uas - finansial monorail

Data ProyekInitial Cost

Pemerintah Badan usahaTahap I Infrastruktur 116.730.000

Rolling Stock 97.170.000

Pemerintah Badan usahaTahap I Infrastruktur 89.270.000

Rolling Stock 78.830.000

Operation & Maintenance

Tahap I 10.910.000 Tahap II 8.490.000

Penumpang

Kapasitas 21.540 Perjalur perjam

Tahap 1 Tahap 2Estimasi Ridership 108.000 280.000

Tarif5.000 sampai 10.000

Masa Konsesi : 30 Tahun + 10 tahun

•Rute :

–Jalur Biru : Kampung Melayu, Casablanca, Tanah Abang dan Roxy;•Rencana Pelaksanaan Konstruksi :

–Jalur Hijau : November 2005 – November 2007–Jalur Biru : Mei 2006 – Mei 2008

•Masa Konsesi : 30 Tahun + 10 tahun•Tarif (estimasi) : Rp 5,000 to Rp 10,000.

•Kapasitas : 21,540 passengers per hour per direction (pphpd) setiap line - 108 gerbong yang akan membentuk

27 rangkaian KA untuk kedua jalur Hijau dan jalur Biru.

–Jalur Hijau : Rasuna Said, Gatot Subroto, SCBD, Gelora Senayan, Asia-Afrika, Taman Ria Senayan, Gatot Subroto,

Pejompongan

Bangunan 1 - Kampung MelayuKeterangan

Luas Tanah 40.000 m2Luas Bangunan 90.000 m2 25 LantaiLuas Efektif 81.000 Initial Cost 900.000.000.000 Harga OM/tahun 2% 18.000.000.000 Standar Dinas Pekerjaan Umum

Harga Sewa/bulanKantor 198.000 m2 Metropolitan Tower jakarta SelatanMall 240.000 m2 Lippo Mall (Harga disesuaikan th 2015)

Luas TerpakaiKantor 48.600 Mall 32.400

Revenue/TahunKantor 115.473.600.000 Mall 93.312.000.000 Reklame 450.000.000 Total 209.235.600.000

Kantor + MallAsumsi Perhitungan

Variabel

Bangunan 2 - Dukuh AtasKeterangan/Sumber

Luas Tanah 40.000 m2Luas Bangunan 90.000 m2 25 LantaiLuas Efektif 81.000 Initial Cost 1.080.000.000.000 Harga OM/tahun 2% 21.600.000.000 Standar Dinas Pekerjaan Umum

Harga Sewa/bulanKantor 300.000 m2 Metropolitan Tower jakarta Selatan+penyesuaian lokasiMall 260.000 m2 Lippo Mall (Harga disesuaikan th 2015)


Revenue/TahunKantor 174.960.000.000 Mall 101.088.000.000 Reklame 600.000.000 Total 276.648.000.000

VariabelKantor + Mall

Asumsi Perhitungan

Bangunan 3 - SCBDKeterangan/Sumber

Luas Tanah 30.000 m2Luas Bangunan 60.000 m2 20 LantaiLuas Efektif 54.000 Initial Cost 720.000.000.000 Harga OM/tahun 2% 14.400.000.000 Standar Dinas Pekerjaan Umum

Harga Sewa/bulanKantor 300.000 m2 Metropolitan Tower jakarta Selatan+penyesuaian lokasiMall 260.000 m2 Lippo Mall (Harga disesuaikan th 2015)


Revenue/TahunKantor 116.640.000.000 Mall 67.392.000.000 ReklameTotal 184.032.000.000

Kantor + MallVariabel

Asumsi Perhitungan

Kuala Lumpur Jakarta Monorail Monorail

Konsesi BOT (Build – Operate – Transfer) BOT

Distributor Green line : Circular

(antar sistem transportasi) Blue line : Radial

Ridership (ribu/hari) 380Tahun – 1 (blue line : 280, green line : 108)

Capital Cost (US$ millions / km)

53 20.03

Malaysia Ringgit (MR) 1.18 bn

(US$ 0.31 bn)

Porsi & Sumber Pembiayaan

MR 0.26 bnM Trans (53%)Lainnya – publik, direksi (47%)Pinjaman lunak Pemerintah (MR 0.3 bn)

Full debt -

Pinjaman lunak dari Infrastructure Fund – kuasi Pemerintah (MR 0.62 bn)

Sukuk Musharakah

100%

US$ 0.49 bn

Equity

Debt

Rute

45

Total Biaya

No Tahun Initial Cost

Operation &

Maintenance

Jumlah penumpang (asumsi target

penumpang terpenuhi) Tarif Revenue Initial Cost

Operation &

Maintenance

Jumlah penumpang (asumsi target

penumpang terpenuhi) Tarif Revenue Cash Flow1 (46.692.000) (46.692.000) 2 (35.019.000) (35.019.000) 3 (35.019.000) (35.019.000) 4 (58.302.000) (58.302.000) 5 (38.868.000) (38.868.000) 6 10.910.000 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 (35.708.000) - - (26.908.000) 7 11.673.700 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 (26.781.000) - - (18.744.700) 8 12.490.859 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 (26.781.000) - - (19.561.859) 9 13.365.219 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 (47.298.000) - - (40.953.219)

10 14.300.784 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 (31.532.000) - - (26.122.784) 11 15.301.839 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 8.490.000 102.200.000 0,5 51.100.000 47.018.161 12 16.372.968 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 8.999.400 102.200.000 0,5 51.100.000 45.437.632 13 17.519.076 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 9.539.364 102.200.000 0,5 51.100.000 43.751.560 14 18.745.411 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 10.111.726 102.200.000 0,5 51.100.000 41.952.863 15 20.057.590 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 10.718.429 102.200.000 0,5 51.100.000 40.033.981 16 21.461.621 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 11.361.535 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 73.391.844 17 22.963.935 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 12.043.227 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 71.207.838 18 24.571.410 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 12.765.821 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 68.877.769 19 26.291.409 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 13.531.770 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 66.391.821 20 28.131.808 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 14.343.676 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 63.739.516 21 30.101.034 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 15.204.297 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 60.909.669 22 32.208.106 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 16.116.555 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 57.890.339 23 34.462.674 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 17.083.548 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 54.668.778 24 36.875.061 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 18.108.561 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 51.231.378 25 39.456.315 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 19.195.075 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 47.563.610 26 42.218.257 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 20.346.779 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 79.054.963 27 45.173.536 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 21.567.586 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 74.878.879 28 48.335.683 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 22.861.641 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 70.422.676 29 51.719.181 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 24.233.339 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 65.667.480 30 55.339.523 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 25.687.340 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 60.593.137 31 59.213.290 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 27.228.580 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 55.178.130 32 63.358.220 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 28.862.295 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 49.399.485 33 67.793.296 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 30.594.033 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 43.232.671 34 72.538.827 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 32.429.675 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 36.651.499 35 77.616.544 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 34.375.455 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 29.628.000 36 83.049.703 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 36.437.982 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 22.132.315 37 88.863.182 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 38.624.261 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 14.132.557 38 95.083.604 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 40.941.717 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 5.594.679 39 101.739.457 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 43.398.220 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 (3.517.677) 40 108.861.219 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 46.002.113 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 (13.243.332)

9%

TAHAP I TAHAP IIReveue Reveue

Cashflow Monorail Tanpa Penambahan Fungsi

No Initial Cost

Operation &

Maintenance Revenue Cashflow Initial Cost

Operation &

Maintenance Revenue Cashflow Initial Cost

Operation &

Maintenance Revenue Cashflow1 (19.285.714) (19.285.714) (23.142.857) (23.142.857) (15.428.571) (15.428.571) (57.857.143) 2 (19.285.714) (19.285.714) (23.142.857) (23.142.857) (15.428.571) (15.428.571) (57.857.143) 3 (12.857.143) (12.857.143) (15.428.571) (15.428.571) (10.285.714) (10.285.714) (38.571.429) 4 (6.428.571) (6.428.571) (7.714.286) (7.714.286) (5.142.857) (5.142.857) (19.285.714) 5 (6.428.571) (6.428.571) (7.714.286) (7.714.286) (5.142.857) (5.142.857) (19.285.714) 6 1.285.714 14.945.400 13.659.686 1.542.857 19.760.571 18.217.714 1.028.571 13.145.143 12.116.571 43.993.971 7 1.362.857 15.842.124 14.479.267 1.635.429 20.946.206 19.310.777 1.090.286 13.933.851 12.843.566 46.633.610 8 1.444.629 16.792.651 15.348.023 1.733.554 22.202.978 20.469.424 1.155.703 14.769.883 13.614.180 49.431.626 9 1.531.306 17.800.211 16.268.904 1.837.568 23.535.157 21.697.589 1.225.045 15.656.075 14.431.030 52.397.524

10 1.623.185 18.868.223 17.245.038 1.947.822 24.947.266 22.999.445 1.298.548 16.595.440 15.296.892 55.541.375 11 1.720.576 20.000.317 18.279.741 2.064.691 26.444.102 24.379.411 1.376.461 17.591.166 16.214.706 58.873.858 12 1.823.810 21.200.336 19.376.525 2.188.572 28.030.748 25.842.176 1.459.048 18.646.636 17.187.588 62.406.289 13 1.933.239 22.472.356 20.539.117 2.319.887 29.712.593 27.392.706 1.546.591 19.765.435 18.218.843 66.150.667 14 2.049.233 23.820.697 21.771.464 2.459.080 31.495.349 29.036.269 1.639.387 20.951.361 19.311.974 70.119.707 15 2.172.187 25.249.939 23.077.752 2.606.625 33.385.070 30.778.445 1.737.750 22.208.442 20.470.692 74.326.889 16 2.302.518 26.764.935 24.462.417 2.763.022 35.388.174 32.625.152 1.842.015 23.540.949 21.698.934 78.786.502 17 2.440.670 28.370.831 25.930.162 2.928.803 37.511.464 34.582.661 1.952.536 24.953.406 23.000.870 83.513.693 18 2.587.110 30.073.081 27.485.971 3.104.532 39.762.152 36.657.620 2.069.688 26.450.610 24.380.922 88.524.514 19 2.742.336 31.877.466 29.135.130 3.290.804 42.147.881 38.857.078 2.193.869 28.037.647 25.843.778 93.835.985 20 2.906.877 33.790.114 30.883.237 3.488.252 44.676.754 41.188.502 2.325.501 29.719.905 27.394.404 99.466.144 21 3.081.289 35.817.521 32.736.232 3.697.547 47.357.359 43.659.812 2.465.031 31.503.100 29.038.069 105.434.113 22 3.266.166 37.966.572 34.700.406 3.919.400 50.198.801 46.279.401 2.612.933 33.393.286 30.780.353 111.760.159 23 3.462.136 40.244.566 36.782.430 4.154.564 53.210.729 49.056.165 2.769.709 35.396.883 32.627.174 118.465.769 24 3.669.865 42.659.240 38.989.376 4.403.838 56.403.373 51.999.535 2.935.892 37.520.696 34.584.804 125.573.715 25 3.890.057 45.218.795 41.328.738 4.668.068 59.787.575 55.119.507 3.112.045 39.771.938 36.659.892 133.108.138 26 4.123.460 47.931.922 43.808.463 4.948.152 63.374.830 58.426.678 3.298.768 42.158.254 38.859.486 141.094.626 27 4.370.867 50.807.838 46.436.970 5.245.041 67.177.319 61.932.278 3.496.694 44.687.749 41.191.055 149.560.304 28 4.633.120 53.856.308 49.223.189 5.559.743 71.207.959 65.648.215 3.706.496 47.369.014 43.662.519 158.533.922 29 4.911.107 57.087.687 52.176.580 5.893.328 75.480.436 69.587.108 3.928.885 50.211.155 46.282.270 168.045.957 30 5.205.773 60.512.948 55.307.175 6.246.928 80.009.262 73.762.334 4.164.618 53.223.824 49.059.206 178.128.715 31 5.518.119 64.143.725 58.625.605 6.621.743 84.809.818 78.188.075 4.414.496 56.417.254 52.002.758 188.816.438 32 5.849.207 67.992.348 62.143.141 7.019.048 89.898.407 82.879.359 4.679.365 59.802.289 55.122.924 200.145.424 33 6.200.159 72.071.889 65.871.730 7.440.191 95.292.311 87.852.121 4.960.127 63.390.426 58.430.299 212.154.150 34 6.572.169 76.396.202 69.824.034 7.886.602 101.009.850 93.123.248 5.257.735 67.193.852 61.936.117 224.883.399 35 6.966.499 80.979.975 74.013.476 8.359.798 107.070.441 98.710.643 5.573.199 71.225.483 65.652.284 238.376.402 36 7.384.489 85.838.773 78.454.284 8.861.386 113.494.668 104.633.281 5.907.591 75.499.012 69.591.421 252.678.987 37 7.827.558 90.989.099 83.161.541 9.393.070 120.304.348 110.911.278 6.262.046 80.028.953 73.766.906 267.839.726 38 8.297.211 96.448.445 88.151.234 9.956.654 127.522.608 117.565.955 6.637.769 84.830.690 78.192.921 283.910.109 39 8.795.044 102.235.352 93.440.308 10.554.053 135.173.965 124.619.912 7.036.035 89.920.531 82.884.496 300.944.716 40 9.322.747 108.369.473 99.046.726 11.187.296 143.284.403 132.097.107 7.458.197 95.315.763 87.857.566 319.001.399

19% 20% 20% 20%

Cashflow totalGedung Mall perkantoran Kampung melayu Gedung Mall perkantoran Dukuh Atas Gedung Mall perkantoran SCBD

Cashflow Penambahan Fungsi

Tahun Initial Cost

Operation &

Maintenance Jumlah penumpan Tarif Revenue Initial Cost

Operation &

Maintenance Jumlah penumpang Tarif Revenue Cash Flow Cash Flow1 (46.692.000) (46.692.000) (57.857.143) (104.549.143) 2 (35.019.000) (35.019.000) (57.857.143) (92.876.143) 3 (35.019.000) (35.019.000) (38.571.429) (73.590.429) 4 (58.302.000) (58.302.000) (19.285.714) (77.587.714) 5 (38.868.000) (38.868.000) (19.285.714) (58.153.714) 6 10.910.000 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 (35.708.000) - - (26.908.000) 43.993.971 17.085.971 7 11.673.700 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 (26.781.000) - - (18.744.700) 46.633.610 27.888.910 8 12.490.859 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 (26.781.000) - - (19.561.859) 49.431.626 29.869.767 9 13.365.219 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 (47.298.000) - - (40.953.219) 52.397.524 11.444.305

10 14.300.784 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 (31.532.000) - - (26.122.784) 55.541.375 29.418.591 11 15.301.839 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 8.490.000 102.200.000 0,5 51.100.000 47.018.161 58.873.858 105.892.018 12 16.372.968 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 8.999.400 102.200.000 0,5 51.100.000 45.437.632 62.406.289 107.843.921 13 17.519.076 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 9.539.364 102.200.000 0,5 51.100.000 43.751.560 66.150.667 109.902.227 14 18.745.411 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 10.111.726 102.200.000 0,5 51.100.000 41.952.863 70.119.707 112.072.570 15 20.057.590 39.420.000 0,5 19.710.000 10.718.429 102.200.000 0,5 51.100.000 40.033.981 74.326.889 114.360.870 16 21.461.621 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 11.361.535 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 73.391.844 78.786.502 152.178.346 17 22.963.935 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 12.043.227 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 71.207.838 83.513.693 154.721.530 18 24.571.410 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 12.765.821 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 68.877.769 88.524.514 157.402.283 19 26.291.409 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 13.531.770 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 66.391.821 93.835.985 160.227.806 20 28.131.808 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 14.343.676 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 63.739.516 99.466.144 163.205.660 21 30.101.034 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 15.204.297 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 60.909.669 105.434.113 166.343.782 22 32.208.106 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 16.116.555 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 57.890.339 111.760.159 169.650.498 23 34.462.674 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 17.083.548 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 54.668.778 118.465.769 173.134.547 24 36.875.061 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 18.108.561 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 51.231.378 125.573.715 176.805.093 25 39.456.315 39.420.000 0,75 29.565.000 19.195.075 102.200.000 0,75 76.650.000 47.563.610 133.108.138 180.671.748 26 42.218.257 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 20.346.779 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 79.054.963 141.094.626 220.149.590 27 45.173.536 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 21.567.586 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 74.878.879 149.560.304 224.439.183 28 48.335.683 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 22.861.641 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 70.422.676 158.533.922 228.956.598 29 51.719.181 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 24.233.339 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 65.667.480 168.045.957 233.713.437 30 55.339.523 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 25.687.340 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 60.593.137 178.128.715 238.721.852 31 59.213.290 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 27.228.580 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 55.178.130 188.816.438 243.994.568 32 63.358.220 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 28.862.295 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 49.399.485 200.145.424 249.544.909 33 67.793.296 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 30.594.033 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 43.232.671 212.154.150 255.386.821 34 72.538.827 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 32.429.675 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 36.651.499 224.883.399 261.534.897 35 77.616.544 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 34.375.455 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 29.628.000 238.376.402 268.004.403 36 83.049.703 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 36.437.982 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 22.132.315 252.678.987 274.811.302 37 88.863.182 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 38.624.261 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 14.132.557 267.839.726 281.972.283 38 95.083.604 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 40.941.717 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 5.594.679 283.910.109 289.504.788 39 101.739.457 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 43.398.220 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 (3.517.677) 300.944.716 297.427.039 40 108.861.219 39.420.000 1 39.420.000 46.002.113 102.200.000 1 102.200.000 (13.243.332) 319.001.399 305.758.067

9% 20% 15%

Cashflow Monorail Dengan Penambahan Fungsi

Cashflow Total

TAHAP I TAHAP IIReveue Reveue Added Value

uas - finansial monorail

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