r graphics output · 8/17/2020 · national jun−15 jul−01 jul−15 aug−01 aug−15 sep−01...
TRANSCRIPT
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National
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
5,0
0010
,000
15,0
0020
,000
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDColumbia−UNCCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBS
NotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIQJHongESGRPI−UWSTHUA
UCLAUCMUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
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Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
5,0
0010
,000
15,0
0020
,000
● ●●
●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
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●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
0,00
020
0,00
030
0,00
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDColumbia−UNCCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBS
NotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIQJHongESGRPI−UWSTHUAUCLA
UCMUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
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●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
0,00
020
0,00
030
0,00
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
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Alabama
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
025
030
035
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGeneva
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
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●
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Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
025
030
035
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
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●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
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●
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●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
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Alaska
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
1015
2025
30
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGeneva
GT−DeepCOVIDJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
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●
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●
●
● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
1015
2025
30
● ● ●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
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Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 2
0 4
0 6
0 8
010
014
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 2
0 4
0 6
0 8
010
014
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
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American Samoa
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDLNQESGUMass−MBUSC
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
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Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDLNQESGUMass−MBUSC
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
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Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
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Arizona
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
400
800
1,20
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBS
NotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●
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●
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Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
400
800
1,20
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●●
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●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
2,0
00 6
,000
10,0
00
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQ
MIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
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●
●
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●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
2,0
00 6
,000
10,0
00
●●
● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
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Arkansas
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGeneva
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQ
MIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
●
●●
●●
●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
●●
●●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
400
800
1,20
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQ
MIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
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●●
●●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
400
800
1,20
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
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California
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,50
02,
500
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGenevaISU
JCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−Mobility
Oliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLAUCMUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
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● ● ●
● ●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,50
02,
500
● ● ●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ●●
●●
●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
5,0
0015
,000
25,0
00
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UCMUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ●●
●●
●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
5,0
0015
,000
25,0
00
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
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Colorado
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBS
NotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
● ● ● ●
●
●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQ
MIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
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Connecticut
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBS
NotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●●
●
●
●
● ●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
2,00
04,
000
6,00
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQ
MIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
2,00
04,
000
6,00
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
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Delaware
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 2
0 4
0 6
0 8
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGeneva
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQ
MIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
●
● ● ●
●
● ●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 2
0 4
0 6
0 8
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●
● ● ● ●
● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
200
400
600
800
1,00
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQ
MIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●
● ● ● ●
● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
200
400
600
800
1,00
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
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District of Columbia
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
1015
2025
30
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGeneva
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQ
MIT−CovAllianceNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUAUCLAUMass−MB
ERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
●
●
●●
●●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
1015
2025
30
● ● ●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
200
400
600
800
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDS
GenevaGoogle−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlen
LANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
200
400
600
800
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ● ●●
●
●
●
●
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Florida
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBS
NotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ●●
●
●
●
●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
0
● ●● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●●
●●
●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
5,0
0015
,000
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQ
MIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●●
●●
●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
5,0
0015
,000
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
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●
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●
Georgia
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
200
600
1,00
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
GT−CHHSISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
●
●
●●
● ●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
200
600
1,00
0
● ●●
●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ● ●
●●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
2,0
00 6
,000
10,0
00
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDGT−CHHSISUJCBJHUKarlenLANL
LNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UW
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ● ●
●●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
2,0
00 6
,000
10,0
00
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Guam
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
01
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDGenevaJCB
JHULNQNotreDame−MobilityPSI
ESGUCLAUMass−MBUSC
YYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
01
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 2
4 6
810
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDGenevaJCB
JHULNQNotreDame−MobilityPSI
ESGUCLAUMass−MBUSC
YYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 2
4 6
810
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ●● ●
●
●
●●
●
●
Hawaii
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
2030
4050
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGeneva
JCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBS
NotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLAUMass−MB
ERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals ● ●● ●
●
●
●●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
2030
4050
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ●● ● ●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDS
GenevaGoogle−HSPHJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQ
MIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUA
UCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ●● ● ●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
0
●
●
●
●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ● ● ●
●
●
●
●
●●
Idaho
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGeneva
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQ
MIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals● ● ● ●
●
●
●
●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
0
● ● ●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ●●
●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
200
400
600
800
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQ
MIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ●●
●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
200
400
600
800
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●
●
●
●
●
● ● ●●
●
Illinois
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
030
050
070
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBS
NotreDame−FREDNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
●
●
●
● ● ●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
030
050
070
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
● ●● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
4,0
00 8
,000
12,0
00
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQ
MIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−FREDNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UW
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
● ●● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
4,0
00 8
,000
12,0
00
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ●
●● ● ●
● ●●
●
Indiana
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
020
030
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBS
NotreDame−FREDNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●
●● ● ●
● ●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
020
030
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
03,
000
5,00
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQ
MIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−FREDNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UW
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
03,
000
5,00
0
● ●● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●
●
●●
●
●●
●●
●
Iowa
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 2
0 4
0 6
0 8
012
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBS
NotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
●●
●
●●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 2
0 4
0 6
0 8
012
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ●●
●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,00
01,
500
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQ
MIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ●●
●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,00
01,
500
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ● ● ● ● ●
●
●●
●
Kansas
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUCovid19SimColumbiaDDSGeneva
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQ
MIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ●
●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ●●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
200
400
600
800
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQ
MIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ●●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
200
400
600
800
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●●
● ●●
●
●
●
●●
Kentucky
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDISU
JCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−FRED
NotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
● ●●
●
●
●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ●●
●● ●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,00
01,
500
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−FREDNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ●●
●● ●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,00
01,
500
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●●
● ●
●●
●●
●
●
Louisiana
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
030
050
070
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
● ●
●●
●●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
030
050
070
0
●● ●
●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ●●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
2,00
04,
000
6,00
08,
000
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ●●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
2,00
04,
000
6,00
08,
000
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ● ●
●
● ●
●
●
● ●
Maine
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
1015
20
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLA
UMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ●
●
● ●
●
●
● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
1015
20
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●●
● ●● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANL
LNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESG
UAUCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●●
● ●● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●
●
●
● ●
●●
● ●●
Maryland
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
025
030
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
●
● ●
●●
● ●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
025
030
0
● ● ●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
2,00
04,
000
6,00
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
2,00
04,
000
6,00
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●
●
●
● ●
●●
●
●●
Massachusetts
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
●
● ●
●●
●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
0
● ● ●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
4,0
00 8
,000
12,0
00
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
4,0
00 8
,000
12,0
00
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ●
Michigan
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,00
01,
500
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−FREDNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UW
UAUCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,00
01,
500
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
4,0
00 8
,000
12,0
00
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−FREDNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
4,0
00 8
,000
12,0
00
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Minnesota
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,00
01,
500
2,00
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDISU
JCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−FRED
NotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,00
01,
500
2,00
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
03,
000
5,00
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−FREDNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
03,
000
5,00
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●
●
●●
● ●●
●
●●
Mississippi
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
060
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
●●
● ●●
●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
060
0
● ●● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●● ●
●●
●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
04,
000
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●● ●
●●
●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
04,
000
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●
●
● ● ● ●
●●
● ●
Missouri
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
015
025
035
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
● ● ● ●
●●
● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
015
025
035
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ● ●
●● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,50
02,
500
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ● ●
●● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,50
02,
500
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●
● ●●
●
●●
●●
●
Montana
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
2030
40
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals ●
● ●●
●
●●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
2030
40
● ●● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●●
●●
●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
025
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●●
●●
●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
025
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ●
●
●
●
● ● ●
●
●
Nebraska
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
2030
4050
60
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●
●
●
●
● ● ●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
2030
4050
60
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●● ●
●●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
030
050
070
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●● ●
●●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
030
050
070
0
●●
● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ● ●●
● ●
●●
● ●
Nevada
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
030
050
070
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals● ● ●
●
● ●
●●
● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
030
050
070
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●● ●
●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●● ●
●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●
●
●
● ●
●
●
●
●●
New Hampshire
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
2030
40
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
●
● ●
●
●
●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
2030
40
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
● ●● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
060
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
● ●● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
060
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●
●
●
●
●
●
●●
● ●
New Jersey
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
060
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
●
●
●
●
●●
● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
060
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
5,0
0015
,000
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
5,0
0015
,000● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●●
●●
●●
●
●
● ●
New Mexico
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 2
0 4
0 6
0 8
010
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
●●
●
●
● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 2
0 4
0 6
0 8
010
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
● ●●
●●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
400
800
1,20
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
● ●●
●●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
400
800
1,20
0
●●
● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●
●
●●
●
● ●
●●
●
New York
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
●●
●
● ●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
0
● ●● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
10,0
0030
,000
50,0
00
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
10,0
0030
,000
50,0
00
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●●
●
●●
●
● ●
●
●
North Carolina
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●
●●
●
● ●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
0
● ●● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●● ●
●●
●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
03,
000
5,00
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●● ●
●●
●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
03,
000
5,00
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ● ● ●
●
●
●
●
● ●
North Dakota
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
2030
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals● ● ● ●
●
●
●
●
● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
2030
● ● ●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●● ●
● ●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
025
030
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●● ●
● ●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
025
030
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Northern Mariana Islands
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDGeneva
JCBJHULNQ
ESGUCLAUMass−MB
USCYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
01
2
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDGeneva
JCBJHULNQ
ESGUCLAUMass−MB
USCYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
01
2● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●
●
● ●
●
●
●
●
● ●
Ohio
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDISU
JCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−FRED
NotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
● ●
●
●
●
●
● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ●
● ●●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
2,00
04,
000
6,00
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−FREDNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ●
● ●●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
2,00
04,
000
6,00
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ●● ●
●●
●● ● ●
Oklahoma
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
025
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals● ●
● ●●
●
●● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
025
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ●●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,00
01,
500
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ●●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,00
01,
500
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●●
● ●
●●
●
●
● ●
Oregon
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
● ●
●●
●
●
● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●●
●●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
200
400
600
800
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●●
●●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
200
400
600
800
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●
●
●
● ●
●●
● ●
●
Pennsylvania
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
●
● ●
●●
● ●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
0
● ● ●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
4,0
00 8
,000
12,0
00
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
4,0
00 8
,000
12,0
00
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ● ● ●● ●
● ●
● ●
Puerto Rico
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDGenevaJCB
JHULANLLNQNotreDame−Mobility
PSIUCLAUMass−MBUSC
YYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals ● ● ● ●● ●
● ●
● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
0
● ● ●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
400
800
1,20
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDGenevaJCB
JHULANLLNQNotreDame−Mobility
PSIUCLAUMass−MBUSC
YYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
400
800
1,20
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ●
● ●
●●
●
●● ●
Rhode Island
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
2030
4050
60
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●
● ●
●●
●
●● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
2030
4050
60
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,00
01,
500
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,00
01,
500
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ●●
●●
●
●●
● ●
South Carolina
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
200
400
600
800
1,00
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaISU
JCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBS
NotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals● ●
●●
●
●
●●
● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
200
400
600
800
1,00
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●●
●
●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
2,00
04,
000
6,00
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBS
NotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●●
●
●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
2,00
04,
000
6,00
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●
●
●
●
●
●●
● ●
●
South Dakota
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
2030
40
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
●
●
●
●●
● ●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
2030
40
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
●●
●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
025
030
035
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
●●
●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
025
030
035
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ●●
●
● ●
●
●
●
●
Tennessee
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaISU
JCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBS
NotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●●
●
● ●
●
●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
0
●● ●
●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●● ●
●●
●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBS
NotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●● ●
●●
●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ● ●●
●
●●
●
●
●
Texas
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
04,
000
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDISU
JCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−Mobility
Oliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWSTHUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals● ● ●
●
●
●●
●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
04,
000
● ●●
●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●●
●●
●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
10,0
0020
,000
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWSTHUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●●
●●
●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
10,0
0020
,000
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ●● ●
● ● ●●
●●
Utah
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 2
0 4
0 6
0 8
010
012
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●● ●
● ● ●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 2
0 4
0 6
0 8
010
012
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ●
●●
●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
200
400
600
800
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ●
●●
●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
200
400
600
800
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Vermont
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLA
UMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANL
LNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESG
UAUCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
● ● ● ● ● ●
● ● ●
●
Virgin Islands
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
02
46
8
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDGeneva
JCBJHULANL
LNQNotreDame−MobilityPSI
UMass−MBUSCYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals ● ● ● ● ● ●
● ● ●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
02
46
8
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ●●
●● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
1015
2025
30
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDGeneva
JCBJHULANL
LNQNotreDame−MobilityPSI
UMass−MBUSCYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ●●
●● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
1015
2025
30
●●
●
●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●●
●●
●
●●
●
●
●
Virginia
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
●
●●
●
●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
0
● ●●
●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●●
●● ● ●
●● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
04,
000
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●●
●● ● ●
●● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
04,
000
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●● ● ●
●
●
●
● ●●
Washington
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ●
●
●
●
● ●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●● ● ●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLA
UMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ●● ● ●
●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
1,00
02,
000
3,00
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●●
●● ● ● ●
● ●
●
West Virginia
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLA
UMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals ●●
●● ● ● ●
● ●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
060
070
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANL
LNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESG
UAUCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
010
020
030
040
050
060
070
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●●
●
●● ●
●●
●●
Wisconsin
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
025
0
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDISU
JCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−FRED
NotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUAUCLAUMass−MB
UMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●
●● ●
●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
010
015
020
025
0
● ● ● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ● ●
●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,00
01,
500
2,00
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGenevaGoogle−HSPH
GT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−FREDNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGRPI−UWUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ● ●
●●
●●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0
500
1,00
01,
500
2,00
0
●●
●●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
●
●
● ●
●
●
● ●
● ●
Wyoming
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
1015
New
Wee
kly
Dea
ths
ReportedUGA−CEIDCMUColumbiaDDSGenevaGT−DeepCOVID
ISUJCBJHUKarlenLANLLNQMIT−CovAlliance
MOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESGUAUCLA
UMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●
● ●
●
●
● ●
● ●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 5
1015
● ●
● ●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ●
● ● ●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 2
0 4
0 6
0 8
0
Tota
l Dea
ths
ReportedAuquanUGA−CEIDMIT−ORCColumbiaDDSGeneva
Google−HSPHGT−DeepCOVIDISUJCBJHUKarlenLANL
LNQMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIESG
UAUCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ●
● ● ●●
●
Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15
0 2
0 4
0 6
0 8
0
● ●●
●
EnsembleIndividual models
Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−08−18 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html