novas fronteiras e soluções para a gestão da cadeia de …€¦ · · 2015-07-28novas...
TRANSCRIPT
Ernst & Young is now EY.
Novas Fronteiras e Soluções
para a Gestão da Cadeia de Valor
EY e SAP
Page 2
Agenda
8h15 – 9h00 Recepção e café da manhã
9h00 – 9h10 Abertura do evento Elisabete Waller
9h10 – 9h50 Novas Fronteiras da Gestão da Cadeia de Valor Lucas Horta
9h50 – 10h20 Novas Soluções para a Gestão da Cadeia de Valor Rudiger Meyfarth
10h20 – 10h40 Demonstração do SAP IBP Rudiger Meyfarth
10h40 – 11h00 O IBP e o seu negócio Lucas Horta
count on our
IT Advisory Services
experience is the
difference in our team.
Page 4
IT Advisory Overview of our services
Ap
plic
atio
n
Ad
viso
ry
Ap
plic
atio
n
Co
mp
lian
ce
IT T
ran
sfo
rmat
ion
Analytics [BI, mobility, big data]
Implementation of Financial and Consolidation Plan [budget, consolidation finance, cash flow, conciliation]
Information security risk [BCP, DRP, attacks/invasions]
IT Governance Plan (costs savings, processes review, strategy, etc.)
Enterprise Archtecture Vendor Selection and e IT Tools
[ERP,HCM,CRM,SCM,EPM,E-Learning,Datacenter,Cloud]
IT Advisory
Mapping, Improvement, Risk and Processes Controls
PMO & Change Management
Data Sanitation , Transformation, Migration and Governance
Implementation (*) (Configuration, Tests, Migration, SOX, Localization)
Access Profiles & Functions Segregation
IT Internal Controls & Sytems Audit
IT Governance Risk GRC
(SAP, Oracle and Others)
(*) ERP, CRM, HCM, SCM and others
count on our
Our Team
high performance team
is our greatest asset.
Page 6
IT Information Management IT Advisory IT Risk
Fabio Prando Senior Manager
IT Risk
IT Advisory Our Team
Elisabete Waller LATAM IT Advisory
Alexandre Rangel Partner
Supply Chain - Value Chain
Lucas Horta Partner
Supply Chain - Value Chain
Victor Guelman Partner
SAP Applications
David Pereira Executive Director
IT Risk
Isabel Garcia Executive Director
SAP/Oracle Applications
Nubia Correia Executive Director
SAP Implementations
Paulo Lobo Executive Director
IT Risk
Renato Kurnik Executive Director
SAP Applications
Ricardo Fernandez Executive Director
SAP Implementations
Ricardo Tayama Executive Director
SAP Global Rollouts
Mauricio Saad Partner
IT Risk
Danilo Santos Executive Director
IT Risk
Francesco Bottino Partner
IT Risk
Luciano Albertini Partner
IT Risk
Sergio Kogan Partner
IT Risk
Clarissa Ferreira Executive Director
IT Risk
Marcio Lopes Executive Director
IT Risk
Ricardo Vilanova Executive Director
Advisory Services
count on our
Knowledge and Experience
our publications in
accordance with your business.
count on our
accomplishments and accolades
Page 9
Agenda
8h15 – 9h00 Recepção e café da manhã
9h00 – 9h10 Abertura do evento Elisabete Waller
9h10 – 9h50 Novas Fronteiras da Gestão da Cadeia de Valor Lucas Horta
9h50 – 10h20 Novas Soluções para a Gestão da Cadeia de Valor Rudiger Meyfarth
10h20 – 10h40 Demonstração do SAP IBP Rudiger Meyfarth
10h40 – 11h00 O IBP e o seu negócio Lucas Horta
Novas Fronteiras da Gestão da
Cadeia de Valor
Page 11
Global and market context increased the challenges for companies succeed
► Globalization is increasing the need for global demand-supply planning
and visibility; along with a tighter integration with financial planning.
► Volatility has increased dramatically resulting in low predictability (trends,
product life cycle, regulatory, financial margin pressure, etc).
► Sensing and shaping, reorganizing, re-planning and influencing
► Double digit growth strategy.
► Value chain architecture not prepared to support it
► Fire-fighting versus fire-prevention mode.
► Implementing a decision making processes that are proactive versus reactive
► The need for value chain simulations for “what-if” modeling is a
differentiator for better decisions.
► Visibility to global metrics and data is key.
Page 12
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
450%
500%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Future
Current Business
Management
Model Today
•Business Units
•External Market
•Channels
•Volume
DCs
Complexity
Increasing without
model evolution
Variables 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Retail Stores Increasing 4.400 4.450 4.650 4.800 5.100 5.300 5.600 5.850 5.950 6.100 6.450 6.600 7.000
SKUs Numbers 782 915 1.100 1.220 1.633 1.961 2.685 2.534 2.600 2.700 2.700 2.700 2.731
Business Units 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5
Distribution Chanels 3 3 3 3 3 8 10 12 12 12 12 12 12
Distributions Centers (DCs) 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 12 12 12 12 12
Plants (Brazil and Offshore) 20 21 22 22 24 26 31 32 34 36 38 40 43
Volume (TONs)* 590 710 840 970 1190 1280 2060 2690 3330 4000 4870 5710 6700
Complexity Increasing since 2006 100% 110% 118% 125% 140% 200% 270% 310% 350% 380% 400% 440% 480%
Source: Adapted from “The Most Challenging Supply Chain Times Ever?” – Dan Gilmore
Increasing complexity has brought challenges to business management
Page 13
1960 ~ 1970
1980 ~ 1990
2000 ~ 2010 2020
Partnership between
suppliers and customers
(Integrated projects of
products and reducing
costs)
Reduction of the lot size,
lead time and inventory
Reduced Time to
Market
Strength of inter-
organizational
and global
relations
Increased market
concentration
Increased diversity
of products with
reduced life cycle
Growth of
collaboration
VMI initiatives
CPFR initiatives
Companies
focused on
production
Low variety of
products with long
life cycle
Large lot sizes
Conflicting
relationship with
suppliers JIT expansion
Technological evolution
Global competition growth
…
S&OP IBP
EDI APS MRP DRP MRPII ERP Internet
Cloud
Big Data
Mobile
Historical perspective of Value Chain Management
Page 14
RECEIVE /
PAY
FINANCE &
COMPLIANCE
SOURCE MAKE TAX &
COMPLIANCE
SELL /
DELIVER
SERVICE /
RETURN
MARKETING /
DESIGN
MARKET /
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIP
Nevertheless, companies are still managing their business with the traditional functional model
Page 15
Our approach relies on a Value Chain Management Model
RECEIVE /
PAY
FINANCE &
COMPLIANCE
SOURCE MAKE TAX &
COMPLIANCE
SELL /
DELIVER
SERVICE /
RETURN
MARKETING /
DESIGN
MARKET /
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIP
Supporting Processes
Value
Proposition Value Chain Management Value
Delivery
EXECUTION FLOW MANAGEMENT
STRATEGIC PLANNING & MANAGEMENT RESULTS
Page 16
We propose a complete reorganization of the decision model… from strategy do execution
RECEIVE /
PAY
FINANCE &
COMPLIANCE
SOURCE MAKE TAX &
COMPLIANCE
SELL /
DELIVER
SERVICE /
RETURN
MARKETING /
DESIGN
MARKET /
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIP
Supporting Processes
Year
Quarter
Month
Week
Day
Min
Value Chain Management
PRODUCT AND
SERVICE
DEMAND
STRATEGIC PLANNING & MANAGEMENT RESULTS
EXECUTION FLOW MANAGEMENT
SALES & OPERATIONS PLANNING (S&OP)
FULFILLMENT MANAGEMENT
ORDER MANAGEMENT
INTEGRATED BUSINESS PLANNING (IBP)
Page 17
M3 M12 – M12 M6 M0
Deployment of programs to Orders, respecting the
rules defined for generating orders
Preparation of input of the orders
Change of plan review and set of
parameters, rules and planning
policies Sales, production, purchase,
supply, releases and projects on
the horizon handled by Fulfillment
Management Results of short-
term impact of
compliance
programs set
Release orders for
execution Events that impact
performance in the
fulfillment of orders
released
A2 A3 A4 ... A10
Real vs. Plan, investiments demands,
diversions and new strategic opportunities
(market, business, etc.) & budget revision
Value proposal, Business Model,
Guidelines for growth and service,
Investiment Plan, Plan goals
and results, Budget
Validations and strategic
developments definitions, Market &
Budget review
Review of the middle-long
term plan
STRATEGIC PLANNING &
MANAGEMENT RESULTS
INTEGRATED BUSINESS
PLANNING (IBP)
SALES & OPERATIONS
PLANNING (S&OP)
FULFILLMENT
MANAGEMENT
ORDER
MANAGEMENT
EXECUTION FLOW
MANAGEMENT Linking Elements - Planning Hierarchy
Value Chain Management Model
Page 18
The integration between strategic and tactical decisions
Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y0
Y1 M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8 M9 M10 M11 M12 M0
Strategy formulation and strategic goals Mission, Vision and Values
Scope and business definition, Value Proposition
Strategic goals and drivers
Horizon: 3 to 10 years
Frequency: annual
Bucket: year
Horizon: 2 years
Frequency: quarter
Bucket: month
Budgeting – Definition / review of business plan and goals
Business Plan - Industrial, Marketing, Financial, Commercial, R&D
Market and channel review
Portfolio review
Operations scenario
Investment, expenses and risk analysis
Transformation Management Office
Business goals
Executive report
Horizon: 6 to12 months
Frequency: monthly
Bucket: month
Tactical plan Sales, production, purchase and logistics plan
Inventory projection
Areas goals
Strategy definition and revision
Revision Revision Revision Formulation IBP
S&OP
STRAT
Page 19
Integrated Business Planning
► Deploy strategy for areas and
operations
► Monitoring and analysis of external
trends
► Repositioning Markets and Channels
► Portfolio management and review
► Aggregated Resource Planning
► Alignment of indicators and targets
with strategic guidelines
► Strategic project management
► Generation, management and
periodic review of the Budget Plan
► Integration of all functional areas of
the organization
Integrated Business Planning is the process that allow C level to manage and
redesign the business decisions aligned with the strategy.
Markets - Trend analysis
- Market segmentation
- Channel strategy
- Geographical scope
- Marketing actions
Alignment of
definitions: - Alignment with
shareholders
- Tactical Goals /
Budget
Portfolio Management - Mix and balance
- New Products
- Pricing and tactical
actions
- Product and service
development management
Projections, financial indicators
and business KPIs -Volumes
- Revenue, Costs and Profitability
- Investments
- Risks
- Goals
- Budget
Strategy
deployment - Business Model
- Organizational goals
- Strategic Projects
- Multiple sites
strategy
Page 20
Integrated Business Planning Results & Benefits
► Strategy deployment and monitoring process in order to achieve large rates
of planned growth
► Promotes agile alignment to the new business context and faster response
to market dynamics
► Reach of a high level of management maturity in complex scenarios
► Promotes integration into the budget planning process, making it more
robust, resulting in greater consistency in long-term planning
► Enables greater consistency between the action plans (manufacturing,
marketing, sales, product, etc.)
► Greater integration with tactical management processes (S&OP), enabling
operational results more aligned with the strategy
Page 21
Integrated Business Planning
DEPLOY
STRATEGY
REVIEW
MARKETING
PLAN
REVIEW
RESOURCE PLAN
REDEFINE
VALUE
DEPLOY AND
REALIGN ACTIONS
AND GOALS
MONITOR INDICATORS AND STRATEGIC PROJECTS
INTEGRATED BUSINESS PLANNING
Business Model
Growth and
Performance
Direction
Strategic
Projects
Multiple sites
strategy
Business
objectives
Market tendencies
Pricing
Brands performance
Portfolio review
Market segmentation
Channel strategy
Geographical scope
Marketing actions
Product and service
development
management
Customer collaboration
Investments in
operations capacity
Direct and indirect
workforce
Cost of Products
Sold and expenses
Sourcing / Make-or-
Buy
Tax impact
Financial resources
Sensitivity and
probability analysis
Risk analysis
Assets and
Investments
management
Budget and goals
reviewing
Explicit
assumptions
Integration of
multiple sites
STRATEGY
DIRECTION
FINANCIAL GOALS,
PORTFOLIO AND
MARKETS
REVIEWED
RESOURCE
PLANNING
VALUE DEFINED ACTIONS AND
GOALS DEPLOYED
TO ORGANIZATION
Strategic Projects
Goals aligned
Tactical and
Operational actions
Alignment of
assumptions
MONITORING
Projects
Indicators
Goals
Recovery plan
Reports to executives
and shareholders
Page 22
FORECAST
DEMAND PLAN SALES
PLAN
OPERATIONS
SELECT
INTEGRATED
SCENARIO
COMMUNICATE
DECISIONS
FOLLOW RESULTS
Scenario
Validated
Consensus
Meeting
Pre-S&OP
Meeting
S&OP
Executive
Meeting
INTEGRATED PLANNING – S&OP
Unconstrained
Sales Plan
Operations Plan,
Constrained Sales
Plan
DEMAND
PROJECTION
SALES PLAN
ALIGNED
SUPPLY AND
DEMAND
ALTERNATIVES
SCENARIO
SELECTION
DECISIONS
DEPLOYED
Tactical marketing
assumptions
Sales force
collaboration
Statistical forecast
Marketing
intelligence
Operations
alternatives
Sales constraints
Assumptions
Demand and
supply validated
Financial
projections
Assumptions
Action plans
Decisions
communicated
and aligned
Outputs:
Sales Plan
Production Plan
Purchasing Plan
Distribution Plan
Inventory projection
Financial projections
Assumptions
Sales & Operations Planning
Page 23
S&OP and IPB from different perspectives
IBP
Integration of areas with focus on
operations (COO)
Executive coordination with financial
focus (CEO / CFO)
Alignment with shareholders
KPI of deviation, variability and
process monitoring
IT tools of optimization and
demand planning, collaboration
and operations constraints
IT tools to simulate scenarios,
financial projections and business
alternatives to meet goals.
Executive reports
Skills to analyze business alternatives
and strategy, finance and marketing
Skills to perform integrated analysis
of demand and operations analysis
KPI of business result and definition
of goals aligned with the business
strategy
Improve the alignment and deployment
of strategy with tactical plans
Improve the balance between
demand and supply
Focus on tactical horizon
Business decisions and goals by
translation of strategy
Tactical plan to align demand and
supply
SALES & OPERATIONS
PLAN (S&OP) INTEGRATED BUSINESS
PLAN (IBP)
Strategy
KPIs and Targets
Processes
People
Organization
Technology
Vision
Page 24
Technology Requirements
► Support to set targets and financial analysis
► Balance between demand and supply with of
analysis of capital invested
► Fast analysis in aggregated level
► Agility to scenario simulation considering
demand alternatives and supply chain
constraints
► Support collaborative process
► Simulations to support definition of inventory
targets, cost and service level in multisite
scenario
► Dashboard with KPIs to support decision making
► End to End visibility
► Possibility of scenarios simulation for real-time
decision making
► Full integration with S&OP process
Technology
SALES & OPERATIONS PLAN
(S&OP) INTEGRATED BUSINESS PLAN
(IBP)
► Synchronization of information in the
various areas involved in the process
► Fast desegregation for analysis between
cycles of strategic and tactical planning
► Support collaborative process
► Simulations of logistical constraints,
inventory targets, costs and service
level
► Multilevel and multisite planning and
analysis
► Integration with other systems of
planning and execution, creating agility
and centralization of information
► Enable fast planning and decision-making
processes
► Visibility of the KPIs
Page 25
Value Chain Management Model Technology Perspective
Year
Quarter
Month
Week
Day
Min
RECEIVE/ PAY
FINANCE & COMPLIANCE
SOURCE MAKE TAX & COMPLIANCE
SELL/ DELIVER
SERVICE/ RETURN
MARKETING/ DESIGN
MARKET/ CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIP
Value Chain Management
PRODUCT AND
SERVICE
DEMAND
Supporting Processes
STRATEGIC PLANNING & MANAGEMENT RESULTS
EXECUTION FLOW MANAGEMENT
INTEGRATED PLANNING (S&OP)
FULFILLMENT MANAGEMENT
ORDER MANAGEMENT
INTEGRATED BUSINESS PLANNING (IBP)
BO, BW, BPC
MM PP LES SD WM
CIF
SNP DP
SNP DPLYT
PPDS PP
TM OM/FPT
TM OM/FPT
GATP PA
TM FEM/FS
PPDS DS
TM FEM/FS
GATP OE/BOP
EM SNC
SAP ECC SAP SCM SAP IBP SAP BI
IBP supply
IBP sales and operations
IBP inventory
IBP demand
Control Tower IBP response
Acronyms: DP - Demand Planning; SNP - Supply Network Planning; PPDS - Production Planning & Detailed Scheduling (PP - Production Planning; DS - Detailed Scheduling); GATP - Global Available-to-Promise (PA - Product
Allocation; OE/BOP - Order Entry / Back Order Processing); TM - Transportation Management (OM/FPT - Order Management / Freight Planning and Tendering; FEM/FS - Freight Execution and Monitoring / Freight Settlement); EM -
Event Management; SNC - Supply Network Collaboration; EWM - Extended Warehouse Management; F&R - Forecast & Replenishment; SPP - Service Parts Planning; IBP - Integrated Business Planning; BI - Business Intelligence;
BO – Business Objects; BPC – Business Planning and Consolidation; MM – Materials Management; WM – Warehouse Management; PP – Production Planning; SD – Sales and Distribution; LES – Logistics Execution System.
Page 26
Agenda
8h15 – 9h00 Recepção e café da manhã
9h00 – 9h10 Abertura do evento Elisabete Waller
9h10 – 9h50 Novas Fronteiras da Gestão da Cadeia de Valor Lucas Horta
9h50 – 10h20 Novas Soluções para a Gestão da Cadeia de Valor Rudiger Meyfarth
10h20 – 10h40 Demonstração do SAP IBP Rudiger Meyfarth
10h40 – 11h00 O IBP e o seu negócio Lucas Horta
Page 27
Agenda
8h15 – 9h00 Recepção e café da manhã
9h00 – 9h10 Abertura do evento Elisabete Waller
9h10 – 9h50 Novas Fronteiras da Gestão da Cadeia de Valor Lucas Horta
9h50 – 10h20 Novas Soluções para a Gestão da Cadeia de Valor Rudiger Meyfarth
10h20 – 10h40 Demonstração do SAP IBP Rudiger Meyfarth
10h40 – 11h00 O IBP e o seu negócio Lucas Horta
Page 28
Su
ccessfu
l
Time as % of plan 100% 200% 300%
$385b
$135b
$250b
Ch
all
en
ged
$165b
100%
50%
25%
50%
75%
75%
25%
100%
Rework
Annual spending on technology programs
(US only)
Sources: National Institute of Science & Technology, Gartner, Forrester, CIO Magazine, The Standish Group, Steven’s Institute of
Technology, MORI Captains of Industry, EY Knowledge, Department of Trade & Industry
Industry performance in executing transformational programs continues to be a challenge
Page 29
A
B ► The path to an integrated business
transformation goes beyond
traditional 3 dimensions
► It must address 7 dimensions
Processes
People
Technology
We adopt a different approach
Page 30
Methodological approach 7 dimensions of transformation
A successful value chain transformation includes 7 dimensions
VALUE CHAIN TRANSFORMATION A B
VISION
STRATEGY
METRICS
PROCESSES PEOPLE ORGANIZATION
TECHNOLOGY
Page 31
Methodological approach Benefits obtained
► OTIF improvement: 51% ~ 100%
► Forecast accuracy improvement: 5% ~ 25%
► Inventory reduction: 15%
► Inventory turn improvement: 10%
► Lead time reduction: 29% ~ 50%
► Time to Market reduction: 33%
► Service level improvement: 60%
► Working capital reduction: 17%
► Purchasing costs reduction: 7 ~ 25%
Value
Time
Positive spiral of growth
Page 32 * EMBRACO’s case presented in public event
FEB/05 APR/06
10
20
30
40
20%
40%
60%
80%
FEB/05 APR/06
25%
50%
75%
100%
APR/06 FEB/05
50
THOUSAND
100
THOUSAND
150
THOUSAND
200
THOUSAND
USD$
FEB/05 APR/06
Trend of lead time reduction in 1.5 day each month
Trend of OTIF increase in 1.7% each month
Trend of service level increase in 1.6% each month
USD 82 million of inventory reduction
Methodological approach Benefits obtained
Page 33
1,900
specialists [7,000 planned]
Americas
1,000
specialists [3,800 planned]
EMEA
700
specialists [2,400 planned]
Asia-Pac
AMERICA
SAP SCM Practice
Lucas Horta– São Paulo
AMERICA
SAP SCM Practice
Cláudio Menegusso – Atlanta
EMEIA
SAP Practice
Volcker Stockrahm - Germany
More than 50 customers…
Gerdau, BR Distribuidora, O
Boticário, Natura, Brasil Kirin,
Vallourec, Samarco, Johnson &
Johnson, Amanco, BASF, Bayer,
Kärcher, Siemens, Lindt, Coca
Cola, Riyadh Cable, Pfizer,
Vaillant, Bose, Colgate, Goodyear
etc
Customers
Global technical meetings
Global prototype
Competence Center
Methodology development
SAP Instructors
Activities
We have strong SAP advisory capabilities across the world and an ambitious growth plan
Ernst & Young is now EY.
Obrigado pela participação