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1 1 1 1 2 2 1. 2.
8 6 8 10
369
50% 600 1600 30o 40o
35% 400mm900mm
Oberste-lehn(1976) San Benito250mm
Bhandari (1991)200mm Corominas
Moya(1999)24 48
300mm200mm
24200mm-600mm
97 9 988
( 1)97 194 563
369435
921
( 2)( 3)
75% 2000 200 6001600 50%
3200 4000 10%3800 -4000
40%
302
1 2009 ( )
2
3
( 4)( 5) 50
20-50 80% 30-40
35% 20-30 16%
6 8070-80
5.2%600 -1600
20 -50
4
5
303
6
(8 5 -8 10 ) ( 7)100mm
100mm(
8) 80%800mm 50% 1200mm
400mm-500mm4.5% 500mm
50km2
1000mm 124km2
1500mm238km2 2000mm
342km2 2500mm428km2
1000mm 2200mm4%
900mm-1200mm19.5%
400mm900mm1100mm-1200mm 3.6%
2100-2200mm 6.6%400mm 900mm
9
1
LA=-0.036r3+1.508r2+1.506r , R =0.997 ( 1)
LA rR 0.997
500mm( 10)
10
7
8
9
304
10
11
300mm-500mm1200 3000
40%900mm
300 600-2000
14001200mm 8002800mm10%
11
5 118
( 2) 2000 20012004
72 20052007 2008
2009
4.3143.2 (
) 109.89 ( ,,2010)
2000
( 12)
70%
30%
500 2000 200430.1% 2005 2009
35.15%
2 2000-2009 / ( )
2000
5/7 110 120.6
2001 7/9 354 145.8
2002 2/3 6 1.62003
3/9 7 31.3
2004
5/9 90 112.2
2005
4/7 23 158.5
305
2006
4/7 3 16.6
2007
5/6 15 137.8
2008
4/6 54 179.5
2009 4/4 770 195 43/67 1432 1098.9
4.3/6.7 143.2 109.89
�
�12
1. 75% 2000 200
600 160050% 20-5080% 30-40 35%
2. 400mm 900mm
3.
300mm-500mm1200
900mm300 600 -2000
4.
30%
1. Corominas J, Moya J (1999) Reconstructing
recent landslide activity in relation to rainfall in the Llobregat River basin, Eastern Pyrences, Spain. Geomorphology 30: 79-93.
2. Bhandari RK, Senanayake KS, Thayalan N (1991) Pitfalls in the prediction on landslide through rainfall data. In: Landslides (Bell DH, ed). Rotterdam: A.A. Balkema, 2: 887–890.
3. Oberste-lehn D (1976) Slope stability of the Lomerias Muertas area, San Benito County, California. PhD, Stanford University, California.
4. http://www.cwb.gov.tw/. 5. 2009
6. 2010
37 1 32-40
306