the public library economic value study

19
The Public Library Economic Value Study Chaoping Li, Zhejiang University

Upload: rooney-page

Post on 31-Dec-2015

34 views

Category:

Documents


3 download

DESCRIPTION

The Public Library Economic Value Study. Chaoping Li, Zhejiang University. 研究现状 Research status. 文献调研发现,至 2010 年,国外已开展的图书馆经济价值评估研究项目不低于 38 项; Found by literature research, more than 38 library evaluation studies had been developed overseas by 2010. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

The Public Library Economic Value Study

Chaoping Li, Zhejiang University

研究现状Research status

文献调研发现,至 2010 年,国外已开展的图书馆经济价值评估研究项目不低于 38 项;Found by literature research, more than 38

library evaluation studies had been developed overseas by 2010.

ALA 的一份报告汇总了 17 个公共图书馆的经济价值评估项目; A report by ALA summarized 17 assessment

studies of public library economic value.国内对这一研究领域的关注始于 2007 年。

In China, the interests in this research field started in 2007.

To make more people believe that library is a knowledge service institute with great benefit and high return. It is worthwhile for the government to invest on this public goods.

Mr. Jianzhong Wu calls for

图书馆经济价值研究的两个纬度Two dimensions in the study of public library economic value

之一:图书馆成本效益评估 Library cost-benefit analysis

之二:图书馆经济影响力评估 Library economic impact evaluation

图书馆成本效益评估Library cost-benefit analysis

即通过比较图书馆的全部成本和效益来评估图书馆的价值Assessing library value by comparing cost

with benefit.

- Contingent valuation

- Consumer surplus

- Time cost method

图书馆经济影响力评估Library economic impact valuation

即图书馆的存在对地区经济将产生多大的影响,如对公共图书馆每投入 1 元,地区生产总值 GDP 将会相应增长多少,居民收入又会相应增长多少等等。To what extent can the

library’s existence impact the region? E.g. How much GDP and income would increase for every one RMB spent by the public library?

基于投入产出模型的测算The measurement based on input-output models

“ 投入产出”的含义 The meaning of input and output

投入:是指社会生产过程中对各种生产要素的消耗和使用。

Input refers to the consumption and use of various production factors during the process of social production.

产出:是指社会生产的成果被分配使用的去向。 Output refers to the distribution flow of the social products.

基于投入产出模型的测算The measurement based on input-output models

投入产出表 The Input-output table

利用复式记账方法建立的投入产出关系表,用来揭示国民经济中各部门之间经济上的相互依存,相互制约的数量关系。

The Input-output table employs double-entry accounting system, and is used to reveal quantitatively the interdependencies between different branches of the national economy.

基于投入产出模型的测算The measurement based on input-output models

投入产出模型 The Input-output model

根据投入产出表建立的模型称为投入产出模型,从数量上反映国民经济各部门之间生产与分配的关系。 The model based on the Input-output table is the Input-output model. It reveals quantitatively the producer and consumer relationship between different branches of the national economy.

案例:杭州图书馆经济价值研究Case: Hangzhou library economic value study

• 之一:杭州图书馆成本效益评估 Hangzhou Library cost-benefit analysis

• 之二:杭州图书馆经济影响力评估 Hangzhou Library economic impact evaluation

杭州图书馆成本效益评估Hangzhou Library cost-benefit analysis

消费者剩余法:将图书馆服务的价值用市场替代品价值进行测算;Consumer surplus: measure the value of library service by estimating using the value of the market alternatives

条件价值评估:对找不到相应的市场替代品的服务项目,用条件价值法进行测算。Contingent evaluation: used when the market alternatives of library service cannot be found.

互为补充的两个方法Two complementary methods

成本效益评价结果Result of cost-benefit analysis

The total cost of Hangzhou library is 50,540,000 RMB in 2009. By prudent assessment, the total benefit attributed to it is 94,450,000,that means the cost-benefit ratio is 1:1.87.

杭州图书馆经济影响力评估Hangzhou Library economic impact assessment

数据采集

杭州图书馆总支出:4830 万元Hangzhou library made expenditures of 48,300,000 in fiscal 2011.

杭州图书馆读者在利用图书馆过程中的消费支出:问卷调查The expenditure of Hangzhou library users during the process of using library :questionnaire

数据采集Data collection

2011

杭州图书馆经济影响力评估Hangzhou Library economic impact assessment

投入产出模型中系数与乘数的计算

Calculating coefficient and multiplier in the Input-output model

《 2011 年浙江统计年鉴》中“浙江省 2007 年投入产出表”2007 Input-output table from“Zhejiang Statistical Yearbook of 2011”

利用此表的理由:① 各部门数据无法获得;② 杭州市未发布投入产出表;③ 未发布 2011 年的投入产出表Reasons of using this table:④ Data for branches of national

economy unavailable;⑤ The Input-output table of

Hangzhou City unavailable;⑥ 2011 Input-output table of

Zhejiang Province unavailable

经济影响力评价结果( 2011年)Result of economic impact evaluation(2011)

1

杭州图书馆可为浙江省带来 33917(万元)的总产出影响Hangzhou library brought an addition of 339,170,000 RMB output for Zhejiang province

2

杭州图书馆及其读者的支出带动了浙江省总共 19848万元的 GDP增长The expenditure of Hangzhou library and its users increased the GDP of Zhejiang province by 198,480,000RMB.

3

杭州图书馆为浙江省居民收入贡献总共 5646万元Hangzhou library increased wages of Zhejiang residents by 56,460,000RMB

4

杭州图书馆为浙江省提供总共5771个就业机会Hangzhou library increased the number of jobs in Zhejiang Province by 5771 over the period.

杭州图书馆经济影响力评估研究的不足The limitations of Hangzhou library economic impact evaluation

模型的局限 The limitations of model

本研究采用投入产出局部闭模型,作为一种静态的投入产出模型,忽略了经济过程中的一些约束,也未考虑经济过程中的要素变化,这导致了最终估算结果可能被夸大。

This study uses partial closed input-output model. As a

static input-output model, it neglected some constraints of economic process. Neither does it consider the change of elements during the economic process. This may cause the final result to be exaggerated.

杭州图书馆经济影响力评估研究的不足The limitations of Hangzhou library economic impact valuation

模型的局限 The limitations of model

投入产出测算的精确性取决于选择的投入产出表,由于投入产出表每五年更新一次,本研究中使用的投入产出表是浙江省 2007 年的投入产出表,建立的静态投入产出模型揭示的是 2007 年浙江省经济状况,这就使结论出现偏差。

The accuracy of the input-output calculation depends on the input-output table selected. As the input-output table up-dates every five years, this study had to choose the input-out table of 2007, and the static model established reflects the economic state of Zhejiang province in the year of 2007, which leads to the deviation of the result.

数据问题 Data problem

读者在利用杭州图书馆过程中的消费行为只能通过问卷获得,所获数据的准确性依赖于被调查者对问卷问题的理解,同时还需要被调查者仔细回忆一年中由图书馆引发的支出,问卷填写者模糊的记忆、错误的计算都会导致数据的偏差。

The consumer behavior of the library user when using Hangzhou library can only be attained by questionnaire. The accuracy of the data depends on the respondent’s comprehension of the questionnaire. Moreover, it needs the respondent to carefully recall his expenditures caused by the library. Any dim memory and inaccurate calculation can lead to the deviation of the result.

杭州图书馆经济影响力评估研究的不足The limitations of Hangzhou library economic impact valuation