spatial economics—introductionzeng/1e.pdflecture plan date content 1st 10/1 introduction 2nd 10/8...
TRANSCRIPT
Spatial Economics—Introduction
曽 道 智Zeng, Dao-Zhi
Tohoku University
October 1, 2019
1 / 24
Basic Information
Time: 1st class on TuesdayThe lecturer
Name: 曽道智 (ゼン・ダオズ) Zeng, Dao-ZhiMail: [email protected] (Anytime is OK forquestions!)Url: http://www.se.is.tohoku.ac.jp/ zeng/index.htmlTel&Fax: (022)795-4380Lab: Room 403, this buildingOffice Hour:Tuesday 4:30-6:00 or reserved by mailsMajor: Regional Science, Urban Economics, SpatialEconomics, Conflict ResolutionAspiration: Teaching knowledge worldwide applicableand fostering regional specialists with internationalviewpoints
2 / 24
Lecture planDate Content
1st 10/1 Introduction2nd 10/8 The birth of New Trade Theory3rd 10/15 The Dixit-Stiglitz monopolistic competition model4th 10/29 1-factor models: The Home market effects5th 11/5 1-factor models: welfare analysis6th 11/12 2-factor models7th 11/19 New Economic Geography and equilibrium stability8th 11/26 Core-Periphery model9th 12/3 Quasi-linear model10th 12/10 Re-dispersion by labor costs11th 12/17 Re-dispersion by urban costs12th 12/24 Multi-industry economy13th 1/7 Vertical linkages and firm location14th 1/14 Applications of spatial economics15th 1/21 Research frontiers16th 1/28 Research frontiers
3 / 24
Textbook
Japanese version
曽道智・高塚創 (2016). 空間経済学,東洋経済新報社。3240円。Available in COOP.
Chinese Version曽道智・高塚創(2018). 空間経済学. 北京大学出版社.
4 / 24
Other references
Books and journalsFujita, M., Krugman P and Venables A., The SpatialEconomy, MIT Press, 1999.Fujita, M. and Thisse, J.-F., Economics of Agglomeration(2nd Edition), Cambridge University Press, 2013.佐藤泰裕,田渕隆俊,山本和博, 2011. 空間経済学. 有斐閣。
Journal of Economic Geography, Journal of UrbanEconomics, Journal of International Economics,Regional Science and Urban Economics, Journal ofRegional Science, etc.
5 / 24
How firms choose locations?
Questionnaire for firms (Ministry of Economy, Trade, andIndustry,経済産業省, 2006)
labor costscheap wages in developing countries
market sizea big market in Japana big country has a large market
technology and informationMarket needs, Customer response supportstay in Japan
6 / 24
How households choose locations?
30% Japanese pop. in Tokyo
high wagesNominal wages increase 10% when city pop. is doubled
congestion, commuting costs, high housing priceIn total, a decrease of 7-12%
a lot of varieties
7 / 24
Agglomeration forces
The first naturegood resource, somephysical advantages likebeing close to airports,rivers
Copper mine of Bessi, Nihama, Ehime(愛媛県新居浜市別子銅山)Found in 1690. 0.7 million tons of copper until 1973largest population, 12,000Not sustainable. Now population 0
8 / 24
Another agglomeration force
The second naturefirms in the same location enjoy the externalities, which resultin an agglomeration force through markets. When somefirms happened to come to a place, the market and laborpool become more attractive and finally, more firms come
Tokyo, New YorkEconomic activities, a high level of social infrastructureYiwu in China (義烏)
Orange: peel + flesh
9 / 24
Yiwu (義烏) I
Southwest of Shanghai, 300 kilo; 120 kilo away fromHangzhou, center of Zhejiang
Areas ≈ 1/5 of Shanghai, population≈1.14 million
Origin of the commodities in 100 yen shops
wholesale stores and dealers all over the city
more than 0.2 million buyers from all over the world,more than 10,000 tons of commodities are traded
Although it is in the rich Zhejiang, Yiwu suffers fromdrought. The agricultural production was difficult
no sufficient food. Bartering was popular
Started with bartering, a small market was developed
It becomes an intermediate level city
10 / 24
Yiwu (義烏) II
11 / 24
What is spatial economics?
JR ticketKyoto Osaka Kobe- -Y390 Y540
Kyoto−→Kobe Y1050 > Y390 + Y540Why this economic phenomenon occurs here?space+economics
Regional Science, Regional Economics: Firm locationInternational trade
Fujita, Krugman, the 1st Alonso Prize (2002)Krugman, Nobel prize in 2008
analysis of trade patterns and location of economicactivity
12 / 24
Location theory
von Thunen, Theisolated State(孤立国)
Spatial ImpossibilityTheoremNo competitiveequilibrium with positivetrade costs exists if thespace is homogeneous
land rent
vegetablewoods
grainranch
13 / 24
Starrett: the Spatial Impossiblility Theorem
Can competitive price mechanism explain the endogenousformation of agglomeration?
Isard and Hicks: someparticular effects of τArrow and Debreu:differentiated goods bylocations, convexityperfect competitiondivisibility: divide into thesmallest village
-x2
6x1
O
C
*(p1, p2)1/τ...........
......
......................... .........τ
A′1/τ
A1
1/τB B′
Starrett Impossible Theorem If space is homogeneous andtrasnport costly, then any competitive equilibrium is such thatno transportation occurs—no trade.
14 / 24
Reality
Space is not homogeneousvon Thunen
Technological externality in economic activitiesOgawa and Fujita (1980)trade costs between firms, commuting costs forhouseholdswhen trade costs are low, uniform distributionwhen trade costs are high, firms agglomerate.Households live aroundHenderson (1974)Firms’ productivity depends on city size
the market is not perfectly competitiveNew economic geography
15 / 24
Trade Theory I
Comparative advantagesRicardoH-O
Intra-industry trade
Ohlin (1933) demonstrated the connection betweeninternational trade and the location of industries. Themotives for shipment of goods within countries are similar tothose for shipment of goods between countries. Hedeveloped a “general localization theory” by integrating tradetheory and location theory.
16 / 24
Representative books I
17 / 24
Representative books II
18 / 24
Research framework
Silly assumptionsPeeling oranges
New Trade TheoryStarted in the end of 70sHome-market effect, HME
New Economic GeographyStarted in 90sCore-PeripheryHow two symmetric regions are developed to a core anda periphery
19 / 24
von Thunen’s prediction
English version (in 1966) of the 1826 book (P.295) ...Thus we may say with certainty that railways will makean important contribution to the development of the largetowns, and that, but for the fact that railways will promotealso the prosperity of the rural districts surrounding theprovincial towns, the latter would decay in consequence
20 / 24
Fujita: similar to the history of aviation
Leonardo da Vinciinvention, painting, sculpting,architecture, science, music,mathematics, engineering,literature, anatomy, geology,astronomy, botany, writing,history, and cartographyANA badge (1952-2012)
Wright brothers
Krugman: WAS IT ALL IN OHLIN?http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/ohlin.html
The only good news was that nobody else picked upthat $100 bill lying on the sidewalk in the interim.Krugman did not know von Thunen’s work by thenIt took 11 years from NTT to NEG
21 / 24
Transportation costs
Traditional trade theory: either 0 or∞Iceberg transportation
Before Christ, the Roman Empire liked cold wine. Movedice from the AlpsIn the 16th century, the Mughal Empire in India movedice from the HimalayasSamuelsonvon Thunen
Trade freenessLinear transportation cost
22 / 24
The structure of this lecture
New trade theoryChaps. 2-5Chap. 12
New economic geographyChaps. 6-11
Applications
23 / 24
Homework
What do you expect from this course?Write down your comments on the Nobel prize speechof Krugman:
Krugman, P., 2008. The increasing returns revolution in tradeand geography. Nobel prize lecture.
http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/
laureates/2008/krugman_lecture.pdf
24 / 24