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Optimising using Offsets Best Practice Case Studies from around the World. BP Energy Asia presentation to the Business Partnership for Market Readiness Li Xing- 30 October 2013

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Page 1: Optimising using Offsets Best Practice Case Studies from around … · 2015. 9. 29. · BP deals and trades in energy related products and may have positions consistent with or different

Optimising using Offsets – Best Practice Case Studies from around the World.

BP Energy Asia presentation to the Business Partnership for Market Readiness

Li Xing- 30 October 2013

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补偿的优化利用 – 来自全球的最佳实践案例研究

BP能源(亚洲)就市场准备向商业伙伴所作的申明

Li Xing- 2013/10/30

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Disclaimer

This presentation and its contents are intended for informational purposes only. This information is not advice on or a

recommendation of any matter described herein, whether they consist of financing structures (including, but not limited to senior

debt, subordinated debt and equity, production payments and producer loans), investments, financial instruments, hedging

strategies or any combination of such matters (if any) and no information contained herein constitutes an offer or solicitation by

or on behalf of BP p.l.c. or any BP company within the BP Group (collectively "BP") to enter into any contractual arrangement

relating to such matters.

BP is not responsible for any inaccuracies in the information contained herein. BP makes no representations or warranties,

express or implied, regarding the accuracy, adequacy, reasonableness or completeness of the information, assumptions or

analysis contained herein or in any supplemental materials, and BP accepts no liability in connection therewith. BP deals and

trades in energy related products and may have positions consistent with or different from those implied or suggested by this

presentation.

This presentation also contains forward-looking statements. Any statements that are not historical facts, including statements

about BP's beliefs or expectations, are forward-looking statements. These statements are based mostly on publicly available

information, estimates and projections and you should not place undue reliance on them. These statements are not guarantees of

future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. Therefore, actual future results and

trends may differ materially from what is forecast, suggested or implied in any forward-looking statements in this presentation

due to a variety of factors. Factors which could cause actual results to differ from these forward-looking statements may include,

without limitation, general economic conditions; conditions in the markets; behaviour of customers, suppliers, and competitors;

technological developments; the implementation and execution of new processes; and changes to legal, tax, and regulatory rules.

The foregoing list of factors should not be construed as exhaustive. BP disclaims any intention or obligation to publicly or

privately update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.

Participants should seek their own advice and guidance from appropriate legal, tax, financial and trading professionals when

making decisions as to positions to take in the market.

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免责申明

本申明及其内容仅用作参考信息。本信息并非针对任何本报告所述事件提出的建议,不论其是否包含融资结构(包括但不限于优先债务、次级债务和股本、生产支出和生产者贷款)、投资、金融工具、套期保值策略或上述各项的任何组合(如有)。本报告所含的任何信息均不构成由或代表BP p.l.c.或BP集团的任何BP公司(统称“BP”)为就上述事项达成任何合约而提出的出价或询价。

BP对本报告中所含信息的准确性不承担任何责任。对本申明或任何补充材料中信息、假设或分析的准确性、充分性、合理性或完整性,BP不做任何明示或默示的申明或保证,且BP不承担任何与之相关的责任。BP从事能源相关产品的交易,其定位可能与本申明的说明或建议一致,也可能不相一致。

本申明还包含前瞻性申明。任何非历史事实的申明,包括有关BP信仰或期望的申明均系前瞻性申明。这些申明大多基于公共信息、预算和推测,您不应过于依赖。这些申明并非未来业绩的保证且包含某些难以预料的风险和不确定性。因此,受众多因素的影响,将来的实际结果和趋势可能与任何前瞻性申明中预测、建议或暗示的内容相违背。可能导致实际结果不同于前瞻性申明的因素包括但不限于总体经济状况、市场条件、客户、供应商和竞争者的行为、技术开发、新工艺的落实和执行以及法律、税收和监管规则的变更。前述因素不应视为全部因素。不论是否因为新信息、未来事件或其它因素,BP否认其任何公开或私下更新或修改任何前瞻性申明的意图或义务。

参与者在针对其在市场中的定位做出决定前,应寻求法律、税收、金融和交易相关专业人士的建议和指导。

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Agenda

1. Introduction to BP Emissions Trading

2. Offset Basics

3. Global Learning's: Best Practice in Offset Optimisation:

− Canada: How Offsets fit in your Emissions Management Strategy

− New Zealand: Understanding how Offset ‘Swaps’ make more from less

− Australia: How to Unlock Cash and Working Capital

− Europe: Using Offsets & Allowances as Collateral for Credit

4. Summary

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议程

1. BP碳排放交易介绍

2. 补偿概述

3. 全球经验学习: 补偿优化的最佳实践:

− 加拿大: 论补偿如何适用于本国的排放管理策略

− 新西兰: 了解补偿 ‘互惠’如何 积少成多

− 澳大利亚: 如何释放现金及营运资本

− 欧洲: 利用补偿和配额作信贷抵押

4. 结论

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BP Global Emissions Overview

1. Markets: China, Europe, Australia, New Zealand, Alberta, California

2. Customers: Refineries, power plants, chemical plants, utilities, industrial, manufacturing, retail fuel

businesses, traders

3. Products: Allowances (SHEA’s, EUAs, NZUs, CUs, CCA’s AAU), Offsets (CCERs, CERs, ERUs, RMU’s

ACCUs, CCO’s)

4. Global Scale: Dedicated commercial, technical, policy, & regulatory teams

5. Long Term Commitment: BP’s natural positions ensure longevity

6. Balance Sheet: Investment grade credit ratings to back guaranteed products 6

BP Global Emissions is active in globally traded emissions markets

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BP全球碳排放概要

1. 市场: 中国、欧洲、澳大利亚、新西兰、阿尔伯塔、加利福尼亚

2. 客户: 炼油厂、发电厂、化工厂、公用事业、工业、制造业、燃油零售业、商贸业

3. 产品: 配额(SHEA、EUA、NZU、CU、CCA、AAU),抵消(CCER、CER、ERU、RMU、ACCU、CCO)

4. 全球规模: 专业的商业、技术、政策及监管队伍

5. 长期承诺: BP的天然位置确保其久盛不衰

6. 资产负债表: 利用投资等级信用评级支持担保产品

6

全球碳排放交易市场内BP全球碳排放表现活跃

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Key concepts of Emissions Trading

Generally speaking there are two types of compliance instruments an entity can use to meet its obligations under an ETS:

1.Allowance

An Allowances represents one tonne of GHG emission allowed to be emitted and is issued by the relevant entity regulating an ETS. Allowances provided are via auction or free allocation with total allocation volume restricted by the total emissions target or cap.

2.Offset

Offsets create an additional supply into the market while still allowing for the achievement of the set target or cap. Created from emission reduction project activities which are outside the cap, such as biogas or reforestation, an offset represents one tonne of GHG emission that has been avoided or removed from the atmosphere and is not otherwise covered under the ETS cap.

Chinese Certified Emissions Reduction’s (CCERs) are NDRC approved

offsets that are expected to be eligible in each pilot ETS.

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排放交易主要概念

总体而言,在履行碳排放交易体系规定的义务过程中,实体可采用以下两种合规工具:

1、配额

一份配额指允许排放的一公吨温室气体,该配额由监管碳排放交易体系的相关实体分配。配额可通过拍卖或免费分配获得,总分配量受总排放目标或上限的限制。

2、补偿

补偿可在既定排放目标或上限仍然适用的情况下向市场提供追加供给。在上限外从减排活动计划产生的补偿,如沼气或再造林。一份补偿指避免排放入大气或从大气中除去的且未纳入排放交易体系上限的一吨温室气体的排放。

中国核证减排量(CCERs)是经国家发改委批准的、符合任一试验排放交易体系的补偿。

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Canada: Holistic Emissions Management Strategy

Scheme overview

•Start date: 1 July 2007

•Scheme type: State based direct regulation which requires

firms to reduce their emissions intensity by 12% through

either:

1. Reducing emissions from operation

2. Purchasing Alberta based offsets

3. Pay a fixed fee of $15

4. Purchase ‘Emissions Performance Credits (EPC’s) from entities that

have reduced their emissions below the intensity target.

•Eligible Unit Types: EPC’s & Albertan Offsets

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Providing a holistic carbon management service: •BP’s Carbon Innovation Toolkit can provide customers with a structured process & modelling capability to identify & quantify financial value at risk under different policy & pricing scenarios. •Model develops your Margin Abatement Curve (MAC) and associated optimisation plan for direct & indirect (offset) abatement options to ensure your are aware and able to prioritise its lowest cost options for compliance. •For our Albertan Oil Sands business this means identifying the relative costs of plant emission reduction activities per tonne of CO2 abated versus purchasing an Offset or Emission Performance Credit (EPC) and the fixed price option. •In most cases offsets are likely to represent the lowest cost option.

Importance of Emissions Management

Strategy

Ensuring your business understands its emissions footprint and

has a Emissions Management Strategy is more important than

ever due to:

• Rising costs of compliance

• Uncertainty around potential policies & timings

• Complex decisions on whether to pursue a technology and/or

market based mechanisms

• Pressure from competitors

Ultimately you need to identify & understand what your

lowest cost abatement options are.

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加拿大: 整体排放管理策略

计划概述

•起始日期:2007年7月1日

•计划类型:国家直接出台政策,要求企业通过以下任一方式减排12%:

1. 通过经营减排

2. 购买亚伯达补偿

3. 支付15美元的固定费用

4. 从已经实现减排目标的实体购买‘排放配额’。

•合格单位类型:减排配额与亚伯达抵消交易

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提供整体碳排放管理服务: •BP的碳排放创新工具包可以为客户提供在不同政策和定价背景下识别和量化财务价值 的结构化流程和模化能力。 •为直接和间接(抵消)冲销方案制作边缘冲销曲线(MAC)及相关优化计划,确保您 了解并能够区分实现减排目标的最低成本方案之优先次序。 •对于我们的亚伯达含油砂业务,这意味着在减少每公吨二氧化碳排放中工厂减排活动的 相对成本将优于购买补偿或排放配额(EPC)及固定价格方案。 •在大多数情况下,抵消交易最可能代表最低成本方案。

排放管理策略的重要性

当前最重要的是确保您的企业了解排放历史并具备排放管理策略,因为:

• 实现减排目标的成本不断增加

• 未来政策和时间安排存在不确定性

• 做出是否追求技术创新和/或市场化机制的决定较为复杂

• 来自竞争者的压力

最终,您需要确定和了解您的最低成本消减方案。

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New Zealand: Swaps – making more from less.

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Scheme overview

•Start date: 1 July 2010

•Scheme type: Uncapped Emissions Trading Scheme

with unlimited usage of Kyoto units. Transitional

measures include a $25.00 fixed price option and l 2 for 1

option.

•Eligible Unit types: New Zealand Units (NZUs) and Offsets

generated under the Kyoto Protocol (CER’s, ERU’s, RMU’s &

AAU’s)

Worked Example: •Entity receives free allocation of 100,000 NZU’s for the 2013

compliance year.

•Forecast emissions for the 2013 compliance year = 130,000tCO2-e.

•At face value entity has a compliance short of 30,000 tonnes

which if the entity pursues the lowest cost abatement option

(CER’s at $0.50) an out of pocket expense of $15,000 will be incurred.

•The entity could however swap NZU’s(at a price of $1.90) for multiple

CER’s subject to any quantity & quality restrictions on unit types.

•At the price spread of $1.90 v’s $0.5, the entity could swap 10,714 of

its NZU’s for 40,714 CER’s to meet both its 30,000 short and replace

the NZU’s ‘swapped’.

•Through utilising a ‘swap’ the entity no longer has a short position.

What is a Swap?

• Swaps involve ‘swapping’ one type of eligible emissions unit for

another.

•Swaps are particularly attractive for holders of freely allocated

allowances when there is a price differential between

allowances and other eligible unit types including offsets.

•As an allowance and offset both represent 1 mt CO2-e and are

eligible under the scheme, their only difference from a compliance

perspective is therefore cost.

•NZU’s trade at a premium to CER’s, ERU’s and RMU’s

allowing 1 NZU’s to be swapped for multiple offsets.

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新西兰:掉期交易– 小投入,大回报

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计划概述

•起始日期:2010年7月1日

•计划类型:在无限制使用京都单位的情况下实施无上限排放交易计划。传统衡量标准包括25.00美元的固定价格和买一送一方案。

•合格单位类型:在《京东议定书》背景下产生的新西兰单位(NZU)及抵消交易(核证减排量(CER)、ERU、RMU及AAU)

举例: •实体于2013年合规年度免费获得10万个新西兰单位。

•2013合规年度预测减排量= 130,000tCO2-e 。

•实体的合规额度在面值上短缺3万公吨,如果实体采用最低

•成本消减方案(核证减排价格为0.50美元),则将产生1.5万美元

•的自付费用。

•然而,实体可利用新西兰单位(价格为1.90美元)交换多个核证

•减排单位,不考虑对单位类型的任何数量和质量的限制。

•在1.90美元对0.5美元的差价下,实体可用10,714个新西兰单位

•交换40,714个核证减排单位,从而弥补3万的缺口,并取代被交换

•的新西兰单位

•通过使用掉期交易,实体不再有缺口问题。

什么是掉期交易?

• 掉期交易是指用一种合格排放单位交换另一单位。

•当配额与其它合格单位(包括补偿)之间存在差额时,掉期交易对自由分配的配额持有人尤其有吸引力。

•由于配额和补偿都代表1公吨二氧化碳排放,且符合计划要求,因此,其与合规期望唯一的不同之处在于成本。

•新西兰单位相对于CER、ERU、RMU的溢价交易可利用1个新西兰单位交换多项补偿。

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Australia: Unlocking Cash & Working Capital

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Unlocking Cash - How it works?

•Emissions Intensive Trade Exposed (EITE) entities receive free

allocation.

•Free allocation is received in ~ September of each year, with liabilities not

due till the following June.

•Entities can sell/monetise the value of free allocation providing access to

immediate cash that can be used to fund investments or improve business

cash flow.

•BP purchases your allocation of free carbon units once allocated and

guarantee’s delivery of your required units in the future prior to the

compliance deadline.

•The difference between the sale price and the re-purchase price

equates to a financing cost, which effectively discounts the future re-

purchase price to the present value at time of sale.

Scheme Overview

•Start date: 1 July 2012

•Scheme type: 3 year fixed price period, transitioning from

2015 to a one way linked cap and trade system with the EU.

12.5% limit on usage of Offsets.

•Eligible Unit types: Australian Carbon Units (ACU’s),

European Union Allowances (EUA’s), Domestic offsets

generated under the Carbon Farming Initiative (CFI) and

offsets generated under the Kyoto Protocol (CER’s, ERU’s,

RMU’s)

Worked Example:

•Entity received 1mt of free ACU units in 1 September 2013.

•Compliance deadline is not until 15 June 2014.

•Forward market price of ACU units in June 2014 is $24.15

•BP provided interest rate = 4.5% calculating ACU Present Value of: $23.45

•Entity receives $23,450,000 for 1mt of ACU’s in September from BP.

•Entity purchases 1mt of ACU’s in June for $24,150,000

•Provided entities cost of capital is > 4.5% (i.e. 8%) a working

capital benefit of ~ $510,000 would be realised.

Forward curve

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澳大利亚:释放现金和营运资本

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释放现金- 如何发挥作用?

•碳认证交易密集型(EITE)实体获得免费配额。

•免费配额于每年9月发放,直至来年6月责任方开始生效。

•实体可将免费配额出售/货币化,获取的现金可用于投资或增加经营性现金流。

•BP购买您获得的免费碳单位配额并在合规期限前确保交付您所需单位。

•销售价格与再购买价格之间的差异与融资成本相当,有效实现了销售时现价对未来再购买价格的贴现。

计划概述

•起始日期:2010年7月1日

•计划类型:三年固定价格期,从2015年起逐渐过渡到欧盟单向链接上限和交易系统。对补偿的使用施加12.5%的限制。

•合格单位类型:澳大利亚碳单位(ACU)、欧盟配额(EUA)、农地保碳倡议下产生的国内补偿以及《京都议定书》下产生的补偿(CER、ERU、RMU)

举例:

•该实体于2013年9月1日获得了1公吨免费的ACU单位。

•合规期限至2014年6月15日。

•2014年6月ACU单位的期货市场价格为24.15美元。

•BP提供的利率=ACU现价(23.45美元)的4.5%。

•该实体于9月从BP处以23,450美元的价格获得1公吨的ACU单位。

•该实体于6月以24,150,000美元的价格购买了1公吨ACU单位。

•如果该实体的资本成本大于4.5%(例如8%),则将实现大约510,000美元

的营运资本收益。

Forward curve

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Europe: New Pathways to Credit & Collateral

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Collateral - How it works?

• An alternative use of Offsets & Allowances in the EU has been to use surplus or banked units as collateral in place of cash or a letter of credit.

• Working together with our fuel sales business collateral in Allowances & Offsets has been against physical fuel purchases or paper hedges.

• In a very basic example, credits would be delivered to a fuel supplier. The fuel supplier would then apply an adjustment to the value of the credit to cover against a projected decline/increased in the value of the credits and would then extend credit against the entities fuel purchases.

Scheme Overview

•Start date: 1 January 2005

•Scheme Type: Fully flexibly cap and trade scheme with

quantitative and qualitative limits on the use of offsets.

•Eligible Unit types: European Union Allowances (EUA’s)

and Offsets generated under the Kyoto Protocol’s Clean

Development Mechanism (ERU’s, CERs, RMU’s)with some

limitations.

Worked Example:

•Airline has 1m tonnes EUAA that do not need to surrendered for

12+ months.

•Estimated market value: €3.50/t

•Adjustment Based on forward price: - 50%

•Collateral Value: 50% * €3.50 * 1m = €1.75m

•The fuel supplier could then grant a credit line of €1.75m for

physical fuel purchases by the airline.

•The units are still owned by the entity, however held in escrow

whilst being used as collateral.

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

18.00

20.00

Jan-

11

Mar

-11

May

-11

Jul-1

1

Sep

-11

Nov-1

1

Jan-

12

Mar

-12

May

-12

Jul-1

2

Sep

-12

Nov-1

2

Jan-

13

€/tonne

ICE ECX EUA Front Year Price

Source: ICE ECX (2012)

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欧洲:信用和抵押物的新路径

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抵押物-如何发挥作用?

• 在欧盟使用补偿和配额即是使用盈余或累积单位取代现金或信用证。

•与配额和补偿中的燃油销售业务抵押物配合使用已违背了实际燃油采购或纸质对冲。

•在最基本的案例中,信用额度将交付至燃油供应商。燃油供应商将随后对信用额度进行调整,以抵消信用额度价值的减少或增加,并为实体购买燃油提供贷款。

计划概述

•起始日期:2005年1月1日

•计划类型:完全灵活上限和交易计划,并在补偿的使用上施加数量和质量限制。

•合格单位类型:欧盟配额(EUA)以及《京都议定书》之清洁发展机制下产生的补偿,存在一定的限制条件。

举例:

•航空公司拥有1百万公吨在12+个月内无需退回的欧盟排放配额。

•估计市价:3.50欧元/吨

•远期价格调整率: - 50%

•抵押物价值:50% * €3.50 * 1m = €1.75m

•燃油供应商可随后向航空公司提供1,750,000欧元的信贷额度,用于

实体燃油采购。

•尽管作为抵押物由第三方暂为保管,这些单位仍然由该实体所有。

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

18.00

20.00

Jan-

11

Mar

-11

May

-11

Jul-1

1

Sep

-11

Nov-1

1

Jan-

12

Mar

-12

May

-12

Jul-1

2

Sep

-12

Nov-1

2

Jan-

13

€/tonne

ICE ECX EUA Front Year Price

Source: ICE ECX (2012)

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Conclusion

Understanding how offsets fit into your Emissions Management Strategy is

critical to ensure:

− Compliance is met at lowest cost (MAC curve)

− Your free allocation is maximised (swaps)

− Capitalise on working capital benefits (cash generation)

− You understand ways your emissions units can work for you (through

collateral)

BP Global Emissions is well placed to help your business understand its

options.

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Page 20: Optimising using Offsets Best Practice Case Studies from around … · 2015. 9. 29. · BP deals and trades in energy related products and may have positions consistent with or different

结论

了解要使补偿与您的排放管理策略相匹配,您需要确保:

− 以最低成本实现减排目标(MAC 曲线)

− 将免费配额最大化(掉期)

− 利用运营资本收益(现金增值)

− 了解您的排放单位能够为您所用的方式(通过抵押)

BP全球碳排放数据能够帮助您的企业做出正确的选择。

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Questions?

Email: [email protected]

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Page 22: Optimising using Offsets Best Practice Case Studies from around … · 2015. 9. 29. · BP deals and trades in energy related products and may have positions consistent with or different

如果您有任何问题,请发至以下邮箱。

邮箱:[email protected]

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