market watch feb 8
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FXNews, Exchange rate, Oil, Gold, Interest Rate. etcTRANSCRIPT
- 1. 8 2554KBank Counter Rates Buying SellingSwap Points (Stgs. / 1 Month) a.m.(Against THB)Sight BillT/TT/T ExportImportUSD 30.4430.5430.790.50 3.24EUR 41.23250 41.36750 41.89250-0.72 2.26GBP 48.96500 49.12625 49.71375 0.03 2.60JPY 0.367880.369000.375750.32 4.63KBank Technical Analysis USD/THB 30.65 / 30.7230.6030.75SidewaySell USD near resistanceEUR/USD 1.3566 / 1.36081.3511.362SidewaySell EUR near resistanceUSD/JPY 82.11 / 82.5582.0082.60SidewayBuy USD near supportEUR/THB41.4608 / 41.9108 41.5042.00SidewaySell EUR near resistanceJPY/THB0.37036 / 0.37481 0.3700.375SidewaySell JPY near resistance USD/THBUSD/THB USD/THB 30.71 31.3 31.1 30.6030.9 EUR/USD 1.358 30.7 30.5 1.35130.330.1 USD/JPY 82.31 29.9 09-Jan 12-Jan 15-Jan 18-Jan 21-Jan 24-Jan 27-Jan 30-Jan 02-Feb 05-Feb 08-Feb 82.60EUR/USD EUR/USD NYMEX ..1.40 3 1.55 1.38 1 87.48 1.36 1.34 1.32 COMEX .. 1.30 80 1,348.20 1.28 09-Jan 12-Jan 15-Jan 18-Jan 21-Jan 24-Jan 27-Jan 30-Jan 02-Feb 05-Feb 08-Feb USD/JPY USD/JPY 84.0 Danaher Corp 83.5 Beckman Coulter Inc 6.8 83.0 EnsCo Pride InternationalInc 7.3 82.582.0 69.48 12,161.63 81.5 S&P 500 8.18 1,319.05 Nasdaq 14.69 2,783.99 81.0 09-Jan 12-Jan 15-Jan 18-Jan 21-Jan 24-Jan 27-Jan 30-Jan 02-Feb 05-Feb 08-Feb www.twitter.com/KBankFX < 0 2888 8822 711 www.facebook.com/KBankFX.... 721 >. (Market Maker) 1 /
2. KBank Market Watch8 2554 Bt bn Foreign position and Stock Index Fed Funds rate0-0.25%350 1,100300 1,000 Discount rate0.75% 900250 800 1 (Repo rate)2.25%200 700150 600100500400 50 300 2011MPCFOMCECB BOEAug-06 Feb-07 Aug-07 Feb-08 Aug-08 Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-10 Aug-10 Feb-11Jan1226 1313Foreign holding (Bt bn: left axis) SET Index (right axis)Feb- - 310 0.85 985.63 Mar 915310 Apr20277 7 May - - 5 5Jun 1229 9 Jul13- 7 7 Aug 24 94 4 Sep- 208 8- Oct19- 6 6 Nov 30 2310Dec- 138 8 Source: Bloomberg NYMEX .. 3 1.55 1 87.48 ( 1 ) 10,592.0410,542.52+49.52 COMEX .. 12,161.6312,092.15+69.48 80 1,348.20 985.63 984.78 +0.85 2,120.39 1,295.94 +824.45 4,920.61 7,892.85-2,972.2413,236.6911,419.35 +1,817.34 Spot 1Q11 2Q11 4Q11 24,267.71 NYMEX 87.4687.00 88.0094.65BRENT 99.2290.00 92.7595.50 SET IndexGOLD 1,350.031,400.001,4381,5001060SILVER29.3928.00 29.1531.0010401020PLATINUM 1,837.001,750.001,8001,9001000CORN 674.00 397.00 370.0562.5 980WHEAT858.75 530.00 500.0695.0 960SUGAR 32.6821.00 26.0027.50 940 08-Jan 11-Jan 14-Jan 17-Jan 20-Jan 23-Jan 26-Jan 29-Jan 01-Feb 04-Feb 07-Feb Source: Bloomberg , (USD/barrel) , (USD/troy ounce), (USD/bushel), (USD/cwt) , (#11cents/lb). (Market Maker) 2 / 3. KBank Market Watch8 2554 Spot4Q11EUR/USD 1.358 USD/THB 30.6829.0 USD/JPY82.34 89.00 EUR/USD1.361.30GBP/USD1.611.60 Dollar IndexUSD/CNY6.596.29 90USD/SGD1.271.23 8784 USD/IDR8,931 8,82581USD/MYR3.032.9778USD/PHP 43.50 41.50 7572USD/KRW 1,105 1,050 Aug-09 Oct-09Dec-09 Feb-10 Apr-10Jun-10 Aug-10Oct-10 Dec-10 Feb-11Moving Average 30 Days Moving Average 200 daysDXY IndexUSD/TWD 28.98 28.55AUD/USD1.010.97USD/JPY 82.31 NZD/USD0.770.75 ()Source: KBank, Bloomberg GBP/USD 1.6106 1.6099 Spot4Q11 () USD/THB30.6829.0 EUR/THB41.6538.6 JPY/THB37.3031.7GBP/THB49.4345.1 CNY/THB 4.664.3 US Libor and Treasury yield%AUD/THB31.0527.65.0CHF/THB32.1028.74.0Source: KBank, Bloomberg3.02.0 1.0 % 0.0Oct-08Feb-09 Jun-09Oct-09Feb-10Jun-10Oct-10Feb-11USD/THB30.71 30.77 -0.192yr Treasury yield10yr Treasury yield USD/JPY 82.31 82.17 +0.17EUR/USD1.358 1.359 -0.01 GBP/USD 1.61061.6099 +0.04 Danaher Corp USD/CHF 0.95540.9553 +0.01 Beckman Coulter Inc 6.8 USD/SGD 1.27321.2745 -0.10 EnsCo Pride InternationalUSD/TWD29.04 29.03 +0.05 Inc 7.3 USD/KRW1,103.6 1,113.6 -0.90 69.48 12,161.63 USD/PHP43.63 43.65 -0.06 S&P 500 8.18 1,319.05 USD/IDR 8,950 8,990 -0.44 Nasdaq 14.69 2,783.99 USD/MYR3.036 3.042 -0.20USD/CNY6.560 6.561 -0.02Source: Reuters. (Market Maker) 3 / 4. KBank Market Watch8 2554Jan 1995 = 100 KBank THB Trade Weighted Index 105 100 95 90 85 80 75 00 01 0203 0405 0607 0809 1011 12029USD/PHP 43.63 30 5 116 31 11232 33108 34104 35 USD/IDR 0.58% 8,938 36 1 10037 GDP 4/53 6.9% Feb-08 Jun-08Oct-08 Feb-09 Jun-09 Oct-09 Feb-10 Jun-10 Oct-10 Feb-11 ADXY Index (left axis) USD/THB (right axis:inverted) 2010 6.1%USD/KRW 0.85% USD/THB 30.71 1,104.1 3 USD/MYR 3.036 : Reuters . (Market Maker) 4 / 5. KBank Market Watch8 2554Credit Default Swaps (Unit : basis points above Libor)Asia & Australia Current1 day ago 5 days ago 1mth ago 3mth ago 6mth ago1yr agoJapan76 768475546988Peoples Republic of China 7777 79 74 55 8089Republic of Korea9797103 98 77 102 122Kingdom of Thailand 115115 117 103 88109 123Republic of Indonesia 155155 162 133127151 217Federation of Malaysia 8080 82 77 67 91118Republic of the Philippines 134134 142 128125144 210Republic of Kazakhstan160160 174 174167190 240Commonwealth of Australia5454 56 53 394565Europe Current1 day ago 5 days ago 1mth ago 3mth ago 6mth ago1yr agoRepublic of Austria83 839099 74 78 101Kingdom of Belgium155155 173 24713611077Republic of Bulgaria248248 261 258219260 278Republic of Finland36 363834 28 2836French Republic88 8899 102 71 67 66Hellenic Republic (Greece)811811 8691,056 874780 421Republic of Ireland 560560 596 623597223 173Italian Republic165165 180 254197142 158Kingdom of the Netherlands 52 525961 47 4344Portuguese Republic 405405 433 533457235 240Russian Federation145145 153 147136154 214Kingdom of Spain223223 249 352265193 174Kingdom of Sweden34 343432 30 3753Republic of Turkey160160 165 148125157 216Federal Republic of Germany5454 5958 36 4147Source: Bloomberg : Credit default swaps (LIBOR) : 02 470 1031E-mail: [email protected]. (Market Maker) 5 / 6. KBank Market Watch8 2554 G7 Economic Calendar Date / TimeCountryEvent PeriodConsensus ActualPrior readingRevision 02/04/2011 15:00 UKHalifax House Prices sa (MoM) JAN -0.30% 0.80% -1.30% -1.10% 02/04/2011 15:00 UKHalifax House Price 3Mths/YearJAN-3.00%-2.40%-1.60% -- 02/04/2011 15:57 UKNew Car Registrations (YoY) JAN ---11.50% -18.00% -- 02/04/2011 16:00 ITIstat Releases the New Consumer Prices Apr-23Basket and Methodology 02/04/2011 17:00 ITCPI (NIC incl. tobacco) (MoM)JAN P0.30%0.40%0.40% -- 02/04/2011 17:00 ITCPI (NIC incl. tobacco) (YoY)JAN P2.00%2.10%1.90% -- 02/04/2011 17:00 ITCPI - EU Harmonized (MoM)JAN P -1.30%-1.20% 0.40% -- 02/04/2011 17:00 ITCPI - EU Harmonized (YoY)JAN P2.20%2.40%2.10% -- 02/04/2011 19:00 CAUnemployment RateJAN7.60%7.80%7.60% -- 02/04/2011 19:00 CANet Change in Employment JAN15.0K 69.2K 22.0K -- 02/04/2011 19:00 CAFull Time Employment ChangeJAN-- 31.138 40.5 02/04/2011 19:00 CAPart Time Employment ChangeJAN-- 38-16.1 -9.9 02/04/2011 19:00 CAParticipation Rate JAN 6767 66.966.7 02/04/2011 20:30 USChange in Nonfarm Payrolls JAN 146K 36K103K 121K 02/04/2011 20:30 USChange in Private Payrolls JAN 145K 50K113K 139K 02/04/2011 20:30 USChange in Manufact. Payrolls JAN10K 49K 10K14K 02/04/2011 20:30 USUnemployment RateJAN9.50%9.00%9.40% -- 02/04/2011 20:30 USAvg Hourly Earning MOM All Emp JAN0.20%0.40%0.10% -- 02/04/2011 20:30 USAvg Hourly Earning YOY All Emp JAN1.70%1.90%1.80%1.70% 02/04/2011 20:30 USAvg Weekly Hours All Employees JAN34.3 34.2 34.3-- 02/04/2011 22:00 CAIvey Purchasing Managers Index JAN53.2 41.450 -- 02/07/2011 06:50 JNOfficial Reserve AssetsJAN-- $1093.0B$1096.2B -- 02/07/2011 12:00 JNCoincident Index CI DEC P103.1103.1 102.4 -- 02/07/2011 12:00 JNLeading Index CIDEC P101.4101.4 100.6 -- 02/07/2011 16:30 ECSentix Investor ConfidenceFEB1416.7 10.6-- 02/07/2011 18:00 GEFactory Orders YoY (nsa)DEC21.30% 19.70% 20.60% -- 02/07/2011 18:00 GEFactory Orders MoM (sa) DEC-1.50%-3.40% 5.20% -- 02/07/2011 20:30 CABuilding Permits MoMDEC 2.50%2.40%-11.20%-10.50% 02/08/2011 03:00 USConsumer Credit DEC $2.400B $6.099B $1.346B$2.000B 02/08/2011 06:50 JNJapan Money Stock M2 YoY JAN2.30%2.30%2.30% -- 02/08/2011 06:50 JNJapan Money Stock M3 YoY JAN1.80%1.80%1.80% -- 02/08/2011 06:50 JNBank Lending Banks Adjust YoY JAN -- -1.60%-1.80% -- 02/08/2011 06:50 JNBank Lending Ex-Trusts YoY JAN -2.10%-1.90%-2.10%-- 02/08/2011 06:50 JNBank Lending incl Trusts (YoY) JAN -1.80%-1.80%-1.90% -2.00% 02/08/2011 06:50 JNCurrent Account Total DEC1130.0B1195.3B 926.2B -- 02/08/2011 06:50 JNAdjusted Current Account TotalDEC1530.8B1555.9B1145.1B -- 02/08/2011 06:50 JNCurrent Account Balance YOY%DEC24.20% 30.50%-15.70% -- 02/08/2011 06:50 JNTrade Balance - BOP Basis DEC 779.7B 768.8B 259.7B -- 02/08/2011 07:01 UKBRC Retail Sales MonitorApr-23 02/08/2011 07:01 UKRICS House Price BalanceJAN-38% -31% -39% -- 02/08/2011 11:30 JNBankruptcies (YoY)JAN -- ---3.00% -- 02/08/2011 12:00 JNEco Watchers Survey: Current JAN45.5 -- 45.1-- 02/08/2011 12:00 JNEco Watchers Survey: OutlookJAN -- -- 43.9-- 02/08/2011 14:30 FRBank of France Bus. SentimentJAN108-- 108 -- 02/08/2011 14:45 FRCentral Govt. Balance (Euros) DEC -- -- -140.7B -- 02/08/2011 14:45 FRTrade Balance (Euros) DEC-4.2B ---3.9B-- 02/08/2011 18:00 GEIndustrial Prod. YoY (nsa wda)DEC11.50%--11.10% -- 02/08/2011 18:00 GEIndustrial Production MoM (sa)DEC 0.20%---0.70% -- 02/08/2011 19:30 USNFIB Small Business Optimism JAN 94-- 92.6-- 02/08/2011 20:15 CAHousing Starts JAN 173.5K--171.5K 168.3KSource: Bloomberg. (Market Maker) 6 /