semiconductor industry and it’s r&d – growth and ... · 106～105 idm crl (equipment) grow...

Semiconductor Industry Semiconductor Industry and Itand It’’s R&D s R&D

–– Growth and TransformationGrowth and Transformation--

Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.

October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」

Dr.Katsuhiro ShimohigashiPresident and CEO

Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center(STARC)

STARC is a consortium on Design Technologies in Japan, supported by eleven major Japanese semiconductor companies.

・ Industry Dynamics

・ Competition and Cooperation

・ Consortium

OUTLINE

Semiconductor R&D Transformation

Survival of the Fittest

Semiconductor R&D Direction in the 21st century



・ An Age of Human Interface

Transformation of Semiconductor R&D



Dr. Katsuhiro ShimohigashiGeneral Manager

Semiconductor Technology Development DivisionSemiconductor & Integrated Circuits

Hitachi,Ltd.STANFORD University 1999



1950

ULSIS

VLSIS

LSIS

ICS

Mar

ket S

ize

Ge discretes

Si discretes

Transistor radios

Transistor TVs

Consumer

Calculators

Personal PCs

Notebook PCs

Computer

Communication

Cordless Phones

PDAs

CCC MarketConvergence

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

The History



0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985

STEE

L PR

OD

UC

TIO

N (M

t/Yea

r)

〔60〕〔70〕〔80〕〔90〕〔00〕YEAR FOR SEMICONDUCTOR

U.S.

JAPANCHINA

KOREA

SEMICONDUCTOR

Semiconductor Market Comparedto Steel Production



‘70 ‘80 ‘90 ‘0010B$ 40B$ 150B$

Infra-Structure

Market

Application

ASP($)

Business Style

R&D

Develop

Scarce

Mainframe

106～105

IDM

CRL

(Equipment)

Grow

Develop

PC

104～103

IDM

CRL CRL

Mega Competition

Grow Mega Competition

Oligopoly

～103 ～102

WirelessCommunication Digital Consumer

IDM,Fabless,Foundry

？To be discussed today!Government-University-Industry

Partnership

Semiconductor Industry Trend

1. Process Technology Commoditization● Pre-competitive

● NGL(Worldwide Cooperation)

2. Post Optical Lithography

3. Low Cost Manufacturing

R&D Direction Technology -Process and Device

(Cooperation)

● New Materials

● Phase-Shift,OPC

●Large Diameter Wafer (Worldwide Cooperation)

● Differentiation

/Infrastructure



4. Technology Maturity ●Acceleration of Miniaturization●Multi-Value Storage and Logic●Module Level Integration

5. Nanometer Processing(Oxide Thickness＜3nm,Now!)

●Optoelectronics

●Atomic Layer Manipulation●Selective Growth

6. Invisible Defects

7. Wiring Material Limit (Cu)

●Molecular / Atomic LevelPhysics and Chemistry

→ Cooperation, Back To The Science

R&D Direction-Continued





Trend of Semiconductor Market (WW)

0.1

1

10

100

1000

10000

100000

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

ＹＥＡＲ

Ｂ＄

Electronics

Semiconductors

Equipments

GDP

VLSI ResearchSNCC Ⅱ

Semiconductor Company Profit Trend

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05

Year

Profit（％）

Worldwide

Japan



Turning Point of Semiconductor Industry (1995)

New Technologies and Products Time To Market

Business EfficiencyHigh-Cost Corporate Culture

Cancellation

Expenditure Expenditure



Measures to Reconcile Together ?（STRJ WS: March 3, 2003）

ＡＡＢＢＣＣ

ＡＡＢＢＣＣ

Perf

orm

ance



（STRJ WS: March 3, 2003）

Futu

reConsortium As a Leverage

ConsortiumIndustry

-University Cooperation

Past

Perf

orm

ance



Long RangeLong Range

StandardizationStandardization

AllianceAlliance

Core CompetenceCore Competence

University &Government

Consortium

Consortium

External

Internal

Pre-CompetitivePre-Competitive

R&DR&DInfrastructureInfrastructure

CompetitiveCompetitive

Transformation of Semiconductor R&D

STARC

STARC, Company Overview

Name: STARC,Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center

Head Office: 17-2, Shin-Yokohama 3-chome, Kohoku-ku, Yokohama 222-0033 Japan

Chairman: Toshio Nakajima, President and CEO,NEC electronics Corporation

President and CEO: Katsuhiro ShimohigashiCapital: JPY 440 million (~USD 4 million)Established: December 28,1995Shareholders: Fujitsu Limited

Matsushita Electric Industrial Co.Ltd.NEC Electronics CorporationOki Electric Industry Co.Ltd.Renesas Technology CorporationRohm Co.Ltd.Sanyo Semiconductor Co.Ltd.Seiko Epson Corporation Sharp CorporationSony CorporationToshiba Corporation



STARC, Bridge between Industry and Academia



Companies

STARC

Universities

Technologies for improving design productivity

Design Asset Re-use /IP reuse etc.

Education of SoC design engineers

Technologies to increase added value of SoC Educational support for

researchers

Technology TransferPromotion

Joint Research/Contract Research

Educational support for SoC design courses

Development of SoC technology platform

R&D Joint Research



・ Consortium

OUTLINE









Memory Density Reaches Giga-Bit

Letter(A4) 1page1K1K

1M1M

19701970 19801980 19901990

1K4K

16K

64K256K

1M4M

16M64M

Density Density (Bit)(Bit)

Newspaper 4pages

Dictionary

DICTIONARY

20002000

1G1G 256M1G

1010

1.01.0

0.10.1

Geometry Geometry (μμm)m)

CD(70Min. HiFirecording)

GeometryGeometry

DensityDensity

YearYear



1980 1985 1990 1995 20001975

1000

100

10

1

[MIPS]

SPARC

8bit 32 bit16bit4bit RISC

CISC

0.1

PowerPC

PentiumStrongARM

ARM6

UltraSPARCAlpha

68000

68020i80386

i4004 i8008i8086

i486

68040

6800

SH-1SH-2

SH-3

SH-4

PentiumProAlpha

New Generation RISC

Processor Performance Reaches GIPS

Year



Frequency Reaches Giga-Herz in Mixed Signal LSI

1994 1996 1998 2000

[MHz]

1000

100

10

Ana

log

Sign

al F

requ

ency

A

nalo

g Si

gnal

Fre

quen

cy

Video Video Sig. Proc.Sig. Proc.

PRML 90Mbps

PRML 130Mbps

PRML 200Mbps

GSM 900MHz

PCN 1.9GHz

GSM RF Transceiver IC(0.6µ Bi-CMOS)

PRML Read Channel LSI(200Mbps 0.35µ CMOS)

PRML 320Mbps

Mobile Phone

HDD Read Channel

Year



Mega Trends

Down Sizing

1980 1990 2000

Sub-note PCPC/ApplePC/IBM Lap Top PC

Notebook PC

EWS Digital Cellular

DVB Electronic Money

H/PC

MONDEX900000 0000010985

PDA

Portability NomadicMultimedia Network

Down Sizing

Nomadic

Year



MULTIMEDIAMULTIMEDIA

Future Look at Multimedia

Translation

Recognition

DigitalizationMachine

Translator

OCR

Nomadic Assistant

Automatic Tour Guide

Digital CameraSafety Car

IMAGEIMAGE

VOICEVOICECHARACTERCHARACTER

Navigation



Processor Performance for Real Time Voice Processing

Processor Performance (MIPS)Processor Performance (MIPS)

Voc

abul

ary

(Wor

ds)

Voc

abul

ary

(Wor

ds)

100K

10K

1K

100

50 100 1000 10000

CarCarNavigaNaviga--

tiontion

DictationDictation

ControlledＳｅｎｔｅｎｃｅ

ＩｓｏｌａｔｅｄＷｏｒｄ

ＦｒｅｅＣｏｎｖｅｒｓａｔｉｏｎ

ＴｒａｎｓｌａｔｏｒＴｒａｎｓｌａｔｏｒ

SH5SH4

Speaker IndependentSpeaker Independent

TicketTicketReservaReserva--

tiontion

SH3



TrendTrendTrend

10100 1000

Controlled Sentence Speech Translation

CPU (MIPS)CPU (MIPS)

10

1000

1

Mem

ory(

RO

MM

emor

y(R

OM

) Siz

e (M

B)

) Siz

e (M

B)

0.1

100

ControlledSentence

Translation

Rule based MT1,000 words500sentences

E-to-J & J-to-E Dictionary(50,000 words x 2)

E-to-J Dictionary(50,000 words)

Rule based MT10,000 words500sentences



RAMRAM

ROMROMSH3SH3

ADCADC

inputinputoutputoutput

ControllerController

･･SH3(60MHz)SH3(60MHz)･･samplingsampling

11/12/16kHz11/12/16kHz･･responseresponse

around around 0.6sec0.6sec･･memory sizememory sizeSRSR

ROM 256kBROM 256kBRAM 500kBRAM 500kB

TTSTTSROM 1.5MBROM 1.5MBRAM 500kBRAM 500kB

specspec

An Example of Speech Translation System (Controlled Sentence,1999)



Free Speech Translation

TrendTrendTrend

CPU (MIPS)CPU (MIPS)10 100 1000

10

1000

1

Mem

ory(

RO

MM

emor

y(R

OM

) Siz

e (

) Siz

e ( M

Byt

eM

Byt

e ))

0.1

100

Free ConversationSpeech Translation

E-to-J & J-to-E Dictionary(50,000 words x 2)

Rule based MT(10,000 words)

Rule based MT1,000 words

500sentences

E-to-J Dictionary(50,000 words)



Normadic Language Assistance- ULSIs will make this happen! -

100MB

Recognition Section(Successive word sound recognition)

Learning Learning

Key Word Key Word Key Word

Time for the sound translation is within

3 seconds

Key Word Analysis

MediumLanguage Processing

SentenceFormation

SoundSynthesis D/A Speaker

SH4X3 (1000MIPS)SH4X3 (1000MIPS)

Key word

Dictionaryfor

Sentence

Dictionary Dictionary

for Sentence

DSP(2000MOPS)DSP(2000MOPS) SH4X3 (1000MIPS)SH4X3 (1000MIPS)

Grammar Dictionary

Dictionary for

Word

SoundDictionary

Translation Section

A/DMike Mike Mike Sentence Analysis

Sound Collating

(probability )

Section Detection

Sound Analysis

Noise Deletion

Large-Scale Sound DB

Sound Analysis

Model Learning

Sound Model



Japanese Language Translation Challenges

Both Polite and Normal Expressions● ｢行く｣/Normal, ｢行きます｣/Polite=“ I will go.”

Same Expression, But Multiple Meanings● ｢すみません｣=“ I’m sorry/Excuse me/I see.”

No Articles, No Expressions for The Singular and The Plural

No Entries of Conversational/Colloquial Expressions in Dictionary● ｢ね｣｢よ｣｢な｣etc=A sosrt of “is it? / isn’t it?” at the last part of

the sentence



Challenging Language Barrier

VoiceRecognition

Ｉ Loveyou



Semiconductor R&D Direction- An Age of Human Interface-

1. Giga-era has been coming in the semiconductorindustry; Gb memories,GIPS microprocessors, GHz ASICs,

2. I have shown that these massive performance increase would best be suited to improve man-machine interface by using multimedia processing,

3. Examples of multimedia processing have been shownwith a special emphasis placed on voice recognition andtranslation,

4. With the advent of portable language translator, I hopethat the 21st century will be known

as “ True Communication Age”.



・ Consortium

OUTLINE







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