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  • Alza en el precio de los alimentosEma LavalOficina de Estudios y Polticas AgrariasMayo, 2008

  • Los precios de los alimentos commodities han subido aceleradamente en los ltimos dos aosaumentando ms de un 60% en los ltimos dos aos

  • El precio de los commodities est aumentando desde mediados de los 90:98% alimentos; 286% todos los commodities; 547% petrleo.

  • Trigo: produccin creciendo a menor tasa que demandaPara temporada 2008/2009 se espera una recuperacin de la oferta

    Balance mundial de oferta y demanda de trigo a mayo de 2008(millones de toneladas)AosStockProduccinDemandaComercioStockRelacininicialfinalstock/consumo*2005/06150,57621,30624,37116,16147,5023,62006/07147,50592,00615,45110,69124,0520,22007/08 1/124,05606,40620,43109,56110,0217,72008/09 2/110,02656,01642,04117,46123,9919,3Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del Ministerio de Agricultura de Estados Unidos -USDA-. World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE). mayo, 2008. Notas:1/ estimacin. 2/ proyeccin.

  • Grfico1

    158.11175.2206.28383.35

    154.35186.97210.03460.12

    156.72184.81209.43472.26

    148.83190.58210.01Abril

    150.1206.1203.32Mayo

    146.99205.58233.35Junio

    149.64211.36238.05Julio

    157.46202.71276.91Agosto

    168.62207.36349.27Septiembre

    175.06220.44354.85Octubre

    169.23218.13336.4Noviembre

    173.98215.36383.38Diciembre

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA, con informacin de Reuters.

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    Precios internacionales de trigo Hard Red Winter N2, FOB Golfo, USA. US$/tonelada

    precios FOB trigo 2007

    Precios internacionales de Trigo Hard Red Winter N 2, FOB Golfo, USA

    US$/tonelada

    Mes200520062007Var. %Var. %

    2008anualmensual

    Enero158.11175.2206.28383.3517.74-4.22

    Febrero154.35186.97210.03460.1212.331.82

    Marzo156.72184.81209.43472.2613.32-0.29

    Abril148.83190.58210.0110.20.28

    Mayo150.1206.1203.32-1.35-3.19

    Junio146.99205.58233.3513.5114.77

    Julio149.64211.36238.0512.632.01

    Agosto157.46202.71276.9136.616.32

    Septiembre168.62207.36349.2768.4426.13

    Octubre175.06220.44354.8560.971.6

    Noviembre169.23218.13336.454.22-5.2-5.1993800197

    Diciembre173.98215.36383.3813.9655172414

    Promedio Ao159.09202.05267.6066666667

    Ene-dic157.74200.84267.606666666728

    Fuente: ODEPA

    78.0182020802

    precios FOB trigo 2007

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA, con informacin de Reuters.

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    Precios internacionales de trigo Hard Red Winter N2, FOB Golfo, USA. US$/tonelada

  • Maz: gran incremento de la demandaEtanol : EE.UU. Y Brasil

    Balance mundial de oferta y demanda de maz a mayo de 2008(millones de toneladas)AosStockProduccinDemandaComercioStockRelacininicialfinalstock/consumo*2005/06132,14696,86703,8980,93125,1117,82006/07125,11705,34722,2693,07108,2015,02007/08 1/108,20772,17777,3995,71102,9713,22008/09 2/102,97772,17777,3995,7197,7412,6Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del Ministerio de Agricultura de Estados Unidos -USDA-. World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE). mayo, 2008. Notas:1/ estimacin. 2/ proyeccin.

  • Grfico1

    97.43103.87168.18217.63

    96.01108.01179.07226.99

    101.95105.92171.24237.29

    97.31108.97154.51Abril

    96.1111.98161.3Mayo

    99.13110.68167.07Junio

    106.85116.17149.12Julio

    99.95117.23158.75Agosto

    99.96121.68168.22Septiembre

    103.43143.74173.35Octubre

    97.6165.69185.04Noviembre

    103.4164.14200.61Diciembre

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA, con informacin de Reuters.

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    Precios internacionales de Maz Yellow N3, FOB Golfo, USA. US$/tonelada

    precio FOB golfo MAIZ N3

    Precios internacionales de Maz Yellow N 3, FOB Golfo, USA - Futuros

    US$/tonelada

    Mes200520062007Var. %Var. %

    2008anualmensual

    Enero97.43103.87168.18217.6361.912.46

    Febrero96.01108.01179.07226.9965.796.48

    Marzo101.95105.92171.24237.2961.67-4.37

    Abril97.31108.97154.5141.79-9.77

    Mayo96.1111.98161.344.044.39

    Junio99.13110.68167.0750.953.58

    Julio106.85116.17149.1228.36-10.74

    Agosto99.95117.23158.7535.426.46

    Septiembre99.96121.68168.2238.255.97

    Octubre103.43143.74173.3520.63.05

    Noviembre97.6165.69185.0411.686.74

    Diciembre103.4164.14200.61

    Promedio Ao99.93123.17

    Ene-Nov99.61119.45166.939.72

    Fuente: ODEPA.

    precio FOB golfo MAIZ N3

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA, con informacin de Reuters.

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    Precios internacionales de Maz Yellow N3, FOB Golfo, USA. US$/tonelada

  • Arroz: los stocks se mantienenPero hay especulacin

    Balance mundial de oferta y demanda de arroz a mayo de 2008(millones de toneladas)AosStockProduccinDemandaComercioStockRelacininicialfinalstock/consumo*2005/0674,44418,06416,0330,2176,4718,42006/0776,47420,56420,9230,6576,1118,12007/08 1/76,11425,29424,3127,5377,0918,22008/09 2/77,09425,29424,3127,5378,0718,4Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del Ministerio de Agricultura de Estados Unidos -USDA-. World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE). mayo, 2008. Notas:1/ estimacin. 2/ proyeccin.

  • En el caso del arroz los precios internacionales estn menos correlacionados con los stocks y la produccin, que en el caso del trigo.

    Grfico1

    28.8225.7363.6

    39.4243.1254.8

    38.8235.8279.4

    44.8250.6374.5

    54.8262.4338.5

    54.0256.8435.0

    52.6269.9484.9

    50.5277.9377.1

    56.8285.0277.3

    69.3306.9251.7

    87.7316.8217.0

    97.7318.0210.1

    103.3316.0229.6

    105.3315.3301.5

    111.7332.2320.4

    120.6345.3288.7

    126.7351.0314.4

    126.8353.3287.5

    123.3354.0269.0

    119.1354.9358.8

    117.8363.9327.5

    118.4368.8365.7

    120.6380.9338.5

    127.9387.0321.6

    134.4394.6258.0

    143.5408.9213.5

    147.3398.8175.3

    133.4399.3192.3

    103.5377.8197.5

    82.1391.7237.4

    74.9401.0288.9

    77.4418.1306.5

    77.2418.0326.0

    74.1421.2449.5

    Existencias (Ton)

    Produccin (Ton)

    Precio arroz 5%GP Tailandia (US$/Ton)

    FUENTE: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin de USDA-ERS y Reuter.

    Arroz: evolucin de las existencias y precio internacional

    Hoja2

    Precio arroz

    existencias finales5%GP Tailandia (US$/Ton)Relacin stock/consumo

    Millones de toneladasUS$ / Ton.%

    197529225.736413-0.4

    197639243.125517-0.3

    197739235.827916

    197845250.637418

    197955262.433922

    198054256.843521

    198153269.948519

    198251277.937718

    198357285.027720

    198469306.925224

    198588316.821729

    198698318.021032

    1987103316.023033

    1988105315.330234

    1989112332.232034

    1990121345.328936

    1991127351.031437

    1992127353.328736

    1993123354.026934

    1994119354.935933

    1995118363.932732

    1996118368.836632

    1997121380.933832

    1998128387.032234

    1999134394.625835

    2000144408.921436

    2001147398.817537

    2002133399.319232

    2003104377.819825

    200482391.723720

    200575401.028918

    200677418.130719

    200777418.032618

    2008(1)74421.244917

    Hoja2

    Existencias (Ton)

    Produccin (Ton)

    Precio arroz 5%GP Tailandia (US$/Ton)

    FUENTE: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin de USDA-ERS y Reuter.

    Arroz: evolucin de las existencias y precio internacional

    Hoja1

    &A

    Page &P

    Precio 5%gp. Tailandia

    Relacin stock/consumo

    FUENTE: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin de USDA-ERS y Reuter.

    Arroz: evolucin del precio internacional y de la relacin stock/consumo.

    Table24

    Arroz elaborado

    Millones de toneladas

    ProduccinConsumoExistencias finalesRelacin stock/consumo

    1960

    1961150.8156.610.56.7

    1962147.3149.38.55.7

    1963155.1151.112.58.3

    1964169.0165.316.39.8

    1965180.7179.817.29.6

    1966172.9172.018.110.5

    1967179.0178.518.610.4

    1968188.9186.121.311.4

    1969194.9191.624.612.8

    1970201.1199.226.413.3

    1971213.0210.628.813.7

    1972215.8215.928.713.3

    1973208.9213.524.211.3

    1974227.6222.429.313.2

    1975225.7226.228.812.7

    1976243.1232.539.416.9

    1977235.8236.438.816.4

    1978250.6244.744.818.3

    1979262.4252.354.821.7

    1980256.8257.654.021.0

    1981269.9271.252.619.4

    1982277.9280.050.518.0

    1983285.0278.756.820.4

    1984306.9294.469.323.5

    1985316.8298.487.729.4

    1986318.0307.997.731.7

    1987316.0310.4103.333.3

    1988315.3313.3105.333.6

    1989332.2325.8111.734.3

    1990345.3336.4120.635.9

    1991351.0345.0126.736.7

    1992353.3353.1126.835.9

    1993354.0357.5123.334.5

    1994354.9359.1119.133.2

    1995363.9365.2117.832.2

    1996368.8368.1118.432.2

    1997380.9378.7120.631.8

    1998387.0379.7127.933.7

    1999394.6388.1134.434.6

    2000408.9399.7143.535.9

    2001398.8395.1147.337.3

    2002399.3413.2133.432.3

    2003377.8407.7103.525.4

    2004391.7413.182.119.9

    2005401.0408.274.918.3

    2006418.1415.677.418.6

    2007418.0418.377.218.5

    2008(1)421.2424.274.117.5

    Table24

    &A

    Page &P

    produccin

    Consumo

    relacin stock/consumo

    Millones de toneladas

    FUENTE: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin de ERS-USDA

    %

    Arroz: evolucin de la produccin mundial, el consumo y la relacin stock/consumo

    Appendix table 24--World rice supply and utilization

    AreaProduction 2/TotalEndingStocks-to-

    YearharvestedYield 1/RoughMilledExports 3/use 4/stocks 5/use ratio 6/

    Mill. Ha.Mt/ha---Million metric tons---

    1960/61120.11.8220.6150.86.5156.610.56.7

    1961/62115.81.9215.6147.36.3149.38.55.7

    1962/63119.71.9228.1155.17.3151.112.58.3

    1963/64121.22.0248.3169.07.7165.316.39.8

    1964/65125.42.1264.5180.78.2179.817.29.6

    1965/66124.02.0253.5172.97.9172.018.110.5

    1966/67125.72.1262.1179.07.8178.518.610.4

    1967/68127.02.2276.9188.97.2186.121.311.4

    1968/69128.62.2285.8194.97.5191.624.612.8

    1969/70131.42.2295.2201.18.2199.226.413.3

    1970/71132.72.4312.5213.08.6210.628.813.7

    1971/72134.82.3316.6215.88.7215.928.713.3

    1972/73132.72.3306.2208.98.3213.524.211.3

    1973/74136.32.5333.8227.67.5222.429.313.2

    1974/75137.82.4331.1225.77.2226.228.812.7

    1975/76142.92.5357.4243.18.1232.539.416.9

    1976/77141.42.5346.8235.810.3236.438.816.4

    1977/78143.42.6368.8250.69.5244.744.818.3

    1978/79143.62.7385.4262.411.8252.354.821.7

    1979/80141.22.7376.6256.812.0257.654.021.0

    1980/81144.42.7397.0269.911.9271.252.619.4

    1981/82144.42.8408.3277.911.3280.050.518.0

    1982/83140.53.0418.3285.011.2278.756.820.4

    1983/84144.63.1450.9306.911.9294.469.323.5

    1984/85144.23.2464.9316.811.0298.487.729.4

    11.8

    1985/86144.83.2467.3318.011.8307.997.731.7

    1986/87144.83.3481.9316.012.9310.4103.333.3

    1987/88141.73.3465.0315.311.4313.3105.333.6

    1988/89146.53.4491.0332.214.0325.8111.734.3

    1989/90147.63.5510.4345.311.7336.4120.635.9

    1990/91146.73.5518.9351.012.3345.0126.736.7

    1991/92147.53.5522.9353.314.4353.1126.835.9

    1992/93146.53.6524.2354.014.9357.5123.334.5

    52.5

    1993/94145.33.6526.4354.916.6359.1119.133.2

    1994/95147.43.7539.5363.920.8365.2117.832.2

    1995/96148.23.7547.2368.819.7368.1118.432.2

    1996/97149.93.8564.5380.918.9378.7120.631.8

    27.6

    1997/98151.23.8574.5387.027.6379.7127.933.7

    1998/99152.63.8586.5394.624.8388.1134.434.6

    1999/00155.33.9608.2408.922.8399.7143.535.9

    2000/01151.73.9593.4398.824.4395.1147.337.3

    2001/02150.63.9594.2399.327.9413.2133.432.3

    2002/03145.93.9562.4377.827.6407.7103.525.4

    2003/04148.23.9584.2391.727.2413.182.119.9

    2004/05150.54.0596.6401.029.0408.274.918.3

    2005/06152.64.1622.7418.128.9415.677.418.6

    2006/07152.94.1622.7418.028.7418.377.218.5

    2007/08 7/153.74.1627.4421.229.6424.274.117.5

    1/ Yields are based on rough production. 2/ Production is expressed on both rough and milled basis; stocks, exports, and utilization are on

    a milled basis. 3/ Exports reported on a calendar year basis. Trade data have been adjusted since July 1993 to exclude Intra-EC trade

    for the years 1980 to the present. 4/ For countries for which stock data are not available, utilization estimates represent apparent utilization,

    I.e., they include annual stock level adjustments. 5/ Stocks data are based on an aggregate of different market years and should

    not be construed to represent world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Stocks data are not available for all countries .

    6/ Stocks-to-use represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total utilization. 7/ Forecast as of November 2007.

  • Grfico4

    12801705

    12061688

    12741670

    12751654

    12751694

    13471675

    14481665

    14751683

    15751717

    16331750

    16301772

    15951780

    16061788

    15791782

    16551856

    17251875

    18191994

    19352118

    20392175

    20802161

    20802182

    20802244

    21152365

    20622331

    20002225

    19622175

    19502170

    19502225

    19502287

    19252350

    19252350

    20122300

    20122294

    20122225

    20122225

    20132188

    20132188

    20002237

    20002287

    19622275

    19442294

    18252363

    18132394

    18132602

    18252806

    18372856

    18872900

    20253031.5

    20253108

    20503263

    22003650

    25254575

    26654945

    38755140

    52005212.5

    52255150

    59505187.5

    58754988

    55254475

    45253775

    41963646

    43003731

    43103481

    Mantequilla: marzo 2007: US$ 2.665; marzo 2008: US$ 4.310 (+61,7%)

    Leche en polvo descremada: marzo 2007: US$ 3.650; marzo 2008: US$ 3.481 (-4,6%)

    Precios internacionales de leche descremada y mantequillaPerodo enero 2003 a marzo 2008US$/tonelada FOB norte de Europa

    port

    Ministerio de Agricultura

    Oficina de Estudios y Polticas Agrarias

    LECHE : PRODUCCIN, RECEPCIN, PRECIOS Y COMERCIO EXTERIOR

    Marzo 2008

    Mayo 2008

    part

    Leche: Produccin, recepcin, precios y comercio exterior

    Marzo 2008

    Publicacin de la Oficina de Estudios y Polticas Agrarias del Ministerio de

    Agricultura, Gobierno de Chile

    Ivn Nazif Astorga

    Director Nacional y Representante Legal

    En la elaboracin de este documento participaron:

    Ral Opitz G.

    Ada Guerrero L.

    Vctor Esnaola L.

    Ral Amuntegui F.

    Mayo 2008

    www.odepa.gob.cl

    Santiago de Chile

    www.odepa.gob.cl

    cont

    Contenido

    Cuadro N 1Produccin y recepcin nacional de leche4

    Cuadro N 2Recepcin mensual de leche fluida en plantas lecheras por regiones5

    Cuadro N 3Recepcin de leche por plantas lecheras7

    Cuadro N 4Precios reales promedios ponderados pagados a productor por regiones8

    Cuadro N 5Recepcin de leche y elaboracin de productos lcteos en plantas lecheras10

    Cuadro N 6Importaciones de productos lcteos por pas de origen11

    Cuadro N 7Importaciones de productos lcteos12

    Cuadro N 8Importaciones de productos lcteos, marzo 200813

    Cuadro N 9Importaciones de leche en polvo entera14

    Cuadro N 10Importaciones de leche en polvo descremada14

    Cuadro N 11Importaciones de leche en polvo por pas de origen16

    Cuadro N 12Importaciones de quesos por pas de origen17

    Cuadro N 13Importaciones de quesos por variedades18

    Cuadro N 14Exportaciones de productos lcteos por pas de destino19

    Cuadro N 15Exportaciones de productos lcteos20

    Cuadro N 16Exportaciones de productos lcteos, marzo 200821

    Cuadro N 17Exportaciones de leche en polvo entera22

    Cuadro N 18Exportaciones de leche en polvo descremada22

    Cuadro N 19Exportaciones de leche fluida24

    Cuadro N 20Exportaciones de leche en polvo por pas de destino25

    Cuadro N 21Exportaciones de quesos26

    Cuadro N 22Exportaciones de quesos por pas de destino27

    Cuadro N 23Exportaciones de quesos por variedades28

    Cuadro N 24Balance de comercio exterior, marzo 200829

    Cuadro N 25Comercio exterior de lcteos total y Mercosur30

    Cuadro N 26Saldo de la balanza comercial de lcteos Chile - Argentina32

    Cuadro N 27Lcteos: precios internacionales33

    Grfico N 1Produccin y recepcin de leche4

    Grfico N 2Recepcin de leche mensual6

    Grfico N 3Recepcin de leche mensual, marzo 20087

    Grfico N 4Evolucin mensual del precio real de la leche a productor9

    Grfico N 5Evolucin del precio real a productor9

    Grfico N 6Importaciones de productos lcteos, marzo 200813

    Grfico N 7Precio medio de importaciones de leche en polvo entera15

    Grfico N 8Precio medio de importaciones de leche en polvo descremada15

    Grfico N 9Importaciones de leche en polvo por pas de origen, ao 200716

    Grfico N 10Importaciones de leche en polvo por pas de origen, marzo 200816

    Grfico N 11Importaciones de quesos por pas de origen, ao 200717

    Grfico N 12Importaciones de quesos por pas de origen, marzo 200817

    Grfico N 13Importaciones de quesos por variedades, marzo 200818

    Grfico N 14Exportaciones de productos lcteos, marzo 200821

    Grfico N 15Precio medio de las exportaciones de leche en polvo entera23

    Grfico N 16Precio medio de las exportaciones de leche en polvo descremada23

    Grfico N 17Precio medio de las exportaciones de leche fluida24

    Grfico N 18Exportaciones de leche en polvo por pas de destino, ao 200725

    Grfico N 19Exportaciones de leche en polvo por pas de destino, marzo 200825

    Grfico N 20Precio medio de las exportaciones de quesos26

    Grfico N 21Exportaciones de quesos por pas de destino, ao 200727

    Grfico N 22Exportaciones de quesos por pas de destino, marzo 200827

    Grfico N 23Exportaciones de quesos por variedades, marzo 200828

    Grfico N 24Chile : Comercio exterior de lcteos31

    Grfico N 25Lcteos : Comercio exterior Chile - Mercosur31

    Grfico N 26Saldo de la balanza comercial de lcteos Chile - Argentina32

    Grfico N 27Precios internacionales: leche descremada y mantequilla34

    c1

    Cuadro N 1

    Produccin y recepcin nacional de leche

    Aos: 1990 - 2007

    Miles de litros

    AosProduccin (*)Variacin %RecepcinVariacin %% Recepcin/

    anualanualProduccin

    19901,380,00012.2890,31015.564.5199090

    19911,450,0005.1947,7076.465.4199191

    19921,540,0006.21,019,2187.566.2199292

    19931,650,0007.11,121,11510.067.9199393

    19941,750,0006.11,235,64010.270.6199494

    19951,850,0005.71,357,8709.973.4199595

    19961,924,0004.01,406,4263.673.1199696

    19972,050,0006.51,496,8336.473.0199797

    19982,080,0001.51,530,0242.273.6199898

    19992,050,000-1.41,469,716-3.971.7199999

    20001,990,000-2.91,447,213-1.572.7200000

    20012,190,00010.11,636,46113.174.7200101

    20022,170,000-0.91,605,392-1.974.0200202

    20032,130,000-1.81,563,169-2.673.42003

    20042,250,0005.61,676,4807.274.52004

    20052,300,0002.21,723,2532.874.92005

    20062,400,0004.31,818,1155.575.82006

    20072,450,0002.11,871,2892.976.42007

    FUENTE : ODEPA.TASA

    (*) Estimacin ODEPA.5.0356310564

    4.4251182104

    4.6243208367

    &C&"Arial,Normal"&8&P

    c1

    11

    Produccin

    Recepcin

    Miles de Litros

    PRODUCCION Y RECEPCION DE LECHE

    c2

    11

    Produccin

    Recepcin

    Miles de Litros

    PRODUCCION Y RECEPCION DE LECHE

    g2

    00

    00

    00

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    00

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    00

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    00

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    00

    00

    00

    FUENTE:ODEPA.

    Produccin

    Recepcin

    Miles de litros

    Grfico N 1. Produccin y recepcin de leche

    c3

    Cuadro N 2

    Recepcin mensual de leche fluida en plantas lecheras por regiones

    Aos: 2007 - 2008

    RegionesRegin MetropolitanaOctava ReginNovena ReginDcima ReginTotal Pas

    de Santiagodel Bo-Bode la Araucanade Los Lagos

    Var.Var.Var.Var.Var.Var.

    Meses20072008%20072008%20072008%20072008%20072008%Meses20072008%

    08/0708/0708/0708/0708/0708/07

    Ene12,18713,67012.214,62118,88529.221,63925,19716.4127,680135,7896.4176,128193,5409.9Enero325,447354,5258.9

    Feb11,11112,54012.912,19416,84738.217,30321,06621.7101,952103,0231.1142,561153,4767.7Febrero261,816277,5656.0

    Mar13,03213,23318,184105,678150,127Marzo273,989

    Abr11,32213,96717,19993,886136,374Abril247,459

    May11,65614,45517,26489,600132,975Mayo239,839

    Jun10,99014,05016,39382,948124,381Junio223,723

    Jul11,31515,60816,54582,742126,210Julio225,497

    Ago11,39516,25916,83786,027130,518Agosto233,382

    Sep11,63816,92518,970101,084148,617Septiembre268,671

    Oct12,96618,91223,767134,164189,809Octubre347,741

    Nov13,22918,56627,353144,728203,875Noviembre375,956

    Dic13,97019,23928,240148,264209,714Diciembre386,218

    Total144,811188,029239,6951,298,7541,871,289Total3,409,738

    Total ene - feb23,29926,21012.526,81535,73233.338,94246,26218.8229,632238,8124.0318,689347,0168.9Total ene - feb587,263632,0907.6

    FUENTE: elaborado por ODEPA con antecedentes proporcionados por las plantas lecheras.FUENTE: elaborado por ODEPA con antecedentes proporcionados por las plantas lecheras.

    &C&8&P

    c4

    RECEPCION NACIONAL DE LECHE

    200020012002200320042005200620072008

    Ene127,505145,645149,681146,598155,689165,496173,594176,128193,540

    Feb101,496122,158112,206117,303124,146130,711145,112142,561153,476

    Mar111,147128,798117,831119,139121,269131,322147,406150,127

    Abr107,261124,237128,032112,980117,993130,002140,750136,374

    May108,521118,943127,108112,946122,872125,179137,145132,975

    Jun99,558110,169116,259103,181114,623113,589122,745124,381

    Jul101,023112,624116,567109,201116,286118,542125,683126,210

    Ago105,298119,601122,686116,003126,704122,680129,616130,518

    Sep116,790133,958135,442130,022142,493139,341143,729148,617

    Oct148,395168,961153,501159,538174,353175,014175,761189,809

    Nov160,060175,653162,188167,774178,950185,046186,626203,875

    Dic160,161176,072163,891168,483181,103186,330189,949209,714

    Fuente : ODEPA.

    &C&8&P

    c4

    0000

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    +7,7%

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    FUENTE: ODEPA.

    Miles de litros

    Recepcin de leche mensual Aos: 2005 - 2008

    g4 - 5

    Cuadro N 3

    Recepcin de leche por plantas lecheras

    Litros

    Plantas lecherasAosEnero - febreroVar.Part.

    2006200720072008%%

    Soprole436,874,448492,376,96484,598,78289,377,4375.625.8Soprole89,377,437

    Coln365,055,391387,277,94364,504,87372,181,41311.920.8Coln72,181,413

    Nestl360,431,970342,347,46863,834,63262,265,722-2.517.9Nestl62,265,722

    Loncoleche224,562,245210,452,10838,016,11537,603,457-1.110.8Loncoleche37,603,457

    Surlat100,923,905121,765,69517,759,55824,534,52338.17.1Surlat24,534,523

    Mulpulmo110,416,782114,359,15119,762,21320,153,4852.05.8Mulpulmo20,153,485

    Vialat S.A.93,435,97642,110,6687,537,4137,179,334-4.82.1Otras plantas40,900,057

    Quillayes35,542,62734,399,8485,427,1376,447,92018.81.9347,016,094

    Lcteos Frutillar43,638,61540,158,2466,371,9868,183,11128.42.4

    Danone Chile S.A.31,029,7354,451,5805,961,25333.91.7

    A. Cuinco29,125,04526,787,7534,586,6814,102,471-10.61.2

    Chilolac13,583,7517,805,0991,837,5502,447,95733.20.7

    Lcteos Puerto Varas20,418,2156,578,0111.9

    Vitalac4,524,4500.0

    Total1,818,115,2051,871,288,893318,688,520347,016,0948.9100.0

    FUENTE: elaborado por ODEPA con antecedentes proporcionados por las plantas lecheras.

    &C&8&P

    g4 - 5

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    FUENTE: ODEPA.

    Grfico N 3: Recepcin de leche Enero - febrero 2008Participacin por plantas lecheras

    c5

    Cuadro N 4

    Precios promedios ponderados de leche pagados a productor por regiones

    $/Litro real en $ de febrero 2008

    MesesMetropolitanaOctavaNovenaDcimaPas

    2007200820072008200720082007200820072008Var. %

    Ene148.19206.36133.98197.02127.83202.07123.96194.64126.94196.6754.9

    Feb153.27204.75138.37195.86135.31201.77129.36194.43132.72196.4448.0

    Mar165.07146.48143.77140.80143.76

    Abr174.22159.54156.81151.32154.75

    May195.20186.21175.61182.80183.33

    Jun212.46200.17199.23194.83197.57

    Jul220.60208.56208.50203.85206.55

    Ago220.64210.25208.31205.17207.56

    Sep215.37208.06207.22201.59204.12

    Oct216.67206.42207.64201.74203.96

    Nov214.53202.71206.99203.52204.63

    Dic212.28203.79204.79198.52200.77

    Promedioao195.93186.67183.50178.24181.13

    Promedio ene - feb150.61205.59135.98196.47131.15201.93126.36194.55129.53196.5751.8

    FUENTE: elaborado por ODEPA con antecedentes proporcionados por las plantas lecheras.

    NOTA: Los precios de pago por leche a productor son los promedios ponderados informados por las plantas y corresponden al precio base ms las asignaciones por volumen, calidad y otros que determina cada una de ellas. sta es una serie de precios de natura

    &C&8&P

    c6

    200020012002200320042005200620072008

    Ene116.12141.51129.23114.26141.44133.96135.29126.94196.67

    Feb119.66143.65130.89117.37140.12136.3136.97132.72196.44

    Mar121.31146.27129.7119.84137.23138139.2143.76

    Abr123.57146.9127.95124.41137.01138.46140.11154.76

    May132.28148.2130.63135.28141.79144.11141.63183.32

    Jun136.33148.14131.8146.41146.46149.27141.1197.57

    Jul135.75147.45128.58148.57145.54146.91139.2206.54

    Ago134.32144.74126.88147.71143.54146.28138.12207.56

    Sep133.94140.3118.89145.4141.77141.42127.46204.12

    Oct139.43136.5111.96144.24139.09135.16125.19203.97

    Nov141.89133.24109.93142.36135.45134.26124.55204.62

    Dic141.73129.64110.96141.41133.46134.77124.01200.77

    132.13141.25123.01135.76139.82139.14133.58181.13196.57

    2000116.12119.66121.31123.57132.28136.33135.75134.32133.94139.43141.89141.73132.13

    2001141.51143.65146.27146.9148.2148.14147.45144.74140.3136.5133.24129.64141.25

    2002129.23130.89129.7127.95130.63131.8128.58126.88118.89111.96109.93110.96123.01

    2003114.26117.37119.84124.41135.28146.41148.57147.71145.4144.24142.36141.41135.76

    2004141.44140.12137.23137.01141.79146.46145.54143.54141.77139.09135.45133.46139.82

    2005133.96136.3138138.46144.11149.27146.91146.28141.42135.16134.26134.77139.14

    2006135.29136.97139.2140.11141.63141.1139.2138.12127.46125.19124.55124.01133.58

    2007126.94132.72143.76154.76183.32197.57206.54207.56204.12203.97204.62200.77181.13

    2008196.67196.44196.57

    AoPromedio

    1979150.83

    1980139.71

    1981115.08

    1982111.76

    1983120.96

    1984152.5

    1985139.01

    1986130.62

    1987150.48

    1988172.81

    1989192.97

    1990161.97

    1991153.73

    1992164.69

    1993163.35

    1994160.4

    1995151.09

    1996148.39

    1997136.94

    1998130.43

    1999124.69

    2000132.13

    2001141.25

    2002123.01

    2003135.76

    2004139.82

    2005139.14

    2006133.58

    2007181.13

    2008196.57

    &C&8&P

    c6

    111111

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    Fuente: ODEPA.

    $ de septiembre 2005 /litro

    GRFICO N 2: Evolucin mensual del precio real de la leche a productor Aos: 2000 - 2005

    c7

    1

    Fuente: ODEPA .

    $ de septiembre de 2005 / litro

    GRFICO N 3 : Evolucin del precio real a productor Promedios anuales ponderados 1979 - 2005

    c8

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    FUENTE: ODEPA.

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    $ de febrero de 2008/lt

    Grfico N 4. Evolucin mensual del precio real de la leche a productorAos: 2005 - 2008

    c9 - 10

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    FUENTE: ODEPA.

    Promedio

    $ de febrero de 2008/lt

    Grfico N 5. Evolucin del precio real a productor

    g7 - 8

    Cuadro N 5

    Recepcin de leche y elaboracin de productos lcteos en plantas lecheras

    Enero - febreroVariacin %

    ProductoUnidades200720082008/2007

    Recepcin de lecheLt318,688,520347,016,0948.9

    Elaboracin de leche fluidaLt49,910,54147,893,281-4.0

    Elaboracin de leche en polvoKg13,921,77521,971,04257.8

    QuesillosKg1,488,8131,370,302-8.0

    QuesosKg10,179,8039,642,661-5.3

    YogurLt25,606,04127,892,4288.9

    CremaKg3,271,6414,896,89049.7

    MantequillaKg3,228,8032,481,234-23.2

    Suero en polvoKg4,478,3564,280,158-4.4

    Leche condensadaKg7,317,7308,533,72316.6

    ManjarKg3,477,3083,538,9021.8

    FUENTE: elaborado por ODEPA con antecedentes proporcionados por las plantas lecheras.

    &C&8&P

    c11

    Cuadro N 6

    Importaciones de productos lcteos por pas de origen

    Enero - marzo

    PasesValor (miles de US$ CIF)Var.Part.

    20072008%%

    Argentina6,8157,97317.043.8

    Estados Unidos1,0524,917367.427.0

    Brasil6322,238253.912.3

    Uruguay1,8151,086-40.16.0

    Nueva Zelanda957648-32.33.6

    Per414380-8.22.1

    Holanda16127067.91.5

    Francia13225290.21.4

    Canad01230.7

    Dinamarca29113291.80.6

    Australia11274-33.40.4

    Italia436242.60.3

    Malasia0310.2

    Espaa202314.60.1

    Blgica114-68.90.0

    Colombia030.0

    Tailandia010.0

    Alemania0041.30.0

    Corea del Sur000.0

    Reino Unido000.0

    Suecia000.0

    Costa Rica000.0

    Irlanda5100.0

    Suiza4700.0

    Total12,29218,19748.0100.0

    FUENTE : elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del Servicio Nacional de Aduanas.

    &C&8&P

    c12

    Cuadro N 7

    Importaciones de productos lcteos

    Enero - marzo

    CdigoProductosToneladasVar.Miles US$ CIFVar.

    armonizado20072008%20072008%

    04011000Leche y nata, materia grasa al 1% pero 24% pero < al 26%013062

    04022118Leche en polvo, materia grasa > al 26%10114240.0256648153.1

    04029110Leche en estado lquido o semi slido sin azcar781328-58.0607380-37.3

    04029120Nata sin azucarar ni edulcorar240310

    04029910Leche condensada0182330810,595.7

    04029990Dems leches y natas concentradas azucaradas294-86.61476-96.2

    04031000Yogur5061,416179.86401,438124.6

    04039000Suero de mantequilla, leche y nata cuajadas, kefir181-96.9611-97.9

    04041000Lactosuero, incluso concentrado, azucarado7261,15659.31,0982,284108.0

    04049000Dems productos de componentes naturales de la leche307198-35.78038688.1

    04051000Mantequilla (manteca)344132-61.6776555-28.6

    04059000Las dems materias grasas de la leche0001

    04061000Quesos frescos (sin madurar)1,021629-38.42,8632,677-6.5

    04062000Queso de cualquier tipo, rallado o en polvo8236-55.6418262-37.3

    04063000Queso fundido, excepto el rallado o en en polvo18623024.253187865.5

    04064000Queso de pasta azul2321-10.010413630.5

    04069000Los dems quesos44852116.31,4242,62784.5

    Total quesos1,7601,438-18.35,3396,58023.3

    19019011Dulce de leche (manjar)7187332.167990833.8

    22029031Bebidas con contenido lcteo > al 50 %0202

    Total lcteos12,29218,19748.0

    FUENTE : elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del Servicio Nacional de Aduanas.

    &C&8&P

    c13

    Cuadro N 8

    Importaciones de productos lcteos

    Enero - marzo 2008

    ProductosVolumenValorPrecio medio

    ToneladasMiles de US$ CIFUS$ / Ton

    Leche descremada1,0984,1523,782

    Leche entera1426484,578

    Suero y lactosuero1,3543,1542,329

    Quesos1,4386,5804,577

    Otros productos2,8743,6631,274

    Total lcteos18,197

    FUENTE : elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del Servicio Nacional de Aduanas.

    Nota: la informacin de leches en polvo incluye tanto las de uso humano como las de uso animal.

    Leche descremada4,15222.8

    Leche entera6483.6

    Suero y lactosuero3,15417.3

    Quesos6,58036.2

    Otros productos3,66320.1

    18,197100.0

    &C&8&P

    c13

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    FUENTE: ODEPA.

    Grfico N 6: Importaciones de productos lcteosEnero - marzo 2008Valor miles US$ CIF 18.197

    c14

    Cuadro N 9

    Importaciones de leche en polvo entera

    VolumenValorValor unitarioVariacin (2008/2007)

    Meses / aoToneladasMiles de US$ CIFUS$/tonVolumenValorValor

    200720082007200820072008toneladasCIFunitario2002200320042005

    Ene921262305692,4884,53135.8147.482.2Ene1,2841,9131,975

    FebFeb1,6111,8721,691

    Mar81622792,6584,94295.4263.385.9Mar1,4001,7241,9652,227

    Abr11282,674Abr1,3731,6532,0712,196

    May16513,164May1,1581,6721,9402,261

    JunJun1,4571,7741,9802,294

    Jul1164213,627Jul1,2861,8681,9192,360

    Ago552494,531Ago1,1921,8032,0892,281

    Sep913984,371Sep1,2581,8752,034

    Oct19593,166Oct1,2081,8202,116

    Nov30732,476Nov1,2401,8831,828

    DicDic1,2981,9151,370

    Subtotal ene - mar1011422526482,5014,57840.6157.483.0

    Total ao (A)4371,531

    FUENTE : elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del Servicio Nacional de Aduanas.

    Nota: incluye la de uso animal y la de uso humano.

    Cuadro N 10

    Importaciones de leche en polvo descremada

    VolumenValorValor unitarioVariacin (2008/2007)

    Meses / aoToneladasMiles de US$ CIFUS$/tonVolumenValorValor2002200320042005

    200720082007200820072008toneladasCIFunitario

    Ene181753933662,1744,885-58.6-6.9124.7Ene1,6551,3431,7221,861

    Feb4015969212,1892,2953,67148.6137.760.0Feb1,6631,4741,6801,993

    Mar1414273341,5972,3693,742202.7378.158.0Mar1,6251,6131,7222,183

    Abr53881,647Abr1,4891,7141,8352,164

    May5121,6743,270May1,4841,7081,8072,107

    Jun6062,1383,531Jun1,3881,7671,9722,248

    Jul1675943,558Jul1,3951,7542,0232,240

    Ago2371,3965,898Ago1,3601,7072,0432,302

    Sep903964,380Sep1,2341,7532,072

    Oct141138,290Oct1,3981,7622,130

    Nov9283,072Nov1,2721,7932,001

    Dic501783,551Dic1,3271,7931,884

    Subtotal ene - mar7231,0981,6484,1522,2793,78251.8151.965.9

    Total ao (B)2,4618,2523,354

    Total ene (A+B)8241,2391,9004,8002,3063,87250.5152.667.9

    Total ao (A+B)2,8989,7833,376

    FUENTE : elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del Servicio Nacional de Aduanas.

    Nota: incluye la de uso animal y la de uso humano.

    &C&8&P

    c15

    2002200320042005200620072008

    Ene1,2841,9131,9752,2102,4884,531

    Feb1,6111,8721,6912,288

    Mar1,4001,7241,9652,2272,2592,6584,942

    Abr1,3731,6532,0712,1962,3152,674

    May1,1581,6721,9402,2612,3193,164

    Jun1,4571,7741,9802,2942,486

    Jul1,2861,8681,9192,3602,3253,627

    Ago1,1921,8032,0892,2812,4014,531

    Sep1,2581,8752,0342,4472,3494,371

    Oct1,2081,8202,1162,2702,1953,166

    Nov1,2401,8831,8282,2302,8112,476

    Dic1,2981,9151,3702,2522,557

    2002200320042005200620072008

    Ene1,6551,3431,7221,8612,3472,1744,885

    Feb1,6631,4741,6801,9932,2582,2953,671

    Mar1,6251,6131,7222,1832,3232,3693,742

    Abr1,4891,7141,8352,1642,2481,647

    May1,4841,7081,8072,1072,2082,642

    Jun1,3881,7671,9722,2482,0873,531

    Jul1,3951,7542,0232,2402,2363,558

    Ago1,3601,7072,0432,3022,3015,898

    Sep1,2341,7532,0722,2952,1824,380

    Oct1,3981,7622,1302,3972,4498,290

    Nov1,2721,7932,0012,3771,5283,072

    Dic1,3271,7931,8842,3612,4653,551

    &C&8&P

    c15

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    FUENTE: ODEPA.

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    US$ CIF por toneladas

    Grfico N 7. Precio medio de las importaciones de leche en polvo entera

    c16

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    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    US$ CIF por toneladas

    Grfico N 8. Precio medio de las importaciones de leche en polvo descremada

    c17 - 18

    Cuadro N 11

    Importaciones de leche en polvo por pas de origen2007

    Volumen (toneladas)Unin Europea1,19341.1

    Pases20062007ParticipacinEnero - marzoVariacinParticipacinUruguay88130.4

    %20072008%%Nueva Zelanda30010.4

    Estados Unidos1946.7

    Brasil2591756.017514.1Brasil1756.0

    Uruguay1,90088130.445125-94.52.0Argentina106

    Canad176250.9252.0Otros501.7

    Nueva Zelanda8130010.426817-93.81.32,899100.0

    Unin Europea131,1930.0

    Estados Unidos1,2101946.794876.5

    Argentina8,5631063.6106504.0

    Otros250.0

    Total12,2022,899100.08241,23950.4100.0

    FUENTE : elaborado por ODEPA, con informacin del Servicio Nacional de Aduanas.Brasil17514.1%

    Nota: la informacin incluye leches en polvo tanto para uso humano como para uso animal.Uruguay252.0%

    Canad252.0%

    Nueva Zelanda171.3%

    Estados Unidos94876.5%

    Brasil504.0%

    Otros0.0%

    1,239100.0%

    &C&8&P

    c17 - 18

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    FUENTE: ODEPA

    Grfico N 9. Importaciones de leche en polvo por pas de origenAo 2007Toneladas 2.899

    g15 - 16

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    FUENTE: ODEPA

    Grfico N 10. Importaciones de leche en polvo por pas de origenEnero - marzo 2008Toneladas 1.239

    c19

    Cuadro N 12

    Importaciones de quesos por pas de origen

    Volumen (toneladas)

    Pases20062007ParticipacinEnero - marzoVariacinParticipacin

    %20072008%%2006

    Argentina7,0933,28646.31,086727-33.050.6Argentina3,28646.3

    Brasil1,1781,27618.024229522.020.5Brasil1,27618.0

    Estados Unidos49081711.516520121.814.0Estados Unidos81711.5

    Uruguay1821,46620.6208178207.712.4Uruguay1,46620.6

    Unin Europea1391732.42621-21.01.5Unin Europea1732.4

    Otros78821.23415-54.91.1Otros821.2

    Total9,1607,100100.01,7601,438-18.3100.0Total7,100100.0

    FUENTE : elaborado por ODEPA, con informacin del Servicio Nacional de Aduanas.

    2007

    Argentina72751%

    Brasil29521%

    Estados Unidos20114%

    Uruguay17812%

    Unin Europea211%

    Otros151%

    1,438100%

    &C&8&P

    c19

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    FUENTE: ODEPA.

    Grfico N 11. Importaciones de quesos por pas de origenAo 2007Toneladas 7.100

    c20

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    FUENTE: ODEPA.

    Grfico N 12. Importaciones de quesos por pas de origenEnero - marzo 2008Toneladas 1.438

    c21

    Cuadro N 13

    Importaciones de quesos por variedades

    Enero - marzo 2008

    CdigoProducto / variedadVolumenValorPrecio medio

    armonizadotoneladasMiles de US$ CIFUS$ / Ton

    04061010Fresco37.1148.13,9924061010Fresco37.12.6

    04061020Crema239.7813.83,3954061020Crema239.716.7

    04061030Mozarella352.01,715.04,8714061030Mozarella352.024.5

    Total628.92,676.94,2574062000Cualquier tipo, rallado o polvo36.42.5

    4063000Fundido230.516.0

    04062000Cualquier tipo, rallado o en polvo36.4261.87,1914064000Pasta azul21.01.5

    4069010Gouda393.427.4

    04063000Fundido, excepto el rallado o en polvo230.5878.23,8104069020Cheddar5.20.4

    4069030Edam3.60.3

    04064000Pasta azul21.0136.06,4694069040Parmesano12.6

    4069090Los dems106.27.4

    04069010Gouda y del tipo gouda393.41,822.14,6311,437.8100.0

    04069020Cheddar5.231.25,953

    04069030Edam3.624.86,899

    04069040Parmesano12.668.85,477

    04069090Los dems106.2680.56,406

    Total521.02,627.45,043

    Total1,437.86,580.34,577

    FUENTE : elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del Servicio Nacional de Aduanas.

    &C&8&P

    c21

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    FUENTE: ODEPA.

    Grfico N 13: Importaciones de quesos por variedadesEnero - marzo 2008Toneladas 1.437.8

    Cualquier tipo, rallado o polvo2,8%

    c22

    Cuadro N 14

    Exportaciones de productos lcteos por pas de destino

    Enero - marzo

    PasesValor (miles de US$ FOB)VariacinParticipacin

    20072008%%

    Mxico21,46030,44241.948.4

    Venezuela3,30316,984414.227.0

    Per1,9874,339118.46.9

    Cuba713,6695,077.45.8

    Estados Unidos9242,545175.54.0

    Costa Rica8082,109161.13.4

    Ecuador51594182.71.5

    Corea del Sur1,542803-47.91.3

    Japn124441,677.60.4

    Colombia381204-46.60.3

    El Salvador859175-79.60.3

    China128117-8.20.2

    T. Britnico en Amrica58115100.20.2

    Bolivia320100-68.70.2

    Rep. Dominicana8672-17.00.1

    Aruba263946.80.1

    Panam31324.20.1

    Reino Unido13102.10.0

    Uruguay2219.30.0

    Suiza000.0

    Angola2000.0

    Canad5100.0

    Corea del Norte31700.0

    Egipto25500.0

    Filipinas14300.0

    Guatemala2,24600.0

    Honduras2,00000.0

    Nicaragua19500.0

    Siria6,40000.0

    T. Holands en Amrica2700.0

    Total44,15662,93742.5100.0

    FUENTE : elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del Servicio Nacional de Aduanas.

    &C&8&P

    c23

    Cuadro N 15

    Exportaciones de productos lcteos

    Enero - marzo

    CdigoProductosToneladasVariacinMiles US$ FOBVariacin

    armonizado20072008%20072008%

    04011000Leche y nata, materia grasa al 1% pero = 6% pero < al 12%00-72.000-20.4

    04022118Leche en polvo, materia grasa > al 26%5,7803,252-43.713,17716,45724.9

    04022911Leche en polvo, edulcorada materia grasa > 1.5% y < 6%0000

    04022918Leche en polvo, edulcorada materia grasa >= al 26%10402590

    04029110Leche en estado lquido o semi slido sin azcar11119.3021,037.1

    04029120Nata sin azucarar ni edulcorar404717.6368-76.9

    04029910Leche condensada7,52110,55340.310,38318,28276.1

    04029990Dems leches y natas concentradas azucaradas84-46.0118-27.1

    04031000Yogur87-17.8185-71.1

    04039000Suero de mantequilla, leche y nata cuajadas, kefir35363.08312348.4

    04041000Lactosuero, incluso concentrado, azucarado3,0442,352-22.73,3083,059-7.5

    04049000Dems productos de componentes naturales de la leche250340

    04051000Mantequilla (manteca)726328-54.81,1881,30610.0

    04061000Quesos frescos (sin madurar)42-39.53425-25.9

    04062000Queso de cualquier tipo, rallado o en polvo10-95.140-90.4

    04069000Los dems quesos4,7704,470-6.313,88720,39746.9

    Total quesos4,7754,472-6.313,92520,42246.7

    19019011Dulce de leche (manjar)79792816.41,0231,48945.6

    22029031Bebidas con contenido lcteo > al 50 %151926.1101875.0

    22029032Bebidas con contenido lcteo

  • Qu ha pasado con la demanda?Aumento poblacin mundialCrecimiento pases en desarrolloAumento ingreso per cpitaBio combustiblesCambios en la dieta: leche y carne

  • y la oferta?SequaProduccin crecimiento decreciente (baja investigacin)Aumento costos (energa, fertilizantes)

  • Y..Especuladores: incorporacin de compras de alimentos como depsitos de valor ante cada del dlar y crisis financiera en USA.

  • Como resultadoAlgunos pases exportadores se protegen para mantener precios domsticos bajos (eliminacin subsidios, tasas, cuotas y prohibiciones a exportaciones).

    Los importadores reducen tarifas, subsidian consumidores

    Como resultado: mala asignacin de los recursos y aumento en el precio.

  • Como siempre los ms afectados son.Los ms pobres de los pobresUtilizan mayor porcentaje de sus ingresos en alimentos.Commodities son proporcionalmente muy importantes en su dieta alimentaria.Normalmente son importadores por lo tanto ms vulnerables.Donaciones tienen recursos fijos por lo tanto hay menor poder de compra.

  • Qu est pasando con trigo?Se proyecta una recuperacin para temporada 2008/2009 (recuperacin de stocks).Tenencia a la baja de precios internacionalesPrincipales pases exportadores (Canad, argentina, Australia y EE.UU.) con perspectivas de aumento en su produccin.China no participa en la demanda.

  • y con el maz?La demanda, especialmente para etanol continuar creciendo.Para la temporada 2008/2009 se proyecta mayor disminucin en stocks.China mantiene demanda satisfecha con produccin interna.

  • En cuanto al arroz ..Stocks continuarn mantenindose estables. No hay cambios sustantivos en la oferta y demandaLas alzas de precio han sido principalmente especulativas.

  • En el futuro.algunas incertidumbresCrecimiento econmico pases en desarrolloPrecios de la energa (petrleo)Produccin para biocombustiblesCosto de los insumos (fertilizantes)Nuevas variedades y tecnologaEmergencias climticas (cambio climtico)

  • Situacin en ChileDisponibilidad y precios para trigo, maz, arroz, leche y carnes.

    Superficie dedicada a estas producciones.

    Uso alternativo del suelo.

  • Disponibilidad aparente de trigo

  • Disponibilidad aparente de maz

  • Disponibilidad aparente de arroz

  • Disponibilidad aparente de carne bovina en Chile

  • Disponibilidad aparente lcteos

  • Grfico1

    545740965983

    432160685953

    373800650452

    359180585946

    471320988283

    5061901164691

    5691701625809

    6765601874117

    5766301734199

    5402901765525

    5828201718214

    4664801588677

    4607001556588

    3951101322335.7

    3615801271202.2

    3898201372166.4

    3687511227148.3

    398642.81563732.5

    3836221682040.4

    3385831196625.6

    3915801492709.9

    4140001780156.5

    4261001820386.9

    4156601797084.4

    4204001921652

    4196601851940

    3147201403689.2

    2317851103497

    2705911217660

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del INE. Ao 2006 cifras provisorias Censo 2007. Ao 2007 estimacin ODEPA.

    Superficie

    Produccin

    Hectreas

    Toneladas

    Evolucin de la superficie y produccin de trigo en Chile 1980 - 2007

    Cultivos anuales

    Superficie sembrada de cultivos anuales

    Cultivo1979/801980/811981/821982/831983/841984/851985/861986/871987/881988/891989/901990/911991/921992/931993/941994/951995/961997/981998/991999/002000/012001/022002/032003/042004/052005/06Cultivo

    Trigo545,740432,160373,800359,180471,320506,190569,170676,560576,630540,290582,820466,480460,700395,110361,580389,820368,751398,643383,622338,583391,580414,000426,100415,660420,400419,660314,720231,785270,591Trigo16.7422395755-18.7840209024

    Avena92,38080,11068,33084,85096,25084,92063,86055,51060,71068,69078,30076,54063,60068,19057,93065,06080,868104,36974,88979,40288,70189,61093,250104,620122,58076,68090,190103,320105,990Avena

    Cebada48,62045,96057,48038,16033,15035,04022,72016,37024,07024,59026,32031,71028,39022,92028,18025,17523,34021,94526,63226,50217,20815,37017,45017,53011,63021,50029,06020,71021,840Cebada16.68

    8,2508,7705,4904,8903,3905,0304,6702,3802,1002,8702,2872,9002,5501,2204708818392,1831,0481,3601,1581,167784747Centeno

    Maz116,190125,530107,130117,950138,370130,520104,74086,68090,310124,650101,13099,590107,330105,960104,860103,54198,62886,522100,34273,28469,27582,55087,270109,600119,320134,280123,560125,589134,726Maz

    Arroz40,84031,40036,96030,43039,88038,52032,02037,27038,90042,99032,59029,75031,76029,08030,36033,93032,03025,74826,70214,69625,76828,55027,98028,23024,90025,03027,98021,76520,960Arroz

    Poroto110,700117,740121,52086,41084,54083,04089,83085,66075,67063,40068,56088,44070,01046,71044,33046,57949,35330,25238,69429,05831,38635,62028,19025,87026,50023,54025,65023,76012,880Poroto

    Lenteja52,95047,66038,86023,05023,73036,36037,27046,33032,75014,69013,93014,87018,97013,37010,25010,73510,7875,3485,0593,1702,1921,3201,1009101,0201,1601,1501,050910Lenteja

    Garbanzo20,57016,23010,1107,81011,92011,32012,61014,79014,1607,8308,67012,15012,88010,7408,5109,4769,3196,8954,3642,2663,6844,2303,2403,8403,6903,0903,9603,8603,470Garbanzo

    Arveja18,20017,53012,1209,7109,6006,4608,0906,0706,1806,5506,0405,9206,2605,8303,6403,4684,5342,5763,4671,8132,0122,3971,1821,2971,397Arveja

    Chicharo3,6404,5603,7505,3003,4902,9253,1402,3802,3501,9101,6801,2181,3831,0991,3351,1381,550686250250Chicharo

    Papa88,76089,92077,41067,16081,37062,87052,65057,70061,95062,68055,14059,33062,38063,45058,49057,12959,58580,68556,37660,46559,95763,11061,36056,00059,56055,62063,20063,91056,310Papa

    Maravilla32,4105,1203,4202,9004,92019,97030,07018,83023,25015,00011,82013,54011,8406,5106,8006,2313,9077853,5422,9296,3591,8001,5301,8602,2001,7802,6602,6802,850Maravilla

    Raps50,36023,88010,3202,7304,23019,16056,98046,94060,29061,12031,95029,48031,5709,53010,15010,21017,92911,26320,21031,99519,30122,8007505,3506,06012,13013,52016,65020,280Raps

    Remolacha11,06036,75021,95035,83947,87542,33551,50956,61849,37154,32444,73739,78851,92052,45752,94253,28050,04041,69751,95749,67049,20746,40047,43027,14029,43031,41027,67022,75017,100Remolacha

    Lupino8,0807,4507,1406,7408,67010,3708,2708,61012,69020,74024,83917,84611,41719,19018,72422,03616,29014,54015,72019,15025,30028,49022,50016,080Lupino

    Tabaco2,1682,2491,9541,8572,5032,4732,3882,6113,0243,4383,9114,4075,2406,2445,1903,8553,2233,6554,2053,9323,5182,5802,2702,7002,9703,0902,7703,0002,050Tabaco

    Total1,239,1981,081,009946,854872,9261,053,0481,095,9281,150,5871,221,2091,131,4051,105,2721,081,500986,305976,390852,361806,332845,889832,197835,364821,398739,184794,480829,344814,406816,624851,104834,270754,580663,329686,037Total

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin de INE, IANSA, industrias aceiteras y CCT.

    Notas:

    Produccin de cultivos anuales

    Cultivo1979/801980/811981/821982/831983/841984/851985/861986/871987/881988/891989/901990/911991/921992/931993/941994/951995/961996/971997/981998/991999/002000/012001/022002/032003/042004/052005/062006/072007/08Cultivo

    Trigo965,983685,953650,452585,946988,2831,164,6911,625,8091,874,1171,734,1991,765,5251,718,2141,588,6771,556,5881,322,3361,271,2021,372,1661,227,1481,563,7331,682,0401,196,6261,492,7101,780,1571,820,3871,797,0841,921,6521,851,9401,403,6891,103,4971,217,660Trigo

    Avena172,587130,656117,623146,328163,036170,361124,354127,541156,934164,525205,465206,684182,699202,435176,434201,686199,627335,886250,155201,277247,936344,527416,297488,050538,600357,352435,041524,182Avena

    Cebada104,98291,367117,84973,24373,51384,96068,07748,33181,61985,08791,585106,959109,08983,970100,28990,63064,10381,578115,35081,47359,63965,45477,15177,01056,156102,417136,700100,122Cebada

    Centeno10,3799,2066,0594,4644,38311,4808,6104,8313,6818,9176,1748,6867,5412,9176862,5552,3776,3822,8823,5372,3963,735219127127Centeno

    Maz405,185518,142484,049511,547721,389771,776721,289617,244660,855938,464823,150835,723911,056899,496937,250942,223931,572783,268943,276624,037652,019778,498924,2111,189,7291,320,6061,507,7661,381,8941,113,7151,562,822Maz

    Arroz95,44199,735131,181115,555165,011156,649126,667147,033162,251185,186136,012117,115133,531130,629133,080145,899152,795107,442104,34561,000135,060143,261141,927140,849119,265116,832160,315104,472108,992Arroz

    Poroto84,237138,239162,46184,39194,109100,67189,21881,17999,77473,01787,088116,95490,69354,56053,98055,89565,58135,99855,46630,77844,27460,44745,04347,90948,71244,59750,26249,831Poroto

    Lenteja26,84217,69315,81913,84216,01624,67429,02624,74620,1007,8118,26611,88315,7829,7968,9118,5889,6973,3173,7982,0661,0271,0246327017911,063713682Lenteja

    Garbanzo11,5956,4284,0863,2306,9429,2078,90614,8357,5904,1586,0268,77818,63810,76710,09011,37110,0733,7693,9167763,2473,6893,0243,0852,9412,9193,2433,757Garbanzo

    Arveja13,59310,9567,4095,6986,2646,3254,7535,2704,8425,8256,6485,3467,7844,9064,1203,9193,2952,6063,4991,1541,8052,4668791,0231,023Arveja

    Chicharo2,2622,9742,4423,7711,8581,6061,6502,0981,5371,7591,5121,1208569452106891,133566193193Chicharo

    Papa903,1001,007,234841,553683,6321,036,153908,645791,122726,934928,117881,562828,752843,9381,023,236926,036899,619869,503827,6331,304,819791,998994,694988,2201,210,0441,303,2681,093,7281,144,1701,115,7361,391,3781,445,035Papa

    Maravilla38,2467,4355,3924,6347,44632,50154,38139,62948,93331,86827,32832,40526,27613,21912,3657,0005,9471,5324,7294,2639,4433,1312,6902,6133,2182,7935,2845,744Maravilla

    Raps73,41526,88713,2242,9434,08831,91297,10395,139122,591112,91353,19957,68061,70920,86722,71926,35237,45329,74852,01171,60547,73567,3712,01619,42122,11141,22547,15159,974Raps

    Remolacha452,1331,795,6051,080,8181,462,5082,363,4432,262,5393,171,6813,045,6372,903,0893,030,4342,594,0722,498,6593,588,4733,410,6973,357,2103,744,1293,108,8372,405,2492,910,3682,862,4473,112,4072,882,9803,191,8071,953,3062,278,3032,597,7712,199,7831,806,600Remolacha

    Lupino16,3529,64913,27212,50715,67821,18214,48218,65126,21544,09954,64625,06625,33342,07522,41641,37437,01931,06143,52052,01163,24670,47951,408Lupino

    Tabaco5,2575,9015,6555,7508,1287,7637,9808,8249,96811,10112,76714,67816,49819,63616,00712,05010,98811,31411,67911,87410,2918,5346,9767,7139,3219,8508,3499,387Tabaco

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin de INE, IANSA, industrias aceiteras y CCT.

    Notas:

    Rendimientos de cultivos anuales

    Cultivo1979/801980/811981/821982/831983/841984/851985/861986/871987/881988/891989/901990/911991/921992/931995/961997/981998/991999/002000/012001/022002/032003/042004/052005/062006/072007/08Cultivo

    Trigo17.715.917.416.321.023.028.627.730.132.729.534.133.833.535.235.233.339.243.835.338.143.042.743.245.744.144.646.8Trigo

    Avena18.716.317.217.216.920.119.523.025.824.026.227.028.729.730.531.024.732.233.425.328.038.444.646.643.946.648.250.7Avena

    Cebada21.619.920.519.222.224.230.029.533.934.634.833.738.436.635.636.027.537.243.330.734.742.644.243.948.347.647.048.3Cebada

    Centeno12.610.511.09.112.922.818.420.317.531.127.030.029.623.914.629.028.329.227.526.020.732.028.127.127.1Centeno

    Maz34.941.345.243.452.159.168.971.273.275.381.483.984.984.989.491.094.590.594.085.294.194.3105.9108.6110.7112.3111.8116.1Maz

    Arroz23.431.835.538.041.440.739.639.541.743.141.739.442.044.943.843.047.741.739.141.552.450.250.749.947.946.757.352.8Arroz

    Poroto7.611.713.49.811.112.19.99.513.211.512.713.213.011.712.212.013.311.914.310.614.117.016.018.518.418.919.621.0Poroto

    Lenteja5.13.74.16.06.76.87.85.36.15.35.98.08.37.38.78.09.06.27.56.54.77.85.77.77.89.26.26.5Lenteja

    Garbanzo5.64.04.04.15.88.17.110.05.45.37.07.214.510.011.912.010.85.59.03.48.88.79.38.08.09.48.29.7Garbanzo

    Arveja7.56.26.15.96.59.85.98.77.88.911.09.012.48.411.311.37.310.110.16.49.010.37.47.97.3Arveja

    Chicharo6.26.56.57.15.35.55.38.86.59.29.09.26.28.61.66.17.38.37.77.7Chicharo

    Papa101.7112.0108.7101.8127.3144.5150.3126.0149.8140.6150.3142.2164.0145.9153.8152.2138.9161.7140.5164.5164.8191.7212.4195.3192.1200.6220.2226.1Papa

    Maravilla11.814.515.816.015.116.318.121.021.021.223.123.922.220.318.211.215.219.513.414.614.817.417.614.114.615.719.921.4Maravilla

    Raps14.611.312.810.89.716.717.020.320.318.516.719.619.521.922.425.820.926.425.722.424.729.526.936.336.534.034.936.0Raps

    Remolacha408.8488.6492.4408.1493.7534.4615.8537.9588.0557.8579.8628.0691.2650.2634.1702.7621.3576.8560.1576.3632.5621.3673.0719.7774.1827.1795.0794.1Remolacha

    Lupino20.213.018.618.618.120.417.521.720.721.322.014.022.221.912.018.822.721.427.727.225.024.722.8Lupino

    Tabaco24.226.228.931.032.531.433.433.833.032.332.633.331.531.430.831.334.131.027.830.229.333.130.728.631.431.930.131.3Tabaco

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin de INE, IANSA, industrias aceiteras y CCT.

    Notas:

    Cultivos anuales

    &A

    Page &P

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del INE. Ao 2006 cifras provisorias Censo 2007. Ao 2007 estimacin ODEPA.

    Superficie

    Produccin

    Hectreas

    Toneladas

    Evolucin de la superficie y produccin de trigo en Chile 1980 - 2007

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del INE. Ao 2006 cifras provisorias Censo 2007. Ao 2007 estimacin ODEPA.

    Superficie

    Produccin

    Hectreas

    Toneladas

    Fifura 1. Evolucin de la superficie y produccin de arroz en Chile 1980 - 2007

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del INE. Ao 2006 cifras provisorias Censo 2007. Ao 2007 estimacin ODEPA.

    Superficie

    Produccin

    Hectreas

    Toneladas

    Fifura 1. Evolucin de la superficie y produccin de maz en Chile 1980 - 2007

    92380172587

    80110130656

    68330117623

    84850146328

    96250163036

    84920170361

    63860124354

    55510127541

    60710156934

    68690164525

    78300205465

    76540206684

    63600182699

    68190202435.2

    57930176434.2

    65060201686

    80868199627

    104369.2335885.8

    74889250154.8

    79402201276.5

    88701247935.7

    89610344527.4

    93250416296.7

    104620488049.8

    122580538599.5

    76680357352.3

    90190435040.9

    103320524181.5

    105990

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del INE

    Superficie

    Produccin

    Hectreas

    Toneladas

    Fifura 1. Evolucin de la superficie y produccin de avena en Chile 1980 - 2007

  • Grfico2

    116190405185

    125530518142

    107130484049

    117950511547

    138370721389

    130520771776

    104740721289

    86680617244

    90310660855

    124650938464

    101130823150

    99590835723

    107330911056

    105960899496

    104860937250.4

    103541942223.1

    98628931572.2

    86521.6783268.4

    100342943275.7

    73284624036.7

    69275652018.5

    82550778498

    87270924211

    1096001189728.9

    1193201320605.8

    1342801507766.1

    1235601381894.4

    1255891113715

    1347261562822

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del INE. Ao 2006 cifras provisorias Censo 2007. Ao 2007 estimacin ODEPA.

    Superficie

    Produccin

    Hectreas

    Toneladas

    Evolucin de la superficie y produccin de maz en Chile 1980 - 2007

    Cultivos anuales

    Superficie sembrada de cultivos anuales

    Cultivo1979/801980/811981/821982/831983/841984/851985/861986/871987/881988/891989/901990/911991/921992/931993/941994/951995/961997/981998/991999/002000/012001/022002/032003/042004/052005/06Cultivo

    Trigo545,740432,160373,800359,180471,320506,190569,170676,560576,630540,290582,820466,480460,700395,110361,580389,820368,751398,643383,622338,583391,580414,000426,100415,660420,400419,660314,720231,785270,591Trigo16.7422395755-18.7840209024

    Avena92,38080,11068,33084,85096,25084,92063,86055,51060,71068,69078,30076,54063,60068,19057,93065,06080,868104,36974,88979,40288,70189,61093,250104,620122,58076,68090,190103,320105,990Avena

    Cebada48,62045,96057,48038,16033,15035,04022,72016,37024,07024,59026,32031,71028,39022,92028,18025,17523,34021,94526,63226,50217,20815,37017,45017,53011,63021,50029,06020,71021,840Cebada16.68

    8,2508,7705,4904,8903,3905,0304,6702,3802,1002,8702,2872,9002,5501,2204708818392,1831,0481,3601,1581,167784747Centeno

    Maz116,190125,530107,130117,950138,370130,520104,74086,68090,310124,650101,13099,590107,330105,960104,860103,54198,62886,522100,34273,28469,27582,55087,270109,600119,320134,280123,560125,589134,726Maz

    Arroz40,84031,40036,96030,43039,88038,52032,02037,27038,90042,99032,59029,75031,76029,08030,36033,93032,03025,74826,70214,69625,76828,55027,98028,23024,90025,03027,98021,76520,960Arroz

    Poroto110,700117,740121,52086,41084,54083,04089,83085,66075,67063,40068,56088,44070,01046,71044,33046,57949,35330,25238,69429,05831,38635,62028,19025,87026,50023,54025,65023,76012,880Poroto

    Lenteja52,95047,66038,86023,05023,73036,36037,27046,33032,75014,69013,93014,87018,97013,37010,25010,73510,7875,3485,0593,1702,1921,3201,1009101,0201,1601,1501,050910Lenteja

    Garbanzo20,57016,23010,1107,81011,92011,32012,61014,79014,1607,8308,67012,15012,88010,7408,5109,4769,3196,8954,3642,2663,6844,2303,2403,8403,6903,0903,9603,8603,470Garbanzo

    Arveja18,20017,53012,1209,7109,6006,4608,0906,0706,1806,5506,0405,9206,2605,8303,6403,4684,5342,5763,4671,8132,0122,3971,1821,2971,397Arveja

    Chicharo3,6404,5603,7505,3003,4902,9253,1402,3802,3501,9101,6801,2181,3831,0991,3351,1381,550686250250Chicharo

    Papa88,76089,92077,41067,16081,37062,87052,65057,70061,95062,68055,14059,33062,38063,45058,49057,12959,58580,68556,37660,46559,95763,11061,36056,00059,56055,62063,20063,91056,310Papa

    Maravilla32,4105,1203,4202,9004,92019,97030,07018,83023,25015,00011,82013,54011,8406,5106,8006,2313,9077853,5422,9296,3591,8001,5301,8602,2001,7802,6602,6802,850Maravilla

    Raps50,36023,88010,3202,7304,23019,16056,98046,94060,29061,12031,95029,48031,5709,53010,15010,21017,92911,26320,21031,99519,30122,8007505,3506,06012,13013,52016,65020,280Raps

    Remolacha11,06036,75021,95035,83947,87542,33551,50956,61849,37154,32444,73739,78851,92052,45752,94253,28050,04041,69751,95749,67049,20746,40047,43027,14029,43031,41027,67022,75017,100Remolacha

    Lupino8,0807,4507,1406,7408,67010,3708,2708,61012,69020,74024,83917,84611,41719,19018,72422,03616,29014,54015,72019,15025,30028,49022,50016,080Lupino

    Tabaco2,1682,2491,9541,8572,5032,4732,3882,6113,0243,4383,9114,4075,2406,2445,1903,8553,2233,6554,2053,9323,5182,5802,2702,7002,9703,0902,7703,0002,050Tabaco

    Total1,239,1981,081,009946,854872,9261,053,0481,095,9281,150,5871,221,2091,131,4051,105,2721,081,500986,305976,390852,361806,332845,889832,197835,364821,398739,184794,480829,344814,406816,624851,104834,270754,580663,329686,037Total

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin de INE, IANSA, industrias aceiteras y CCT.

    Notas:

    Produccin de cultivos anuales

    Cultivo1979/801980/811981/821982/831983/841984/851985/861986/871987/881988/891989/901990/911991/921992/931993/941994/951995/961996/971997/981998/991999/002000/012001/022002/032003/042004/052005/062006/072007/08Cultivo

    Trigo965,983685,953650,452585,946988,2831,164,6911,625,8091,874,1171,734,1991,765,5251,718,2141,588,6771,556,5881,322,3361,271,2021,372,1661,227,1481,563,7331,682,0401,196,6261,492,7101,780,1571,820,3871,797,0841,921,6521,851,9401,403,6891,103,4971,217,660Trigo

    Avena172,587130,656117,623146,328163,036170,361124,354127,541156,934164,525205,465206,684182,699202,435176,434201,686199,627335,886250,155201,277247,936344,527416,297488,050538,600357,352435,041524,182Avena

    Cebada104,98291,367117,84973,24373,51384,96068,07748,33181,61985,08791,585106,959109,08983,970100,28990,63064,10381,578115,35081,47359,63965,45477,15177,01056,156102,417136,700100,122Cebada

    Centeno10,3799,2066,0594,4644,38311,4808,6104,8313,6818,9176,1748,6867,5412,9176862,5552,3776,3822,8823,5372,3963,735219127127Centeno

    Maz405,185518,142484,049511,547721,389771,776721,289617,244660,855938,464823,150835,723911,056899,496937,250942,223931,572783,268943,276624,037652,019778,498924,2111,189,7291,320,6061,507,7661,381,8941,113,7151,562,822Maz

    Arroz95,44199,735131,181115,555165,011156,649126,667147,033162,251185,186136,012117,115133,531130,629133,080145,899152,795107,442104,34561,000135,060143,261141,927140,849119,265116,832160,315104,472108,992Arroz

    Poroto84,237138,239162,46184,39194,109100,67189,21881,17999,77473,01787,088116,95490,69354,56053,98055,89565,58135,99855,46630,77844,27460,44745,04347,90948,71244,59750,26249,831Poroto

    Lenteja26,84217,69315,81913,84216,01624,67429,02624,74620,1007,8118,26611,88315,7829,7968,9118,5889,6973,3173,7982,0661,0271,0246327017911,063713682Lenteja

    Garbanzo11,5956,4284,0863,2306,9429,2078,90614,8357,5904,1586,0268,77818,63810,76710,09011,37110,0733,7693,9167763,2473,6893,0243,0852,9412,9193,2433,757Garbanzo

    Arveja13,59310,9567,4095,6986,2646,3254,7535,2704,8425,8256,6485,3467,7844,9064,1203,9193,2952,6063,4991,1541,8052,4668791,0231,023Arveja

    Chicharo2,2622,9742,4423,7711,8581,6061,6502,0981,5371,7591,5121,1208569452106891,133566193193Chicharo

    Papa903,1001,007,234841,553683,6321,036,153908,645791,122726,934928,117881,562828,752843,9381,023,236926,036899,619869,503827,6331,304,819791,998994,694988,2201,210,0441,303,2681,093,7281,144,1701,115,7361,391,3781,445,035Papa

    Maravilla38,2467,4355,3924,6347,44632,50154,38139,62948,93331,86827,32832,40526,27613,21912,3657,0005,9471,5324,7294,2639,4433,1312,6902,6133,2182,7935,2845,744Maravilla

    Raps73,41526,88713,2242,9434,08831,91297,10395,139122,591112,91353,19957,68061,70920,86722,71926,35237,45329,74852,01171,60547,73567,3712,01619,42122,11141,22547,15159,974Raps

    Remolacha452,1331,795,6051,080,8181,462,5082,363,4432,262,5393,171,6813,045,6372,903,0893,030,4342,594,0722,498,6593,588,4733,410,6973,357,2103,744,1293,108,8372,405,2492,910,3682,862,4473,112,4072,882,9803,191,8071,953,3062,278,3032,597,7712,199,7831,806,600Remolacha

    Lupino16,3529,64913,27212,50715,67821,18214,48218,65126,21544,09954,64625,06625,33342,07522,41641,37437,01931,06143,52052,01163,24670,47951,408Lupino

    Tabaco5,2575,9015,6555,7508,1287,7637,9808,8249,96811,10112,76714,67816,49819,63616,00712,05010,98811,31411,67911,87410,2918,5346,9767,7139,3219,8508,3499,387Tabaco

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin de INE, IANSA, industrias aceiteras y CCT.

    Notas:

    Rendimientos de cultivos anuales

    Cultivo1979/801980/811981/821982/831983/841984/851985/861986/871987/881988/891989/901990/911991/921992/931995/961997/981998/991999/002000/012001/022002/032003/042004/052005/062006/072007/08Cultivo

    Trigo17.715.917.416.321.023.028.627.730.132.729.534.133.833.535.235.233.339.243.835.338.143.042.743.245.744.144.646.8Trigo

    Avena18.716.317.217.216.920.119.523.025.824.026.227.028.729.730.531.024.732.233.425.328.038.444.646.643.946.648.250.7Avena

    Cebada21.619.920.519.222.224.230.029.533.934.634.833.738.436.635.636.027.537.243.330.734.742.644.243.948.347.647.048.3Cebada

    Centeno12.610.511.09.112.922.818.420.317.531.127.030.029.623.914.629.028.329.227.526.020.732.028.127.127.1Centeno

    Maz34.941.345.243.452.159.168.971.273.275.381.483.984.984.989.491.094.590.594.085.294.194.3105.9108.6110.7112.3111.8116.1Maz

    Arroz23.431.835.538.041.440.739.639.541.743.141.739.442.044.943.843.047.741.739.141.552.450.250.749.947.946.757.352.8Arroz

    Poroto7.611.713.49.811.112.19.99.513.211.512.713.213.011.712.212.013.311.914.310.614.117.016.018.518.418.919.621.0Poroto

    Lenteja5.13.74.16.06.76.87.85.36.15.35.98.08.37.38.78.09.06.27.56.54.77.85.77.77.89.26.26.5Lenteja

    Garbanzo5.64.04.04.15.88.17.110.05.45.37.07.214.510.011.912.010.85.59.03.48.88.79.38.08.09.48.29.7Garbanzo

    Arveja7.56.26.15.96.59.85.98.77.88.911.09.012.48.411.311.37.310.110.16.49.010.37.47.97.3Arveja

    Chicharo6.26.56.57.15.35.55.38.86.59.29.09.26.28.61.66.17.38.37.77.7Chicharo

    Papa101.7112.0108.7101.8127.3144.5150.3126.0149.8140.6150.3142.2164.0145.9153.8152.2138.9161.7140.5164.5164.8191.7212.4195.3192.1200.6220.2226.1Papa

    Maravilla11.814.515.816.015.116.318.121.021.021.223.123.922.220.318.211.215.219.513.414.614.817.417.614.114.615.719.921.4Maravilla

    Raps14.611.312.810.89.716.717.020.320.318.516.719.619.521.922.425.820.926.425.722.424.729.526.936.336.534.034.936.0Raps

    Remolacha408.8488.6492.4408.1493.7534.4615.8537.9588.0557.8579.8628.0691.2650.2634.1702.7621.3576.8560.1576.3632.5621.3673.0719.7774.1827.1795.0794.1Remolacha

    Lupino20.213.018.618.618.120.417.521.720.721.322.014.022.221.912.018.822.721.427.727.225.024.722.8Lupino

    Tabaco24.226.228.931.032.531.433.433.833.032.332.633.331.531.430.831.334.131.027.830.229.333.130.728.631.431.930.131.3Tabaco

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin de INE, IANSA, industrias aceiteras y CCT.

    Notas:

    Cultivos anuales

    &A

    Page &P

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del INE. Ao 2006 cifras provisorias Censo 2007. Ao 2007 estimacin ODEPA.

    Superficie

    Produccin

    Hectreas

    Toneladas

    Evolucin de la superficie y produccin de trigo en Chile 1980 - 2007

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del INE. Ao 2006 cifras provisorias Censo 2007. Ao 2007 estimacin ODEPA.

    Superficie

    Produccin

    Hectreas

    Toneladas

    Fifura 1. Evolucin de la superficie y produccin de arroz en Chile 1980 - 2007

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del INE. Ao 2006 cifras provisorias Censo 2007. Ao 2007 estimacin ODEPA.

    Superficie

    Produccin

    Hectreas

    Toneladas

    Evolucin de la superficie y produccin de maz en Chile 1980 - 2007

    92380172587

    80110130656

    68330117623

    84850146328

    96250163036

    84920170361

    63860124354

    55510127541

    60710156934

    68690164525

    78300205465

    76540206684

    63600182699

    68190202435.2

    57930176434.2

    65060201686

    80868199627

    104369.2335885.8

    74889250154.8

    79402201276.5

    88701247935.7

    89610344527.4

    93250416296.7

    104620488049.8

    122580538599.5

    76680357352.3

    90190435040.9

    103320524181.5

    105990

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del INE

    Superficie

    Produccin

    Hectreas

    Toneladas

    Fifura 1. Evolucin de la superficie y produccin de avena en Chile 1980 - 2007

  • Grfico3

    4084095441

    3140099735

    36960131181

    30430115555

    39880165011

    38520156649

    32020126667

    37270147033

    38900162251

    42990185186

    32590136012

    29750117115

    31760133531

    29080130629.3

    30360133080

    33930145899

    32030152795.4

    25747.8107441.6

    26702104344.5

    1469661000.2

    25768135060

    28550143260.9

    27980141926.8

    28230140849.1

    24900119265

    25030116831.9

    27980160314.6

    21765104472

    20960108992

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del INE. Ao 2006 cifras provisorias Censo 2007. Ao 2007 estimacin ODEPA.

    Superficie

    Produccin

    Hectreas

    Toneladas

    Evolucin de la superficie y produccin de arroz en Chile 1980 - 2007

    Cultivos anuales

    Superficie sembrada de cultivos anuales

    Cultivo1979/801980/811981/821982/831983/841984/851985/861986/871987/881988/891989/901990/911991/921992/931993/941994/951995/961997/981998/991999/002000/012001/022002/032003/042004/052005/06Cultivo

    Trigo545,740432,160373,800359,180471,320506,190569,170676,560576,630540,290582,820466,480460,700395,110361,580389,820368,751398,643383,622338,583391,580414,000426,100415,660420,400419,660314,720231,785270,591Trigo16.7422395755-18.7840209024

    Avena92,38080,11068,33084,85096,25084,92063,86055,51060,71068,69078,30076,54063,60068,19057,93065,06080,868104,36974,88979,40288,70189,61093,250104,620122,58076,68090,190103,320105,990Avena

    Cebada48,62045,96057,48038,16033,15035,04022,72016,37024,07024,59026,32031,71028,39022,92028,18025,17523,34021,94526,63226,50217,20815,37017,45017,53011,63021,50029,06020,71021,840Cebada16.68

    8,2508,7705,4904,8903,3905,0304,6702,3802,1002,8702,2872,9002,5501,2204708818392,1831,0481,3601,1581,167784747Centeno

    Maz116,190125,530107,130117,950138,370130,520104,74086,68090,310124,650101,13099,590107,330105,960104,860103,54198,62886,522100,34273,28469,27582,55087,270109,600119,320134,280123,560125,589134,726Maz

    Arroz40,84031,40036,96030,43039,88038,52032,02037,27038,90042,99032,59029,75031,76029,08030,36033,93032,03025,74826,70214,69625,76828,55027,98028,23024,90025,03027,98021,76520,960Arroz

    Poroto110,700117,740121,52086,41084,54083,04089,83085,66075,67063,40068,56088,44070,01046,71044,33046,57949,35330,25238,69429,05831,38635,62028,19025,87026,50023,54025,65023,76012,880Poroto

    Lenteja52,95047,66038,86023,05023,73036,36037,27046,33032,75014,69013,93014,87018,97013,37010,25010,73510,7875,3485,0593,1702,1921,3201,1009101,0201,1601,1501,050910Lenteja

    Garbanzo20,57016,23010,1107,81011,92011,32012,61014,79014,1607,8308,67012,15012,88010,7408,5109,4769,3196,8954,3642,2663,6844,2303,2403,8403,6903,0903,9603,8603,470Garbanzo

    Arveja18,20017,53012,1209,7109,6006,4608,0906,0706,1806,5506,0405,9206,2605,8303,6403,4684,5342,5763,4671,8132,0122,3971,1821,2971,397Arveja

    Chicharo3,6404,5603,7505,3003,4902,9253,1402,3802,3501,9101,6801,2181,3831,0991,3351,1381,550686250250Chicharo

    Papa88,76089,92077,41067,16081,37062,87052,65057,70061,95062,68055,14059,33062,38063,45058,49057,12959,58580,68556,37660,46559,95763,11061,36056,00059,56055,62063,20063,91056,310Papa

    Maravilla32,4105,1203,4202,9004,92019,97030,07018,83023,25015,00011,82013,54011,8406,5106,8006,2313,9077853,5422,9296,3591,8001,5301,8602,2001,7802,6602,6802,850Maravilla

    Raps50,36023,88010,3202,7304,23019,16056,98046,94060,29061,12031,95029,48031,5709,53010,15010,21017,92911,26320,21031,99519,30122,8007505,3506,06012,13013,52016,65020,280Raps

    Remolacha11,06036,75021,95035,83947,87542,33551,50956,61849,37154,32444,73739,78851,92052,45752,94253,28050,04041,69751,95749,67049,20746,40047,43027,14029,43031,41027,67022,75017,100Remolacha

    Lupino8,0807,4507,1406,7408,67010,3708,2708,61012,69020,74024,83917,84611,41719,19018,72422,03616,29014,54015,72019,15025,30028,49022,50016,080Lupino

    Tabaco2,1682,2491,9541,8572,5032,4732,3882,6113,0243,4383,9114,4075,2406,2445,1903,8553,2233,6554,2053,9323,5182,5802,2702,7002,9703,0902,7703,0002,050Tabaco

    Total1,239,1981,081,009946,854872,9261,053,0481,095,9281,150,5871,221,2091,131,4051,105,2721,081,500986,305976,390852,361806,332845,889832,197835,364821,398739,184794,480829,344814,406816,624851,104834,270754,580663,329686,037Total

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin de INE, IANSA, industrias aceiteras y CCT.

    Notas:

    Produccin de cultivos anuales

    Cultivo1979/801980/811981/821982/831983/841984/851985/861986/871987/881988/891989/901990/911991/921992/931993/941994/951995/961996/971997/981998/991999/002000/012001/022002/032003/042004/052005/062006/072007/08Cultivo

    Trigo965,983685,953650,452585,946988,2831,164,6911,625,8091,874,1171,734,1991,765,5251,718,2141,588,6771,556,5881,322,3361,271,2021,372,1661,227,1481,563,7331,682,0401,196,6261,492,7101,780,1571,820,3871,797,0841,921,6521,851,9401,403,6891,103,4971,217,660Trigo

    Avena172,587130,656117,623146,328163,036170,361124,354127,541156,934164,525205,465206,684182,699202,435176,434201,686199,627335,886250,155201,277247,936344,527416,297488,050538,600357,352435,041524,182Avena

    Cebada104,98291,367117,84973,24373,51384,96068,07748,33181,61985,08791,585106,959109,08983,970100,28990,63064,10381,578115,35081,47359,63965,45477,15177,01056,156102,417136,700100,122Cebada

    Centeno10,3799,2066,0594,4644,38311,4808,6104,8313,6818,9176,1748,6867,5412,9176862,5552,3776,3822,8823,5372,3963,735219127127Centeno

    Maz405,185518,142484,049511,547721,389771,776721,289617,244660,855938,464823,150835,723911,056899,496937,250942,223931,572783,268943,276624,037652,019778,498924,2111,189,7291,320,6061,507,7661,381,8941,113,7151,562,822Maz

    Arroz95,44199,735131,181115,555165,011156,649126,667147,033162,251185,186136,012117,115133,531130,629133,080145,899152,795107,442104,34561,000135,060143,261141,927140,849119,265116,832160,315104,472108,992Arroz

    Poroto84,237138,239162,46184,39194,109100,67189,21881,17999,77473,01787,088116,95490,69354,56053,98055,89565,58135,99855,46630,77844,27460,44745,04347,90948,71244,59750,26249,831Poroto

    Lenteja26,84217,69315,81913,84216,01624,67429,02624,74620,1007,8118,26611,88315,7829,7968,9118,5889,6973,3173,7982,0661,0271,0246327017911,063713682Lenteja

    Garbanzo11,5956,4284,0863,2306,9429,2078,90614,8357,5904,1586,0268,77818,63810,76710,09011,37110,0733,7693,9167763,2473,6893,0243,0852,9412,9193,2433,757Garbanzo

    Arveja13,59310,9567,4095,6986,2646,3254,7535,2704,8425,8256,6485,3467,7844,9064,1203,9193,2952,6063,4991,1541,8052,4668791,0231,023Arveja

    Chicharo2,2622,9742,4423,7711,8581,6061,6502,0981,5371,7591,5121,1208569452106891,133566193193Chicharo

    Papa903,1001,007,234841,553683,6321,036,153908,645791,122726,934928,117881,562828,752843,9381,023,236926,036899,619869,503827,6331,304,819791,998994,694988,2201,210,0441,303,2681,093,7281,144,1701,115,7361,391,3781,445,035Papa

    Maravilla38,2467,4355,3924,6347,44632,50154,38139,62948,93331,86827,32832,40526,27613,21912,3657,0005,9471,5324,7294,2639,4433,1312,6902,6133,2182,7935,2845,744Maravilla

    Raps73,41526,88713,2242,9434,08831,91297,10395,139122,591112,91353,19957,68061,70920,86722,71926,35237,45329,74852,01171,60547,73567,3712,01619,42122,11141,22547,15159,974Raps

    Remolacha452,1331,795,6051,080,8181,462,5082,363,4432,262,5393,171,6813,045,6372,903,0893,030,4342,594,0722,498,6593,588,4733,410,6973,357,2103,744,1293,108,8372,405,2492,910,3682,862,4473,112,4072,882,9803,191,8071,953,3062,278,3032,597,7712,199,7831,806,600Remolacha

    Lupino16,3529,64913,27212,50715,67821,18214,48218,65126,21544,09954,64625,06625,33342,07522,41641,37437,01931,06143,52052,01163,24670,47951,408Lupino

    Tabaco5,2575,9015,6555,7508,1287,7637,9808,8249,96811,10112,76714,67816,49819,63616,00712,05010,98811,31411,67911,87410,2918,5346,9767,7139,3219,8508,3499,387Tabaco

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin de INE, IANSA, industrias aceiteras y CCT.

    Notas:

    Rendimientos de cultivos anuales

    Cultivo1979/801980/811981/821982/831983/841984/851985/861986/871987/881988/891989/901990/911991/921992/931995/961997/981998/991999/002000/012001/022002/032003/042004/052005/062006/072007/08Cultivo

    Trigo17.715.917.416.321.023.028.627.730.132.729.534.133.833.535.235.233.339.243.835.338.143.042.743.245.744.144.646.8Trigo

    Avena18.716.317.217.216.920.119.523.025.824.026.227.028.729.730.531.024.732.233.425.328.038.444.646.643.946.648.250.7Avena

    Cebada21.619.920.519.222.224.230.029.533.934.634.833.738.436.635.636.027.537.243.330.734.742.644.243.948.347.647.048.3Cebada

    Centeno12.610.511.09.112.922.818.420.317.531.127.030.029.623.914.629.028.329.227.526.020.732.028.127.127.1Centeno

    Maz34.941.345.243.452.159.168.971.273.275.381.483.984.984.989.491.094.590.594.085.294.194.3105.9108.6110.7112.3111.8116.1Maz

    Arroz23.431.835.538.041.440.739.639.541.743.141.739.442.044.943.843.047.741.739.141.552.450.250.749.947.946.757.352.8Arroz

    Poroto7.611.713.49.811.112.19.99.513.211.512.713.213.011.712.212.013.311.914.310.614.117.016.018.518.418.919.621.0Poroto

    Lenteja5.13.74.16.06.76.87.85.36.15.35.98.08.37.38.78.09.06.27.56.54.77.85.77.77.89.26.26.5Lenteja

    Garbanzo5.64.04.04.15.88.17.110.05.45.37.07.214.510.011.912.010.85.59.03.48.88.79.38.08.09.48.29.7Garbanzo

    Arveja7.56.26.15.96.59.85.98.77.88.911.09.012.48.411.311.37.310.110.16.49.010.37.47.97.3Arveja

    Chicharo6.26.56.57.15.35.55.38.86.59.29.09.26.28.61.66.17.38.37.77.7Chicharo

    Papa101.7112.0108.7101.8127.3144.5150.3126.0149.8140.6150.3142.2164.0145.9153.8152.2138.9161.7140.5164.5164.8191.7212.4195.3192.1200.6220.2226.1Papa

    Maravilla11.814.515.816.015.116.318.121.021.021.223.123.922.220.318.211.215.219.513.414.614.817.417.614.114.615.719.921.4Maravilla

    Raps14.611.312.810.89.716.717.020.320.318.516.719.619.521.922.425.820.926.425.722.424.729.526.936.336.534.034.936.0Raps

    Remolacha408.8488.6492.4408.1493.7534.4615.8537.9588.0557.8579.8628.0691.2650.2634.1702.7621.3576.8560.1576.3632.5621.3673.0719.7774.1827.1795.0794.1Remolacha

    Lupino20.213.018.618.618.120.417.521.720.721.322.014.022.221.912.018.822.721.427.727.225.024.722.8Lupino

    Tabaco24.226.228.931.032.531.433.433.833.032.332.633.331.531.430.831.334.131.027.830.229.333.130.728.631.431.930.131.3Tabaco

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin de INE, IANSA, industrias aceiteras y CCT.

    Notas:

    Cultivos anuales

    &A

    Page &P

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del INE. Ao 2006 cifras provisorias Censo 2007. Ao 2007 estimacin ODEPA.

    Superficie

    Produccin

    Hectreas

    Toneladas

    Evolucin de la superficie y produccin de trigo en Chile 1980 - 2007

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del INE. Ao 2006 cifras provisorias Censo 2007. Ao 2007 estimacin ODEPA.

    Superficie

    Produccin

    Hectreas

    Toneladas

    Evolucin de la superficie y produccin de arroz en Chile 1980 - 2007

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del INE. Ao 2006 cifras provisorias Censo 2007. Ao 2007 estimacin ODEPA.

    Superficie

    Produccin

    Hectreas

    Toneladas

    Evolucin de la superficie y produccin de maz en Chile 1980 - 2007

    92380172587

    80110130656

    68330117623

    84850146328

    96250163036

    84920170361

    63860124354

    55510127541

    60710156934

    68690164525

    78300205465

    76540206684

    63600182699

    68190202435.2

    57930176434.2

    65060201686

    80868199627

    104369.2335885.8

    74889250154.8

    79402201276.5

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    104620488049.8

    122580538599.5

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    103320524181.5

    105990

    Fuente: elaborado por ODEPA con informacin del INE

    Superficie

    Produccin

    Hectreas

    Toneladas

    Fifura 1. Evolucin de la superficie y produccin de avena en Chile 1980 - 2007

  • Resultados econmicos de algunos cultivos en 2008/09 (estimacin preliminar aproximada)

    GranoReginRendimientoPrecioIngreso brutoCostos directosMargen brutoFertilizantes en (qq/ha)($/qq)($)($)($)costo directo (%)Trigo de riegoMaule7023.5001.645.000738.825906.17560,0%Trigo secanoMalleco5521.0001.155.000677.780477.22041,1%MazO'Higgins15013.6002.040.0001.254.799785.20146,5%ArrozMaule6018.5001.110.000631.260478.74030,1%

  • Mantener el principio del Estado que informa y de privados que decidenApertura de la economa es pertinente incluso en esta situacin.Lo que debe evitarse es la poltica pendularLo que corresponde es lograr polticas simtricas entre fomento a la exportacin y sustitucin competitiva de importacionesMejorar la informacin y el apoyo tecnolgico no discriminado segn sea para exportar o sustituir importaciones.

  • *