products handled
・Review purchasing and sales routes, and
create brand strategies
Leverage our strengths to generate additional growth
Prior Investment Projects: Growth Areas with Projected Earnings Growth
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© 2013 8
Selectively invest in growth areas and
highly profitable businesses by leveraging our strengths
Target implementation of TRY-1 by generating additional
growth in core businesses based on long-term strategy and
continuing to invest to develop next core businesses
Policies for New Investments
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© 2013 9
Core Next Core
Challenge
Market Growth Potential
Building the next
core earnings
drivers
Build next core
earnings drivers
with awareness of
business model
lifecycle
Business Model Lifecycle
Scale
of
earn
ing
s
New Investment Areas:
Initiatives to Build Next Core Earnings Drivers
Current core
earnings drivers
Phase 2 core
earnings drivers
Phase 3 core
earnings drivers
Temporal axis
Phase 2 core earnings drivers: businesses with potential for
good results and growth Phase 3 core earnings drivers: businesses that exceed each
division’s parameters from a long-term perspective
Strength: Highly experienced
Growth potential: Sustain and ensure
growth in existing businesses
Strength: Highly experienced
Growth potential: Market share gains, etc.
・Africa (Groupwide)
・Power generation business (Incl. renewable energy)
・Electronics business expansion
Strength: Partners complement our strengths when we
are less experienced
Growth potential: market scale and product lineup
expansion
・Upstream grain strategy
・Environment, recycling, medical, agribusiness
(Automotive-related businesses)
Ou
r Stre
ng
ths
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© 2013
April 2015: Africa designated as our fifth key region
Throughout Africa, develop businesses that demonstrate the Toyota Tsusho Group’s strengths 10
Next Core Earnings Drivers 1: Build Our Presence in Africa
・ Develop retail business through Carrefour
・YAMAHA two-wheeler assembly & sales
・ L'Oréal production & sales
Rely on CFAO to expand
Toyota automobile sales
Cross development
from Kenya in the
infrastructure business
(geothermal power,
harbors, etc.)
Toyota Tsusho (Toyota models)
and CFAO (VW models, etc.)
will expand sales of
automobiles
Automobile
CKD production
Automobile production
Rely on CFAO to expand
in the pharmaceuticals business
Toyota
Tsusho
Support &
Cooperation
Create
Synergy
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© 2013
Eurus Energy
・Wind + solar power: 2,600MW (gross)
Largest wind power station in Japan (over 20% share)
・Ability to structure non-recourse financing and achieve
internalizing development and maintenance in Japan
North America
● Base: TTP (USA)
N. America gas-fired CCGT 3,455MW (gross)
Asia Pacific
● Base: TPS (Singapore)
1,966MW in Asian countries (gross)
・Regional expansion of the renewable energy
business in Japan and overseas
・Transmission business, surplus power storage and
sales (hydrogen, storage batteries, etc.)
Demonstrate the various power sources we offer and grow by synergistically creating
unique clean energy businesses that can provide stable power generation in various
countries and business areas
11
● Geothermal & solar power generation businesses
● Creation of power generation infrastructure in Africa &
the Middle East
● Link the power generation resources & network of
Group companies to expand initiatives to enter new
business areas
ENE-VISION: In-house & biomass power generation
Thermal Power Generation Business Renewable Energy
Next Core Earnings Drivers 2: Develop a Unique Power Generation Business
Investigate potential of new business areas
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© 2013
12
Grain Strategy Component
Acquired stable upstream procurement and cost competitiveness.
Downstream linkage through value chain (primarily in Asia).
Strengths & Issues in Brazil
● High growth in grain production forecast for Brazil
Grain infrastructure integrated from inland
warehouses to ports in northern Brazil
● Long term access rights for key ports, access to
railroads and truck routes linked with major
producing states in Northern Brazil
Have four grain silos in Japan, where there is
demand
Stable supply to customers in Southeast Asia and
China
Strengths of NovaAgri & Toyota Tsusho
Earth & Resources Collection/
Transport/
Storage Initial processing Shipment (Export)
Trading Marine transport
Import (Logistics) Initial processing Livestock/
Secondary
processing
Businesses in Supply Regions Businesses in Consumer Regions
Attractive market Attractive market Now a major strategic market
for Toyota Tsusho
Life & Community
Our Grain Strategy
3rd Step: Leverage the resource procurement capabilities we acquired to further
strengthen sales capabilities
Challenge Project: Acquisition of NovaAgri
2nd Step: ensure raw material procurement for this project 1st Step: Participate in downstream businesses
● Grain global export share (Fiscal 2013/14)
Soybeans: 41%; Corn: 16.5% (both No. 2
globally)
● Storage capacity for about 90% of
domestic production volume (chronic
capacity shortage)
Room for new entrants, unlike N. America,
which is controlled by an oligopoly of grain
majors
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13
Policies for New Investments
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© 2013 14
Selectively invest in growth areas and
highly profitable businesses by leveraging our strengths
Policies for New Investments
• Invest within the scope of operating cash flow
• Rigorously employ quantitative standards (RVA & TVA) and
emphasize investment returns
• For investment projects, determine Groupwide and Division
priorities and replace existing projects and businesses
(strategic allocation of managerial resources)
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© 2013 15
Rigorously Manage the Investment Cycle
Senior managers and chief
division officers discuss
strategic significance and
priorities
2. Investment Strategy
Meeting (Monthly)
Set and approve division
policy based on Group policy
Manage the pipeline
1. Policy Committee
(March)
Business monitoring system
Restructuring & exit
decisions
Adds rigor to exit rules
5. Portfolio Meeting
(October)
Discusses investment and
loan proposals
3. Investment and Loan
Meeting (Weekly)
4. Decision
(Monthly)
Go
Go Revamp
Exit
Strengthening governance with
outside directors
Drop
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© 2013 16
Background for Risk and Capital Cost Rates
1. Target: RA ≒ RB ≒ Net worth
2. Target return for RA ≒ Return on equity = ROE
3. Cost rate is set at 10% to 13% to increase ROE
RVA =
Ordinary income x 60% – RA x risk cost
Verifies whether we are generating
sufficient earnings from risks taken
TVA =
(Ordinary income – net interest expense)
× (1 – country tax rate) – capital employed
×country capital cost rate
Verifies whether we are generating
expected earnings and capital employed
We use and rigorously apply quantitative benchmarks
Risk Adjusted Value Added: RVA>0 Capital Efficiency: TVA>0
Quantitative Assessment Criteria for New Loans and Investments: Risk Adjusted Value
Added (RVA) and Capital Efficiency Indicator (TVA)
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© 2013
Red (Insolvency)
Yellow (Loss exceeds
-50%)
Exit
Annual fixed benchmark (Once annually)
New benchmark
Evaluate after two years
“Under Scrutiny” status (Support)
17
Consolidated Subsidiaries and Major Affiliates
Continue
Clarifying Benchmarks for Supporting or
Exiting Businesses
First 5
years
After 5
years
FS deviation over 50% (After-tax profit)
Business profit below ¥100 million (3
consecutive years) or after-tax loss for fiscal
year
Negative RVA
Balance sheet benchmark (Monthly)
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18
Key Performance Indicators
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© 2013 19
Long-term business plan target
(Year ending March 31, 2020)
ROE:10% to 13%
Improve benchmark ROE of 10% to 13% in light of
factors including various changes in the operating
environment and the application of quantitative
benchmarks for assessing businesses
Basic Policy for ROE
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© 2013 20
◆ Basic Risk Asset Management Policy
1) Keep total risk within a sustainable range RA≦RB
2) Secure earnings to justify risk taken RVA*>0
(Ordinary income after tax – RA×10%)
RA
(Risk assets)
Approx.
JPY 980 billion
RB
(Risk buffer;
mainly net
worth)
Approx.
JPY 990 billion
RA:RB ratio 0.99 : 1
(Reference) 1.13 : 1 as of March 31, 2014
RVA > 0
(Risk cost 10% )
※1:RVA(Risk Adjusted Value Added)
Basic Risk Asset Management Policy
We target sound, strong finances that enable future investments by
reviewing existing investments and improving capital efficiency and the
risk profitability of businesses
March 31, 2015 = Preliminary basis =
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21
Dividends
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© 2013
We will generate stable, sustained shareholder returns with a target
consolidated payout ratio of 25% calculated using net income before
amortization of goodwill
28
42 44
50
◆
◆
◆
◆
◆
21% 22%
23% 24%
29%
◆ 56
31%
62
22
◆
19% 20%
New Divided Policy
Dividend Policy
Cash dividends per share (Yen)
Dividend payout ratio
Payout ratio (using earnings before amortization
of goodwill)
March
2012
March
2013 March
2014
March
2015
March
2016
Planned
March
2011
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23
Personnel Development
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© 2013 24
We need to develop people who can manage diverse employees, create
businesses and build businesses with overseas partners in order to achieve our
2020 Vision and become a truly global corporation
Young
Employees
D&I
Global D&I
Outside
Directors
Personnel Development to Achieve Global 2020 Vision
Specific Initiatives
• Assign to companies throughout the Group to acquire firsthand
competencies
• Give all employees overseas assignments within their first 7 years
• Form Diversity Task Force in each department
• Proposals for issues including work from home, shorter hours,
maternity leave and nursing leave
• Hire and employ elite foreign employees with business creation
and senior management skills
• Actively promote foreign employees
• 3 outside directors, incl. 2 women, to vitalize the Board of Directors
• Introduction of governance code to expand functions of outside
directors
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© 2013 25
Inquiries:
Investor Relations Group
E-mail [email protected]
TEL +81-3-4306-8201
FAX +81-3-4306-8818
◆ The presentation material includes “forward-looking statements” such as those pertaining to the strategy and
management plan of Toyota Tsusho Corporation and its group companies, which are not historical facts. The forward-
looking statements are based on expectations, estimates, and forecasts available at the current moment, and
necessarily include risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, the information on the business environment, future
performances, business results, and financial standings of the Company explicitly or implicitly expressed in the forward-
looking statements could differ materially from the actual results. The Company undertakes no obligation to revise or
update publicly any forward-looking statement for any reason.
◆ The presentation material is not intended to be the basis for an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. In making
a decision on investment, etc., prospective investors may not rely on the information in this presentation.