raymond james infrastructure and industrial conference caterpillar 05232012
DESCRIPTION
TRANSCRIPT
Caterpillar Confidential: Green
Raymond JamesInfrastructure and Industrial Conference
Caterpillar Confidential: Green
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements in this presentation relate to future events and expectations and are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as “believe,” “estimate,” “will be,” “will,” “would,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “plan,” “project,” “intend,” “could,” “should” or other similar words or expressions often identify forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, statements regarding our outlook, projections, forecasts or trend descriptions. These statements do not guarantee future performance, and we do not undertake to update our forward-looking statements.
Caterpillar’s actual results may differ materially from those described or implied in our forward-looking statements based on a number of factors, including, but not limited to: (i) global economic conditions and economic conditions in the industries and markets we serve; (ii) government monetary or fiscal policies and infrastructure spending ; (iii) commodity or component price increases and/or limited availability of raw materials and component products, including steel; (iv) our and our customers’, dealers’ and suppliers’ ability to access and manage liquidity; (v) political and economic risks and instability, including national or international conflicts and civil unrest; (vi) our and Cat Financial’s ability to: maintain credit ratings, avoid material increases in borrowing costs, and access capital markets; (vii) the financial condition and credit worthiness of Cat Financial’s customers; (viii) inability to realize expected benefits from acquisitions and divestitures, including the acquisition of Bucyrus International, Inc.; (ix) international trade and investment policies; (x) challenges related to Tier 4 emissions compliance; (xi) market acceptance of our products and services; (xii) changes in the competitive environment, including market share, pricing and geographic and product mix of sales; (xiii) successful implementation of capacity expansion projects, cost reduction initiatives and efficiency or productivity initiatives, including the Caterpillar Production System; (xiv) sourcing practices of our dealers or original equipment manufacturers; (xv) compliance with environmental laws and regulations; (xvi) alleged or actual violations of trade or anti-corruption laws and regulations; (xvii) additional tax expense or exposure; (xviii) currency fluctuations; (xix) our or Cat Financial’s compliance with financial covenants; (xx) increased pension plan funding obligations; (xxi) union disputes or other employee relations issues; (xxii) significant legal proceedings, claims, lawsuits or investigations; (xxiii) compliance requirements imposed if carbon emissions legislation and/or regulations are adopted; (xxiv) changes in accounting standards; (xxv) failure or breach of IT security; (xxvi) adverse effects of natural disasters; and (xxvii) other factors described in more detail under “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our Form 10-K filed with the SEC on February 21, 2012 for the year ended December 31, 2011. This filing is available on our website at www.caterpillar.com/secfilings.
Page 2
Caterpillar Confidential: Green
Page 3
Today’s Agenda
Caterpillar Results Mike DeWalt
Resource IndustriesSteve Wunning
Caterpillar Confidential: Green
1st Quarter 2012 versus 1st Quarter 2011
2011 2012
Profit after tax(in millions)
$1.84
Sales & Revenues(in billions)
Profit per share(in dollars)
$1,225
$1,586$16.0
$12.9
$2.37
2011 2012 2011 2012
Page 4
Up 29%
Caterpillar Confidential: Green
2010 20112009 2012 2010 20112009 2012
2012 OutlookAs of April 25, 2012
Sales & Revenues(in billions)
Profit per share(in dollars)
$32.4
$1.43
$42.6
$4.15
$60.1$7.40
$68 to $72
$9.50 at Middle of Sales & Revenues
Outlook Range
Page 52012 profit outlook improved
We’re not updating our outlook in this presentation
Caterpillar Confidential: Green
Page 6
1st Quarter Discussion
Good execution … margin rates
Inventory
China sales
Mining
All Time Record Profit in Q1-2012
Caterpillar Confidential: Green
Page 7
Business Segments
Power Systems
31%
Resource Industries
30%
ConstructionIndustries
32%
1Q 2011 Sales & Revenues
US$ BillionsConstruction Industries $ 5.1Resource Industries 4.8Power Systems 5.0Financial Products 0.7All Other 0.4
Three large segments
represent almost 95% of total Sales
and Revenues
Caterpillar Confidential: Green
Page 8
Resource Industries
Steve Wunning – Group President
Caterpillar Confidential: Green
Page 9
Resource Industries
DefensePaving Forestry Work ToolsTunneling
Mining & Quarry
Caterpillar Confidential: Green
Page 10
Long-term Growth Drivers
CommoditiesPopulation GrowthUrbanizationGrowing Middle Class
EquipmentDeclining ore grades
CaterpillarBreadth of the product lineMining in increasingly remote locationsComplexity … and the ability to support customers
CommoditiesPopulation GrowthUrbanizationGrowing Middle Class
EquipmentDeclining ore grades
CaterpillarBreadth of the product lineMining in increasingly remote locationsComplexity … and the ability to support customers
Caterpillar Confidential: Green
Page 11
Mining Growth Opportunity
Base metals demand expected to about double over the next two decades
Tougher production conditions will create new challenges:
More deep mine production More high risk locationsIncreased environmental regulationsIncreasing capital intensityInfrastructure requirementsDeclining ore grades
Source: HSBC Research
Caterpillar Confidential: Green
Page 12
Long-term Potential … Positive Results in Q1
Significant growth … Q1 sales increased, better margins, continued demand, and a strong order backlog
Long-term opportunities are significant … that’s why we’re investing in this business
We are integrating Bucyrus
Distribution to Cat Dealers
Engineering in Cat components
Aftermarket
Caterpillar Confidential: Green
Resource Industries SegmentPage 13
1Q2011 1Q2012 % Change
Sales $2,768 $4,778 73%
Segment Profit 796 1,168 47%
Bucyrus was acquired in July of 2011 and contributed about $1 billion to Q1-2012 sales and $62 million to segment profit
Caterpillar Confidential: Green
Page 14
Summary
Mining is strong throughout most of the world … Eastern US coal is an exception
Lead times are extended and sales have increased as we’ve added capacity
Mining is expected to be one of Caterpillar’s best long-term opportunities
Growth in equipment should be even better than mining in general … a result of increasing strip ratios and declining ore grades
Bucyrus and SIWEI are important strategic acquisitions
Well positioned for growth
Caterpillar Confidential: Green
Questions ?