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Cijene poljoprivrednih proizvoda u Hrvatskoj nakon ulaska u Europsku uniju Miroslav Božić, ravnatelj “Cijene hrane – od krize ka stabilnosti” Međunardoni skup HAH i FAO Osijek, 25. listopada 2011. REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ruralnog razvoja

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Page 1: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

Cijene poljoprivrednih proizvoda u Hrvatskoj nakon ulaska u Europsku uniju

Miroslav Božić, ravnatelj

“Cijene hrane – od krize ka stabilnosti” Međunardoni skup HAH i FAO

Osijek, 25. listopada 2011.

REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ruralnog razvoja

Page 2: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

1. Hrvatska poljoprivreda i globalno okruženje 2. Cijene hrane i poljoprivrednih proizvoda danas 3. Cijene u poljoprivredi: pogled u budućnost

Sadržaj

Page 3: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

Promjene gledišta na hranu ... (FAO, OECD, MMF, WB, OXFAM)

Dugoročno silazni trend cijena hrane i poljoprivrednih proizvoda (potpomognut izvoznim subvencijama) ugrožava prehrambenu sigurnost stotine milijuna osoba u najsiromašnijim zemljama svijeta...

2005.

2008. Visoke cijene hrane gurnule su milijune osoba u sve veće siromaštvo i glad u zemljama u razvoju. Trenutačno je u svijetu oko jedna milijarda neishranjenih osoba...

Gdje je istina?

Page 4: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

Pozadina problema

Povećanje svjetskog stanovništva

Ograničeni resursi (posebica voda i zemljište)

Porast potražnje za proteinima animalnog podrijetla

Potražnja za biogorivima nauštrb proizvodnje hrane

Sve ekstremniji klimatski uvjeti

Nedosljedne politike širom svijeta

Page 5: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

„Eksplozija” cijena poljoprivrednih inputa od 2003. ! (Svjetska Banka: nominalni indeksi cijena, 2000=100)

Page 6: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

Hrvatska poljoprivreda u odnosu na EU (udjeli Hrvatske u %)

Page 7: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

Kolika nam je produktivnost u poljoprivredi u usporedbi s EU?

Page 8: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

Produktivnost raste ali još nije dovoljno ...

Page 9: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

Usporedna razina indeksa cijena za hranu i bezalkoholna pića u Hrvatskoj, zemljama EU i zemljama jugoistočne Europe u 2010.

Page 10: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

Indeksi potrošačkih cijena u Hrvatskoj u odnosu na EU

Page 11: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

Usporedna razina indeksa cijena za dobra i usluge u Hrvatskoj u odnosu na EU u 2010. godini

Page 12: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

Cijene proizvoda u biljnoj proizvodnji: Hrvatska i EU (Ø za razdoblje 2007-2009)

Page 13: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

Cijene proizvoda u stočarstvu: Hrvatska i EU (Ø za razdoblje 2007-2009)

Page 14: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

Procjena promjena cijena nakon ulaska Hrvatske u EU (zbirni indeksi)

Page 15: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

Procjena promjena cijena nakon ulaska Hrvatske u EU (Biljna proizvodnja)

Page 16: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

Procjena promjena cijena nakon ulaska Hrvatske u EU (Stočarstvo)

Page 17: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

Što je potrebno činiti?

Edukacija i informiranje

Stalni dijalog partnerskih skupina

Jačati konkurentnost na svim razinama

Investirati u sve dijelove prehrambenog lanca

Transparentna, održiva i provediva politika

Page 18: REPUBLIKA HRVATSKA Ministarstvo poljoprivrede, ribarstva i ... polj... · m.bozic@mps.hr “Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that

Hvala na pozornosti!

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“Sometimes we stare so long at a door that is closing that we see too late the one that is open.”

Alexander Graham Bell

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