raw metarials endex

TRKYE DKM SANAYCLER DERNE THE TURKISH FOUNDRY ASSOCIATION

HAMMADDE FYATLARI ENDEKS RAW METARIALS INDEX

HAMMADDE FYATLARI ENDEKS

RAW MATERIALS INDEX

03.04.2014

F. Elvan KARAYEL Veri Analisti



indekiler Hammadde fiyat fark

Pik, Sfero ve elik Dkm Hammaddeleri

Fiyat Fark Nasl Hesaplanr?


1.Oranlar

2. Fiyat Fark Nasl Hesaplanr? Ergitme ve retim Proses

Kayplar

3.Fiyat Farknn Kur le Hesab

Tablo 1 :Hammadde Fiyatlar (TL/ton)

Kaynaklar

Grafik 1: Hurda fiyatlar deiimi

Grafik 2: Rus Piki Teklifleri Deiimi

Grafik 3: elik Piki Fiyatlar

Tablo 2: CAEF Avrupa Hammadde Endeksi

Grafik 4: CAEF Avrupa Endeksi /

EUROFER Endeks Aklamas

Tablo 3: EUROFER Avrupa Hurda Endeksi

Grafik 5: EUROFER Avrupa Hurda Endeksi

Grafik 6: Assofond Hammadde Fiyat Grafii

Grafik 7: Feaf Hammadde Fiyat Grafii

Tablo 4: TK- Tketim Aralklarna Gre Sanayi Elektrik

Fiyatlar

Tablo 5: TK- Tketim Aralklarna Gre Sanayi Doal Gaz

Fiyatlar

Grafik 8: TK - Tketim Aralklarna Gre Sanayi Elektrik

Fiyatlar

Grafik 9: TK - Tketim Aralklarna Gre Sanayi Doal

Gaz Fiyatlar

Tablo 6: TEDA Elektrik Tarifeleri Mukayesesi

Grafik 10: Elektrik Fiyatlar Deiimi

Tablo 7: TCMB Dviz Kurlar(Euro)

Tablo 8: TCMB Dviz Kurlar(USD)

Grafik 11. TCMB Dviz Kurlar

Tablo 9.TUIK Yurt i retici Fiyatlar Endeksi

Grafik 12: TUIK Yurtii Fiyat Endeksi

Grafik 13: TK FE Yllk

Grafik 14: TUIK Metal Dkm Hizmetleri, Sanayi ve retici

Fiyat Enflasyonu

Grafik 15: TK Yurtii retici Fiyat Endeksi

Contents

Raw Material Extra Charge

Grey Cast Iron, Ductile Cast Iron and Steel Castings Raw

Materials

Raw material Prices and Index for Extra Charge

Calculation of the Raw Material Extra Charge

1.Ratios

2.Calculation of the Raw Material Extra Charge - Melting

and Production Process Losses

3.Calculating Extra Charge Using Exchange Rates

Table 1: Raw Material Prices (TL/ton)

References / Sources

Chart 1: Scrap Prices & Price Changes

Chart 2: Russian Basic Pig Iron Prices (USD / ton) - CIF

Marmara Region, Low Mn.

Chart 3: Basic Pig Iron Prices (USD / ton) - FOB, Black Sea

sports

Table 2: CAEF Metallic Material Index

Chart 4: CAEF Metallic Material Index

EUROFER Scrap Price Index Remarks

Table 3: EUROFER Scrap Price Index

Chart 5: EUROFER Scrap Price Index (Please refer to

Remarks section)

Chart 6: Assofond Raw Material Prices (Euro / ton)

Chart 7: FEAF Raw Material Prices (Euro / ton)

Table 4: Industry Electricity Prices by Consumption Bands

Tablo 5: Industry Natural Gas Prices by Consumption Bands

Chart 8: Turkish Statistical Institute - Industry Electricity

Prices by Consumption Bands

Chart 9: Industry Natural Gas Prices by Consumption Bands

Table 6: TEDA Electricity Tariffs

Chart 10: Electricity Price Changes

Table 7: EBRD Exchange Rates(Euro)

Table 8: EBRD Exchange Rates(USD)

Chart 11: EBRD Exchange Rates

Table 9: TURKSTAT Producer Price Index

Chart 12: TURKSTAT Domestic PPI

Chart 13: TURKSTAT Anual Change of PPI

Chart 14: TURKSTAT Metal Foundry Facility, Industrial and

Producer price Inflation

Chart 15: TURKSTAT Domestic PPI



Hammadde Fiyat Fark

Dkmhaneler uzun sreli szlemeler ile

yaptklar retimlerde, retimin en nemli girdisi

olan metalik hammaddelerin piyasalarda oluan

fiyat deiimleri karsnda retimi devam

ettirmek amacyla zmler retmektedirler.

Faaliyetin devam ve mterilere sevkiyatlar

aksamamas amacyla 2003 ylnda Avrupa

Dkmhaneleri Birlii nclnde spanya,

talya ve Almanya ile beraber Tm Avrupa

lkelerinde ana sanayi ve dkmhaneler

arasnda Hammadde Fiyat Fark uygulamas

balatlmtr.

Avrupal ana sanayilere alan

Dkmhaneler de mterilerinden CAEFin her

ay yaynlad Avrupa Metalik Malzeme

Endeksine bal olarak Hammadde Fiyat Farkn

dnemler halinde hesaplayarak talep

etmektedirler.

Pik, Sfero ve elik Dkm

Hammaddeleri

Pik, Sfero ve elik Dkm retiminde:

1000 Ton retim iin 1100 ila 1200 Ton

arasnda hurda, pik ve alam malzemelerinden

oluan temel metalik hammaddeler

kullanlmaktadr.

retilecek malzemenin zelliklerine gre

dkmhanelerde piyasadan temin edilen hurda

ve pik demirine alam malzemeleri katklar ile

istenen metalurjik zellikler elde edilir.

Bu almaya Alam Malzemeleri henz

eklenmemitir. Grafit Karbon Verici, FeSiMg,

FeSi, FeMo, FeV ve bunun gibi nemli metalik

alyaj malzemeleri zerindeki almalar

tamamlandnda eklenecektir.

Metal Hammadde temin etmeden dkm

yapmak mmkn deildir.

Raw Material Extra Charge

Foundries for their longterm sales agreement

try to find solutions to hedge against metallic raw

materials price changes.

To secure the continuance of production and

avoid delays in deliveries, in 2003 The European

Foundry Association (CAEF) together with Spain,

Italy and Germany, pioneered the

implementation of Raw Material Extra Charge

between primary industries and foundries within

Europe.

Upon the implementation of Raw Material

Extra Charge, the foundries supplying European

primary industries claim the extra charges from

their customers which is calculated on the basis

of the CAEF Metallic Material Index published on

a monthly basis.

Grey Cast Iron, Ductile Cast Iron and

Steel Castings Raw Materials

In the production of grey cast iron, ductile cast

iron and steel castings:

For an output of 1.000 tons of cast material,

approximately 1.100 to 1.200 tons of metallic raw

materials - scrap, pig and casting alloys are

used.

Depending on the characteristics of the

output, the foundries formulate the right mixture

for the required metallurgical specifications by

adding up casting alloys to the scrap and pig iron

supplied from the market.

In the present analysis, alloy materials

(carbon graphite, FeSiMg, FeSi, FeMo, FeV and

similar metallic alloys) are not included.

1




Trkiye Dkm Sanayicileri Derneinde

oluturulan komisyon, Dernek yesi firmalardan

ve hammadde reticilerinden ald veriler

dorultusunda 2008 ylnn Mays ayndan

itibaren Avrupada uyguland ekliyle Trkiye

Metalik Malzeme Fiyat Fark Endeksi

yaynlayacaktr.

Endeksin temel ald veriler sz konusu

hammaddelerin hesaplanan dnemde

fabrikalarmza maliyet bedellerinin Trkiye

ortalamas alnarak hesap edilmektedir.

Bilgiler Ankara, zmir, Samsun, Konya illeri ile

Marmara Blgesindeki Tdksad yeleri

Dkmhanelerden aylk periyotlarla toplanan

veriler ile hesaplanmaktadr.

Dnemin ortalamas ve dnemin en yksek

fiyat tabloda listelenmitir.

Tablo dzenli olarak her ayn sonunda

toplanan veriler ile hesaplanacak ve sonraki ayn

ilk haftas www.tudoksad.org.tr internet adresinde

yaynlanacaktr.


1.Oranlar

Deiik proseslere ve para zelliklerine bal

olarak bileenler deiebilmektedir.

Aadaki oranlar hesaplamalarda temel

alnmtr.

Gri Pik Dkm % 50 Hurda fiyat

% 25 Hematit pik fiyat

% 25 elik Piki fiyat

Sfero Dkm % 50 Sfero Piki fiyat

% 50 Hurda fiyat

elik Dkm % 100 Hurda fiyat

Raw Material Prices and Index for

Extra Charge

A commission within TDKSAD is regularly

collecting information from TDKSAD

members and raw material suppliers. Beginning

from the May 2008, TDKSAD analyzes and

publishes this information on a monthly basis as

the Turkish Metallic Raw Materail Price Index for

Extra Charge, implemented in the same way as

in Europe.

The basic data in the Index is the average

total cost of metallic materials at the foundry

door.

The Index values are based on the monthly

collected information from the TDKSAD

members located in Ankara, zmir, Samsun,

Konya and Marmara region.

The average price and the maximum price of

the raw material for the given period are given on

the table.

The Index is regularly updated on a monthly

basis and previous month data is posted every

first week of the coming month at

www.tudoksad.org.tr.

Calculation of the Raw Material Extra

Charge

1.Ratios

Depending on the characteristics of the

casting and different processes the components

may vary. In the Index, the values calculated are

based on the ratios specified here in.

The value takes into account:

Grey Cast Iron 50 % Scrap price 25 % Pig iron hematite price 25 % Basic Pig Iron Price Ductile Cast Iron 50 % Pig iron for ductile

iron Price 50 % Scrap price

Steel Castings 100 % Steel scrap price

2



2. Fiyat Fark Nasl Hesaplanr? Ergitme ve retim Proses Kayplar

Her dkmhanenin kendine zg proses kayplar olmaktadr. Hesaplamalarda ergitilmek zere ocaklara atlan hammadde arl ile satlan rn arl arasndaki fark ergitme ve proses kayb olarak deerlendirilmektedir. Genellikle %10 kabul edilebilen bir deer olmakla beraber, ince kesitli, manifold, fren paralar ve knuckle gibi rnlerde %20 ye kadar kabilmektedir.

Fiyat Fark Nasl Hesaplanr? Hesaplama Forml rnek 1

Sfero Dkm iin Aralk 2010-Aralk 2011 aras

Fiyat Fark hesab (Ergitme Kayb %10);

Tablo 1.den (7). stunda Aralk 2010 ve Aralk

2011 deerleri bulunur

Aralk 2010 dkm hammadde maliyeti Aralk

2010 satr, Sfero Dkm stunu (820) 820 X 100

/ (100 -10) = 911

Aralk 2011 ortalama hammadde maliyeti, Aralk

2011 satr, Sfero Dkm stunu (1.040)

1.040 X 100 / (100 -10) = 1.156

Fark: 1.156 911 = 245 TL / ton


Sfero Dkm iin Nisan 2008-Mays 2008 aras Fiyat Fark hesab (Ergitme Kayb %10);

Tablo 1.den (7). stunda Nisan 2008 ve Mays 2008 deerleri bulunur

Nisan 2008 dkm hammadde maliyeti Nisan 2008 satr, Sfero Dkm stunu (810)

810 X 100 / (100 -10) = 900

Mays 2008 ortalama hammadde maliyeti,

Mays 2008 satr, Sfero Dkm stunu (972)

972 X 100 / (100 -10) = 1.080

Fark 1.080 900 = 180 TL / ton

2.Calculation of the Raw Material Extra Charge - Melting and Production Process Losses

Every foundry has endemic melting and process losses. In the calculations, the difference between the raw material weight and the castings sold is assumed to be the melting and production process loss.The 10 % is a generally accepted ratio for melting and process loss. However, this ratio may increase to up to 20 % in the productionof car knuckle joint parts, manifolds, brake parts and similar products.

Calculation of the Raw Material Extra Charge Example 1

Extra charge for ductile cast iron for the period December 2010- December 2011 (Melting Loss 10 %);

From the table 1 column 7, we extract December 2010 and December 2011 values Raw Material Cost on Castings December 2010 from the table, we use the value at the raw December 2010 and ductile iron column (820) 820 X 100 / (100 -10) =911

Raw Material Average Cost December 2011 from the table, we use the value at the raw December 2011 and ductile iron column (1.040)

1.040 X 100 / (100 -10) = 1.156

Difference: 1.156 911 = 245 TL / ton

Calculation of the Raw Material Extra Charge Example 2

Extra charge for ductile cast iron for the period May 2007- May 2008 (Melting Loss 10 %); From the table 1 column 7, we extract April 2008 and May 2008 values Raw Material Cost on Castings April 2008 from the table, we use the value at the raw April 2008 and ductile iron column (810)

810 X 100 / (100 -10) = 900

Raw Material Average Cost May 2008 from the table, we use the value at the raw May 2008 and ductile iron column (972)

972 X 100 / (100 -10) = 1.080

Difference: 1.080 900 = 180 TL / ton to be charged.

3




Sfero Dkm iin Nisan 2008-Ekim 2008 aras Fiyat Fark hesab (Ergitme Kayb %10);

Tablo 1.den (7) stunda Nisan 2008 ve Ekim 2008 deerleri bulunur.

Nisan 2008 dkm hammadde maliyeti Nisan 2008 satr, Sfero Dkm stunu (810)

810 X 100 / (100 -10) = 900

Ekim 2008 ortalama hammadde maliyeti, Ekim 2008 satr, Sfero Dkm stunu (677)

677 X 100 / (100 -10) = 752

Fark: 752 900 = (-) 148 TL / ton

3. Fiyat Farknn Kur le Hesab

Bu almada tm deerler TL olarak hesaplanmtr. Euro veya USD ye evirmek iin rneklerde olduu gibi dnem aras fark TL olarak bulunduktan sonra ilgili tarihe ait kura blnerek hesap edilebilir.

TCMB resmi kurlar iin: www.tcmb.gov.tr/yeni/kurlar/kurlar_tr.php

rnek 1de bulunan 478 TL fark

Mays 2007 ortalama Euro kuru 1,8095

478 / 1,8095 = 264,16 Euro olarak bulunur

Mays 2008 ortalama Euro kuru 1,9496

478 / 1,9496 = 245,18 Euro olarak bulunur.

Calculation of the Raw Material Extra Charge

Example 3

Extra charge for ductile cast iron for the period April 2008- October 2008 (Melting Loss 10 %);

From the table 1 column 7, we extract April 2008 and October 2008 values

Raw Material Cost on Castings April 2008 from the table, we use the value at the raw April 2008 and ductile iron column (810)

810 X 100 / (100 -10) = 900

Raw Material Average Cost October 2008 from the table, we use the value at the raw October 2008 and ductile iron column (677)

677 X 100 / (100 -10) = 752

Difference: 752 900 = (-)148 TL / ton to be charged

3. Calculating Extra Charge Using Exchange

Rates

In the current analysis, all values are in TL / ton. To convert the value calculated in TL, initially the difference between the periods is calculated as set forth in the previous examples,then the value is converted either to Euro or to USD by using the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) Exchange Rates.

CBRT Exchange Rates can be downloaded from: http://www.tcmb.gov.tr/yeni/eng/

To convert the extra charge (difference) calculated in the Example 1 (478 TL ):

Average exchange rate of Euro in May 2007 is 1,8095 (Table 3):

478 TL / 1,8095 = 264,16 Euro / ton

Average exchange rate of Euro in May 2008 is 1,9496 (Table 3):

478 TL / 1,9496 = 245,18 Euro / ton

4



Tablo 1. Hammadde Fiyatlar (TL/ton) - Table 1. Raw material prices (TL/ton) Dnem/

Period

Hurda / Scrap

(1)

Sfero Piki /

Ductile Iron

(2)

Hematit Pik/

Hematite Pig

(3)

elik Piki /

Basic Pig

Iron (4)

Sfero

Dkm

/

Ductile

Casting

(5)

Pik

Dkm

/ Gray

Casting

(6)

elik

Dkm

/ Steel

Casting

(7) Ort.

(Avg)

Max Ort.

(Avg)

Max Ort.

(Avg)

Max Ort.

(Avg)

Max

2005 373 472 428 423 373

2006 407 515 462 461 407

2007 487 560 589 717 594 641 521 592 535 515 483

2008 612 910 978 1.605 982 1.416 859 1.227 795 766 612

2009 502 639 698 897 656 992 564 840 600 556 502

2010 651 708 842 929 834 878 779 847 746 729 651

2011 830 865 1.087 1.183 1.072 1.132 987 1.066 966 931 830

2012 / 01 931 944 1.159 1.275 1.141 1.230 1.005 1.098 1.045 1.002 931

2012 / 02 895 940 1.090 1.280 1.082 1.220 930 1.100 993 951 895

2012 / 03 881 950 1.152 1.355 1.058 1.177 980 1.170 1.017 950 881

2012 / 04 889 960 1.130 1.412 1.035 1.165 994 1.150 1.010 952 889

2012 / 05 918 970 1.167 1.450 1.057 1.160 1.007 1.150 1.043 975 918

2012 / 06 863 920 1.121 1.410 1.048 1.130 962 1.190 992 934 863

2012 / 07 835 930 1.122 1.313 1.056 1.130 1.011 1.200 979 934 835

2012 / 08 840 900 1.085 1.370 997 1.095 962 1.120 963 910 840

2012 / 09 836 900 1.088 1.358 993 1.080 890 925 962 889 836

2012 / 10 750 800 1.000 1.220 966 1.004 856 900 875 831 750

2012 / 11 810 890 1.080 1.270 956 998 888 929 945 866 810

2012 / 12 814 890 1.084 1.220 929 980 870 930 949 857 814

2012 ORT/AVG 855 916 1.107 1.328 1.027 1.114 946 1.072 981 921 855

2013 / 01 815 890 1.054 1.270 938 970 850 931 935 855 815

2013 / 02 804 860 997 1.160 913 960 829 880 901 838 804

2013 / 03 835 890 1.005 1.260 966 1.028 857 885 920 873 835

2013 / 04 808 860 999 1.160 936 976 836 870 904 847 808

2013 / 05 784 810 980 1.096 992 1.025 854 887 882 854 784

2013 / 06 823 900 1.047 1.220 1.026 1.073 889 950 935 890 823

2013 / 07 838 909 1.075 1.225 1.056 1.090 910 962 957 911 838

2013 / 08 836 950 1.102 1.350 1.068 1.100 992 1.127 969 933 836

2013 / 09 880 999 1.165 1.425 1.065 1.164 1.050 1.190 1.023 972 880

2013 / 10 883 980 1.116 1.320 1.071 1.095 995 1.080 1.000 958 883

2013 / 11 886 980 1.146 1.300 1.094 1.114 970 1.010 1.016 959 886

2013 / 12 905 995 1.137 1.270 1.130 1.190 990 1.080 1.021 983 905

2013 ORT/AVG 841 919 1.069 1.255 1.021 1.065 919 988 955 906 841

2014/01 940 1.040 1.238 1.374 1.227 1.300 1.077 1.161 1.089 1.046 940

2014/02 932 1.000 1.218 1.377 1.196 1.250 1.055 1.180 1.075 1.029 932

2014/3 900 972 1.223 1.380 1.190 1.250 1.050 1.160 1.062 1.010 900

5



Kaynaklar

Hurda Fiyat (1)

olakolu Metalurji A kalite fiyat ve

Trkiye genelindeki dkmhanelerce satn

alnan paketli veya dkme, kaplamasz, DKP

sac hurdalarnn maliyet fiyatlarnn gnlk

hesap edilmi, arlkl aylk ortalamas

Sfero Piki (2)

thal kaynaklardan temin edilen Sfero

pikinin gncel fiyatlar ve balanan

szlemeler ile dkmhanelere maliyet

fiyatlarnn ortalamas

Hematit Piki (3)

sdemir, Kardemir ve ithal kaynakl pikin

gncel fiyatlar ile dkmhanelere maliyet


elik Piki (4)

sdemir, Kardemir ve ithal kaynakl pikin

gncel fiyatlar ile dkmhanelere maliyet


Sfero Dkm Hammadde Maliyeti (5)

Ortalama % 50 sfero piki ve % 50 hurda ile

hesaplanan malzeme maliyeti

Pik Dkm Hammadde Maliyeti (6)

Ortalama % 50 hurda ile % 25 hematit ve

%25 elik piki ile hesaplanan malzeme

maliyeti

elik Dkm Hammadde Maliyeti (7)

% 100 hurda ile hesaplanan malzeme

maliyeti

References / Sources

Scrap Prices (1)

olakolu Metalurji Steel Scrap, A quality

average monthly price.

Pig Iron for Ductile Iron (2)

Imported pig iron for ductile iron average

price (cost of pig iron at the foundry door)

Pig Iron Hematite (3)

Pig iron hematite average price supplied from

sdemir, Kardemir and imported (cost of pig iron

hematite at the foundry door)

Basic Pig Iron (4)

Basic pig iron average price supplied from

sdemir, Kardemir and imported. (cost of pig iron

at the foundry door)

Ductile Cast Iron Raw Material Cost (5)

Raw material cost on castings calculated with

the assumption of 50 % pig iron for ductile iron

price and 50 % scrap price

Grey Cast Iron Raw Material Cost (6)


the assumption of 50 % scrap price, 25 % pig

iron hematite price and 25 % basic pig iron price

Steel Castings Raw Material Cost (7)


the assumption of 100 % Steel scrap price

6



Grafik 1: Hurda fiyatlar deiimi / Chart 1: Scrap Prices & Price Changes olakolu Metalurji A.. tarafndan belirlenen metalik

hurda piyasas fiyat deiimleri

olakolu Steel Scrap, A quality packaged - DKP

average monthly prices (TL / kg) Max. / Average

olakolu Metalurji A.. v/s Dkmhaneler metalik hurda aylk fiyatlar

olakolu Steel Scrap, v/s Foundries steel scrap monthly prices (TL/ton)

7



Grafik 2: Rus Meneli Dk Manganl elik Piki Teklifleri USD/T, CIF, Marmara

Chart 2: LowMn Pig Iron from Russian Suppliers $/T, CIF, Marmara Ports

Grafik 3: elik Piki Fiyatlar

Chart 3: Basic Pig Iron Prices (USD/ton) - FOB, Black Sea ports

8



Tablo 2: CAEF Avrupa Hammadde Endeksi / Table 2: CAEF Metallic Material Index 1.Fiyatlar Euro / ton - Prices (Euro / ton)

Aylar 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

01 188.20 323.21 264.34 299.64 342.36 351.81 289.82 453.95 423.51 404.33 376,99

02 205.00 323.54 267.80 313.39 345.95 324.05 297.58 443.90 422.20 399.01 370,37

03 228.44 318.38 282.00 324.15 347.37 289.83 325.91 444.60 428.27 399.88

04 230.41 296.56 286.39 324.36 421.86 266.73 398.42 440.41 429.51 398.16

05 221.47 263.98 285.04 318.24 504.83 268.13 396.31 439.69 428.66 390.21

06 144.82 203.91 224.68 307.34 318.52 520.23 252.04 381.92 451.42 422.43 380,26

07 146.91 228.22 250.36 308.51 323.40 519.66 255.10 371.01 452.20 409.46 373,12

08 150.35 284.50 294.41 297.42 308.67 483.05 284.11 377.58 449.91 408.37 371,64

09 167.28 292.72 297.03 287.66 307.28 413.60 293.25 382.25 441.72 409.95 370,96

10 171.76 310.41 274.90 297.88 306.16 387.38 264.54 376.39 429.95 394.05 364,73

11 171.24 310.22 269.58 297.26 304.81 329.84 253.79 385.14 409.99 397.25 367,82

12 171.07 297.72 265.80 297.15 304.55 351.93 268.28 419.01 405.28 403.09 372,87

2. Endeks / Index

Aylar 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

01 129.95 223.18 182.53 206.91 236.42 242.93 200.13 313.47 292.45 279.20 260,33

02 141.56 223.42 184.93 216.41 238.89 223.77 205.49 306.53 291.54 275.53 255,75

03 157.74 219.85 194.73 223.83 239.87 200.14 225.05 307.01 295.74 276.13

04 159.10 204.79 197.76 223.98 291.31 184.18 275.12 304.12 296.59 274.94

05 152.93 182.29 196.83 219.76 348.61 185.16 273.67 303.62 296.01 269.45

06 100.00 140.81 155.15 212.23 219.95 359.24 174.04 263.73 311.72 291.70 262,59

07 101.44 157.60 172.88 213.04 223.32 358.84 176.15 256.19 312.26 282.75 257,66

08 103.82 196.46 203.30 205.38 213.15 333.56 196.19 260.73 310.68 282.00 256,63

09 115.51 202.13 205.11 198.64 212.19 285.60 205.50 263.95 305.02 283.09 256,16

10 118.60 214.35 189.83 205.70 211.42 267.50 182.68 259.91 296.90 272.11 251,86

11 118.24 214.22 186.15 205.27 210.48 227.77 175.25 262.95 283.11 274.32 253,99

12 118.13 205.59 183.54 205.19 210.30 243.02 185.26 289.34 279.86 278.35 257,48

CAEF Avrupa Dkmhaneleri Birlii Ortalama Hammadde Fiyatlar % 25 Hafif Hurda; % 25 Ar Hurda; %25 30x30x30 cm. paketli DKP Hurda; % 25 Dkm Piki The European Foundry Association (CAEF) Average Raw Material Prices: 25 % average of the light steel scrap; 25 % heavy steel scrap/rails 40 cm; 25 % scrap packages 30x30x30 cm; 25 % pig iron

9



Grafik 4: CAEF Avrupa Metalik Fiyat Endeksi

Chart 4: CAEF Metallic Material Index (Euro / ton) - (June 2003 = 100)

CAEF Yllk Ortalama Fiyat Endeksi (Euro / ton)

CAEF Metallic Material Index Yearly Averages (Euro / ton)

10



EUROFER Endeks Aklamas

Eurofer Hurda Fiyat Endeksi Almanya, Fransa talya spanya ve ngiltere pazarndaki demir elik hurda fiyat deiimlerini 3 kategoride incelemektedir.

Tablo ve grafikte yazan deerler hurda fiyat deildir! 2001 yl ortalama fiyat 100 kabul eden bir endeks deerine gre hesaplanmaktadr.

rnek olarak, Mart 2010 New Arisings deeri 255dir ve bu rakam hurdann fiyat deildir. Ayn ekilde ubat 2010 deeri 221 olarak belirlenmitir. ki dnem arasndaki fark hesaplanp (255-221= 34) Mart aynda fiyatta 34 Euro art oldu demek de doru deildir.

Hesaplama rnei

Mart 2009 hurda fiyat 290

Tablodan: Mart 2009:

163, Mart 2010: 255 okunur.

Mart 2010 hurda fiyatn hesaplamak iin basit orant kurularak:

255 x 290 / 163 = 454 bulunur.

Dikkat edilmesi gereken, hurda fiyatdr Endeks deerleri oran vermektedir.

Yani Mart 2009da hurda fiyat 290 iken endeks 163 hesaplanmtr. Buna gre Mart 2010 da endeks 255 ise hurda fiyat da 454 olmaktadr. Endeksteki deiim 92 birim iken hurda fiyatndaki deiim 164 olmutur.

EUROFER Scrap Price Index - Remarks

The EUROFER Scrap Price Index is referential price information on three categories of steel scrap (demolition, new arisings and shredded scrap) based on bid and ask prices collected from major participants in Germany, France, Italy, Spain and the UK.

The values in tables and figures are not scrap prices but an index value calculated on the basis of the average price in Euro / ton in the year 2001(2001=100).

For example New Arisings value in March 2010 is 255. It is not the scrap price, it is the index value. Similarly, the difference between the February and March 2010 values is 34 (255-221= 34). However, this does not reflect the price increase of 34 Euro.

Example:

March 2009 scrap price is 290 .

From the table, the index values are:

163 (March 2009), 255 (March 2010).

To calculate the scrap price in March 2010, we use direct proportion:

255 x 290 / 163 = 454 The scrap price on March 2009 is 290 and the index value is 163. And the index value being 255 on March 2010, the scrap price becomes 454 . While the index value change is 92, the increase in scrap price is 164 .

11

0



Tablo 3: EUROFER Avrupa Hurda Endeksi / Table 3: EUROFER Scrap Price Index

(Please refer to Remarks section)

Grafik 5: Eurofer Avrupa Hurda Fiyat Endeksi

2001=100 New Arisings Monthly Averages in Euros

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Ocak/Jan. 76 96 103 99 130 163 251 182 221 259 227 219 364 319 298 280

ubat/Feb. 74 96 99 99 135 178 252 187 232 264 194 221 339 309 287 267

Mart/March 76 97 98 107 139 205 231 200 247 269 163 255 339 322 290

Nisan/April 75 98 100 108 137 203 213 211 247 343 166 319 326 320 290

Mays/May 76 99 103 110 125 190 178 214 237 428 178 306 327 319 278

Haz./June 80 101 103 114 110 167 150 227 238 439 157 289 340 301 259

Tem./July 79 96 102 114 113 202 172 229 239 445 173 279 335 289 257

Aust/Agust 79 95 100 114 123 247 194 218 231 398 186 300 337 298 263

Eyll/Sept. 78 100 101 112 139 259 214 212 230 302 200 311 327 293 268

Ekim/Octo. 78 103 100 113 138 275 181 220 228 238 179 277 312 275 260

Kasm/Nov. 79 103 95 116 138 273 186 218 223 182 173 296 294 286 271

Aralk/Dec. 82 105 96 121 148 254 183 213 224 228 195 325 301 290 275

Ort./Avg. 78 99 100 111 131 218 200 211 233 316 183 283 328 302 275

12



Grafik 6: Assofond (talya) Hammadde Fiyat Grafii (Euro / ton)

Chart 6: Assofond (Italy) Raw Material Prices (Euro / ton)

Grafik 7: Feaf Hammadde Fiyat Grafii / Hurda ve Pik Fiyatlar (Euro/ton)

Chart 7: FEAF Raw Material Prices (Euro / ton)

Feaf - Spain Raw Material Prices (Euro / ton) scrap basic pig iron pig iron hematite

13

0



TK Elektrik ve Doalgaz Fiyatlar (I. Dnem: Ocak - Haziran, 2013)

Sanayide 2013 yl I. dnem elektrik fiyatlarna

bakldnda, en yksek elektrik fiyat en kk

tketim aralnda (20 MWh(3) alt) grld. Bu

tketim aralnda, tketiciler 1 kWh elektrik iin

ortalama 28,2 kuru, en byk tketim aral iin

(150 000 MWh st) ise ortalama 21,7 kuru

dedi.

Sanayide 2013 yl I. dnem nihai kullanc

doal gaz fiyatlarna bakldnda, en dk

doal gaz fiyat en yksek tketim aralnda

grld. Tketiciler en kk tketim aralnda

(26 094 m3 alt), 1 m3 doal gaz iin ortalama

100,5 kuru, en yksek tketim aralnda (26

094 000-104 376 000 m3) ise ortalama 89 kuru

dedi.

Electricity and Natural Gas Prices (I. Period: January-June, 2013 )

For the industrial consumers, the highest

average electricity unit price was recorded in the

smallest consumption band (below 20 MWh(3)), in

the first period of 2013. Industrial consumers

paid electricity on average 28.2 kurus per kWh

for this consumption band whereas they paid

21.7 kurus per kWh electricity for the largest

consumption band (150 000 MWh and above).

In terms of the average end-user unit price paid

by industrial consumers, the lowest price was

observed in the largest consumption band, which

is between 26 094 000 and 104 376 000

m3 during the first period of 2013. In this

consumption band industrial consumers paid 89

kurus per m3 natural gas on average, while they

paid 100.5 kurus per m3 natural gas for the

smallest consumption band which is below 26

094.

Tablo 4: Tketim Aralklarna Gre Sanayi Elektrik Fiyatlar (2013 - 1. Dnem/O-H)

Table 4 : Industry Electricity Prices by Consumption Bands (2013 - I. Period: January-June) Nihai kullanc ortalama birim fiyat (Kuru/kWh)

End-user average price (piastre/m3)

Consumption bands 2012 2013 Yllk Deiim Change YOY (MWh) I. Dnem /Period II. Dnem /Period

I. Dnem/Period

T < 20 26,8 28,6 28,2 5%

20 T



Grafik 8: TK - Tketim Aralklarna Gre Sanayi Elektrik Fiyatlar

Chart 8: Turkish Statistical Institute - Industry Electricity Prices by Consumption Bands

Grafik 9: TK - Tketim Aralklarna Gre Sanayi Doal Gaz Fiyatlar

Chart 9: Industry Natural Gas Prices by Consumption Bands

15

0



Tablo 6. TEDA Elektrik Tarifeleri Mukayesesi/ Table 6.TEDA Electricity Tariffs

SANAY G BEDEL DAITIMA GML / INDUSTRIAL POWER FEE GROUNDED DISTRIBITION

ift Terimli Tarife/

Binomial Tariff

PRK TZ/ PRK Single

Count (kr/kWh)

PRK Gnd/ PRK Daily (kr/kWh)

PRK Puant /PRK Peak (kr/kWh)

PRK Gece /PRK Night (kr/kWh)

Kayp/ Loss

(kr/kWh)

Datm/ Distrubition

(kr/kWh)

PSH (kr/kWh)

Tarih /Date

Deer Value

Deiim Change

Deer Value

Deiim Change

Deer Value

Deiim Change

Deer Value

Deiim Change

Deer Value

Deiim Change

Deer Value

Deiim Change

Deer Value

Deiim Change

01.04.2014 17,416 -1,02% 17,296 -1,03% 31,537 -0,57% 7,025 -2,52% 2,253 3,62% 1,044 0,62% 0,759 33,30%

01.01.2014 17,595 -0,73% 17,476 -0,74% 31,716 -0,41% 7,206 -1,77% 2,174 -13,85% 1,037 24,36% 0,569 29,67%

01.10.2013 17,725 0,06% 17,606 0,06% 31,847 0,03% 7,337 0,14% 2,524 1,00% 0,834 -2,90% 0,439 -2,25%

01.07.2013 17,715 -0,02% 17,596 -0,02% 31,836 -0,01% 7,326 -0,04% 2,499 -4,42% 0,859 8,02% 0,449 0,78%

01.04.2013 17,718 0,29% 17,599 0,29% 31,840 -0,16% 7,330 0,70% 2,614 41,85% 0,795 -42,55% 0,445 13,04%

01.10.2012 17,770 7,04% 17,651 7,04% 31,891 7,33% 7,381 6,16% 1,843 8,99% 1,385 -0,50% 0,394 -1,63%

01.07.2012 16,601 0,00% 16,489 0,00% 29,714 0,00% 6,953 0,00% 1,691 0,00% 1,392 0,00% 0,401 0,00%

01.04.2012 16,601 10,66% 16,489 10,66% 29,714 10,66% 6,953 10,66% 1,691 9,93% 1,392 -4,78% 0,401 3,34%

01.01.2012 15,002 0,11% 14,902 0,11% 26,852 0,06% 6,284 0,26% 1,538 -16,35% 1,461 20,72% 0,388 7,00%

Grafik 10. Elektrik Fiyatlar Deiimi (Datma gml Sanayi ift Terimli)

Chart 10. Electricity Price Changes (Shared Distribution Industrial Binomial)

01.01.2012-01.04.2014 tarihleri arasndaki er aylk

dnemler baz alnmtr.

Kayp/

Loss

(kr/kWh)

Datm/

Distrubition

(kr/kWh)

PSH

(kr/kWh)

PRK TZ/

PRK Single Count

(kr/kWh)

PRK Gnd/

PRK Daily

(kr/kWh)

PRK Puant

/PRK Peak

(kr/kWh)

PRK Gece

/PRK Night

(kr/kWh)

16



Tablo 7. TCMB Aylk Ortalama Sat Dviz Kurlar (Euro)

Table 7. EBRD Monthly Average Selling Rate of Exchange (Euro)

DNEM/

PERIOD 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

01 - 1.7113 1.7885 1.6145 1.8537 1.7282 2.1278 2.1119 2.0827 2.4110 2.3505 3.0219

02 - 1.6837 1.7134 1.5866 1.8239 1.7576 2.1251 2.0743 2.1726 2.3248 2.3779 3.0292

03 - 1.6247 1.7309 1.6018 1.8650 1.9127 2.2302 2.0860 2.2123 2.3601 2.3478 3.0679

04 - 1.6339 1.7591 1.6376 1.8340 2.0569 2.1268 2.0090 2.1979 2.3532 2.3405

05 - 1.8112 1.7450 1.8107 1.8095 1.9496 2.1223 1.9461 2.2608 2.3168 2.3688

06 1.6674 1.8195 1.6571 2.0268 1.7728 1.9153 2.1704 1.9284 2.3035 2.2866 2.4989

07 1.5979 1.7890 1.6144 1.9806 1.7561 1.9207 2.1434 1.9644 2.3633 2.2336 2.5298

08 1.5690 1.8009 1.6542 1.8824 1.7910 1.7728 2.1174 1.9512 2.5150 2.2209 2.6082

09 1.5455 1.8390 1.6454 1.8842 1.7588 1.8263 2.1696 1.9505 2.4796 2.3141 2.6985

10 1.6763 1.8635 1.6331 1.8672 1.7036 1.9682 2.1780 1.9803 2.5106 2.3413 2.7113

11 1.7358 1.8849 1.6047 1.8737 1.7424 2.0312 2.2185 1.9693 2.4557 2.3020 2.7346

12 1.7644 1.8762 1.6035 1.8926 1.7185 2.0777 2.2048 2.0060 2.4630 2.3448 2.8211

Tablo 8. TCMB Aylk Ortalama Sat Dviz Kurlar (USD)

Table 8. EBRD Monthly Average Selling Rate of Exchange (USD)

Grafik 11. TCMB Dviz Kurlar / Chart 11. EBRD Exchange Rates

DNEM/

PERIOD

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

01 - 1.3560 1.3566 1.3345 1.4251 1.1762 1.5926 1.4779 1.5606 1.8531 1.7728 2.2162

02 - 1.3325 1.3168 1.3267 1.3966 1.1937 1.6591 1.5147 1.5910 1.7604 1.7755 2.2212

03 - 1.3253 1.3112 1.3335 1.4087 1.2353 1.7113 1.5363 1.5827 1.7870 1.8103 2.2217

04 - 1.3597 1.3589 1.3375 1.3583 1.3039 1.6133 1.4950 1.5231 1.7879 1.7997

05 - 1.5103 1.3707 1.4192 1.3378 1.2539 1.5491 1.5410 1.5721 1.8040 1.8228

06 1.4277 1.4995 1.3606 1.5992 1.3217 1.2331 1.5483 1.5779 1.6021 1.8247 1.8973

07 1.4040 1.4585 1.3394 1.5621 1.2812 1.2170 1.5217 1.5443 1.6536 1.8139 1.9344

08 1.4050 1.4792 1.3448 1.4690 1.3155 1.1782 1.4859 1.5103 1.7544 1.7947 1.9604

09 1.3806 1.5068 1.3401 1.4779 1.2685 1.2112 1.4905 1.4983 1.7904 1.8052 2.0214

10 1.4306 1.4937 1.3580 1.4797 1.1994 1.4619 1.4696 1.4255 1.8346 1.8030 1.9898

11 1.4806 1.4543 1.3589 1.4576 1.1887 1.5937 1.4878 1.4350 1.8081 1.7941 2.0249

12 1.4386 1.4006 1.3525 1.4327 1.1800 1.5491 1.5063 1.5191 1.8667 1.7874 2.0609

17



Tablo 9. TUIK Yurt i retici Fiyatlar Endeksi *

Table 9. TURKSTAT Domestic Producer Price Index*

Yl Ocak ubat Mart Nisan Mays Haziran Temmuz Austos Eyll Ekim Kasm Aralk

Year Jan. Feb. March April May June July August Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec.

2006 123,51 123,83 124,14 126,54 130,05 135,28 136,45 135,43 135,11 135,73 135,33 135,16

2007 135,09 136,37 137,70 138,80 139,34 139,19 139,28 140,47 141,90 141,71 142,98 143,19

2008 143,80 147,48 152,16 159,00 162,37 162,90 164,93 161,07 159,63 160,54 160,49 154,80

2009 155,16 156,97 157,43 158,45 158,37 159,86 158,74 159,40 160,38 160,84 162,92 163,98

2010 164,94 167,68 170,94 174,96 172,95 172,08 171,81 173,79 174,67 176,78 176,23 178,54

2011 182,75 185,90 188,17 189,32 189,61 189,62 189,57 192,91 195,89 199,03 200,32 202,33

2012 203,10 202,91 203,64 203,81 204,89 201,83 201,20 201,71 203,79 204,15 207,54 207,29

2013 206,91 206,65 208,33 207,27 209,34 212,39 214,50 214,59 216,48 217,97 219,31 221,74

2014 229,10 232,27 233,98

Grafik 12. TUIK Yurt i retici Fiyat Endeksi/Chart 12. TURKSTAT PPI *

Grafik 13. TK FE YILLIK / Chart 13.TURKSTAT Yearly %

18



Grafik 14. TK Metal Dkm Hizmetleri ve Yurtii retici Fiyat Enflasyonu

Chart 14. TURKSTAT PPI Inflation (metal casting services, domestic producer prices)

Grafik 15. Yurtii retici Fiyatlar Endeksi / Chart 15. PPI Index (2003=100)*

* TK tarafndan, gemite Toptan Eya Fiyat Endeksi (TEFE) ve FE olarak kullanlan endekslerin yerine 2014

yl itibariyle Yurt i retici Fiyat Endeksi kullanlacaktr. Raporumuz bu verilere gre gncellenmitir.

19



TDKSAD YELER / MEMBERS OF TDKSAD

Adarad Dk.rnleri San Tic A.. Akda Dkm San. Tic. A.. Akman Dkm San. Tic. A.. Akmetal Metalurji Endstrisi A.. Akpnar Dkm ve Makina San. A.. Alfa Dkm Mak.San. ve Tic. Ltd ti Anadolu Dkm Sanayi A.. Aral Dkm Mak. San. Tic. Ltd. ti. Ardemir elik Dkm San. Tic. A.. Ardksan Sfero Kal.Pik.Dk.San. Ltd. ti. Arpek Arkan Para Al.. Enj Kalp San. Tic.A As elik Dkm l. San. Tic. Ltd. ti. Atik Metal Sanayi Ticaret A.. Ay Dkm Mak. San. Tic. A.. Ayhan Metal Pres Dkm San. Tic. A.. Ayzer Dkm San. Tic. Ltd. ti. Bilge Dkm Mak San Tic A.. BMC Sanayi Tic. A.. Boran elik Dkm San. Tic. A.. Burdksan Ltd. ti. Cevher Dkm Sanayi A.. CMS Jant ve Mak. San. A.. Componenta Dkm Tic. San. A.. elik Granl Sanayi A.. elikel Al.um Dkm San. Tic. A.. ema Dkm Sanayi A.. ukurova-naat Mak. San. Tic. A.. Dalolu Dkm Mak. San. Tic. Ltd. ti. Demisa Dkm Emaye Mam.San. A.. Denizciler Dkmclk San. Tic. A.. Dirinler Dkm San. Tic. A.. Doru Dkm Mak. San.Tic. Ltd. ti. Dou Dkm San. Tic. Ltd. ti. Dkma Malatya Metal leme Merk. A.. Duduolu elik Dkm San. Tic. A.. Duyar Vana Makine San. Tic. A.. Ekstra Met.Dk.z.Mak.San.th hr.Ltd.ti. Eku Fren Kampana Dkm San. A.. Elba Basnl Dkm San. Tic. A. Entil End. Yat. Tic. A.. Er Dkm Mak. San. Tic. A.. Ergenekon elik San. Tic. A.. Ergin Mak.Mod. Dkm San.Tic.Ltd.ti. Erkunt Sanayi A.. Ferro Dkm Sanayi D Tic. A.. Formmet Metalurji Ltd. ti. Metalurji Mak.San.Tic.Ltd.ti. Gedik Dkm Vana San. Tic. A.. Grmetal Hassas Dkm San.Tic.Ltd. ti. Gvenpres Dkm Sanayi Tic .Ltd. ti. Hayta Dkm San. Tic. A.. Hekimolu Dk. San. Nak. Tic. A.. Hema Otomotiv Sistemleri A.. Hisar elik Dkm San. Tic. A.. rek Makine Sanayi ve Ticaret A.. stanbul Dkm San. Tic. Ltd. ti. Kalkanc Pres Dk.San ve Tic Ltd ti Karaman Dkm San. Tic. Ltd. ti. Kardkmak -Kardemir Dk.Mak.A.. Kaydksan -Kayseri Dk.San.Tic.A.. Kzlrmak Dkm San. Tic. A.. Krfez Dkm San. Tic. A.. Meda Met. Dk.Mak.San.Tic A.. Mensan Otomotiv Mak . San A.. Mert Dkm Mak. n. San. Tic. Ltd. ti. Mes Dkm San. Tic. Ltd. ti. Mesa Makine Dkm A Motus Otomotiv A Normsan Tic. Met. ml.San.Tic Ltd. ti . nmetal Dkm San. Tic. Ltd. ti. zgm Dkm San. Tic. A..

zgr Dkm Mad.Mak.Ltd.ti. zgven Dk.Mak. San. Tic Ltd. ti. Pnar Dkm Sanayi Tic. A.. Ruba Pres Dkm San. A.. Samsun Makine San. A.. Serpa Hasas Dkm Ltd. ti. Silvan Sanayi A.. Sperpar Otom. Para San. Tic. A.. ahin Dkm San. Tic. Ltd. ti. enkaya elik Dkm ve Yedek Para Fabr. Tan elik Dkm Mak. San. A.. Toselik Granl San. A.. Trakya Dkm San. Tic. A.. mit Dkm Ltd. ti. nimetal Hassas Dk.Yed. Par. A.. Yazkan Mh. Dk. Mak. San. Ltd. ti. stanbul Pik Dkm. Esnaf ve Sanatkarlar Odas Ankara Madeni Dkmcler Odas zmir Bilumum Dkm K.Esnaf ve Sanat Odas - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 5M Elektro Mekanik ml.n.Tur.Dah.Tic.Ltd.ti. Acarer Metal San. Tic. A.. Amcol Mineral Madencilik San A.. Aveks ve D Tic. A.. Bes Muhendislik San ve Tic A.. Bilginolu Endstri A.. elikta Snai Kumu Mad.San. Nak. Tic. A.. ukurova Kimya End. A.. Eges Elektrik ve Elektronik Ger. San. Tic. A.. Evren th. hr. Paz. A.. Expert Mmessillik Turizm Tic. Ltd. ti. FerroMet Dkm Malz. San. A.. . Fostema Metalurji San Tic Ltd. Hannover-Messe Ankiros Fuarclk A.. Heraeus Electro-Nite A.. nductotherm ndksiyon Sist. San. A.. Kadolu Madencilik San. Tic. A.. Kumsan Dkm Malzemeleri San. Tic. A.. LMA Motif Al Dok San Ltd. ti. Magma Biliim Teknoloji Hizm .Ltd. ti. Marmara Metal Mam. Tic. A.. Metamak Metalurji Mak. Mm. Ltd. ti. Metko Httenes Albertus Kim. San. Tic. A.. Silta Silis Kumlar San.Tic. A.. Silvan D ve Tic. A.. Unikon Metalurji ve Kimya San. Tic Ltd. ti. Ylkan Maa Suportlar ret. Paz. San. Tic.A Vesuvius Foseco Dkm San. Tic. Ltd. ti

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