silicon philly 7 founder tips
TRANSCRIPT
7TIPSFORFOUNDERS
BrendanOHaraTech/Business
…
KatKlasnicBusiness/Tech
…
7TIPSFORFOUNDERS
TIP#1
…
…
Ifyourideaisanygood…
…
…it’sprobablynotoriginal
…
Don’tthinkitis
Seriously…
Allofyou.
…
Soifitisn'toriginal
Stopworryingaboutpeoplestealingit
…
Ifyouridea’sthatgood,it’sprobablynotthatrare.Ihatetobetheonetopointitout,butprotectingyourideaingeneralisafool’serrand — goodexecutionishardtofind,but
goodideasarecheap. —
— Anil Dash
Thismindsetisstillcommonamongmanyearlystagefounders
Myideaiswhollyoriginalandbyitself
hastremendousvalue.
Butitdoesn't
Iliketheconfidencethisexudesbutitoftenleadstofoundersspendingtoomuchoftheirmentalenergyonprotectingtheir“idea”.
Thisisenergythatneedstobefocusedonexecutionandbuildingateamofco-founderswhocanexecute
Otherwise
Itwillmakeitseemlikeyouovervalue
ideasandundervalueexecution
Nooneinvestsingoodideas
Theyinvestinpeople
Whocanexecute
Don’tworryaboutpeoplestealingyourideas.Ifyourideasareanygood,you’llhavetoramthemdown
people’sthroats.
— Howard Aiken
TIP#2
…
Don’taskpeopletosignanNDA
IfyouthinkyouneedanNDAbecauseyourideaissogoodthatanyonecandoit
Thenyoushouldassumethat
someonealreadyhas
…
EveryAngelorVentureCapitalisthasbeenaskedtosignanNDAbyanentrepreneur
whoeventuallytellsthemanywayaftertheyrefusetosignit.
Ifthathappensandyougetthechancetopitchyouramazingideaforabusiness
Makesurethatitdoesn’talready
exist.
…
Thishappensmorethanyouwouldbelieve.
TIP#3
…
Youneedtoobjectivelyevaluate
your“idea”
Todetermineifitisanopportunity
…
Beforeyoustart
…
Andasyougrow
…
Ifthereisn'tagroupofpeoplewhowillbuyit
AMarket
Thennoonewillinvestinit
…
TIP#4
…
Havinganideaisn’tthesameashavingastartup
…
Andyourstartupisn’tyourbaby.
…
Youneedtoobjectivelyevaluate
your“idea”
…
NooneisgoingtoevaluatetheROIontheirbaby
…
Doacostcalculationtodeterminewhethertofeeditorburpit.
Soifyouidentifytoomuchwithyourideaorstartup…
…
…youpreventyourselffromdoingthis
incrediblyimportantactivity.
Youneedtoobjectivelyevaluate
your“idea”
Objectivityisthehardpart!
Weknowwecannotrelysolelyonourintuitionindecidingtogoforward
withastartup
Evaluate,validateandtestallhypotheses
aboutourideaandthebusinessopportunitywe
wanttobuild
Thisisaminefieldofbiasesandlogicalfallaciesthatweneedtoavoidorattempttomitigate.
TIP#5
…
Mitigateyourbiases
…
ConfirmationBias
…
Basicallysomeoneonlybelievingorseekingout
informationthatconfirmsorreaffirmswhattheyalreadybelieveorwanttobelieve.
…
Thisseesusundervaluefactsthatsayweare
wrongandovervaluefactsthatsayweareright.
…
Youseeitfrequentlyinthenewssources
peopletrustbasedontheirpoliticalleanings.
…
Itisalmostimpossibletoavoidconfirmationbiassoweneedtomitigateitinstead.
…
Youneedtolistentodissentingopinions
…
Reallylisten
…
Thefirstprincipleisthatyoumustnotfool
yourselfandyouaretheeasiestpersontofool.
— Richard Feynman
Whatareyoulisteningfor?
…
Weknowweneedtoknow
…
Whatweknowwedon’tknow
…
Butwealsoneedtoknow
…
Whatwedon’tknowwedon’t
know…
TIP#6
…
CalculateyourOpportunityCosts
…
OpportunityCost:thelossofpotentialgainfromotheralternativeswhenonealternativeis
chosen.
OpportunityCost:NumberofPartners*
AverageSalary*Time
OpportunityCost:Let’sassumeyouand2
partnersaregoingtoneedworkwithoutpayforaminimumof12months.
OpportunityCost:Pluseachwillinvest$25,000ofyourown
moneytocoverbusinessexpenses
OpportunityCost:Beforeyourstartupeitherisbreakingevenorhas
enoughtractiontowarrantinvestment.
OpportunityCost:Nowlet’ssaytheaveragesalaryofyouandyourpartnersis$120,000per
yearor$10,000permonth.
OpportunityCost:NumberofPartners(3)*AverageSalary($10K)*
Time(12)
Sotheopportunitycostofyouandyourpartners
doingthisstartupis$360,000plusthe
$75,000youinvested.
Sothiswouldseemtosaythatifyoucansomehowaccuratelyprojectthatthevalueofyourstartupafter12monthswillbeover$435,000thenthisseemslikeitisaworthwhileendeavor.
Nowlet’ssaywethinkthereisan75%chanceoffailure(totalloss)anda25%chance
thecompanyisworth$2,000,000afterthe12
months.
Thatisanaveragereturnof$500,000againstthecostof
$435,000.
Thatisapositivenumberbutalotofriskfor$65K.Hereisthecalculation:
…
Butwhatifyouknewthe75%oftimesit
wasgoingtofailafter4monthsinsteadof12
…
Thatwouldstillbeanaveragereturnof$500,000but
againstamuchloweraveragecostof$217,500=($435,000*.25)+($145,000*.75).
…
Thatisobviouslyabetterpotentialinvestmentbutitputsadditionalpressureonyouandyourpartnersto
ensureifyoufail,whichyouprobablywill,thatyoufailfast.
TIP#7
…
AvoidFalsePositives
Succeed or Fail Fast
Whenyoutestoutyouridea
…
Negativeresponses
…
Someofwhicharefalse
…
Positiveresponses
…
Someofwhicharefalse
…
Falsenegatives
…
Incorrectlytellsusanideaisnotworth
pursuingbutatleasttheyallowustofailfast.
Falsenegatives
Thatmeansthatwemaygiveuponagoodopportunityonceina
while.Falsenegatives
Because“failingfast”meanstheopportunitycostismuchlower.
Falsenegatives
FalsePositives
…
Thiscausesfounderstostickwithastart-uplongafteritisviable.
FalsePositives
Itshouldbeclearitdoesn’thavearealisticchanceofsuccess.
FalsePositives
Thatmeansforfoundersthe
opportunitycostisextremelyhigh.FalsePositives
…
…
…
Because“failingfast”meanstheopportunitycostismuchlower.
Whattoremember