main economic indicators for cee russia and cis (sep 16 ... · ポーランド/poland 3 2011 2012...

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A member of MUFG, a global financial group 中東欧、ロシア、CIS 諸国の主要経済指標 Main Economic Indicators for CEE, Russia and CIS The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, Ltd. 三菱東京UFJ銀行 経済調査室 (ロンドン駐在) Economic Research Office London, The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ 16 th September 2014

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Page 1: Main economic indicators for CEE Russia and CIS (Sep 16 ... · ポーランド/Poland 3 2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8 名目GDP Nominal GDP (US$ bn) 515.4

A member of MUFG, a global financial group

中東欧、ロシア、CIS諸国の主要経済指標Main Economic Indicators for CEE, Russia and CIS

The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, Ltd.

三菱東京UFJ銀行 経済調査室 (ロンドン駐在)

Economic Research Office (London),The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ16th September 2014

Page 2: Main economic indicators for CEE Russia and CIS (Sep 16 ... · ポーランド/Poland 3 2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8 名目GDP Nominal GDP (US$ bn) 515.4

目次/Table of contents

1: 主要経済指標

Main economic indicators 03

2: 実質GDP成長率

Real GDP growth rate 15

3: 為替相場

Exchange rates 17

2

Page 3: Main economic indicators for CEE Russia and CIS (Sep 16 ... · ポーランド/Poland 3 2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8 名目GDP Nominal GDP (US$ bn) 515.4

ポーランド/Poland

3

2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8名目GDPNominal GDP (US$ bn) 515.4 490.2 517.6 123.3 126.5 148.2 130.2 136.1

実質GDP成長率* (q/q, %) 0.8 0.8 0.7 1.1 0.6Real GDPGrowth* (y/y, %) 0.8 2.0 2.7 3.4 3.3鉱工業生産

Industrial Production(y/y, %) 7.2 1.4 2.3 1.3 4.9 4.6 4.9 3.8 5.4 4.4 1.7 2.3 -

小売売上Retail Sales (y/y, %) 6.8 3.1 2.6 1.3 4.0 4.6 5.0 5.0 8.9 4.3 1.8 3.1 -

銀行貸出伸び率Bank Lending Growth (y/y, %) 13.4 1.5 4.2 3.5 4.0 4.2 5.2 4.8 6.0 5.3 4.8 5.2 -

消費者物価上昇率Cpnsumer Price Index (y/y, %) 4.3 3.7 0.9 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 -0.2 -

賃金上昇率Wage Growth (y/y, %) 4.9 3.5 2.6 2.2 3.0 3.0 4.1 4.0 3.8 4.8 3.5 3.5 -

失業率

Unemployemnt rate (%) 12.4 12.8 13.5 13.6 13.0 13.2 13.8 12.5 13.0 12.5 12.0 11.9 11.7

貿易収支*Trade Balance (US$ mln) -21,797 -13,728 -2,601 384 74 -1,664 -289 41 325 -484 201 12 -

輸出額Exports (US$ mln) 188,432 185,282 205,007 49,794 51,982 54,280 54,626 55,271 19,120 18,320 17,833 18,745 -

輸出伸び率Exports Growth (y/y, %) 18.2 -1.7 10.6 10.4 13.9 12.0 11.4 11.0 11.2 15.7 6.4 10.2 -

輸入額 Imports (US$ mln) 210,230 199,010 207,608 49,410 51,909 55,944 54,916 55,231 18,795 18,804 17,632 18,734 -

輸入伸び率Imports Growth (y/y, %) 18.3 -5.3 4.3 0.8 9.1 7.9 8.8 11.8 12.0 16.3 7.2 8.2 -

経常収支

Current Account Balance (US$ mln) -25,770 -18,263 -7,105 634 -2,761 -1,927 -1,040 -

資本収支Capital & Financial Account Balance (US$ mln) 41,971 33,531 16,234 2,549 3,693 2,367 -945 -

対内直接投資Foreign Direct Investment (inflow) (US$ mln) 20,494 5,997 -5,105 -3,874 2,502 -3,978 3,799 1,466

外貨準備高International Reserve (US$ mln) 92,647 103,396 102,236 102,922 102,442 102,236 98,560 97,592

対外債務残高Gross External Debt (US$ mln) 323,289 365,745 381,067 357,697 377,972 381,067 378,733 -

株価指数Stock price index 44,558 41,613 48,323 45,626 48,054 52,796 51,557 52,042 51,977 51,496 52,682 51,190 51,425

4.54 4.91 3.02 2.98 2.70 2.67 2.71 2.71 2.72 2.72 2.69 2.68 2.65

5.96 5.00 4.03 3.58 4.25 4.36 4.38 3.81 4.10 3.80 3.54 3.34 3.36

Zloty/USD 2.97 3.26 3.16 3.22 3.21 3.07 3.05 3.04 3.03 3.04 3.04 3.06 3.15Zloty/Euro 4.12 4.18 4.20 4.20 4.25 4.18 4.18 4.17 4.19 4.18 4.14 4.14 4.19JPY/Zloty 26.88 24.51 30.88 30.71 30.85 32.69 33.67 33.60 33.81 33.45 33.55 33.24 32.69(資料)Macrobond , (注)実質GDP成長率の前期比データは季節調整済、鉱工業生産は季節調整済み、貿易収支は通関ベース

(Source) Macrobond, (Note) Q/Q real GDP growth: seasonally adjusted. Industrial production: Seasonally adjusted. Trade balance: Custom based

短期金利 (Interbank 3m)

Short-term interest rates (Interbank 3m)EU調整長期金利(10年物国債)Long-term interest rates (Gov.10y bond yields)

1.54.5 2.1

Page 4: Main economic indicators for CEE Russia and CIS (Sep 16 ... · ポーランド/Poland 3 2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8 名目GDP Nominal GDP (US$ bn) 515.4

チェコ/Czech Republic

4

2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8名目GDPNominal GDP (US$ bn) 216.0 196.5 198.5 48.7 49.6 50.6 50.4 50.7

実質GDP成長率* (q/q, %) 0.2 0.4 1.5 0.8 0.0Real GDPGrowth* (y/y, %) -1.7 -0.1 0.8 2.9 2.7鉱工業生産*Industrial Production*

(y/y, %) 6.1 -0.7 0.2 -3.2 1.2 6.0 6.2 6.2 8.4 4.5 5.7 6.0 -

小売売上Retail Sales (y/y, %) 1.9 -0.9 1.1 0.4 2.9 3.8 6.8 4.8 6.3 -0.4 8.5 6.2 -

銀行貸出伸び率Bank Lending Growth (y/y, %) 4.6 3.3 2.5 1.7 2.2 3.5 2.8 4.0 3.6 4.0 4.5 3.9 -

消費者物価上昇率Cpnsumer Price Index (y/y, %) 1.9 3.3 1.4 1.5 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.6

賃金上昇率Wage Growth (y/y, %) 2.5 2.5 0.0 1.2 1.4 -1.7 3.3 2.3

失業率

Unemployemnt rate (%) 6.7 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.7 6.6 6.2 6.3 6.2 6.0 6.0 -

貿易収支*Trade Balance (US$ mln) 677 3,291 5,444 2,227 876 495 2,738 2,421 863 637 920 568 -

輸出額Exports (US$ mln) 136,191 139,268 142,393 35,204 35,316 37,710 38,689 39,252 13,328 12,831 13,089 13,048 -

輸出伸び率Exports Growth (y/y, %) 10.8 13.2 2.2 1.0 5.0 9.2 17.2 12.8 12.5 10.8 15.1 18.3 -

輸入額 Imports (US$ mln) 135,513 135,977 136,949 32,977 34,440 37,215 35,951 36,830 12,465 12,194 12,168 12,480 -

輸入伸び率Imports Growth (y/y, %) 9.2 11.0 0.7 -2.8 4.4 8.0 15.1 13.0 12.8 11.8 14.4 15.7 -

経常収支

Current Account Balance (US$ mln) -5877.4 -2620.6 -2860.9 -699.8 -2160.7 -504.4 3608.8 -135.6

資本収支Capital & Financial Account Balance (US$ mln) 4193.3 6450.6 13422.7 1494.9 947.0 10971.7 -967.8 2627.7

対内直接投資Foreign Direct Investment (inflow) (US$ mln) 2,319 7,986 4,991 1,084 160 854 655 1,947

外貨準備高International Reserve (US$ mln) 39,670 44,265 55,798 43,196 45,326 55,798 57,058 58,566

対外債務残高Gross External Debt (US$ mln) 94,155 102,466 111,338 102,920 103,114 111,338 108,067 -

株価指数Stock price index 1,395 1,199 1,216 1,189 1,168 1,244 1,260 1,268 1,263 1,256 1,286 1,202 1,221

1.17 0.50 0.38 0.46 0.46 0.41 0.37 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.35 0.35 0.35

3.72 2.83 2.13 1.82 2.34 2.36 2.32 1.79 2.02 1.76 1.57 1.48 1.40

Koruna/USD 17.69 19.57 19.57 19.79 19.52 19.60 20.03 20.02 19.88 19.98 20.19 20.29 20.89Koruna/Euro 24.59 25.14 25.99 25.83 25.85 26.68 27.44 27.45 27.45 27.44 27.45 27.46 27.82JPY/Koruna 4.51 4.08 4.99 4.99 5.07 5.12 5.13 5.10 5.16 5.09 5.05 5.01 4.93(資料)Macrobond , (注)実質GDP成長率の前期比データは季季節・稼働日調整済、鉱工業生産は稼働日調整済み、貿易収支は通関ベース

(Source) Macrobond, (Note) Q/Q real GDP growth: seasonally and calender adjusted. Industrial production: calender adjusted. Trade balance: Custom based

1.9 -1.0 -1.0

短期金利 (Interbank 3m)

Short-term interest rates (Interbank 3m)EU調整長期金利(10年物国債)Long-term interest rates (Gov.10y bond yields)

Page 5: Main economic indicators for CEE Russia and CIS (Sep 16 ... · ポーランド/Poland 3 2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8 名目GDP Nominal GDP (US$ bn) 515.4

ハンガリー/Hungary

5

2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8名目GDPNominal GDP (US$ bn) 137.4 124.6 130.0 31.9 33.3 36.3 30.7 34.2

実質GDP成長率* (q/q, %) 0.4 1.1 0.7 1.1 0.8Real GDPGrowth* (y/y, %) 0.5 1.9 2.7 3.7 3.9鉱工業生産*Industrial Production*

(y/y, %) 5.8 -1.4 1.5 0.4 1.9 5.3 7.5 10.4 9.7 10.1 11.3 12.3 -

小売売上Retail Sales (y/y, %) 0.3 -1.9 1.6 1.4 2.7 4.8 7.1 - 6.3 4.9 - - -

銀行貸出伸び率Bank Lending Growth (y/y, %) -0.1 -13.2 -4.2 -5.9 -2.6 -4.2 -4.5 -2.3 -3.3 -3.1 -2.3 -2.9 -

消費者物価上昇率Cpnsumer Price Index (y/y, %) 3.6 5.1 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.7 0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.3 0.1 0.2

賃金上昇率Wage Growth (y/y, %) 5.2 4.7 3.4 3.8 3.9 2.9 1.8 4.2 4.1 4.9 3.7 - -

失業率

Unemployemnt rate (%) 11.0 10.9 10.2 10.3 9.8 9.1 8.3 8.0 8.0 8.0 7.9 - -

貿易収支*Trade Balance (US$ mln) 9,842 8,523 8,708 1,950 2,360 2,282 2,562 1,931 741 398 792.0 - -

輸出額Exports (US$ mln) 111,218 102,830 108,015 26,575 26,911 28,464 28,315 29,060 9,759 9,675 9,625.9 - -

輸出伸び率Exports Growth (y/y, %) 17.4 -7.5 5.0 2.8 8.1 9.7 8.6 9.3 9.4 8.7 10.0 - -

輸入額 Imports (US$ mln) 101,375 94,308 99,307 24,625 24,551 26,182 25,754 27,129 9,018 9,277 8,833.9 - -

輸入伸び率Imports Growth (y/y, %) 15.9 -7.0 5.3 5.5 7.8 8.0 7.5 10.2 10.7 10.5 9.2 - -

経常収支

Current Account Balance (US$ mln) 583 1,062 3,904 748 1,597 868 1,349 -

資本収支Capital & Financial Account Balance (US$ mln) 7469.5 -7322.2 -3537.9 -2594.1 -5601.9 3572.8 2599.1 -

対内直接投資Foreign Direct Investment (inflow) (US$ mln) 5744.7 13940.0 3075.2 -877.6 -2155.7 5296.7 - -

外貨準備高International Reserve (US$ mln) 48,681 44,506 46,389 44,680 41,475 46,389 49,628 49,145

対外債務残高Gross External Debt (US$ mln) 185,311 160,377 156,460 163,690 156,701 160,446 162,234 -

株価指数Stock price index 20,502 18,060 18,652 18,625 18,535 18,625 18,056 18,421 17,794 18,534 18,936 18,090 17,589

6.19 6.98 4.30 4.58 3.93 3.32 2.83 2.54 2.66 2.53 2.42 2.26 2.15

7.64 7.89 5.92 5.58 6.08 5.73 5.82 5.02 5.56 5.01 4.50 4.33 4.73

Forint/USD 201.18 225.11 223.60 226.49 224.93 218.46 224.55 223.06 222.50 221.64 225.15 228.99 235.78Forint/Euro 279.36 289.30 296.93 295.74 297.96 297.42 307.76 306.00 307.40 304.71 305.87 309.81 313.91JPY/Forint 0.396 0.355 0.436 0.436 0.440 0.460 0.458 0.458 0.461 0.459 0.453 0.444 0.437(資料)Macrobond、(注)実質GDP成長率の前期比データは季節調整済、鉱工業生産は稼働日調整済み、失業率は3カ月移動平均、貿易収支は通関ベース。

(Source) Macrobond, (Note) Q/Q real GDP growth: seasonally adjusted. Industrial production: Calender and seasonally adjusted. Unemployment rate: three months moving average. Trade balance: Custom based

短期金利 (Interbank 3m)

Short-term interest rates (Interbank 3m)EU調整長期金利(10年物国債)Long-term interest rates (Gov.10y bond yields)

1.6 -1.6 1.1

Page 6: Main economic indicators for CEE Russia and CIS (Sep 16 ... · ポーランド/Poland 3 2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8 名目GDP Nominal GDP (US$ bn) 515.4

ルーマニア/Romania

6

2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8名目GDPNominal GDP (US$ bn) 182.8 169.1 188.9 43.2 51.0 59.0 38.5 47.4

実質GDP成長率* (q/q, %) 1.2 1.5 1.1 -0.2 -1.0Real GDPGrowth* (y/y, %) 1.4 4.2 5.4 3.9 1.2鉱工業生産*Industrial Production*

(y/y, %) 7.6 2.5 7.6 5.4 8.3 10.5 10.7 9.9 5.2 13.4 11.4 6.1 -

小売売上Retail Sales (y/y, %) -2.0 3.8 2.3 0.8 1.0 4.6 9.0 10.4 7.3 10.7 13.3 - -

銀行貸出伸び率Bank Lending Growth (y/y, %) 6.6 1.3 -3.3 -1.3 -3.3 -3.3 -2.7 -3.9 -0.8 -2.1 -3.9 -3.4 -

消費者物価上昇率Cpnsumer Price Index (y/y, %) 5.8 3.3 4.0 5.3 3.3 1.8 1.1 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.7 1.0 0.8

賃金上昇率Wage Growth (y/y, %) 4.9 4.9 4.8 5.2 4.8 4.2 5.1 4.6 4.5 4.4 5.0 5.1 -

失業率

Unemployemnt rate (%) 7.4 7.1 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.4 7.2 7.2 7.1 7.3 7.1 7.0 -

貿易収支*Trade Balance (US$ mln) -13,452 -12,332 -7,571 -1,903 -2,169 -2,083 -1,530 -2,358 -873 -730 -756 -704 -

輸出額Exports (US$ mln) 62,959 57,876 65,797 15,843 16,903 17,810 17,479 17,507 5,773 5,969 5,763 6,465 -

輸出伸び率Exports Growth (y/y, %) 27.3 -8.1 13.7 9.2 21.4 19.1 14.4 10.5 8.4 14.3 8.7 10.3 -

輸入額 Imports (US$ mln) 76,411 70,209 73,368 17,745 19,073 19,893 19,009 19,864 6,645 6,698 6,519 7,169 -

輸入伸び率Imports Growth (y/y, %) 23.1 -8.1 4.5 -2.5 11.2 10.0 13.8 11.9 8.8 14.4 12.6 8.4 -

経常収支

Current Account Balance (US$ mln) -8,237 -7,506 -2,014 153 -970 -1,235 -262 -828

資本収支Capital & Financial Account Balance (US$ mln) 6,397 8,301 -2,406 -549 -1,836 832 1,699 -146

対内直接投資Foreign Direct Investment (inflow) (US$ mln) 2,523 2,748 3,618 1,163 127 1,769 483 916

外貨準備高International Reserve (US$ mln) 42,939 41,162 44,811 42,180 44,651 44,811 43,136 42,638

対外債務残高Gross External Debt (US$ mln) 128,162 131,401 132,387 128,801 133,029 132,387 128,498 127,270

株価指数Stock price index 5,179 4,857 5,713 5,406 5,667 6,183 6,403 6,573 6,446 6,497 6,786 6,933 7,013

5.83 5.35 4.22 4.36 4.04 2.80 2.89 2.79 2.99 2.89 2.49 2.22 2.17

7.29 6.68 5.41 5.37 5.19 5.27 5.29 4.78 5.15 4.72 4.48 4.16 4.21

Leu/USD 3.05 3.47 3.33 3.37 3.35 3.27 3.29 3.23 3.23 3.22 3.23 3.26 3.32Leu/Euro 4.24 4.46 4.42 4.40 4.44 4.45 4.50 4.43 4.46 4.42 4.39 4.41 4.43JPY/Leu 26.14 23.00 29.33 29.34 29.50 30.73 31.29 31.64 31.72 31.60 31.59 31.26 30.99(資料)Macrobond他、(注)実質GDP成長率の前期比データは季節調整済、鉱工業生産は稼働日調整済み、貿易収支は通関ベース

(Source) Macrobond, (Note) Q/Q real GDP growth: seasonally adjusted. Industrial production: Calender adjusted. Trade balance: Custom based

EU調整長期金利(10年物国債)Long-term interest rates (Gov.10y bond yields)

短期金利 (Interbank 3m)

Short-term interest rates (Interbank 3m)

2.3 0.6 3.3

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スロバキア/Slovakia

7

2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8名目GDPNominal GDP (US$ bn) 95.9 91.3 95.8 23.5 25.2 25.0 23.3 25.2

実質GDP成長率* (q/q, %) 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6Real GDPGrowth* (y/y, %) 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.4鉱工業生産*Industrial Production*

(y/y, %) 5.8 6.4 5.8 4.9 4.5 8.2 6.0 5.9 5.7 6.0 6.1 - -

小売売上Retail Sales (y/y, %) -2.2 -1.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.5 3.3 2.8 4.2 1.6 2.6 2.7 -

銀行貸出伸び率Bank Lending Growth (y/y, %) 8.7 3.2 5.4 4.4 4.8 5.4 5.4 6.2 6.4 6.4 6.2 7.5 -

消費者物価上昇率Cpnsumer Price Index (y/y, %) 4.1 3.7 1.5 1.7 1.4 0.5 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 -

賃金上昇率Wage Growth (y/y, %) 5.2 4.1 4.0 4.2 2.5 1.6 0.3 -

失業率

Unemployemnt rate (%) 13.7 14.0 14.2 14.2 14.3 14.1 13.8 13.9 13.9 13.9 13.8 13.8 -

貿易収支*Trade Balance (US$ mln) -12 3,213 4,054 1,662 694 407 1,275 1,353 262 518 571 - -

輸出額Exports (US$ mln) 79,751 80,605 85,828 21,692 20,807 23,307 22,101 22,505 7,567 7,633 7,305 - -

輸出伸び率Exports Growth (y/y, %) 18.4 9.4 3.2 4.6 0.3 4.7 6.1 -1.2 -2.9 -2.5 1.9 - -

輸入額 Imports (US$ mln) 79,763 77,392 81,774 20,030 20,112 22,899 20,826 21,153 7,305 7,115 6,734 - -

輸入伸び率Imports Growth (y/y, %) 18.1 5.0 2.4 1.7 0.0 7.4 6.6 0.5 1.9 0.1 -0.4 - -

経常収支

Current Account Balance (US$ mln) -3,611 2,035 2,054 1,239 294 -478 681 -

資本収支Capital & Financial Account Balance (US$ mln) 5,925 1,350 3,150 114 2,205 992 1,752 -

対内直接投資Foreign Direct Investment (inflow) (US$ mln) 3,492 2,825 591 -743 1,277 249 301 -

外貨準備高International Reserve (US$ mln) 853 818 922 1,089 853 922 1,508 958

対外債務残高Gross External Debt (US$ mln) 68,491 70,924 82,311 79,196 83,692 82,311 90,841 -

株価指数Stock price index 228.0 196.8 190.8 186.6 197.2 195.6 207.9 209.8 215.0 207.7 206.9 208.1 208.9

1.39 0.57 0.22 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.30 0.30 0.33 0.33 0.24 0.21 0.19

4.45 4.55 3.19 2.66 3.15 3.00 2.49 2.64 2.47 2.73 2.73 2.07 1.81

EUR/USD 0.72 0.78 0.75 0.77 0.76 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.72 0.73 0.74 0.74 0.75GBP/EUR 0.87 0.81 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.84 0.83 0.81 0.82 0.82 0.80 0.79 0.80JPY/EUR 110.82 102.53 129.56 128.93 130.96 136.75 140.86 140.02 141.51 139.76 138.75 137.73 137.07(資料)Macrobond , (注)実質GDP成長率の前期比データは季節/稼働日調整済、鉱工業生産は季節調整済み、貿易収支は通関ベース

(Source) Macrobond, (Note) Q/Q real GDP growth: seasonally adjusted. Industrial production: Seasonally adjusted. Trade balance: Custom based

短期金利 (Interbank 3m)

Short-term interest rates (Interbank 3m)長期金利(10年物国債)Long-term interest rates (Gov.10y bond yields)

3.0 1.8 0.9

-

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クロアチア/Croatia

8

2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8名目GDPNominal GDP (US$ bn) 49.6 45.3 46.7 11.9 11.4 12.3 11.3 12.2

実質GDP成長率* (q/q, %) -0.2 -0.1 -0.3 0.0 -Real GDPGrowth* (y/y, %) -0.6 -0.5 -1.1 -0.4 -鉱工業生産*Industrial Production*

(y/y, %) -1.3 -5.5 -1.4 -2.1 -3.8 -2.3 0.6 -0.4 -0.8 1.3 -1.6 1.4 -

小売売上Retail Sales (y/y, %) -0.6 -3.6 0.5 2.4 1.1 -0.6 -0.7 -2.5 -1.1 -3.7 -2.8 - -

銀行貸出伸び率Bank Lending Growth (y/y, %) 6.0 -2.4 0.9 -1.8 0.8 0.9 -0.3 -2.3 -1.3 -1.2 -2.3 -2.3 -

消費者物価上昇率Cpnsumer Price Index (y/y, %) 2.2 3.4 2.3 2.4 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.3 -0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 -

賃金上昇率Wage Growth (y/y, %) 2.5 3.1 2.9 1.7 2.6 0.9 -2.3 - - - - - -

失業率

Unemployemnt rate (%) 13.9 16.1 17.3 17.2 18.1 17.3 17.4 16.6 17.0 16.6 16.3 16.2 -

貿易収支*Trade Balance (US$ mln) -8,837 -7,761 -8,292 -2,555 -2,047 -1,664 -1,969 - -990 -813 -815 - -

輸出額Exports (US$ mln) 13,597 12,596 12,191 3,051 3,110 3,248 3,106 - 1,143 1,196 1,200 - -

輸出伸び率Exports Growth (y/y, %) 7.9 0.3 -6.3 -1.4 -6.9 -9.1 7.4 - 22.7 11.3 23.0 - -

輸入額 Imports (US$ mln) 22,435 20,357 20,483 5,607 5,156 4,912 5,075 - 2,133 2,009 2,015 - -

輸入伸び率Imports Growth (y/y, %) 7.2 -1.8 -2.6 5.4 -2.6 -7.3 2.0 - 19.8 8.3 -3.8 - -

経常収支

Current Account Balance (US$ mln) -505 57 697 -341 3,882 -994 -2,143 -

資本収支Capital & Financial Account Balance (US$ mln) 1,855 673 507 397 -1,899 636 1,761 -

対内直接投資Foreign Direct Investment (inflow) (US$ mln) 1,456 1,367 507 18 49 -238 277 -

外貨準備高International Reserve (US$ mln) 14,484 14,807 17,767 15,694 15,809 17,767 16,619 16,789

対外債務残高Gross External Debt (US$ mln) 63,830 57,632 60,577 60,003 59,531 62,121 63,616 -

株価指数Stock price index 2,083 1,736 1,856 1,897 1,832 1,771 1,790 1,734 1,718 1,691 1,769 1,810 1,834

3.1 3.4 1.5 1.3 2.0 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0

Kuna/USD 5.3 5.9 5.7 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.7Kuna/EUR 7.4 7.5 7.6 7.6 7.5 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6JPY/Kuna 14.9 13.6 17.1 17.1 17.4 17.9 18.4 18.4 18.6 18.4 18.3 18.1 18.0(資料)Macrobond , (注)実質GDP成長率の前期比データは季節調整済、鉱工業生産は季節調整済み、貿易収支は通関ベース

(Source) Macrobond, (Note) Q/Q real GDP growth: seasonally adjusted. Industrial production: Seasonally adjusted. Trade balance: Custom based

短期金利 (Interbank 3m)

Short-term interest rates (Interbank 3m)

-0.9-2.2-0.2

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ブルガリア/Bulgaria

9

2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8名目GDPNominal GDP (US$ bn) 53.5 51.3 53.0 12.8 14.3 14.9 11.3 13.7

実質GDP成長率* (q/q, %) 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.5Real GDPGrowth* (y/y, %) 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.6鉱工業生産*Industrial Production*

(y/y, %) 6.0 -0.2 0.2 -3.7 0.8 2.5 3.8 3.8 3.5 5.7 2.3 0.6 -

小売売上Retail Sales (y/y, %) 0.4 4.9 2.6 1.9 3.8 5.9 6.9 4.6 3.6 5.0 5.2 4.8 -

銀行貸出伸び率 Bank Lending Growth (y/y, %) 3.2 2.8 0.0 1.0 0.7 0.0 1.3 2.1 1.6 1.9 2.1 1.8 -

消費者物価上昇率Cpnsumer Price Index (y/y, %) 3.4 2.4 0.4 1.1 -0.7 -1.0 -1.8 -1.6 -1.3 -1.8 -1.8 -1.1 -

賃金上昇率Wage Growth (y/y, %) 3.2 4.0 4.9 5.4 3.3 4.9 5.3 -

失業率

Unemployemnt rate (%) 11.3 12.3 12.9 13.0 12.8 12.9 12.2 11.8 11.9 11.8 11.6 11.5 -

貿易収支*Trade Balance (US$ mln) -4,369 -6,024 -4,801 -1,434 -958 -1,435 -1,522 -1,409 -643 -446 -322 - -

輸出額Exports (US$ mln) 28,180 26,684 29,509 7,074 7,919 7,647 6,671 7,413 2,401 2,450 2,560 - -

輸出伸び率Exports Growth (y/y, %) 32.6 2.3 7.5 3.8 7.7 5.0 -6.5 0.3 -11.6 5.4 7.1 - -

輸入額 Imports (US$ mln) 32,549 32,708 34,310 8,509 8,877 9,082 8,193 8,822 3,044 2,897 2,882 - -

輸入伸び率Imports Growth (y/y, %) 23.0 9.1 1.9 -4.0 5.0 2.9 0.6 -1.3 -1.3 -0.3 -2.3 - -

経常収支

Current Account Balance (US$ mln) 46 -430 997 706 1,421 -614 0 -

資本収支Capital & Financial Account Balance (US$ mln) -754 -198 -531 -782 -510 452 382 -

対内直接投資Foreign Direct Investment (inflow) (US$ mln) 1,850 1,375 1,450 343 602 1 153 -

外貨準備高International Reserve (US$ mln) 15,252 18,371 18,335 17,536 18,455 18,335 17,581 17,871

対外債務残高Gross External Debt (US$ mln) 50,472 48,536 49,569 49,155 49,541 50,832 51,865 51,994

株価指数Stock price index 390.2 313.1 427.1 412.1 449.5 465.5 567.1 588.7 605.1 596.3 566.7 543.8 544.9

3.76 2.25 1.14 1.21 1.11 0.99 0.89 0.83 0.83 0.84 0.81 0.76 0.72

5.36 4.50 3.47 3.41 3.54 3.59 3.56 3.24 3.44 3.18 3.11 3.38 3.41

Lev/USD 1.41 1.53 1.48 1.50 1.48 1.44 1.43 1.43 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.45 1.47Lev/EUR 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96JPY/Lev 56.50 52.26 66.04 65.73 66.75 69.68 71.74 71.37 72.18 71.24 70.68 70.26 69.87(資料)Macrobond , (注)実質GDP成長率データは季節/稼働日調整済、鉱工業生産は季節調整済み、貿易収支は通関ベース

(Source) Macrobond, (Note) Q/Q real GDP growth: seasonally adjusted. Industrial production: Seasonally adjusted. Trade balance: Custom based

長期金利(10年物国債)Long-term interest rates (Gov.10y bond yields)

0.90.62.0

短期金利 (Interbank 3m)

Short-term interest rates (Interbank 3m)

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セルビア/Serbia

10

2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8名目GDPNominal GDP (US$ bn) 43.8 38.0 42.5 10.4 10.6 10.9 - -

実質GDP成長率* (q/q, %) 0.1 1.4 - - -Real GDPGrowth* (y/y, %) 0.4 3.8 3.0 0.1 -鉱工業生産*Industrial Production*

(y/y, %) 2.6 -2.4 5.8 3.2 10.7 3.6 0.8 -5.3 1.7 -6.2 -11.4 -11.9 -

小売売上Retail Sales (y/y, %) -18.5 -2.6 -5.6 -6.7 -7.5 2.1 0.6 -0.3 -0.9 -2.3 2.4 7.1 -

消費者物価上昇率Cpnsumer Price Index (y/y, %) 11.2 7.3 7.9 10.4 6.9 2.0 2.7 1.8 2.1 2.1 1.3 2.1 1.5

賃金上昇率Wage Growth (y/y, %) 11.1 8.9 5.7 5.9 5.9 5.1 0.5 1.4 -1.7 5.3 1.0 2.4 -

貿易収支*Trade Balance (US$ mln) -7,332 -6,914 -3,994 -968 -495 -1,139 -741 - -279 - - - -

輸出額Exports (US$ mln) 10,461 11,004 14,352 3,322 3,980 3,868 3,455 - 1,303 - - - -

輸出伸び率Exports Growth (y/y, %) -3.9 4.5 22.6 16.7 39.8 22.6 23.0 - 5.8 - - - -

輸入額 Imports (US$ mln) 17,792 17,918 18,347 4,290 4,475 5,006 4,195 - 1,582 - - - -

輸入伸び率Imports Growth (y/y, %) 4.4 -2.5 -1.3 -8.0 1.3 -1.3 -2.6 - -4.6 - - - -

経常収支

Current Account Balance (US$ mln) -3,752 -4,260 -2,185 -377 -217 -702 -459 -

資本収支Capital & Financial Account Balance (US$ mln) 3,494 4,001 1,938 317 90 679 443 -

対内直接投資Foreign Direct Investment (inflow) (US$ mln) 2,530 375 1,076 180 290 348 215 -

外貨準備高International Reserve (US$ mln) 14,877 13,585 14,803 13,331 13,416 14,803 13,656 13,096

対外債務残高Gross External Debt (US$ mln) 31,724 34,438 -

株価指数Stock price index 670.8 474.7 534.6 540.1 505.4 534.0 568.2 580.8 579.1 583.5 579.8 583.7 613.0

12.88 11.64 10.16 10.10 9.75 9.49 8.82 8.49 8.84 8.56 8.05 7.70 7.71

73.35 88.03 85.18 85.85 86.24 83.98 84.44 84.27 83.65 84.20 84.99 85.94 88.14102.00 113.09 113.08 112.09 114.19 114.32 115.70 115.57 115.52 115.64 115.54 116.31 117.37

JPY/Dinar 1.09 0.91 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.20 1.22 1.21 1.23 1.21 1.20 1.18 1.17(資料)Macrobond , (注)実質GDP成長率の前期比データは季節/稼働日調整済、鉱工業生産は季節調整済み、貿易収支は通関ベース

(Source) Macrobond, (Note) Q/Q real GDP growth: seasonally adjusted. Industrial production: Seasonally adjusted. Trade balance: Custom based

Dinar/EUR

短期金利 (Interbank 3m)

Short-term interest rates (Interbank 3m)

2.5-1.51.7

Dinar/USD

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マケドニア/Macedonia

11

2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8名目GDPNominal GDP (US$ bn) 10.4 9.6 11.0 2.7 2.9 3.1 2.7 -

実質GDP成長率*Real GDPGrowth* (q/q, %) 3.0 -0.5 2.1 1.3 2.9 4.5 3.5 -

鉱工業生産*Industrial Production*

(y/y, %) 5.5 -3.4 4.6 3.0 2.4 2.1 3.5 5.2 1.5 9.1 5.0 - -

小売売上Retail Sales (y/y, %) - -10.9 -8.6 -8.6 -9.3 -7.9 -11.8 -3.2 -3.4 -3.6 -2.6 - -

消費者物価上昇率Cpnsumer Price Index (y/y, %) 2.8 4.8 1.4 3.6 2.8 1.3 0.6 -0.9 -1.1 -0.6 -1.1 0.3 -

賃金上昇率Wage Growth (y/y, %) 1.4 0.3 1.2 1.8 1.0 0.7 -0.2 - 0.9 0.9 - - -

失業率

Unemployemnt rate (%) 31.9 30.8 28.8 28.9 28.9 28.8 28.5 - - - - - -

貿易収支*Trade Balance (US$ mln) -2,556 -2,503 -2,332 -635 -506 -642 -584 - -222 - - - -

輸出額Exports (US$ mln) 4,471 4,000 4,264 1,051 1,093 1,173 1,116 - 394 - - - -

輸出伸び率Exports Growth (y/y, %) 26.2 -8.9 13.6 1.7 4.0 6.5 12.9 - 2.8 - - - -

輸入額 Imports (US$ mln) 7,027 6,503 6,596 1,685 1,599 1,815 1,700 - 616 - - - -

輸入伸び率Imports Growth (y/y, %) 4.4 -2.5 0.2 -1.2 -1.2 -2.5 9.1 - -3.0 - - - -

経常収支

Current Account Balance (US$ mln) -263 -289 -194 -145 177 -76 - -

資本収支Capital & Financial Account Balance (US$ mln) 250 266 159 140 -184 60 - -

対内直接投資Foreign Direct Investment (inflow) (US$ mln) 467 92 333 42 99 88 - -

外貨準備高International Reserve (US$ mln) 2,331 2,528 2,485 2,405 2,503 2,485 2,389 2,265

対外債務残高Gross External Debt (US$ mln) 6,271 6,818 7,181 7,326 7,463 7,181 - -

株価指数Stock price index 2,403.8 1,889.9 1,725.4 1,785.5 1,659.6 1,605.7 1,729.5 1,708.6 1,717.6 1,718.1 1,689.1 1,636.3 1,675.0

5.06 4.56 3.69 3.71 3.53 3.45 3.32 3.17 3.20 3.17 3.15 3.10 3.06

Denar/USD 47.40 46.95 44.68 47.17 45.70 44.68 44.75 45.18 44.47 45.30 45.18 45.50 46.65Denar/EUR 61.54 61.89 61.57 61.33 61.86 61.57 61.67 61.86 61.66 61.81 61.86 60.88 61.45JPY/Denar 1.68 1.70 2.18 2.09 2.16 2.25 2.30 2.26 2.30 2.25 2.26 2.24 2.21(資料)Macrobond , (注)実質GDP成長率データは季節/稼働日調整済、鉱工業生産は季節調整済み、貿易収支は通関ベース

(Source) Macrobond, (Note) Q/Q real GDP growth: seasonally adjusted. Industrial production: Seasonally adjusted. Trade balance: Custom based

短期金利 (Interbank 3m)

Short-term interest rates (Interbank 3m)

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ロシア/Russia

12

2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8名目GDPNominal GDP (US$ bn) 1,904.0 2,002.5 2,095.2 505.0 535.2 571.1 456.7 505.9

実質GDP成長率* (q/q, %) 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.2Real GDPGrowth* (y/y, %) 1.0 1.3 2.0 0.9 0.8鉱工業生産

Industrial Production(y/y, %) 5.1 3.4 0.4 0.8 0.6 1.4 1.1 1.9 2.4 2.8 0.4 1.5 -

小売売上Retail Sales (y/y, %) 6.9 6.5 3.9 3.8 4.0 3.6 3.6 1.8 2.7 2.1 0.7 1.1 -

銀行貸出伸び率Bank Lending Growth (y/y, %) 28.1 19.6 17.2 18.6 18.6 17.2 17.4 15.3 17.5 17.5 15.3 15.2 -

消費者物価上昇率Cpnsumer Price Index (y/y, %) 8.5 5.1 6.8 7.2 6.4 6.4 6.4 7.6 7.3 7.6 7.8 7.5 7.6

賃金上昇率Wage Growth (y/y, %) 11.7 13.3 12.3 13.9 13.3 10.3 9.9 9.0 9.7 8.6 8.8 8.2 -

失業率

Unemployemnt rate (%) 6.6 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.5 5.5 5.0 5.3 4.9 4.9 4.9 -

貿易収支*Trade Balance (US$ mln) 210,957 207,520 212,300 49,491 51,189 56,151 55,921 57,160 21,493 19,810 15,857 - -

輸出額Exports (US$ mln) 516,717 524,697 527,267 128,111 131,463 141,176 122,782 131,902 47,546 44,047 40,309 - -

輸出伸び率Exports Growth (y/y, %) 30.1 1.5 0.5 -1.3 5.2 1.8 -3.0 3.0 6.5 6.7 -4.5 - -

輸入額 Imports (US$ mln) 305,760 317,177 314,967 78,620 80,274 85,025 66,861 74,742 26,053 24,237 24,452 - -

輸入伸び率Imports Growth (y/y, %) 33.6 3.7 -0.7 1.9 -2.1 -4.7 -5.9 -4.9 -7.6 -0.4 -6.3 - -

経常収支

Current Account Balance (US$ mln) 97,274 72,015 32,761 1,080 -1,504 8,883 27,089 17,100

資本収支Capital & Financial Account Balance (US$ mln) -75,988 -30,895 -42,929 -6,577 -4,341 -19,389 -48,765 -

対内直接投資Foreign Direct Investment (inflow) (US$ mln) 55,084 50,588 79,262 15,957 14,146 8,539 12,229 -

外貨準備高International Reserve (US$ mln) 453,948 486,577 469,603 475,233 479,449 469,603 442,773 431,956

対外債務残高Gross External Debt (US$ mln) 538,871 636,412 728,859 707,757 716,253 728,859 715,819 720,926

株価指数Stock price index 1,606 1,453 1,441 1,369 1,404 1,493 1,426 1,404 1,338 1,390 1,487 1,449 1,404

5.33 7.34 7.32 7.40 7.27 7.24 7.72 9.30 8.99 9.48 9.44 9.54 9.78

8.06 8.15 7.33 7.13 7.52 7.65 7.96 8.15 8.18 8.14 8.12 8.22 -

Rouble/USD 29.39 31.07 31.86 31.65 32.77 32.55 35.01 34.98 35.67 34.86 34.38 34.74 36.19Rouble/Euro 40.88 39.92 42.32 41.31 43.44 44.30 48.00 48.02 49.34 47.91 46.75 47.00 48.18JPY/Rouble 2.73 2.58 3.07 3.13 3.02 3.09 2.95 2.93 2.88 2.93 2.97 2.94 2.86(資料)Macrobond、(注)実質GDP成長率の前期比データは季節調整済、貿易収支は通関ベース

(Source) Macrobond, Note) Q/Q real GDP growth: seasonally adjusted. Trade balance: Custom based

長期金利(10年物国債)Long-term interest rates (Gov.10y bond yields)

短期金利 (Interbank 3m)

Short-term interest rates (Interbank 3m)

4.2 3.5 1.3

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カザフスタン/Kazakhstan

13

2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8名目GDPNominal GDP (US$ bn) 188.0 203.5 224.3 48.5 59.5 70.7 44.4 -

実質GDP成長率Real GDPGrowth (y/y, %) 7.1 5.3 5.3 5.1 5.7 5.9 3.8 -

鉱工業生産

Industrial Production(y/y, %) 3.6 0.6 2.3 1.7 2.5 3.1 -0.3 -0.4 0.6 1.0 -2.9 0.1 1.3

小売売上Retail Sales (y/y, %) 12.9 12.9 12.8 12.2 13.6 12.9 9.7 13.4 10.9 11.3 18.0 15.9 11.7

消費者物価上昇率Cpnsumer Price Index (y/y, %) 8.4 5.1 5.8 6.1 5.7 4.8 5.4 6.8 6.5 6.9 7.0 6.9 7.1

賃金上昇率Wage Growth (y/y, %) 15.9 13.5 6.8 6.7 5.7 7.1 6.4 12.6 11.1 13.4 13.5 11.7 -

失業率

Unemployemnt rate (%) 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.1 5.1

貿易収支*Trade Balance (US$ mln) 50,079 47,746 33,639 7,365 7,511 7,995 14,058 8,607 3,010 2,922 2,676 2,544 -

輸出額Exports (US$ mln) 88,118 92,286 82,512 20,643 19,901 21,818 22,582 19,261 6,551 6,329 6,381 6,237 -

輸出伸び率Exports Growth (y/y, %) 48.8 4.7 -10.6 -17.0 -12.7 -4.1 12.1 -6.7 -11.2 -6.0 -2.3 -12.0 -

輸入額 Imports (US$ mln) 38,039 44,539 48,873 13,278 12,390 13,823 8,524 10,655 3,541 3,408 3,706 3,693 -

輸入伸び率Imports Growth (y/y, %) 27.8 17.1 9.7 21.5 1.7 11.2 -9.1 -19.8 -20.4 -16.0 -22.4 -11.2 -

経常収支

Current Account Balance (US$ mln) 10,197 1,079 -118 13 -2,243 -67 6,259 -

資本収支Capital & Financial Account Balance (US$ mln) 6,052 948 -3,545 -1,839 -908 -1,443 220 -

対内直接投資Foreign Direct Investment (inflow) (US$ mln) 13,760 13,785 9,739 1,747 1,945 2,170 2,120 -

外貨準備高International Reserve (US$ mln) 25,179 22,132 19,127 21,054 18,274 19,127 20,332 19,896

対外債務残高Gross External Debt (US$ mln) 125,350 136,922 148,753 145,395 147,938 148,753 151,228 -

株価指数Stock price index 1,478 1,066 950 949 896 907 1,002 1,072 1,049 1,063 1,105 1,208 1,293

1.93 2.41 4.62 3.56 5.36 6.55 6.26 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50

Tenge/USD 146.65 149.11 152.20 151.17 152.99 153.88 170.46 182.62 182.01 182.49 183.39 183.39 181.94

Tenge/Euro 190.38 196.56 209.75 196.52 207.08 212.07 234.93 250.03 252.38 249.00 251.09 245.37 239.65

JPY/Tenge 0.52 0.58 0.69 0.66 0.64 0.68 0.60 0.55 0.56 0.56 0.55 0.56 0.57

(資料)Macrobond、(注)貿易収支は通関ベース

(Source) Macrobond, (Note) Trade balance: Custom based

短期金利 (Interbank 3m)

Short-term interest rates (Interbank 3m)

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ウクライナ/Ukraine

14

2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8名目GDPNominal GDP (US$ bn) 163.0 174.3 178.4 43.4 48.4 49.3 34.3 31.8

実質GDP成長率Real GDPGrowth (y/y, %) 5.1 0.4 -0.1 -1.3 -1.2 3.3 -1.1 -4.6

鉱工業生産

Industrial Production(y/y, %) 7.0 -2.2 -4.8 -5.7 -5.3 -3.4 -5.2 -4.4 -6.0 -2.1 -5.0 -12.1 -

小売売上Retail Sales (y/y, %) 13.1 12.9 6.1 6.2 4.4 2.9 3.4 -7.3 -5.0 -7.7 -9.3 -10.0 -

銀行貸出伸び率Bank Lending Growth (y/y, %) 9.4 1.7 11.7 4.4 6.6 11.7 21.2 17.2 21.8 21.5 17.2 16.7 -

消費者物価上昇率Cpnsumer Price Index (y/y, %) 8.0 0.6 -0.3 -0.4 -0.3 0.2 1.7 9.9 6.9 10.9 12.0 12.6 14.2

賃金上昇率Wage Growth (y/y, %) 17.5 14.9 8.0 8.8 7.6 6.1 5.8 6.1 6.2 5.4 6.5 3.1 -

失業率

Unemployemnt rate (%) 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.9 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.6 -

貿易収支*Trade Balance (US$ mln) -14,197 -15,848 -13,652 -2,234 -5,488 -3,943 -50 619 401 174 44 - -

輸出額Exports (US$ mln) 68,410 68,810 63,312 14,831 15,552 17,017 14,190 14,433 4,998 5,009 4,426 - -

輸出伸び率Exports Growth (y/y, %) 33.0 0.6 -8.0 -15.3 -9.2 -5.5 -10.8 -2.7 -17.6 -4.0 24.7 - -

輸入額 Imports (US$ mln) 82,607 84,658 76,964 17,065 21,040 20,961 14,241 13,815 4,597 4,835 4,382 - -

輸入伸び率Imports Growth (y/y, %) 36.0 2.5 -9.1 -21.8 -1.6 -6.4 -20.4 -19.0 -31.2 -4.2 -17.9 - -

経常収支

Current Account Balance (US$ mln) -10,245 -14,315 -16,355 -2,254 -6,025 -4,942 -1,328 -604

資本収支Capital & Financial Account Balance (US$ mln) 6,804 5,346 12,984 1,106 2,500 4,892 -5,097 -

対内直接投資Foreign Direct Investment (inflow) (US$ mln) 7,207 8,401 4,499 555 1,571 1,224 -640 -

外貨準備高International Reserve (US$ mln) 30,409 22,656 18,776 21,712 19,875 18,776 13,316 15,386

対外債務残高Gross External Debt (US$ mln) 126,236 134,625 142,079 133,929 137,281 142,079 137,382 -

株価指数Stock price index 840.6 427.2 312.3 301.0 306.6 297.9 334.9 417.4 402.7 408.1 442.4 451.6 457.3

- 16.11 15.78 15.44 14.56 15.48 16.89 18.98 18.90 19.00 19.04 19.13 19.39

Hryvnia/USD 7.99 8.08 8.15 8.14 8.15 8.21 9.12 11.71 11.65 11.66 11.82 11.77 13.00 Hryvnia/Euro 11.11 10.38 10.83 10.63 10.79 11.17 12.50 16.05 16.09 16.01 16.06 15.93 17.31 JPY/Hryvnia 9.98 9.87 11.97 12.13 12.14 12.24 11.27 8.72 8.80 8.73 8.64 8.64 7.92 (資料)Macrobond、(注)貿易収支は通関ベース

(Source) Macrobond, (Note) Trade balance: Custom based

短期金利 (Interbank 3m)

Short-term interest rates (Interbank 3m)

Page 15: Main economic indicators for CEE Russia and CIS (Sep 16 ... · ポーランド/Poland 3 2011 2012 2013 13/Q2 13/Q3 13/Q4 14/Q1 14/Q2 14/04 5 6 7 8 名目GDP Nominal GDP (US$ bn) 515.4

実質GDP成長率 / Real GDP growth rate

15

-8.0

-6.0-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.04.0

6.0

8.0

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y,%)

-4.0

-3.0-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.02.0

3.0

4.0(q/q,%)

q/q (RHS) y/y

チェコ/Czech Republic

-8.0

-6.0-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.04.0

6.0

8.0

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y,%)

-4.0

-3.0-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.02.0

3.0

4.0(q/q,%)

q/q (RHS) y/y

チェコ/Czech Republic

-8.0

-6.0

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y,%)

-4.0

-3.0

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0(q/q,%)

q/q (RHS) y/y

ハンガリー/Hungary

-8.0

-6.0

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y,%)

-4.0

-3.0

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0(q/q,%)

q/q (RHS) y/y

ハンガリー/Hungary

-10.0-8.0-6.0-4.0-2.00.02.04.06.08.0

10.0

02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y, %)

-6.0

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0(q/q,%)

q/q (RHS) y/y

ルーマニア/Romania

-10.0-8.0-6.0-4.0-2.00.02.04.06.08.0

10.0

02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y, %)

-6.0

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0(q/q,%)

q/q (RHS) y/y

ルーマニア/Romania

-15.0

-10.0

-5.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y,%)

-9.0-7.0-5.0-3.0-1.01.03.05.07.09.0

(q/q,%)

q/q (RHS) y/y

スロバキア/Slovakia

-15.0

-10.0

-5.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y,%)

-9.0-7.0-5.0-3.0-1.01.03.05.07.09.0

(q/q,%)

q/q (RHS) y/y

スロバキア/Slovakia

-10.0-8.0-6.0-4.0-2.00.02.04.06.08.0

02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y,%)クロアチア/Croatia

-10.0-8.0-6.0-4.0-2.00.02.04.06.08.0

02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y,%)クロアチア/Croatia

-2.0-1.00.01.02.03.04.05.06.07.08.0

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y,%)

-1.0-0.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0

(q/q,%)

q/q (RHS) y/y

ポーランド/Poland

-2.0-1.00.01.02.03.04.05.06.07.08.0

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y,%)

-1.0-0.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0

(q/q,%)

q/q (RHS) y/y

ポーランド/Poland

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実質GDP成長率 / Real GDP growth rate

16

-9.0-7.0-5.0-3.0-1.01.03.05.07.09.0

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y,%)

-7.0

-5.0

-3.0

-1.0

1.0

3.0

5.0

7.0(q/q,%)

q/q (RHS) y/y

ブルガリア/Bulgaria

-9.0-7.0-5.0-3.0-1.01.03.05.07.09.0

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y,%)

-7.0

-5.0

-3.0

-1.0

1.0

3.0

5.0

7.0(q/q,%)

q/q (RHS) y/y

ブルガリア/Bulgaria

-14.0-12.0-10.0-8.0-6.0-4.0-2.00.02.04.06.08.0

10.012.014.0

02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y,%)

-6.0

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0(q/q,%)

q/q (RHS) y/y

セルビア/Serbia

-14.0-12.0-10.0-8.0-6.0-4.0-2.00.02.04.06.08.0

10.012.014.0

02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y,%)

-6.0

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0(q/q,%)

q/q (RHS) y/y

セルビア/Serbia

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14

(y/y,%)マケドニア/Macedonia

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14

(y/y,%)マケドニア/Macedonia

-25.0-20.0-15.0-10.0-5.00.05.0

10.015.020.0

02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14

(y/y,%) ウクライナ/Ukraine

-25.0-20.0-15.0-10.0-5.00.05.0

10.015.020.0

02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14

(y/y,%) ウクライナ/Ukraine

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14

(y/y,%) カザフスタン/Kazakhstan

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14

(y/y,%) カザフスタン/Kazakhstan

-12.0

-9.0

-6.0

-3.0

0.0

3.0

6.0

9.0

12.0

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y,%)

-4.0

-3.0

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0(q/q,%)

q/q (RHS) y/y

ロシア/Russia

-12.0

-9.0

-6.0

-3.0

0.0

3.0

6.0

9.0

12.0

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14

(y/y,%)

-4.0

-3.0

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0(q/q,%)

q/q (RHS) y/y

ロシア/Russia

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為替相場/ Exchange rates

17

チェコ・コルナ/Czech Koruna

16.017.018.019.020.021.022.023.024.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Koruna/USD)

22.023.024.025.026.027.028.029.030.0

(Koruna/EUR)

Koruna/USD Koruna/EUR

チェコ・コルナ/Czech Koruna

16.017.018.019.020.021.022.023.024.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Koruna/USD)

22.023.024.025.026.027.028.029.030.0

(Koruna/EUR)

Koruna/USD Koruna/EUR

ハンガリー・フォリント/HungaryForint

166.0176.0186.0196.0206.0216.0226.0236.0246.0256.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Forint/USD)

260.0270.0

280.0290.0300.0310.0

320.0330.0

(Forint/EUR)

Forint/USD Forint/EUR

ハンガリー・フォリント/HungaryForint

166.0176.0186.0196.0206.0216.0226.0236.0246.0256.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Forint/USD)

260.0270.0

280.0290.0300.0310.0

320.0330.0

(Forint/EUR)

Forint/USD Forint/EUR

ポーランド・ズロチ/Polish Zloty

2.50

2.75

3.00

3.25

3.50

3.75

4.00

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Zloty/USD)

3.50

3.75

4.00

4.25

4.50

4.75

5.00(Zloty/EUR)

Zloty/USD Zloty/EUR

ポーランド・ズロチ/Polish Zloty

2.50

2.75

3.00

3.25

3.50

3.75

4.00

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Zloty/USD)

3.50

3.75

4.00

4.25

4.50

4.75

5.00(Zloty/EUR)

Zloty/USD Zloty/EUR

ルーマニア・レイ/Romanian Leu

2.50

2.75

3.00

3.25

3.50

3.75

4.00

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Leu/USD)

3.50

3.75

4.00

4.25

4.50

4.75

5.00(Leu/EUR)

Leu/USD Leu/EUR

ルーマニア・レイ/Romanian Leu

2.50

2.75

3.00

3.25

3.50

3.75

4.00

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Leu/USD)

3.50

3.75

4.00

4.25

4.50

4.75

5.00(Leu/EUR)

Leu/USD Leu/EUR

クロアチア・クーナ/Croatian Kuna

4.004.254.504.755.005.255.505.756.006.256.50

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Kuna/USD)

7.007.107.207.307.407.507.607.707.807.908.00

(Kuna/EUR)

Kuna/USD Kuna/EUR

クロアチア・クーナ/Croatian Kuna

4.004.254.504.755.005.255.505.756.006.256.50

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Kuna/USD)

7.007.107.207.307.407.507.607.707.807.908.00

(Kuna/EUR)

Kuna/USD Kuna/EUR

ブルガリア・レフ/Bulgatian Lev

1.20

1.30

1.40

1.50

1.60

1.70

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Lev/USD)

1.90

1.92

1.94

1.96

1.98

2.00(Lev/EUR)

Lev/USD Lev/EURcurrency pegged against euro at 1.95583

ブルガリア・レフ/Bulgatian Lev

1.20

1.30

1.40

1.50

1.60

1.70

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Lev/USD)

1.90

1.92

1.94

1.96

1.98

2.00(Lev/EUR)

Lev/USD Lev/EURcurrency pegged against euro at 1.95583

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為替相場の推移/ Exchange rates

18

セルビア・ディナール/Serbian Dinar

60.064.068.072.076.080.084.088.092.096.0

100.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Dinar/USD)

90.094.098.0102.0106.0110.0114.0118.0122.0

(Dinar/EUR)

Dinar/USD Dinar/EUR

セルビア・ディナール/Serbian Dinar

60.064.068.072.076.080.084.088.092.096.0

100.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Dinar/USD)

90.094.098.0102.0106.0110.0114.0118.0122.0

(Dinar/EUR)

Dinar/USD Dinar/EUR

ロシア・ルーブル/Russian Rouble

27.028.029.030.031.032.033.034.035.036.037.038.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Rouble/USD)

36.038.040.042.044.046.048.050.052.0

(Rouble/EUR)

Rouble/USD Rouble/EUR

ロシア・ルーブル/Russian Rouble

27.028.029.030.031.032.033.034.035.036.037.038.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Rouble/USD)

36.038.040.042.044.046.048.050.052.0

(Rouble/EUR)

Rouble/USD Rouble/EUR

カザフスタン・テンゲ/Kazakh Tenge

120.0130.0140.0150.0160.0170.0180.0190.0200.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Tenge/USD)

140.0

160.0

180.0

200.0

220.0

240.0

260.0(Tenge/EUR)

Tenge/USD Tenge/EUR

カザフスタン・テンゲ/Kazakh Tenge

120.0130.0140.0150.0160.0170.0180.0190.0200.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Tenge/USD)

140.0

160.0

180.0

200.0

220.0

240.0

260.0(Tenge/EUR)

Tenge/USD Tenge/EUR

日本・円/Japanese Yen

75.0

80.0

85.0

90.0

95.0

100.0

105.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(JPY/USD)

90.0

100.0

110.0

120.0

130.0

140.0

150.0(JPY/EUR)

JPY/USD JPY/EUR

日本・円/Japanese Yen

75.0

80.0

85.0

90.0

95.0

100.0

105.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(JPY/USD)

90.0

100.0

110.0

120.0

130.0

140.0

150.0(JPY/EUR)

JPY/USD JPY/EUR

ウクライナ・フリブニャ/UkrainianHryvnia

7.08.0

9.010.011.012.0

13.014.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Hryvnia/USD)

9.010.011.012.013.014.015.016.017.018.019.0

(Hryvnia/EUR)

Hryvnia/USD Hryvnia/EUR

ウクライナ・フリブニャ/UkrainianHryvnia

7.08.0

9.010.011.012.0

13.014.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Hryvnia/USD)

9.010.011.012.013.014.015.016.017.018.019.0

(Hryvnia/EUR)

Hryvnia/USD Hryvnia/EUR

マケドニア・デナール/Macedonian Denar

40.0

42.0

44.0

46.0

48.0

50.0

52.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Denar/USD)

58.0

59.0

60.0

61.0

62.0

63.0

64.0

65.0(Denar/EUR)

Denar/USD Denar/EURcurrency peged against euro at 61.5053 dinar

マケドニア・デナール/Macedonian Denar

40.0

42.0

44.0

46.0

48.0

50.0

52.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(Denar/USD)

58.0

59.0

60.0

61.0

62.0

63.0

64.0

65.0(Denar/EUR)

Denar/USD Denar/EURcurrency peged against euro at 61.5053 dinar

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