results presentation 4q08
TRANSCRIPT
4Q08 ResultsMarch 31, 2009
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Agenda
• The Company
• The Nonwovens Sector
• Highlights
• 4Q08 Results
• Outlook
Shareholders’ Composition
AIG Group
19.0%
G&GEspírito Santo
Group
19.0% 10.2% 27.4%
Asas Fund
18.3%
Treasury and
others
6.1%
Total: 82.5 million
Shares
Block of Control
Since October 1st, 2008, Providência operates its nonwovens division only, with
approximately 700 employees; our Pipes and Fittings Division was sold in October
2008.
The Company focused in the nonwovens business, that present better margins and
lower operational costs.
Overview
#1 manufacturer of nonwovens in Latin
America
51% market share in
Brazil*
34% market share in Latin America, except Brazil*
*Hygiene Products
NonwovensMajor
End-uses
Diapers
Feminine hygiene
Furniture & bedding
Medical disposables
Key Customers
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Our Nonwovens Focus:
Consumer Goods Industry
Product Mix (% of Nonwovens Net Revenues)
Providência is focused on high value-added nonwoven products with high growth potential
(hygiene and medical disposables)
Market Segmentation Outlook
Value-added
products
Medical
Disposables*
Hygiene /
Consumer
Goods*
Durables
Operating
margin
Expected
growth
Double
digit
Double
digit
Single
digit
Market
size
High
Medium
Low
Small
Large
Medium
Medical
3%
Durable
23%
Hygiene
74%
* Also exported to the USA and to
Latin America
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Agenda
• The Company
• The Nonwovens Sector
• Highlights
• 4Q08 Results
• Outlook
Providencia35.340 51%
Fitesa15.420 22%
Polystar4.800 7% PGI (
importação)6.840 10%
Outros7.200 10%
Market Share & Diapers Market
Market Share Brazil(2008 in tons)
Market Share South America except Brazil(2008 in tons)
Evolution of Baby Diaper Penetration in Brazil
15%
20%
35%
1995 2000 2005 2008*
38%
*Estimated
PGI;
28.200
42,2%
Softbond;
7.500
11,2%
Fitesa;
7.500
11,2%
Providencia;
23.700
35,4%
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Agenda
• The Company
• The Nonwovens Sector
• Highlights
• 4Q08 Results
• Outlook
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Highlights
Sale of the Pipes and Fittings Division - Provinil:
Focus in nonwovens: Company core business, with higher margins compared to the
Pipes Division;
Sold to an Alixis subsidiary in October/08;
R$82 million, equivalent to 7.5x the Ebitda generated by this Division in the past 12
months.
Debentures issued in Dec/07:
Annual rating review;
Rating maintained at a brA level, despite the world crisis;
Síntese Analítica released by Standard & Poor’s on October 28,2008.
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Highlights
SAP system stable since 4Q08.
2nd Share Buyback Program started on November 26, 2008:
Totaling 2.4 million shares that represented, in November 2008, 10% of the Company
free float;
Until the beginning of our quiet period, in March 12, 2009, we had acquired 85% of
the Program.
Stability of tax credits in the acquisition of raw material for exported products:
Government benefit stop the tax credits growth.
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Agenda
• The Company
• The Nonwovens Sector
• Highlights
• 4Q08 Results
• Outlook
12
The Nonwovens sales increased
by 11.9% in 4Q08 compared with
4Q07 mainly due to the start up of
KAMI9, in April/2008, that reached
its full capacity of 15,000 tons/year
in the second half 2008;
Compared to the 3Q08 our sales
volume was stable.
Sales Volume
In thousand tons
4Q07 3Q08 4Q08
15.5
5.6
1.1
17.3
1.6
17.7
5.9
0.8
Nonwovens Pipes and Fittings Others
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Net Revenues
– Nonwovens Division
In millions of Reais
Net revenues of the Nonwovens
totaled R$ 124.4 million in 4Q08, an
increase of 34.1% y-o-y mainly due
to the increase of 11.9% in volumes,
and to the better exchange rates that
helped our exports, that accounted
for 50.5% of our gross revenues in
the 4Q08.
4Q07 3Q08 4Q08
92.7
124.4
104.9
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Variable Costs – Nonwovens Division
The unit variable cost increased 23.8% in
4Q08 in relation to the 4Q07, mainly due to the
increase of 25.7% in the exports volume, that
presents higher logistic costs and to the
stronger US dollar against the Real .
In relation to the 3Q08 the increase was
12.5%.
4Q07 3Q08 4Q08
3.70
4.58
4.07
Unit Variable Costs
(R$ - raw material, comissions and shipping)
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Costs – Cia Providência
The cost of goods sold reached R$ 84.5
million in the 4Q08, an increase of 0.3%
compared to the R$ 84.3 million in the 4Q07.
The unit COGS increased 17.1% due to the
costs of the Pipes and Fittings Division in the
4Q07, that was lower than the unitary COGS
of the Nonwovens Division. Because of this
the unitary COGS of both divisions were
smaller in 4Q07 and 3Q08.
3.92 3.87 3.66
Unitary COGS
4Q07 3Q08 4Q08
84.3 84.590.4
Cost of Goods Sold(R$ million)
3.81 3.704.46
Unitary COGS
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Fixed Costs – Nonwovens Division
In addition to the collective wage agreement in
4Q08, increases are directly related to the sale
of the Pipes and Fittings Division. On a unit
basis there was an increase in certain fixed
costs, previously also prorated to the PVC
Division but fully absorbed by the Nonwovens
Division alone in 4Q08, examples being wages
and corporate departmental overheads.
4Q07 3Q08 4Q08
9.8
11.6
9.0
0.63 0.510.67
Unitary Fixed Costs
4Q07 3Q08 4Q08
25.6
Fixed Costs(R$ million)
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EBITDA (R$ million)
and EBITDA Margin (%) – Nonwovens Division
Ebitda of the Nonwovens Division
reached R$ 33.3 million, with a 26.8%
margin, na increase of 30.0% in
relation to the 4Q07.
In relation to 3Q08 there was a
38.7% increase.
4Q07 3Q08 4Q08
25.6
33.3
24.0
27.6% 22.9% 26.8%
EBITDA Margin%
Ebitda (R$ million) and
Ebitda Margin (%)
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Net Earnings (R$ million)
And Net Margin (%)
Net earnings in 4Q08
reached R$ 19.0 million
(positive 15.0% margin)
against R$ 7.2 million in 4Q07.
4Q07 3Q08 4Q08
7.2
19.0
(2.2)
-1.7%
6.2%
15.0%
Net Margin
Consolidated Net Debt
Debt
18.0
441.6
459.6
170.6
289.0
38.4
454.3
492.7
235.4
257.3
Total Debt
Short term loans
Long term loans
Total
Cash and equivalents
Net debt
(R$ Million) 09/30/08 12/31/08
Debt
In 4Q08 we had a huge cash increase mainly due to the sale of the Pipes and Fittings
Division among others;
The increase in net debt between 4Q07 and 4Q08 amounted to R$ 81.2 million, R$ 71.5
million (US$ 30.0 million) reflects additional funding of US$ for the US plant, restatement of
the debt (FX variation and interest) of about R$ 75.1 million and payment of interest on debt
and principal of R$ 65.5 million;
Financial expenses reached R$ 64.2 million in 4Q08 without cash disbursements in the
short term;
On December 31, 2008 we had two interest swap agreements, due to loans and financing,
being one CDI vs. US$ totalling US$11.3 million maturing in December 2012 and another
fixed rate Libor vs. Libor totalling US$50 million maturing in June 2013, as well as US$ 15
million in currency hedge operations.
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Agenda
• The Company
• The Nonwovens Sector
• Highlights
• 4Q08 Results
• Outlook
Outlook
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Expansion in production of specialty disposable hygiene
articles, to be concluded in 1Q09, output to reach 1,200
tons/month from 2Q09 when the investment program is
complete;
Expansion in output of high performance disposable
medical products with greater value added, the Company’s
goal being that this line should reach 10% of our total
volume in the long term;
Focus on operations with the stabilization of the SAP
software.
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CFO: Eduardo Feldmann CostaIR Manager: Gabriela Las CasasPhone: +55 (41) 3381-7600 Fax: +55 (41) 3283-5909São José dos Pinhais – PR - Brazilwww.providencia.com.br/ir
The words “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “estimate”, “will”, “plan”, “may”, “intend”, “foresee”, “project” and other similar expressions indicate
forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve uncertainties, risks and assumptions, since they include information related
to our potential or assumed future operating results, business strategy, financing plans, competitive position in the market, industry environment,
potential growth opportunities and the effects of future regulations and competition. In addition, forward-looking statements refer only to the date
on which they were made and should not be taken as a guarantee of future performance. Providência is under no obligation to update this
presentation with new information and/or future events .