nbn: the hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps...

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31 st May 2011 Sydney Convention & Exhibition Centre AusInnovate: NBN Conference 2011 NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon Bell Principal Researcher Microsoft Research, Silicon Valley Laboratory

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Page 1: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and

“killer apps”i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid.

University of New England

16 November 2011

Gordon Bell

Principal Researcher

Microsoft Research, Silicon Valley Laboratory

Page 2: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Observation, bias, and challenge

1. NBN is: Cloud Services as the Silver Bullets. It’s: “Continuous Services” for “Cloud Connected Devices”.

2. “The Cloud” will drive the NBN

3. Poster apps e.g. energy grid, education & health are Application, content, data rights limited… look elsewhere

4. NBN requires new ventures and new usesIt’s now up to engineers, scientists, and entrepreneurs

5. NBN success should or will be judged by new ventures… and their payoff

Page 3: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Cloud Computing:Services &

Content

Mobile Clients

Fixed Clients & Client Nets

NBN

Television Content

NBN: fiber/wireless net connecting mobile and fixed clients to a cloud computing infrastructure for applications & content

Page 4: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Computer person’s view of NBN:“Continuous Services i.e. apps & Client Connected Devices”

Mobile ClientsConnected Devices

Fixed Clients & Client Nets

NBN

Television Content

Cloud Computing:Services &

Content

Page 5: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Outline• NBN from computing perspective: It’s the cloud• The Internet was built for Research… got the Web!• The Cloud” is the next computer class…Bell’s Law

– The Internet of Things (& Phones) create the demand– Science apps are critical: 4th paradigm– Engineering apps pay the bills:CSIRO Tasmanian sensor net– Health: is a cloud app … some day– Entrepreneur's & Services. Surveillance, lifelogging, etc.

• Tele-x. Sarnoff’s, Metcalfe’s (Vail’s), & Reed’s Laws e.g. face2facebook. Tele-”n”-vision for sports, health

Page 6: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Colin Griffin UNE9/2011

Page 7: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Ed Feigenbaum, Stanford Faculty Campus.Fiber to the home

Page 8: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

A tale of two approaches• NBN US: Massive study re. competition & plan.

Result: Let the market build it.• NBN Oz: Minimal study & plan.

Result: Just do it.

Page 9: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Courtesy Mary Meeker Presents…

Page 10: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

10

Recalling 1995: First Internet World Keynote… 1,000 attendees

Prediction of post www with fiber.The worlds of TV, telecom, and data collide

Page 11: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

11

Net History: Story of Serendipity ARPAnet c1970 goals:

• rlogin; load-, program-, and data-sharing… cost-motivated

Got: • rlogin (remote login)• mail plus as a service carrier....• bbs/news/chat/muds/moos • ftp (file transfer protocol) and • rpc enabled distributed computing

Page 12: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

12

Broad-cast

Cable

PBX

VCRCDs>97

LECsTV

LongDist.

LECsDBS

TheInternet

clients/servers

LANs

Pvt.WANs

Cablephone

CableI’net

LANPBX

I’netPhone

GamesWire-less

Wire-less

Television world Telephony

world

Datacom world

The Colliding Worlds of TV, Telephony & Datacom a.k.a. Computing & Internet

ITV?

RADIO

WHAT ABOUT TV AS AGGREGATIONS OF CHANNELS?

HOW MUCH AGGREGATION IS NEEDED?Cable provides:

TV on demand, internet &

POTS

AT&T provides: POTS, wireless,

DSL..., & TV tbd

Page 13: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

13

Video & Convergence…Finally90% traffic is video; Neflix 30%, YouTube 20, Bittorent$1000 Bet: Nat Barrie asserts that by January 2013, the

majority of video will come via computer versus conventional TV Broadcast channels that include cable e.g. Foxtel digital and over-the-air channels.

Computer channels include all the video content that is store and forward, on demand e.g. ABC on line, Hulu, Netflix, YouTube via all the digital IP streams e.g.  WiFi, Cable Modems, ADSL, NBN fiber.

Page 14: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

14

The TV “cable bundle” in your hand…

Page 15: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

The Cloud is a New Computer Class

• “The Cloud” comes in various sizes, shapes, and ownership and rental models

• It is so important that nearly all research has to be “cloud washed”

Page 16: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Bell’s Law of Computer Classes… Where we are goingEvery Decade a new class emerges and some die

• Every decade a new, lower (1/10th) cost class of computers emerge to cover cyberspace with a– New computing platform– New Interface to humans or something in physical world, “stuff”– New networking and/or interconnect structure

• New classes new apps new industries• The classes… a decade in price every decade

– ‘60s $millions mainframes (central)– ‘70s $10K-100K minis– ‘80s $10K workstations and PCs (personal)– ‘90s $1K The Internet PCs– ‘00s $100s Smartphones & the “cloud” Services … XaaS– ‘10s $10 “the cloud” & small clients (central & person)

“The Internet of Things”, WSNs, sensors– ?? ? In body, implantable everything.– ??? ? “the singularity” computers > human

Page 17: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Cloud Computing c2010 … XaaS

Page 18: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

ATSE Cloud Computing. Sept. 2010R1 The Commonwealth Government should …ensure a supportive regulatory environment.

R2 The Commonwealth Government’s Commercialisation …should actively encourage new businesses that are cloud-focused at internet-scale applications.R3 The Commonwealth Department of Broadband Communications …to ensure that unnecessary impediments to the uptake of Cloud Computing are minimised.

R4 Australian universities should expand … to build knowledge and skills in cloud computing. R5 The Commonwealth Government should create and fund an Australian equivalent of the NSF’s Cluster Exploratory Program and the NSF-Microsoft Program to actively encourage cloud computing.R6 The National Research Infrastructure Council (NRIC) should refine its investment plans to reflect the benefits that cloud computing can provide.R7 The Commonwealth Government should ensure that proposals for research data storage using Super Science funds have evaluated cloud computing services.

Page 19: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

ATSE Cloud Computing Report

September 2010(find the NBN in

this picture)

Page 20: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

The Internet of Things= Smart World… devices for health, energy, science, etc.

• Things: appliances, platforms, peripherals, WSNs,… phones that have been evolving for decades

• Anything, Anytime, Anywhere, Anyway, Always Applications:– Mostly mobile phones, the foreseeable future– scientific sensors for transforming science– networks monitoring and control—water, traffic,

power, health/wellness, earth science, … smart(x)

Page 21: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

.net gadgeteerMicrosoft Gadgeteer

Page 22: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Courtesy Mary Meeker Presents…

Page 23: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Courtesy Mary Meeker Presents…

Page 24: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Smartphones are today’ personal mainframesFunctions integrated into cell phones aka Smart Phones aka small form factor devices aka handheld computersTV

eBookGeoVector

eBook, TVPointing anywhere*

BodyMedia Health monitoriPod Multimedia player

Windows Mobile Smartphone & PC with appsWeb Browsing WWW.

BlackBerry EmailPocketPC Programmable platform -PC with apps

Rio & Music svc Digital Audio PlayerImaging Camera addition

GPS service GPS service AvailabilityPalm PDA FunctionalitySMS SMS Service

Cellular net US mobile phones licensed (AMPS)Gameboyhandheld games

1979 1983 1992 1995 1995 1997 1998 1999 2000 20022002 2002 2003 2007 2010Notes: Increasing bandwidth protocols e.g. GSM, service generations enabler not shown

Audio recording, video capture, videophone, and mobile TV not shown*GPS: location lat, long, alt. 3 axis compass; 6 axis accel.

Page 25: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Complete, 1 mm3 Systems--mote

MicroProcBatterySolar cellXmitterSensor5.3 nW

Page 26: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Science and Engineering Apps…

• The Fourth Paradigm of scientific discovery• Science and Engineering are both real time

– Science closed loop is o(years to decades)– Engineering is for sensing and immediate control

Page 27: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Sensing…

REAL WORLD System

Sensors*

Observations by human operators

*Sensor/effector may be people

Sharing of dataTo effect change

Page 28: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Plain old closed loop control

Real time Control (ideal sans noise)

REAL WORLD System

Model of REAL WORLD

System

Sensors*

Effectors*

Advice (t+1)

Controller(Processing,

policies & people)

*Sensor/effector may be people

Page 29: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Four Science Paradigms1. Thousand years ago: science was empirical

describing natural phenomena2. Last few hundred years:

theoretical branch using models, generalizations3. Last few decades:

a computational branch simulating phenomena4. Today: data exploration branch (eScience)

unify theory, experiment, and simulation – Data captured by instruments or simulation– Processed by software– Information/Knowledge stored in computer for enquiry– Scientist analyzes database / files

using data management and statistics– Data lives & is accessed forever

2

22.

3

4

a

cG

a

a

Jim Gray NRC-CSTB

Page 30: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Synthesizing Imagery, Sensors, Models and Field Data

NASA MODIS imagery archives5 TB (600K files)

FLUXNET curated

field dataset2 KB (1 file)

Sizes given are 1 US year20 US year ~ 1 global land surface year NCEP/NCAR ~100MB

(4K files)

Vegetative clumping~5MB (1file)

Climate classification~1MB (1file)

FLUXNET Curated sensor 30GB dataset

(960 files)

Page 31: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon
Page 32: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Continental USGlobal Scale Reprojection

Global Scale Reduction

Archive Download

Page 33: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

ModisAzure By the numbers….• 22 months• 2 CS interns; 1 architect; 1

science intern; 1 senior scientist; 3 hangers-on

• 522 K cpu hours• 14 TB upload• 10 TB max storage• 5 TB download• 2.3 B storage operations

• 1.3 M re-projected tiles• 25 M reduction files• (TBD) VM

scaleup/scaledown operations

• (TBD) Lines of (nonMatLab) code

• $79K external billing

Courtesy Catharine van Ingen

Page 34: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

First eScience Lab enabled by

cloud computingSeed funding from -- minerals and geothermal research at www.pir.sa.gov.au-- Microsoft Research USA Jim Gray Seed Grant-- MSR Azure funding 433,000 hours-- Institute for Minerals and Energy

35

Geology and Geophysics

School of Earth and Environmental Sciences

Collaborative Cloud Computing Lab (C3L)

School of Computer Science

Prof Graham Heinson Prof J Craig Mudge

Page 35: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

NBN for remote access to compute and historical data

Collaborative Cloud Computing Lab (C3L)

Vision: A geologist guiding a drill, using real-time sensing of the sub-surface geology, and updating geological models, while referring to her cloud-based data sets and collaborating with her team back home

drilling machine control system

Geologistin field

Sensing – a dozen or more sensorsSeismicXRFResistivityetc

Sub-surface

guiding

Collaboration

Dataand geologist’sdata integrations.Seismic, Satellite,MT, Petrophysical, Cores, Density, etc.

ComputeModelling on-DemandMT Inversion Seismic Inversion. Joint Inversion. Visualisation.

Page 36: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Magnetotelluric (MT) imaging1. Using the magnetic and electric fields

of the earth, MT imaging determines the resistivity structure of a sub-surface area of interest.

2. It goes deeper (hundred or so Km) than seismic (<2 Km) but does not have the same resolution

3. Applications1. mineral exploration, 2. water management in mining, 3. geothermal exploration, 4. carbon storage, 5. aquifer research and management6. earthquake and volcano studies.(Heinson and Mudge, 2010)

37

A platform technology

Page 37: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Massive parallel processing - peak demand

- interactive control-field deployment

Parallel programming models are at• Program level

– Express data parallelism in MapReduce/Hadoop/DryadLINQ

• Job level– Workflow languages define concurrent execution Restructuring of MT processing steps and pulling all parameter inputs to the

start, results in parallel processing of station data, and better workflow

• Ultimately field deployment at many sites

Page 38: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

The South Esk Hydrological Sensor Web: Next-Generation Catchment Management

Andrew TerhorstTasmanian ICT Centre (Hobart WSM real time) award winner

9 September 2011

Water for a Healthy Country

Page 39: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Integrating sensor data from multiple agenciesCreating a services infrastructure “bottom up”

2011 iAwards - Sustainability and Green IT

Page 40: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Project goal

Develop a prototype water information system made up of two linked sub-systems:

• Continuous flow forecast system - Based on emerging

Sensor Web standards

• Provenance management system - Provides information on

how flow forecasts are produced

2011 iAwards - Sustainability and Green IT

Page 41: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

2011 iAwards - Sustainability and Green IT

Physical Sensors, Observation Archives

Sensor Web

Numerical Models

SemanticBroker

Decision Support

Tools

Sensor Layer

Services Layer

Application Layer

Paradigm shift

Page 42: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

The “killer app”… Health!—my favoritedear to my heart

Page 43: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Sensors with IP On Everything

Page 44: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Cloud service, =1 million mammograms*• Cost of store Amazon $US 0.125 / GB-month

– $1.50 / GB-year; $0.15 / 100 MB-year (person)– $150,000 per million person-years– Cost of long term storage will decline

• Access is fully distributed, including– Digital X-ray capture stations (2 min. upload/download)– Reading stations can be anywhere,

including computers and services in the cloud– Legacy X-ray digitization as needed

• Secondary, yet principal benefit: analytics based on age, wt., location, …

• * Proposed at AEHR Conference 31 March 2009

Page 45: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Azure

HealthVault

Imaging data flow

Web-based Image viewer

Enterprise to providerEnterprise to patientEnterprise to enterprisePatient to provider (2nd opinion) Enterprise backup

ScenariosImages captured within theenterprise are safely and cost-effectively stored in the Cloud – where they can be referenced in multiple use cases and monetized on an ongoing basis

MICROSOFT CLOUD storage

HealthVault - image metadata, blog catalog and access keyring

Azure - binary image data (original DICOM images, presentation state, compressed pre-views

Images are harvested by either Amalga-Embedded or full UIS

Web-based Image viewerWeb-based Image viewer

1

2

3

4

5

-UIS -Embedded

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Page 47: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Health continuous sensing devices

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BodyMedia Output

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c2002

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HR, weight, BP, distance,

Page 51: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Fitbit … Pedometer

Page 52: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon
Page 53: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Smartphones are becoming “the” Personal Healthcare Platform--Mainframe

Where was I,what was I doing,who was I with,(what meeting)when I had a high HR or high stress indicator ?

Page 54: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

When will health adopt the cloud?• Health is all about friction* and preserving it• Many other NON NBN, NON Technology factors

e.g. privacy, standards, proprietary interfaces, n-opolies, guilds aka silos, vocabularies,…

• Cloud service is inevitable for EHR<>Physician• *People doing the same old thing, the same old

way that creates social stability at rising cost

Page 55: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Health Monitoring:“Your husband just died, … here’s his black box”

Page 56: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Entrepreneurs… unbounded opportunity

• Sensr.net• //deepvue.com• Cyclists: communication, performance,

etc.

Page 57: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

NBN … what about network costs?Courtesy of OrionVM a high speed cloud service

Transit Networking Costs c2011Australia - Price per Mbps = $90-140 p/m (Vocus/Soul)

US - Price per Mbps = $1 p/m (HE.net)

Datacentre Power Costs c2011Australia - 15A @ 240V Usable = $1540 p/m (Vocus DC)

US - 30A @ 120V Usable = $900 p/m (Hurricane Electric)

$30/GB to university researchers limits & eliminates research

Page 58: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

MyLifeBits: Recording Everything!

• Bell/Gemmell project 1999-2007

• Record, store, and recall everything in a person’s life

• Total Recall aka Your Life Uploaded

• Narcissistic or essential

Page 59: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Extreme Lifelogging: Recording Everything c2000 on PCs; c2010 in the cloud via phones

• In 1945 Vannevar Bush described a scientist's memex to store books, records and communication… an enlarged intimate supplement to his memory." By 2010, we demonstrated most aspects of complete lifelogging to capture much of a person's lifetime information.

• Lifelogging is enabled by: information capture (e.g. cameras, computers, GPS devices, medical devices, scanners, smart phones); terabyte storage; and ability to retrieve and utilize the information.

• The degree of lifelogging will be determined by: laws and privacy conventions e.g. recording conversations and demonstrated utility.

• By using lifelogs, social scientists will be able to gain unlimited behavioral understanding. In the distance, lifelogs provide the basis for a limited kind of immortality.

Page 60: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Capturing every step

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Sensr.net…why cameras need to be in cloud!

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Tele-x a canonical app to absorb bandwidth that is hardly usedvs.

Tele-vision made interactive or multiple access sporting events

Telepresence: Being there, while being here, and at some other time. Time & space shifting.

Tele-presentations, tele-conferencing, videophone, tele-robotics, VR, tele-learning

Page 65: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Technology transitionsTechnology transitions

Cisco Telepresence System 3200: $340,000 ’08Interoperates with Cisco

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Technology transitionsTechnology transitions

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Technology transitionsTechnology transitions

Page 68: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

InTouch Health Robot for tele-doctor patient visiting…

“presence” of patient records is the hard part! c2004

Page 69: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Technology transitionsTechnology transitions. . . To boldly go where no doctor has gone before. Courtesy Wetzel, UCLA

Page 70: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Technology transitionsTechnology transitions

Page 71: NBN: The hunt for “silver bullets” and “killer apps” i.e. it’s now about tools for apps & use, stupid. University of New England 16 November 2011 Gordon

Summary… 2020: It’s the apps, stupid!

1. NBN is: Cloud Services. It’s Not: fiber. It’s: “Continuous Services for Cloud Connected Devices”.

2. Poster apps e.g. energy grid, education & health are not fiber limited! Application, content, data rights respectively are the limits

3. Scientific apps are challenging4. Engineering apps will be profitable5. NBN success should/will be judged by new ventures…