presentation
TRANSCRIPT
Looking to the futureBrought to you by: Power to the Point Consulting
Agenda•Key issues •Problem statement •Industry analysis •Internal analysis •Alternatives •Recommendation •Implementation with timeline •Financial analysis of recommendation •Risk & Contingencies
!2 !2
Key Issues
• Rising operating costs: labour, fuel, etc.
• Labour productivity
• Efficiency of aircraft
• Maintaining southwest culture in new markets
• No prior knowledge/corporate experience in international markets
• Integrating culture into AirTran
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Problem Statement
• In an ever-competitive market, how will Southwest Airlines maintain its competitive advantage while growing in international markets and fostering its culture within AirTran employees?
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Recommendations!
• Remove domestic flight path redundancies between Southwest and AirTran, create an international sub-brand using AirTran’s name, and introduce a profit sharing program tied to productivity measures.
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Industry/Competitive Analysis
• Lowered barriers to entry
• Greater buyer power due to price transparency
• High supplier power: Boeing & Airbus
• Medium/low substitute services
• Industry Rivalry
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Internal & Financial Analysis
Resources!
• Tangible resource: Financial Strength
• Intangible resources: Strong culture (Herb Kelleher, servant-leadership)
• Human resource: Excellent hiring practice (enthusiastic & extraverted)
Capabilities!
• Customer service: “perfectly outrageous”
• Operational efficiency
• Borrowing capacity
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Net debt≈0=high borrowing capacity
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Net DebtM
illion
s of
dol
lars
(900)
(400)
100
600
1,100
1,600
2,100
2,600
1987 2000 2012
Southwest JetBlue
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1. Acquire JetBlue
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• Southwest has shown desire to grow internationally
1. Acquire JetBlue
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International penetration
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• Southwest has shown desire to grow internationally
1. Acquire JetBlue
International penetration
Revenues
Domestic and international competition
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2. Complete Integration of AirTran
• 75% of organizational change programs fail
• Export processes, culture will follow
2. Full Integration
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• AirTran will be the international arm
• Eliminate redundancies of destinations and staff
2. Full Integration
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2. Full IntegrationComputer booking and reward system must be merged
!
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2. Full Integration
Sell remaining Boeing 717s to reduce training costs
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3. Stock Based Incentives
• Incentive program will address productivity decreases in ASM
!
• Met targets will be rewarded with stock options
-turnaround time: 15 minute target
-customer service: >1% of guests complained
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Decision CriteriaEmployee
ProductivityAircraft
EfficiencyBrand Value
Market Growth
Customer Satisfaction Financial
Purchase JetBlue
Messy with unions !
—++ O D+
I +
More options, better
connectivity— —
Create Sub-brand out of
AirTran
+ implementation
process++ O D+
I +
loyalty program — ,
merge bookings
+
+
Stock Based Incentive Program
+++ +++
turn-around
D O I O + +
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Recommendation
• Integrate Computers systems
-Integrate Booking System
-Integrate Points Systems
• AirTran Sub-brand
-Reduce staffing in overlapping destinations
-Integrate Operational Efficiencies
• Introduce Incentive Plan
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Implementation plan (timeline)
Departments
Operations Integrate Computers Systems -‐ Amadeus Altea IT Integrate Booking System
Integrate Points systems
SWAOperations Introduce Incentive Plan
HR Moniter Incentive PlanSpread Best practices based on Incentive plan results
AirTranHR Reduce redundant destinations
Operations Train remaining AirTran Staff to integrate operational efficienciesIntroduce Incentive Plan -‐ AirTran
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Q6 Q7 Q8 + Beyond
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Financial Analysis for Recommendation
Total Cost / ASM
4.5
5.125
5.75
6.375
7
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Southwest Industry Average for LCC JetBlue
Slowly SouthWest is losing its Low Cost Competitive Advantage
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Wages as % of Total CostW
ages
/ To
tal C
ost (
%)
16
21.5
27
32.5
38
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Southwest Industry Average
Wage expense as a portion of total costs is 35% higher than the industry average
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ASM (‘000s)/EmployeeAS
M (‘
000s
)
1600
2100
2600
3100
3600
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
SouthWest Industry Average
$573 M
$573 M
Productivity or ASM/Employee has decreased versus industry since 2008.
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0%
30%
60%
90%
120%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Net Income % increase with productivity boost
Regaining recent productivity loss results in massive Net Income Gains.
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Net Income Margin
0%
1.5%
3%
4.5%
6%
'13 '14 '15 '16
without productivity boost with productivity boost
With productivity boost, Net Income margins will slowly reach previous levels
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• Loss of domestic AirTran customers to other competitors
• Better turnaround time and customer service does not equal projected increase in productivity
and Contingencies
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Power to the Point
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Recommended Solution
Added Value• Reduced redundancies $573 M• Incentive based program to
increase productivity (conservative est. over 4 yrs)
Timeline Key Points• SWA (Incentive Plan)≈15 mo. • Increased productivity = $$$ • AirTran (Redundancy
Reduction)≈24 mo. • No dilution of Southwest culture
• Improved synergy between AirTran & Southwest
Thank you!
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Appendices
Caribbean
Mexico LocationsAruba,
ArubaCabo San Lucas/Los Nassau,
BahamasCancun, MexicoBermuda
, Mexico
City, Montego Bay, Punta
Cana, San Juan,
Caribbean Locations
Mexico Locations
Latin AmericaOranjesta
d, ArubaCancun, Mexico
San Jose, Costa Nassau,
BahamasLiberia, Costa Christ
Church, Bugota,
ColumbiaLa Romana,
Medellin, ColumbiaPuerto
Plata, Lima, PeruPunta
Cana/Samana, Dominica
!!Santiago
de los !
Santo Domingo, Grand Cayman, Kingston, JamaicaMontego
Bay, St. David’s Island,
!!Aguadilla,
Puerto !!Ponce,
Puerto !
San Juan, Puerto Vieux Fort, Saint Providenciales, Port-au-
Prince,
AirTran International Destinations:JetBlue International Destinations:!
5 yr sales growth rate 1.1222
Tax rate 0.3854
FY 2012 est. 2013 est. 2014 est. 2015 est. 2016For the period ending 12/31/2012
Revenue % Sales Values 17088 19176 21519 24149 27100Revenue with PS 19415 21997 24866 28056
Operating Expenses 0.9528 16282 18271 20504 23009 25821
Operating Income 806 905 1016 1140 1279
Interest Expense 0.0074 126 142 159 179 201
Pretax Income 0.0401 685 769 863 968 1087Income Tax Expense 264 296 333 373 419
Net Income Current 421 473 530 595 668
NI Margin 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.46Net Income w Productivity Boost
664 912 1168 1432
Net Income Margin w Productivity Boost 3.42% 4.15% 4.70% 5.10%
Pro-Forma Analysis