united nations population division, 2011 1 demographic dynamics of youth population division desa

United Nations Population Division, 2011United Nations Population Division, 2011 11

Demographic dynamics of Demographic dynamics of youth youth

POPULATION DIVISIONPOPULATION DIVISIONDESADESA


The United Nations defines The United Nations defines ‘youth’ as those persons ‘youth’ as those persons between the ages of 15 and 24 between the ages of 15 and 24 years. This definition was made years. This definition was made during preparations for the during preparations for the International Youth Year (1985) International Youth Year (1985) and endorsed by the General and endorsed by the General AssemblyAssembly


Definitions used in this Definitions used in this presentationpresentation

Youth:Youth: Persons aged 15 to Persons aged 15 to 2424

Adolescents: Adolescents: Persons aged 15 to Persons aged 15 to 1919

Young adults:Young adults: Persons aged 20 to Persons aged 20 to 2424


1.1. Population dynamicsPopulation dynamics

2.2. Age structureAge structure

3.3. MarriageMarriage

4.4. Adolescent fertilityAdolescent fertility

5.5. Use of contraceptionUse of contraception

6.6. MortalityMortality

7.7. International migrationInternational migration


1.1. Population dynamicsPopulation dynamics


Population aged 15 to 24Population aged 15 to 24

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.419

70

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Bill

ion

s

1.25

0.16

0.17 Least developed countries

Developed countries

Other developing countries

World 1.2 billion

0.810.89

0.14

0.30


The number of countries with The number of countries with rapidly rising populations aged 15 rapidly rising populations aged 15

to 24 will decreaseto 24 will decrease

28

1135 2 3 00

48

33

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Africa Asia LAC Oceania Developedcountries

Num

ber

of c

ount

ries

1990-2010 2010-2030


The number of countries with The number of countries with declining populations aged 15 to declining populations aged 15 to

24 will increase24 will increase

7 9

2

27

21

2

3232

16

0

10

20

30

40

Africa Asia LAC Oceania Developedcountries

Num

ber

of c

ount

ries

1990-2010 2010-2030


2.2. Age structureAge structure


Population aged 15-24 as Population aged 15-24 as percentage of the totalpercentage of the total populationpopulation

0

5

10

15

20

2519

75

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Per

cen

tag

e

17

17

20Least developed countries

Developed countries

Other developing countries

13

20

11


Population aged 15-24 as Population aged 15-24 as percentage of the total populationpercentage of the total population

0

5

10

15

20

2519

70

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Per

cen

tag

e

1417

22

India

Republic of Korea

19

Brazil 11

20

10


Population aged 15-24 as Population aged 15-24 as percentage of the total populationpercentage of the total population

0

5

10

15

20

2519

70

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Per

cen

tag

e

1418

21

Egypt

Yemen20

Tunisia

1821

11

22


3.3. MarriageMarriage

54

36 37

10

32 35

24

20

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Bangladesh2005

Chad 2002 Ethiopia 2003 Egypt 2006

Per

cent

age

40-44 20-24

Percentage of females married by Percentage of females married by age 15age 15

of women aged 20-24 and 40-44of women aged 20-24 and 40-44


72 69

33

6672

49

17

87

0102030405060708090

100

Bangladesh2005

Chad 2002 Ethiopia 2003 Egypt 2006

Per

cent

age

40-44 20-24

Percentage of females married by Percentage of females married by age 18age 18

of women aged 20-24 and 40-44of women aged 20-24 and 40-44


Median percentage of ever Median percentage of ever married women aged 20-24 in married women aged 20-24 in

MDCsMDCs 52

11

1970-79 2000-08


4.4. Adolescent fertilityAdolescent fertility


Adolescent birth rate and Adolescent birth rate and proportion ever married among proportion ever married among

women aged 15-19women aged 15-19

0

50

100

150

200

250

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Proportion ever-marrried women aged 15-19

Bir

ths

pe

r 1

00

0 w

om

en

ag

ed

15

-19

More developed regions

Less developed regions

Least developed countries


5.5. Use of contraceptionUse of contraception


Mean level of unmet need and total Mean level of unmet need and total demand for family planning among demand for family planning among women who are married or in a union, women who are married or in a union,

by region and age groupby region and age group Source: Source: Demographic and Health Surveys, DHS StatCompiler Demographic and Health Surveys, DHS StatCompiler


6.6. MortalityMortality


Percentage of 15-year olds dying Percentage of 15-year olds dying before age 25before age 25

1

2

4

MDCs,NorthernAfrica,

Eastern Asia

South Asia Sub-SaharanAfrica


32

46

71

0102030405060708090

Least developedcountries

Other lessdeveloped countries

More developedcountries

Per

cent

age

Share of deaths from injuries in Share of deaths from injuries in the age group 15-24, 2008the age group 15-24, 2008


7.7. International International migrationmigration


Distribution of Distribution of migrant inflows by age migrant inflows by age

to selected countries to selected countries in Europein Europe

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85age

percentage

Source: Eurostat, 2011


Migrant stock as a share Migrant stock as a share of the population aged 15-24, of the population aged 15-24,

201020108.7

1.2

0

2

4

6

8

10

Per

cen

t

More developed regions Less developed regions


●● Youth are major agents of Youth are major agents of demographic change. This means that demographic change. This means that young people are themselves young people are themselves changing , in several respects changing , in several respects dramatically.dramatically.

●● Most demographic characteristics Most demographic characteristics of youth differ from those of their of youth differ from those of their older peers, let alone parents.older peers, let alone parents.

●● In several respects the In several respects the demographic differences between demographic differences between regions and countries are particularly regions and countries are particularly deep among youth. deep among youth.

united nations population division, 2011 1 demographic dynamics of youth population division desa

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