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STUDY OF THERMAL CRACKS
IN CONCRETE STRUCTURES USING PROBABILITY THEORY
Masami IshikawaTohoku Gakuin University, Japan
Masahiro YurugiFormer Prof. of Hirosaki University, Japan
JSCE Standard Spec. for concrete structures
Definition of Crack Index by JSCE standard spec(2013).
Icr(t) = ftk(t) / σt(t)
Crack Index
Tensile strength
Maximum principal tensile stress
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0
Cra
ck
pro
bab
ility
(%)
Crack Index: Icr (Safty factor:γcr)
50%In case of prevent the occurrence of cracks,
ensure the crack index of 1.85
5%
Description of the JSCE spec.
If the value 1.85 can not satisfied,
It will allow the occurrence of cracks
Check the crack width
Check the crack risk on design proccese
Thermal stress, Drying shrinkage, etc.
Crack width and Crack Index
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4
Cra
ck
wid
th (
mm
)
Crack Index Icr
0.25%~0.30%
0.55%~0.65%
0.85%~0.95%
Relationship between Crack index and Crack width due to steel ratio in JSCE Spec.
300 300
300
300
5000
1500
1000
C=300C=300C=250C=280
p=0.25
Metropolitan Expressway company Ltd., 1984
JSCE recommendation・Large crack width affects durability, water-tightness, and the aesthetics of the structure
・Predict the crack width in advance by FEM etc.
If it is difficult to calculate the crack width by simulation, the following relation available
This relationship is based on the results of one particular experimentit can not say that this graph applicable for all cases
Purpose of this study
Crack Index : Icr
Crack Probability Crack width
The crack width should be also discussed using probability theory
The crack occurrence can be regarded as a stochastic phenomenon
800 8006000
700
800
5000
30000
15000
(mm)
The wall-type structure for crack width calculations
A standard design from the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport of Japan.
Calculation procedure
Calculate temperature distributions
Thermal stress calculation without taking account cracks
Calculate the thermal stress taking crack generation into account
Crack Index Crack width
The relationship is obtained
0Age
Stresses
Tensile strength
Thermal stress
Cracking
0Age
Stresses
Tensile strength =Crack Index
Thermal stress
Data UnitCollected data Input data
Average Standard deviation Average Standard
deviationHeat conduction W/(m·°C) 2.85 0.375 2.89 0.365Heat convection W/(m2·°C) 14.0 0.7 13.94 0.61
Heat capacity kJ/(kg·°C) 1.15 0.025 1.148 0.025
Ambient Temp. (After wallplacement)
°C 21.05 1.06 21.24 1.05
Placing Temp. (Wall part) °C 24.05 1.06 24.23 0.94
Adiabaticheatingparameter
For placing temp. 20 °C
Q∞ °C 48.39 4.70 48.18 4.70α ― 1.054 0.27 1.028 0.266
Correction value at each placing temp.
Q∞ °C ― ― 48.61 4.71
α ― ― ― 1.211 0.269
Compressive strength at 28 days N/mm2 41.7 3.336 41.41 3.09
Density kg/m3 2300 0 2300 0Parameter: d of Eqs. 8 ― 5.17 0.395 5.25 0.323Poisson’s ratio ― 0.18 0 0.18 0Parameter: c of Eqs. 7 ― 0.30 0.031 0.298 0.028Thermal expansion coeff. ×10-6/℃ 9.96 0.84 10.059 1.01
Material properties
Input data sets
Comp. strength
Ultimate adiabatictemperature increase
Heat convection
etc.
Comp. strength 41.7
Ultimate adavtic, 48.4
Heat Convection 2.85
…… ……
Placing temp. 24.0
Input data set-1
Comp. strength 39.5
Ultimate adavtic, 45.2
Heat Convection 2.93
…… ……
Placing temp. 22.3
Input data set-2
Comp. strength 40.4
Ultimate adavtic, 47.1
Heat Convection 2.65
…… ……
Placing temp. 24.0
Comp. strength 41.7
Ultimate adavtic, 48.4
Heat Convection 2.85
…… ……
Placing temp. 24.0
Input data set-…
Input data set-50
・Fifty values were generated by the Monte Carlo method with normally distributed random numbers
・ Selected one value from each of the fifty values
・ Create the fifty sets of data with fifty different combinations
Construction Schedule
KyotoOsaka Tokyo
Sendai
Concrete Structure model was assumed to be located in the Aomori city
Season Spring Autumn
Bottom Sabs May 1st September 1st
Wall and top Slabs May 15th September 15th
End of calculation October 31
Type of cement Blast furnace B type
Cement content 300 kg/m3
Water content 165 kg/m3
Water-to-cement ratio 55%
Proportions of the concrete mix.
Concrete was cured for five days
RebarTruss Element
500
Jount Element
1250
1250
1250
1250
The model comprised only one-quarter of the total shape
・ Cracks occurred at 5.0m intervals along the longitudinal direction
Bond link elements
・ The tensile strength of the bond link elements was reduced by 40%
Numerical model
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Tem
p.(℃
)
Age(days)
Upper
Middle.
Lower
Temperature history (September)
-1.0-0.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Stress (N/mm2)
Age(days)
Upper
Middle
Lower
Stress history (September)
2.25mCL
0.5m
Crack induced joint
5m 5m 5m
1.5m
Output point for crack width
Evaluation point of thecrack index
0
20
40
60
80
100
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0
Cra
ck
proba
bilit
y(%
)
Crack Index: Icr (Safty factor:γcr)
0.71(May)
0.78(Sept.)Average ofCrack Index
Crack probability
Calculation Standard Spec.
0.71(May) 0.99 0.96
0.78(Sept.) 0.93 0.84
If the crack index can be assumed to be distributed normally,the crack occurrence probability,
0.71 1.0
99%
xMay
1.00.78
93%
xSept.
Evaluation of crack probability
Month Output term Average Standard Devi.
Variation Coeff.
May
Maximum temp. (℃) 52.04 3.88 0.075
Maximum stress (N/mm2) 2.74 0.41 0.15
Crack index 0.71 0.125 0.18Crack width(mm) 0.42 0.095 0.23
Sept.
Maximum temp. (℃) 43.92 4.49 0.102
Maximum stress (N/mm2) 2.58 0.385 0.15
Crack index 0.78 0.147 0.19
Crack width (mm) 0.36 0.112 0.31
Results of calculations
・The standard deviation of crack width on the wall surface is approximately 0.1 mm.
・ If a crack width of 0.3 mm was obtained from the analysis results, the range is 0.1~0.5 mm, owing to the fluctuation of material properties.
0.1mm
68%
-0.1mm 0.2mm-0.2mm1σ-2σ -1σ 2σ
95%
95% of the data lie within the range of deviation of ±0.2 mm.
Relationship Crack Index and Crack width
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2
Cra
ck
wid
th(m
m)
Crack Index
The regression line : y = −0.444x + 0.734The correlation coefficient is 0.770
To reduce crack width by 0.04 mm, the crack index should be increased by 0.1.
−0.444(Icr=0.9) + 0.734=0.334
−0.444(Icr=1.0) + 0.734=0.290-0.04
Effectiveness of rebar on crack width
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4
Cra
ck
wid
th(m
m)
Reinforcement ratio (%)
Crack Index 0.92
Crack Index 0.70
Crack Index 0.54
・ Three cases with crack indexes of 0.5, 0.7, and 0.9 were selectedfrom the calculations of the 50 sets September construction cases.
・ Sensitivity analyses for eight levels of rebar were carried out.
・ In order to control the crack width to 0.3 mm, it is necessary to raisethe crack index to 0.9 or more for wall type structure with 0.13% reinforcement ratio.
Conclusions
The crack index Av. Std. div. Crack probability.September : 0.71 0.125 99% May: 0.78 0.147 96%.
・ For a culvert box with a wall thickness of 800 mm, and assuming concretewith a cement content of 300 kg/m3,
・ The standard deviation of the crack width on the concrete surface was approximately 0.1 mm.Therefore, 95% of the data lay within ±0.2 mm.
・ The linear regression of the relationship between the crack index xand the crack width y (mm) was obtained.y = −0.444x + 0.734
・ In order to limit crack width to 0.3 mm, it is necessary to control the crack indexto approximately 0.9 for a wall-type structure with a reinforcement ratio of approximately 0.13%.