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Petroleum: History & Economics Musaed N. AlAwad العواد مساعدعيز الطبيلغابترول وا قسم هندسة الية الهندسة كلملك سعودمعة ال جالرياض اكة العربية السعوديةممل الPetroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College of Engineering, King Saud University - Saudi Arabia

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Page 1: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Petroleum: History & Economics

Musaed N. AlAwad مساعد انرص العواد

جامعة الملك سعود –كلية الهندسة –قسم هندسة البترول والغاز الطبيعي

المملكة العربية السعودية –الرياض

Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department,

College of Engineering, King Saud University - Saudi Arabia

Page 2: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Presentation Outline 1. History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

3. Oil in Saudi Arabia

4. Worldwide Oil Types and Reserves

5. Oil Pricing Criterion

6. Oil Price Fluctuation

7. Alternative Energy Resources

2. Oil in The Middle East

8. Conclusions

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Page 3: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Various Types of Petroleum Traps (Reservoirs) 3

Page 5: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Oil Seepages in Several Parts of the World

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Page 6: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Worldwide ancient people used petroleum seepage for:

1. Lighting. 2. Water proofing. 3. Building. 4. Medicine & Painting.

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

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Page 7: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

The Drake well is often referred to as the "first" commercial oil well, although that title is also claimed for wells in Ontario, West Virginia, Azerbaijan, and Poland, among others.

On August 28, 1859, Edwin L. Drake and Partners made the first successful use of a cable tool drilling rig on a well drilled especially to produce oil in Pennsylvania.

The drill reached its maximum depth of 69.5 feet (21.2 m) on August 27, 1859. Cable tool drilling techniques was used in drilling this well.

It took one and a half year to reach the above depth. In 1900, rotary drilling technique was developed. Drake Oil Well

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Page 8: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Wood-made Drilling Cable Tool Rig

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Page 9: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Drilling Rigs Everywhere 9

Page 10: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Drilling Rigs Everywhere 10

Page 11: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Drilling Rigs Everywhere 11

Page 12: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Drilling Rigs Everywhere 12

Page 13: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Drilling Rigs Everywhere 13

Page 14: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Drake Oil Well Museum 14

Page 15: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Barrel: bl? or brl? or bbl?

blue barrel

Transportation of Crude Oil Barrels 15

Page 16: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Cable Toll Drilling Rig 16

Page 18: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Modern Oil Well Configuration

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Page 19: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Modern Oil Well Configuration (Low Reservoir Pressure)

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Page 20: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Modern Oil Well Configuration (High Reservoir Pressure)

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Page 21: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Modern Oil Well Configuration (Wellhead Installation)

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Page 22: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Modern Rotary Drilling Rig – Shallow Offshore

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Page 23: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Modern Rotary Drilling Rig – Deep Offshore

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Page 24: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

In 1859, 69.5 ft Drake vertical open hole well was drilled in

one and a half year using cable tool drilling method.

Nowadays, 14000 ft well can be drilled in one month or less

using rotary drilling method.

Petroleum wells could be Vertical, Directional, or

Horizontal.

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Page 25: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Advancement in Drilling Technology

Geo-steered maximum reservoir contact well

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Page 26: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

History of Worldwide Oil Discovery

Advancement in Drilling Technology

Hydraulic Fracturing

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Page 28: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

Arabian Plate ≈ 66% or the World’s oil and gas reserves 28

Page 29: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

Out of the 20 largest oil and gas reserves in the world:

15 are in the Middle East (6 in Saudi Arabia, 4 in Iran, 3 in Iraq, 1 in Kuwait, 1 in Abu Dhabi),

2 in Russia, 1 in South America (Venezuela) and 2 in North America (1 in USA-Alaska, 1 in Mexico).

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Page 30: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

Reserve,

109 bbl

Field, Country Reserve,

109 bbl

Field, Country

69 Burgan, Kuwait 2 79 Ghawar, Saudi Arabia 1

31 Bolivar Coastal, Venezuela 4 35 Cantarell, Mexico 3

20 Rumailia, Iraq 6 30 Safaniya-Khafji, Saudi Arabia 5

17 Ahwaz, Iran 8 20 Tengiz, Kazakhstan 7

16 Marun, Iran 10 16 Kirkuk, Iraq 9

15 Gachsaran, Iran 12 16 Daqing, China 11

15 Samotlor, Russia 14 14 Aghajari, Iran 13

13 Kashagan, Kazakhstan 16 13 Prudhoe Bay, Alaska, USA 15

12 Romashkino, Russia 18 12 Abqaiq, Saudi Arabia 17

12 Berri, Saudi Arabia 20 12 Chicontepec, Mexico 19

11 Manifa, Saudi Arabia 22 12 Zakum, Abu Dhabi, UAE 21

10 Marlim, Campos, Brazil 24 10 Marjan, Saudi Arabia/Iran 23

Giant Filed Reserve: 0.5 - 1.0 Billion bbls Super Giant Field Reserve: >1.0 - <5.0 Billion bbls Mega Giant Field Reserve: >5.0 billion bbls

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Page 31: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

World’s Normal, Super, and Giant Oil Fields

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Page 32: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

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Page 33: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

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Page 34: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

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Page 35: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

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Saudi Arabia???

Page 36: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

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Page 37: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

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Consumption

Page 38: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

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Page 39: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

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Page 40: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

Canada Oil Shale Venezuela Heavy Oil

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Page 41: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

Conventional Oil 41

Oil Shale Heavy Oil

Extraction & Treatment

Cost ?

Page 42: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

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Page 43: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia

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Page 44: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia

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The First Well in Kirkuk Oil Field in Iraq, 1927

Page 45: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia

The First Exploration Concession In 1910, Othman’s empire started searching for oil in Farasan Islands without any success.

The Second Exploration Concession In 1926 the British Red Sea Petroleum Company started exploration for oil in the Farasan Islands without success.

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Page 46: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia

The Third Exploration Concession In 1923, Holms started searching for oil in AlHassa area in the eastern province of Saudi Arabia. This concession was end with no discovery in 1928.

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Page 47: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia Oil was discovered in Bahrain island in 1932 in Jebel Dukhan area

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Page 48: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia Stimulated by the discovery of oil in Bahrain island (Jebel Dukhan) in 1932, attention naturally was directed to the prospects in Saudi Arabia.

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Page 49: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia The Fourth Exploration Concession In 1933, SOCAL started search for oil in Saudi Arabia. After drilling several oil wells to the same discovery depth in Bahrain no signs of oil appeared. In 1938 the company decided to drill deeper in well no.7 where oil was discovered in commercial quantities at 4717 ft below sea level.

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Max Steineke Well no. 7 Khamis ibn Rimthan AlAjmi

Page 50: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia

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Starting Oil Production from Well no. 7

Page 51: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia

With Determination and Insistence, Exploration Continues

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Page 52: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia

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With Determination and Insistence, Exploration Continues

Page 53: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia

1. Ain Dar oil field, 1948

2. Haradh oil field, 1949

3. Uthmaniyah oil field, 1951

4. Shedgum oil field, 1952

5. Hawiyah oil field, 1953

6. Fazran oil field, 1957

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Page 54: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

Ghawwar, the World’s Exceptional Super Giant Oil Fields

35X240 km

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Page 55: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia

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Saudi Oil Fields Map

Page 56: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia

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265 Bbbls

Page 57: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia

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265 Bbbls

Page 58: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia

6 to 10 11 to 21 22 to 30 31 to 39 40 to 49

Classification of Crude Oil Based on API Value

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Page 59: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia

Classification of Crude Oil Based on API Value

Light Medium Heavy Extra Heavy Asphaltene

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Page 60: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia

Quality of Proven Oil Reserves Worldwide

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Page 61: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Crude Oil Refining Products

Oil and Gas in Saudi Arabia

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Page 62: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Price Exchange

Market

Marker Crude

Oil

Geographic

Location

1) London Petroleum Exchange (LPE).

2) Singapore International Monetary

Exchange (SIMEX).

3) New York Mercantile Exchange

(NYMEX).

Brent Blend

API = 38.3o.

Sulfur content = 0.37 wt%.

Europe and

Africa

Dubai-Oman-Arab light

API = 32o.

Sulfur content = 2.13 wt%.

Middle East

and Asia

West Texas Intermediate (WTI)

API = 39.6o.

Sulfur content = 0.24 wt%.

America

fAmPxP

Px = Price of crude oil type X, $/bbl. Pm = Price of Marker (benchmark) crude oil, $/bbl. Af = Adjustment factor, $/bbl.

Sometimes, total acid number (TAN) is considered as an important factor

Oil Pricing Criteria

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Page 63: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

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Page 64: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

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Page 65: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil Price Fluctuations

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OPEC (The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries)

Supply and Demand

Restrictive Legislation

Political Unrest

Production Decline

Financial Markets

Weather

World Oil Strategic Reserves

Page 66: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Oil Price Fluctuations

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Page 67: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

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Budget Breakeven Estimate

Page 68: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Middle East Oil and Gas

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Page 69: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Alternative Energy Recourses

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Page 70: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Alternative Energy Recourses

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Page 71: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Alternative Energy Recourses

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Conventional

Unconventional Gas Shale Reservoir

Page 72: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Alternative Energy Recourses

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Page 73: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Alternative Energy Recourses

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Page 74: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Alternative Energy Recourses

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Economic Depletion A reduction in value, i.e. a better and cheaper alternative is found.

Page 75: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

Alternative Energy Recourses

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New Discoveries and Technologies (R=55%)

Page 76: Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College ...fac.ksu.edu.sa/sites/default/files/petroleum_economics... · Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, College

ماذا استفادت المملكة من البترول؟

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