tugas p3 nova, alhamdulillah

19
t periode C 165ml 335ml 340ml 480ml 670ml 1 Jan-13 640 720 740 650 235 2 Feb-13 650 710 785 655 370 3 Mar-13 690 895 825 660 525 4 Apr-13 725 835 720 665 600 5 May-13 745 845 710 655 685 6 Jun-13 815 880 895 660 730 7 Jul-13 830 1055 735 655 795 8 Aug-13 1000 1132 1050 600 900 9 Sep-13 840 1060 835 670 925 10 Oct-13 880 1115 925 670 1045 11 Nov-13 900 1170 845 675 1165 12 Dec-13 900 1150 880 675 1260 13 Jan-14 905 1045 1055 685 1480 14 Feb-14 985 1060 1060 695 1710 15 Mar-14 1020 1140 1115 690 1795 FAKTOR KONVERSI Penjualan Conditioner 165ml 23500 penjualan Conditioner 335ml 35500 Penjualan Shampoo 340ml 38900 Penjualan Shampoo 480ml 53600 Penjualan Shampoo 670ml 72500 Forecast by item (Dijt t F(t) 16 274274496 17 284413166 18 294551836 19 304690506 20 314829176 21 324967846 22 335106516 23 345245186 24 355383856 25 365522526 1186 1229 1273 1402 1454 1506

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p3

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Sheet1tperiodeConditionerShampootperiodeConditionerShampooJumlah165ml335ml340ml480ml670ml165ml335ml340ml480ml670ml1Jan-136407207406502351Jan-1315040000255600002878600034840000170375001212635002Feb-136507107856553702Feb-1315275000252050003053650035108000268250001329495003Mar-136908958256605253Mar-1316215000317725003209250035376000380625001535185004Apr-137258357206656004Apr-1317037500296425002800800035644000435000001538320005May-137458457106556855May-1317507500299975002761900035108000496625001598945006Jun-138158808956607306Jun-1319152500312400003481550035376000529250001735090007Jul-1383010557356557957Jul-1319505000374525002859150035108000576375001782945008Aug-131000113210506009008Aug-1323500000401860004084500032160000652500002019410009Sep-1384010608356709259Sep-13197400003763000032481500359120006706250019282600010Oct-138801115925670104510Oct-13206800003958250035982500359120007576250020791950011Nov-139001170845675116511Nov-13211500004153500032870500361800008446250021619800012Dec-139001150880675126012Dec-13211500004082500034232000361800009135000022373700013Jan-1490510451055685148013Jan-142126750037097500410395003671600010730000024342050014Feb-1498510601060695171014Feb-142314750037630000412340003725200012397500026323850015Mar-14102011401115690179515Mar-142397000040470000433735003698400013013750027493500029433750052582600051250750053385600010309500002897477000proporsi0.10158406780.18147719550.17688061030.18424857210.35580955431FAKTOR KONVERSIPenjualan Conditioner 165ml23500penjualan Conditioner 335ml35500Penjualan Shampoo 340ml38900Penjualan Shampoo 480ml53600Penjualan Shampoo 670ml72500Forecast by item (Dijt)tF(t)Family 1Family 2abcde162742744961185.61357669491402.10049480261247.142350056942.81141611391346.061862044611861229172844131661229.44027212931453.92971855821293.2434820046977.66282942291395.819594600514021454182945518361273.26696756381505.75894231381339.34461395321012.51424273191445.577327156312471293193046905061317.09366299821557.58816606941385.44574590191047.36565604091495.33505971229439778203148291761360.92035843271609.4173898251431.54687785051082.21706934991545.09279226813461396213249678461404.74705386711661.24661358061477.64800979921117.06848265891594.8505248238223351065161448.57374930161713.07583733621523.74914174781151.91989596791644.6082573797233452451861492.4004447361764.90506109181569.85027369641186.77130927691694.3659899355243553838561536.22714017051816.73428484741615.95140564511221.62272258581744.1237224914253655225261580.05383560491868.5635086031662.05253759371256.47413589481793.8814550472118612291273131713611405144914921536158014021454150615581609166117131765181718691247129313391385143214781524157016161662943978101310471082111711521187122212571346139614461495154515951645169417441794

Sheet2SsijPeriode 1Periode 6LTa9013FamiliItemIijt-1DijtKijSsijQijt = Iijt - DijtFamiliItemIijt-1DijtKijSsijQijt = Iijt - Dijtb10014ijPersedPermintaanKonversiPersed CadijPersedPermintaanKonversiPersed Cadc30025Aa118623500-1186Aa140523500-1405d25023b140235500-1402b166135500-1661e20020Bc124738900-1247Bc147838900-1478SF2d94353600-943d111753600-1117SE0.7e134672500-1346e159572500-1595Periode 2periode 7FamiliItemIijt-1DijtKijSsijQijt = Iijt - DijtFamiliItemIijt-1DijtKijSsijQijt = Iijt - DijtijPersedPermintaanKonversiPersed CadijPersedPermintaanKonversiPersed CadAa122923500-1229Aa144923500-1449b145435500-1454b171335500-1713Bc129338900-1293Bc152438900-1524d97853600-978d115253600-1152e139672500-1396e164572500-1645Periode 3periode 8FamiliItemIijt-1DijtKijSsijQijt = Iijt - DijtFamiliItemIijt-1DijtKijSsijQijt = Iijt - DijtijPersedPermintaanKonversiPersed CadijPersedPermintaanKonversiPersed CadAa127323500-1273Aa149223500-1492b150635500-1506b176535500-1765Bc133938900-1339Bc157038900-1570d101353600-1013d118753600-1187e144672500-1446e169472500-1694Periode 4periode 9FamiliItemIijt-1DijtKijSsijQijt = Iijt - DijtFamiliItemIijt-1DijtKijSsijQijt = Iijt - DijtijPersedPermintaanKonversiPersed CadijPersedPermintaanKonversiPersed CadAa131723500-1317Aa153623500-1536b155835500-1558b181735500-1817Bc138538900-1385Bc161638900-1616d104753600-1047d122253600-1222e149572500-1495e174472500-1744Periode 5periode 10FamiliItemIijt-1DijtKijSsijQijt = Iijt - DijtFamiliItemIijt-1DijtKijSsijQijt = Iijt - DijtijPersedPermintaanKonversiPersed CadijPersedPermintaanKonversiPersed CadAa136123500-1361Aa158023500-1580b160935500-1609b186935500-1869Bc143238900-1432Bc166238900-1662d108253600-1082d125753600-1257e154572500-1545e179472500-1794

Sheet3Metode Bitran and HaxPeriode 1periode 4periode 7periode 10familiprodukdijtKijkij.dijtjumlah kij.dijtSiSQRT = akar Si . Jumlah kij.dijtYifamiliprodukdijtKijkij.dijtjumlah kij.dijtSiSQRT = akar Si . Jumlah kij.dijtYifamiliprodukdijtKijkij.dijtjumlah kij.dijtSiSQRT = akar Si . Jumlah kij.dijtYifamiliprodukdijtKijkij.dijtjumlah kij.dijtSiSQRT = akar Si . Jumlah kij.dijtYi

Aa118623500278710001261503004071035.2870058255124023107.847554Aa140523500330175001494772004077324.5627210397146953918.585213Aa149223500350620001587925004079697.5532874128156110173.0673Aa158023500371300001681313004082007.6337910075165299538.120179b14023550049771000b16613550058965500b17653550062657500b18693550066349500c12473890048508300c14783890057494200c15703890061073000c16623890064651800Bd94353600505448001481298005086060.9667619415150256992.152446Bd111753600598712001755087005093677.2918054317178031981.414787Bd118753600636232001864382005096550.0388399715189120526.9327Bd125753600673752001974402005099357.9891100862200271961.879821e13467250097585000e159572500115637500e169472500122815000e179472500130065000274280100157096.253767767274280100324985900171001.854526471324985900345230700176247.592127384345230700365571500181365.622901094365571500*hasil F(t) berbeda sedikit karena ada pembulatan pada DijtPeriode 2Periode 5periode 8familiprodukdijtKijkij.dijtjumlah kij.dijtSiSQRT = akar Si . Jumlah kij.dijtYifamiliprodukdijtKijkij.dijtjumlah kij.dijtSiSQRT = akar Si . Jumlah kij.dijtYifamiliprodukdijtKijkij.dijtjumlah kij.dijtSiSQRT = akar Si . Jumlah kij.dijtYi

Aa122923500288815001307962004072331.5145700683128600835.78526Aa140523500330175001494772004077324.5627210397146953918.585213Aa149223500350620001587925004079697.5532874128156110173.0673b14543550051617000b16613550058965500b17653550062657500c12933890050297700c14783890057494200c15703890061073000Bd97853600524208001536308005087644.3951431008155826164.21474Bd111753600598712001755087005093677.2918054317178031981.414787Bd118753600636232001864382005096550.0388399715189120526.9327e139672500101210000e159572500115637500e169472500122815000284427000159975.909713169284427000324985900171001.854526471324985900345230700176247.592127384345230700periode 3periode 6periode 9familiprodukdijtKijkij.dijtjumlah kij.dijtSiSQRT = akar Si . Jumlah kij.dijtYifamiliprodukdijtKijkij.dijtjumlah kij.dijtSiSQRT = akar Si . Jumlah kij.dijtYifamiliprodukdijtKijkij.dijtjumlah kij.dijtSiSQRT = akar Si . Jumlah kij.dijtYi

Aa127323500299155001354656004073611.3034798325133195518.265087Aa140523500330175001494772004077324.5627210397146953918.585213Aa153623500360960001634619004080860.8434286954160704855.600086b15063550053463000b16613550058965500b18173550064503500c13393890052087100c14783890057494200c16163890062862400Bd101353600542968001591318005089199.7197305014161401881.734913Bd111753600598712001755087005093677.2918054317178031981.414787Bd122253600654992001919392005097964.0750479481194696244.399914e144672500104835000e159572500115637500e174472500126440000294597400162811.023210334294597400324985900171001.854526471324985900355401100178824.918476644355401100

Sheet4