unwto fitur 2014 hq jk 1pp 0
TRANSCRIPT
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2013 InternationalTourism Results andProspects for 2014
UNWTO News Conference
HQ, Madrid, Spain20 January 2014
John G.C. Kester
Acting Director,Tourism Market Trends Programme
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International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolution
World (% change)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*
+2.0% -3.9% +6.5% +4.9% +5.0%+4.0%
International tourism fourth strong year in a row
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World Inbound Tourism: International Tourist Arrivals, 2013* (million)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
Middle East, 52
mn, 5%
Africa, 56 mn,
5%
Americas, 169
mn, 16%
Asia and the
Pacific, 248 mn,23%
Europe, 563
mn, 52%
Absolute numbers 2013 by region
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International Tourist Arrivals (absolute change 2013, million)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
29
14
6
3
0.10
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Europe Asia and the
Pacific
Americas Africa Middle East
Increase 2013 by region
52 mil lionadditional arrivals
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International Tourist Arrivals (% change over same period of the previous year)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
2
3
8
2
6
9
4
5
4
3
7
5
8
6
-5
4 4
76
4
10
45
4
1
4
2
65
0
4.0
5.0
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
W o r l d
N o r t h e r n
E u r o p e
W e s t e
r n E u r o p e
C e n t r a l / E
a s t e r n E u
.
S o u t h
e r n / M
e d i t e r . E u
.
N o r t h - E a
s t A s i a
S o u t h
- E a s t A s i
a
O c e a n i a
S o u t h A s i
a
N o r t h
A m e r i c
a
C a r i b b e a
n
C e n t r a l A
m e r i c a
S o u t h
A m e r i c
a
N o r t h
A f r i c a
S u b s a
h a r a n
A f r i c a M i d
d l e E a s t
12/11 13*/12
2013: South-East Asia, Central and Eastern Europe, Southern
and Mediterranean Europe and North Africa led growth
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International Tourism Arrivals and Receipts, World
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
' 9 0 / 8 9
' 9 1 / 9 0
' 9 2 / 9
1
' 9 3 / 9 2
' 9 4 / 9 3
' 9 5 / 9
4
' 9 6 / 9 5
' 9 7 / 9 6
' 9 8 / 9 7
' 9 9 / 9 8
' 0 0 / 9 9
' 0 1 / 0 0
' 0 2 / 0
1
' 0 3 / 0 2
' 0 4 / 0 3
' 0 5 / 0
4
' 0 6 / 0 5
' 0 7 / 0 6
' 0 8 / 0 7
' 0 9 / 0 8
' 1 0 / 0 9
' 1 1 / 1 0
1 2 * / 1
1
% c
h a n g e o v e r p r e v i o u s y e a r
International tourist arrivals
International tourism receipts (local currencies, constant prices)
growth in receipts follows growth in arrivals closely
Asian financialand economiccrisis: receipts
grew slower
11S, SARS,economicdownturn:
receipts moreaffected
‘Greatrecession’:receipts
more
affected
and slower
to recover
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
International tourismreceipts 2012:
US$ 1,079 bi ll ioneuro 840 billion
(miles de millones)
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International Tourism Expenditure
(% change of same period year before, local currencies current prices)
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
C h i n a
U n i t e
d S t a t
e s
G e r m a n y
U n i t e d K i n g
d o m
R u s s i a n
F e d e r a t i o n
F r a n c e
C a n a d a
J a p a n
A u s t r a l i a I t a
l y
S i n g a p o r e B r a z i l
B e l g i u m
N e t h
e r l a n d s
K o r e a ,
R e p u b l i
c o f
H o n g K o
n g ( C h i n
a )
N o r w a y
S w e d e n
S p a i n
S w i t z e r l a n d
I n d i a
M a l a y
s i a
T a i w a
n ( p r . o f C h i n
a )
2012 2013* ytd
Major outbound markets
Emerging markets remain hot in 2013
B
RC
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Outlook
www.unwto.org/facts
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UNWTO Panel of Tourism Experts: World
Better
Equal
Worse
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
150
144 140 137 132
71
131 139122 125
138
119
144 140 136 143
98
72
140127
121129
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Prospects (before)
Evaluation (after)
Confidence upbeat
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Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
International tourist arrivals
6.0 5.76.5
2.0
-3.9
6.5
4.94.0
5.0
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014*
Forecast
2014: 4% to 4.5%
Outlook: World
c h a n g e (
% )
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Projection 2014
Actual data
+4.6%
+6.2%
+3.0%
+6.2%
+2.9%
+3.8%
Average
2005-2013
2013
World +5.0% +4% to +4½%
Europe +5.4% +3% to +4%
Asia and the Pacific +6.0% +5% to +6%
Americas +3.6% +3% to +4%
Africa +5.6% +4% to +6%
Middle East +0.3% +0% to +5%
International tourism: projection full year 2014
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
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International Tourist Arrivals
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
m i l l i o
n
Trend 1995-2010
Tourism Towards 2030 projection
Actual 1995-2013*
1.4 bn
1,087 mn
1.8 bn
529 mn
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
Actual Trend vs. Tourism Towards 2030 projection
World
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Thank you very muchfor your attention!
John G.C. Kester
Acting Director,Tourism Market Trends Programme
World Tourism Organization(UNWTO)
www.unwto.org