performance analysis - 馬會知多少 -...

Chairman’s Sprint Prize (Group 1) 4th Leg of the Global Sprint Challenge Final Leg of the Hong Kong Speed Series HK$14 million (US$ 1.805 million) 1st HK$7,980,000, 2nd HK$3,080,000, 3rd HK$1,400,000, 4th HK$798,000, 5th HK$462,000, 6th HK$280,000 Performance Analysis Horse Details Horse Statistics Probable Jockey Trainer Name Rep Age/ Sex Wt. Int’ l Lifetime G1 Good Wet RH 1000-1200 Trk/Dist Aerovelocity HK 8g 126 120 25 (12- 4-3) 5 (4-0- 0) 25 (12- 4-3) 0 (0-0- 0) 21 (9- 4-3) 21 (11- 2-3) 18 (9- 2-3) Z Purton P O'Sulliva Mr Stunning HK 4g 126 120 10 (7-1- 1) 0 (0-0- 0) 10 (7-1- 1) 0 (0-0- 0) 8 (5-1- 1) 10 (7-1- 1) 7 (4-1- 1) J Moreira J Size Lucky Bubbles HK 5g 126 119 18 (7-6- 1) 2 (0-2- 0) 16 (6-6- 1) 2 (1-0- 0) 17 (7- 6-1) 16 (7-6- 0) 13 (6- 6-0) H Bowman K W Lui Peniaphobia HK 6g 126 119 35 (12- 7-8) 6 (1-2- 2) 33 (11- 6-8) 2 (1-1- 0) 19 (6- 3-5) 35 (12- 7-8) 17 (5- 3-4) N Callan A S Cruz Amazing Kids HK 5g 126 118 21 (7-6- 2) 3 (0-0- 0) 19 (6-6- 2) 2 (1-0- 0) 16 (4- 5-2) 17 (7-5- 0) 12 (4- 4-0) B Prebble J Size Not Listenin'Tome HK 6g 126 118 32 (8-5- 5) 8 (0-2- 1) 29 (6-5- 5) 2 (2-0- 0) 14 (2- 1-3) 30 (8-4- 5) 12 (2- 0-3) T Berry J Moore Blizzard HK 5g 126 115 24 (8-3- 5) 1 (0-0- 0) 24 (8-3- 5) 0 (0-0- 0) 23 (7- 3-5) 13 (5-2- 2) 12 (4- 2-2) D Lane P F Yiu Sun Jewellery HK 5g 126 114 21 (9-2- 1) 3 (0-0- 0) 18 (9-1- 1) 3 (0-1- 0) 17 (7- 1-1) 6 (3-1- 0) 2 (1-0- 0) K Teetan J Size Thewizardofoz HK 5g 126 112 11 (5-1- 2) 1 (0-0- 0) 10 (4-1- 2) 1 (1-0- 0) 11 (5- 1-2) 6 (3-0- 1) 6 (3-0- 1) C Schofield J Size Strathmore HK 5g 126 111 22 (5-5- 4) 3 (0-0- 1) 21 (5-4- 4) 1 (0-1- 0) 20 (4- 4-4) 20 (5-5- 3) 18 (4- 4-3) K C Leung A T Millard Dundonnell HK 7g 126 110 44 (6-6- 9) 7 (0-0- 0) 39 (6-5- 6) 1 (0-0- 1) 33 (3- 4-5) 15 (1-1- 3) 10 (1- 0-0) C Y Ho C Fownes Dashing Fellow HK 5g 126 107 32 (7-5- 5) 0 (0-0- 0) 31 (6-5- 5) 1 (1-0- 0) 32 (7- 5-5) 7 (0-1- 2) 7 (0-1- 2) S Clipperto J Moore Limitless HK 4g 126 105 9 (4-0- 2) 0 (0-0- 0) 5 (2-0- 1) 3 (2-0- 0) 6 (2-0- 1) 0 (0-0- 0) 0 (0-0- 0) – L Ho International Ratings Chart Speed Chart Name International Rating Aerovelocity 120 Mr Stunning 120 Lucky Bubbles 119 Peniaphobia 119 Amazing Kids 118 Not Listenin'Tome 118 Blizzard 115 Sun Jewellery 114 Thewizardofoz 112 Strathmore 111 Dundonnell 110 Dashing Fellow 107 Limitless 105 The Sha Tin 1200m circuit is very speed centric, with a strong historical bias toward horses in forward positions. PENIAPHOBIA is a clear and likely leader, and won the 2015 HK Sprint after crossing from the outside barrier. The likelihood of horses winning from further back in the field will be directly related to the strength of the speed up front, i.e., the pressure that is brought to bear on the leader. Having said that, last year’s winner, the Australian 11

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Page 1: Performance Analysis - 馬會知多少 - 香港賽馬會corporate.hkjc.com/.../20170426_P11_CS_PerfAnalysis_e.docx · Web viewT Berry J Moore Blizzard HK 5g 126 115 24 (8-3-5) 1 (0-0-0)

Chairman’s Sprint Prize (Group 1) 4th Leg of the Global Sprint Challenge

Final Leg of the Hong Kong Speed SeriesHK$14 million (US$ 1.805 million)

1st HK$7,980,000, 2nd HK$3,080,000, 3rd HK$1,400,000, 4th HK$798,000, 5th HK$462,000, 6th HK$280,000

Performance Analysis

Horse Details Horse StatisticsProbable Jockey Trainer

Name Rep Age/Sex Wt. Int’l

Rtg Lifetime G1 Good Wet RH 1000-1200 Trk/Dist

Aerovelocity HK 8g 126 120 25 (12-4-3) 5 (4-0-0) 25 (12-4-3) 0 (0-0-0) 21 (9-4-3) 21 (11-2-3) 18 (9-2-3) Z Purton P O'Sullivan

Mr Stunning HK 4g 126 120 10 (7-1-1) 0 (0-0-0) 10 (7-1-1) 0 (0-0-0) 8 (5-1-1) 10 (7-1-1) 7 (4-1-1) J Moreira J Size

Lucky Bubbles HK 5g 126 119 18 (7-6-1) 2 (0-2-0) 16 (6-6-1) 2 (1-0-0) 17 (7-6-1) 16 (7-6-0) 13 (6-6-0) H Bowman K W Lui

Peniaphobia HK 6g 126 119 35 (12-7-8) 6 (1-2-2) 33 (11-6-8) 2 (1-1-0) 19 (6-3-5) 35 (12-7-8) 17 (5-3-4) N Callan A S Cruz

Amazing Kids HK 5g 126 118 21 (7-6-2) 3 (0-0-0) 19 (6-6-2) 2 (1-0-0) 16 (4-5-2) 17 (7-5-0) 12 (4-4-0) B Prebble J Size

Not Listenin'Tome HK 6g 126 118 32 (8-5-5) 8 (0-2-1) 29 (6-5-5) 2 (2-0-0) 14 (2-1-3) 30 (8-4-5) 12 (2-0-3) T Berry J Moore

Blizzard HK 5g 126 115 24 (8-3-5) 1 (0-0-0) 24 (8-3-5) 0 (0-0-0) 23 (7-3-5) 13 (5-2-2) 12 (4-2-2) D Lane P F Yiu

Sun Jewellery HK 5g 126 114 21 (9-2-1) 3 (0-0-0) 18 (9-1-1) 3 (0-1-0) 17 (7-1-1) 6 (3-1-0) 2 (1-0-0) K Teetan J Size

Thewizardofoz HK 5g 126 112 11 (5-1-2) 1 (0-0-0) 10 (4-1-2) 1 (1-0-0) 11 (5-1-2) 6 (3-0-1) 6 (3-0-1) C Schofield J Size

Strathmore HK 5g 126 111 22 (5-5-4) 3 (0-0-1) 21 (5-4-4) 1 (0-1-0) 20 (4-4-4) 20 (5-5-3) 18 (4-4-3) K C Leung A T Millard

Dundonnell HK 7g 126 110 44 (6-6-9) 7 (0-0-0) 39 (6-5-6) 1 (0-0-1) 33 (3-4-5) 15 (1-1-3) 10 (1-0-0) C Y Ho C Fownes

Dashing Fellow HK 5g 126 107 32 (7-5-5) 0 (0-0-0) 31 (6-5-5) 1 (1-0-0) 32 (7-5-5) 7 (0-1-2) 7 (0-1-2) S Clipperton J Moore

Limitless HK 4g 126 105 9 (4-0-2) 0 (0-0-0) 5 (2-0-1) 3 (2-0-0) 6 (2-0-1) 0 (0-0-0) 0 (0-0-0) – L Ho

International Ratings Chart Speed Chart

Name International Rating

Aerovelocity 120

Mr Stunning 120

Lucky Bubbles 119

Peniaphobia 119

Amazing Kids 118

Not Listenin'Tome 118

Blizzard 115

Sun Jewellery 114

Thewizardofoz 112

Strathmore 111

Dundonnell 110

Dashing Fellow 107

Limitless 105

Average performance rating of 5 most recent winners = 118.

The Sha Tin 1200m circuit is very speed centric, with a strong historical bias toward horses in forward positions. PENIAPHOBIA is a clear and likely leader, and won the 2015 HK Sprint after crossing from the outside barrier. The likelihood of horses winning from further back in the field will be directly related to the strength of the speed up front, i.e., the pressure that is brought to bear on the leader. Having said that, last year’s winner, the Australian champion CHAUTAUQUA, came from last at the 800m, where he was 9 lengths off the lead. Barriers are critical to properly mapping these races.(Full Speed Map at www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/formguide.asp)