observing paradigm change in china through 10 years

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  • 1.
    • Observe paradigm changes in China through10 years
    • @isaac China Development Forum LSE

2. 3. Prequel trilogy

  • The Internet first came to China in 1987; college campusappeared at Tsinghua University in 1991. The first international connection, between the BeijingElectro-Spectrometer and Stanford Universitys Linear Accelerator, came in 1994.10

4. Through much of 1995 the government was still barely noticing the Internet, but in January 1996 found itto be a problem and ordered that people register with Public Security 5. During1997 college students online by 2001; a considerable amount of commercewhich the government did not want to discouragewas happening on the Internet as well. Prof. Xiao Qiang Prof. Perry Link 6. 10 Years 2009 7.

  • A fairy story

l 1999: donews

  • 2005:isaacmao.com
  • 2007: @isaac
  • 2002: Cesblog.blogspot.com

8. Collective (in)Action Problem in Authoritarian States

  • Censorship: makes it easier to isolate, crush
  • Noises(especially in China, Wumao)

Restrict means of organization 9. High cost of dissent individual: torture/jail 10. Minimize protest/cascade potential;isolate,crush(whack-a-protest) Zeynep Tufekci Assistant professor at the University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill 11. Censors in 10 years

  • 2002, falungong,tiananmen

12. 2003, RFA, VOA, BBC, etc. 13. 2004, typepad.com,blogspot.com 14. 2005, PirateBay, Technorati.com 15. 2006, Wikileaks, flickr.com (party) 16. 2007, Wikia, Wikipedia.com(partly) 17. 2008, youtube.com 18. 2009, twitter.com, facebook.com 19. 2010, Nobleprize.org, google.com and services 20. 2011, dropbox.com Rebecca Mackinnon Bernard L. Schwartz Senior Fellow at the New America Foundation, Consent of the Networked Self-censorship Business compromise Technology Political 21.

  • Great Firewall and River Crab

22.

  • Paradigm change

23. Back To Real World 24. SomeFacts 25. Social God Calculates 2.210^8 0.66 k (1 - ) == 3 10^ 6 k as frequency from active users Let's say 0.5 posts/day rate of censorship we get = 95.9% http://passbyer.blog125.fc2.com/blog-entry-10.html 26. From Taboo to Tattoo 27.

  • Social Art

28. Net Meme Evolution 2003 2010 29. Cute Cat Model Ethan Zuckman Director of the Center for Civic Media, MIT 30.

  • Fold Invisible truth

31. Time elapsed Level of meme The Torrent of Meme:@amoiist 2009/7/16 4:50am 2009/7/31 @amoiist released @amoiist SOS @blogtd rt @isaac: @wenyunchao rt @mranti action @wenyunchao @freemoren rt 32. More Metaphors ouroboros 33. How Intelligence Shift 34. A Long Bet 35.

  • Future: My Predictions
  • Back to basic values(10 yrs)

36. Collapse of Censorship (3 yrs) 37. Credibility building (20 yrs) 38. Sharism and Cloud Intelligence (50 yrs) 39. Thanks @isaac