update on jsr20i6 in april 2015 - jsr株式会社 · update on jsr20i6 in april 2015 ... •...
TRANSCRIPT
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Table of contents
I. Progress on JSR20i6II. Growth scenario for achieving JSR20i6
i. Petrochemicals businessii. Semiconductor materials businessiii. Display materials businessiv. Strategic business
III. Capital allocation policyIV. Summary
4
Post JSR20i6 Phase ⅢJSR20i6 Phase Ⅱ[Jump onto the growth track]
Implement priority measures under JSR20i3 to achieve results—steady earnings growth.
Our growth driver is the core business (S-SBR, cutting-edge lithograph materials, etc.).
[Toward sustainable growth]Develop the Strategic business as a
third pillar of JSR’s business that contributes to earnings with the aim of transforming JSR into a company that can grow stably and continually.
JSR20i3 PhaseⅠ[Activation toward growth]Intensively invest in main
businesses and products that drive sustainable growth; Establish the business infrastructure; and Build up the competitiveness of the core
business.
Ⅰ
Progress on JSR20i6: Three modifications
5
Progress on key milestones
Petrochemicals business
Fine Chemicals business
Strategic business
• Began full-scale operation of the 1st phase JBE’s plant, but will begin full-scale sales in FY March 2016.
• Will establish the 2nd phase JBE’s plant in FY March 2017 or later.
<Semiconductor materials>• Maintained a dominant share in products below 20
nm generation in 2014 and will focus on keeping the share at the current level.
<FPD materials>• Decided to construct an LCD materials
manufacturing plant in China, a growing market in the future.
<Life Sciences business>• Invested in MBL*2 and KBI*3 in the US to expand our
business domain, successfully increasing sales to the 20 billion yen level. Will also form an alliance with Keio University to expand the business in the future.
< LIC business>• Began commercial production at a mass production plant
with a capacity of 3 million cells. Will try to persuade potential customers to adopt our LIC.
Initial Targets Progress & KSF*1
• Begin full-scale operation of the 1st phase plant in Thailand (JSR BST Elastomer, “JBE”) and full-scale sales.
• Establish the 2nd phase JBE’s plant.
<Semiconductor materials>
• Maintain a dominant share in products below 20 nm generation.
<FPD materials>
• Further accelerate the shift to Asia.
<Life Sciences business>
• Establish bases in Europe and North America and boost sales to the 20 billion yen level.
<LIC business>
• Begin commercial production at a mass production plant with a capacity of 3 million cells.
*1 KSF: Key Success Factor *2 MBL: MEDICAL & BIOLOGICAL LABORATORIES CO., LTD. *3 KBI: KBI Biopharma Inc.
Ⅰ
380 410
5%
7%
9%
11%
13%
15%
17%
19%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
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ه We keep the target for FY March 2017 intact (net sales of 500 billion yen, operating income of 50 billion yen, ROIC at 15%, and ROE at 12%).
ه In FY March 2015, business results were in line with the original budget, since negative factors in the second half wiped out positive factors in the first half.
ROIC:15%
ROE:12%
JSR20i3 JSR20i6
* ROIC: Net profit ÷ (Working capital + Non-current assets)
Unit: 100 million yen
Ⅰ
Progress towards earnings target
8
ه The spread between butadiene (BD) and naphtha prices narrowed sharply in the 4th quarter of FY March 2015.ه Raw material prices continued to decrease in FY March 2016. The spread between butadiene (BD) and naphtha prices
may narrow further, reaching the lowest possible level in the first half of FY March 2016.
* Source: JSR prepared the chart based on statistics of Platts and JSR, etc. *BD: Butadiene
Change in BD and naphtha prices
Ⅱ-ⅰ
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
$4,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Spread(BD ‐Naphtha)
BD price
Naphtha
Unit:$/ton
Petrochemicals business: Change in raw material prices
Japan Japan Japan Japan Japan Japan
GermanyGermany Germany Thailand Thailand
Thailand
0
50
100
150
200
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Capacity:Thailand
Capacity:Germany
Capacity:Japan
Original sales volume KTons(FY)
Actual sales volume KTons(FY)
ه The sales volume of S-SBR did not reach the original target in FY March 2015 due to a delay in approval by customers in Thailand and the shuffling of the product’s grades. In addition, the launch of the 2nd phase JBE’s plant is delayed until 2017.
ه We will launch the 4th generation S-SBR, a differentiated product, at an early stage.
9
JSR’s S-SBR production capacity and sales results and estimateUnit: 1,000 tons
Original estimate
Updated estimate
Ⅱ-ⅰ
Petrochemicals business: Progress of S-SBR
10
ه We aim to capture the top share in the global S-SBR market by implementing the following measures.
RR
/Wet G
rip Performance , P
rice
High
Low
JSR’s target
markets
Markets where
competitors have
already entered
High End Market
Middle High Market
Middle-RangeMarket
Low End Market
<Economies of scale>Plan to construct the 2nd phase JBE’s plant in Thailand and a plant in Hungary.Strengthen production capacity to meet expanding demand.
Will launch the 4th generation S-SBR, a product employing differentiated technology, in the high-end market ahead of competitors.Launch a product employing JSR’s original technology in the middle market, a large market.
Both JBE in Thailand and the future base in Hungary are joint venture firms with BD manufacturers.Establish a production system that enables JSR to stably procure BD at competitive prices, because the supply of BD is expected to fall short of demand in the future.
<Cost competitiveness>
<Technical advantage>
Ⅱ-ⅰ Petrochemicals business: Business strategy of S-SBR
0
50
100
150
200
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 11
Petrochemicals business: Establish a system to meet requirements in the future
ه We use this opportunity (the doldrums of the market) to upgrade facilities that we constructed around 40 years ago (cope with new grades, replace facilities, take earthquake countermeasures, and secure labor safety) and expand our organization.⇒ We forecast that operating income will temporarily remain sluggish due to a rise in fixed costs during the JSR
20i6 period including FY March 2016.⇒ We establish a system that enables JSR to operate its plants stably and safely over 20 to 30 years.
Establish more resilient and sustainable system
Unit: 100 million
yen
Ⅱ-ⅰ
0
100
200
300
400
500
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Right: Memory Right: Logic(Leading‐edge)Right: ASIC&ASSP Right: othersLeft: Global wafer(200~300mm) Left: Global KrF&ArF photoresists 12
Semiconductor materials business: Market trendsه The semiconductor market will continue to grow, supported by the growth in demand related to trends, such
as Big Data and Internet of Things (IoT).ه In association with the spread of finer circuit patterns, the lithography market is expected to continue to
grow faster than the wafer market in the future.Unit: $BMKrF&ArF growth rate
CAGR+6.9%*2010 to 2014
Wafer Input growth rate
CAGR+3.8%*2010 to 2014
Semiconductor marketgrowth rate
CAGR+3.5%*2010 to 2018
* Source: JSR prepared the chart based on statistics of SEMI and Gartner, etc.
Ⅱ-ⅱ
0
100
200
300
400
500
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Multi‐layer and other
TCX
ArF photoresist
13
Semiconductor materials business: Forecast on the growth of lithography materials
ه In FY March 2015, JSR’s shipments grew sharply, exceeding the market growth rate. We will shift our focus to the development of 10 nm products and next generation products (finer circuit patterns and defect control).
JSR20i3 JSR20i6
Changes in net sales of cutting-edge lithography materials2014 to 2016CAGR (Forecast)Around 9.1%
Unit: 100 million yen
2011 to 2013 CAGR (Actual)Around 4.4%
Ⅱ-ⅱ
14
Semiconductor materials business: Strategy to Consolidate R&D and Manufacturing Base of Semiconductor materials business in Japan
ETEC(Wholly-owned subsidiary)
Internal manufacturing of basic polymer
X
Y
ه Concentrate R&D and manufacturing at the Yokkaichi Plant to speed up cutting-edge product development and strengthening cost efficiency.
Raw material suppliers
JSR(Yokkaichi) Device manufacturesin each country
Alliance
Alliance
Fine Electric MaterialsResearch Laboratories
Manufacturing plant
Cooperation among 3 parties (raw material suppliers, R&D
and manufacturing) is essential to seek high product
performance and quality.
Ⅱ-ⅱ
Alliance
15
Semiconductor materials business: Efforts to cope with EUV generation products
ه We will use our global network to develop and commercialize materials for EUV resists with new reaction mechanism.
Chemical amplification resist14nmhp@45mJcm-2
Exposure: NXE3300
Non-chemical amplification [email protected]
Exposure: bMET
Fundamental analysis
Outgas management
New raw materials
Mechanism development
Ⅱ-ⅱ
0
50
100
150
200
250
2013 2014 2016 2020
中国 台湾
韓国 日本
60%
110%
160%
210%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
16
Display materials business: Market trendsه Key points: (1) Shift to TVs with high-definition and larger screens, (2) China as the future
growth driver, (3) Accelerated shift to high-definition panels for mobile equipment<(1) Growth rate of shipments of LCD
panels for TVs and panel areas> Panel area growth rate
CAGR7.2%* Forecast for 2011 to 2020
Unit growth rate
CAGR3.0%* Forecast for 2011 to 2020
<(2) Panel area demand by region (Million m2/year)>
0
100
200
300
400
2013 2014 2016 2020
4K2K Non‐4K2K
<(3) LCD-TV panel shipments (million units/year)>
*Source: DisplaySearch
Ⅱ-ⅲ
※2011=100%
China
South Korea
TaiwanJapan
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
17
Display materials business: Future outlookه The FPD materials business is expected to continue to contribute to stable earnings growth,
supported by sound market growth in association with a shift to TVs with high-definition and larger screens.
JSR20i3 JSR20i6
Changes in net sales of FPD materials
2014 to 2016Net sales CAGRAround 4.6%
2011 to 2013Net sales CAGRAround 6.4%
2014 to 2016TV panel area CAGR
Around 6.4%
Unit: 100 million yen
*Source: DisplaySearch
2011 to 2013TV panel area CAGR
Around 15.1%
Ⅱ-ⅲ
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Display materials business: Future business development
Market trend
UHD TV(4K)Materials for the next-generation
TVs, such as 4K2K, CURVED
High definition panels for mobile equipment
Materials for high definition panels for mobile equipment
Improvement of productivity for panel production
Reduction of costs for panel production
Material technology trendFive main LCD materials
Main material technology
Use of synergy
Cope with the next
generation and high functional
materials
ه We will surely keep catching up with the market and material technology trends centering on five main LCD materials in which JSR has an advantage.
High-flatness protective coatings and Di-electric films
High color reproducibility resistsPhoto-alignment films
High resolution spacerLow-K (Interlayer
Di-electric materials)
OLED color pigment resists, OLED Di-electric films
OLED bank materials, desiccant
Display with high flexibility
New FPD materials
Ⅱ-ⅲ
・JMW
・JSR・JMK
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Display materials business: Accelerated shift to Asia
ه We decided to build an LCD materials manufacturing plant in China. We will further strengthen the system to develop JSR’s technology at Asian cost levels.
JSR’s LCD materials production bases
Expansion to China (JMCH)
*JMK:JSR Micro Korea Co., Ltd *JMW:JSR Micro Taiwan Co., Ltd*JMCH:JSR Micro(Changshu)Co., Ltd.
Establishment of a joint venture company to manufacture LCD materials in China
• Company name: JSR Micro (Changshu) Co., Ltd. (JMCH)
• Partner: Chang Chun Petrochemical Co., Ltd. (Taiwan)• Investment ratio: JSR 51%• Total investment: around 4.0 billion yen
Future strategy for LCD materials business
(1) Strengthen the system of the Chinese business→ Increase commitment to China, a main market in the
future.
(2) Upgrade YP platform technology→ Concentrate resources in the Yokkaichi Plant to
develop elementary precision-processing technologies.
Ⅱ-ⅲ
20
Life Sciences business: Business trendه We have developed business centering on bio-pharmaceutical and advanced diagnosis fields, considering
the medical trend.
Medical trend
Personali-zed
medical treatment
Tailor-made pharmaceuticals
(Bio-pharmaceutical)
Shift from treatment
to prevention
Companion diagnosisGene diagnosis
Minor side effects
High efficacyBio-pharmaceutical
field
Advanced diagnosis field
Early diagnosis of diseases
Monitoring and banking biological information
Business fields developed by JSR Medical needs
Phar
mac
eutic
al
com
pani
es
Hos
pita
ls, d
octo
rs,
and
exam
inat
ion
cent
ers
Ⅱ-ⅳ
Dia
gnos
is
Bioprocess (antibody medicine)
Seeds Functional materials
Product development
Permission and application Sales channels Needs
General use
Bio-chemistry diagnosis,
Infectious disease diagnosis etc.
AdvancedGene diagnosis,
POCT, etc.
Reagent research
Venture funds
Manufacture and sale of diagnostic agent intermediates (Beijing, China)
• Sales channels for diagnostic and research reagents• Acquisition of permissions and manufacturing (GMP)
infrastructure• Antibody library and techniques for producing antibodies
Universities(research and clinical tests)
Keio University
Filmy filter
Continuous chromatographic
processes
Purifying materials/Device development
Application of antibody technology
Process development/Undertaking production
CMIC JSR Biologics Co., Ltd.
Pharma-ceutical
companies
DoctorsHospitals
21
Life Sciences business: Future business development
We have actively secured channels that connect JSR’s functional materials and final users (hospitals, doctors, and pharmaceutical companies) through M&A and the establishment of a joint research system. We have established business infrastructure.
Secure technological seeds and necessary functions through M&A,
investment, and alliance.
Ⅱ-ⅳ
22
Life Sciences business: Future outlookه We will accelerate the development of JSR Group’s Life Sciences business by making the most of
its business infrastructure. We will continue to actively use non-organic growth, such as M&A.
0
200
400
600
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2020
(Net sales mentioned above include those of equity-method companies.)
Life Sciences business JSR Group’s sales planUnit: 100 million yen
Increase net sales to 20.0 billion yen or more, bringing the Life Sciences business to the next stage.
Development from particles to diagnostic
reagents
Expand the Life Sciences business as JSR’s core business.
HOP
STEPJUMP
Ⅱ-ⅳ
23
LIC Business: State of progressه JME: The number of companies that have adopted LIC exceeds 10. We will strive to obtain
small customers using a newly completed plant to mass manufacture LIC.
Automatic GuidedVehicles(AGV)
Instantaneous voltage drop
compensating deviceKonica Minolta PortableX-ray imaging device
Optare/ BLUWAYS Buses
Prismatic-type cells Laminated cells
ULTIMO ®
Sumitomo Construction MachineryExcavators
New mass production plant with a capacity
of 3 million cells (Hokuto City, Yamanashi Prefecture)
<Examples of adopting LIC>
2014: Completion2015: Commencement of commercial production
25
Capital allocation policy: Changes in cash flow from operating activities
ه We have generated stable cash flow from operating activities over a long period, despite changes in net income.
Changes in cash flow from operating activities (net income + depreciation)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
70020
04
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Net income Depreciation
Unit: 100 million yen
Ⅲ
26
Shift in Capital allocation policyDuring JSR20i6ه We decided to continue the preferential allocation of resources to investments for growth (100.0 billion yen
over three years), but reviewed the policy for the return to shareholders to further improve ROE after considering the current economic environment and JSR’s financial situation. Increase the ratio of return to shareholders to 50% or higher from the current level (30% to 50%).
Investment for growthAround 100.0 billion yen
Return to shareholders50 to 100%
Organic investment Nonorganic investment Dividends Share buyback
JSR20i6Cumulated cash flow
160.0 billion yen
(Forecast)
JSR’s capital allocation (image)Cash on
hand
Ⅲ
27
Capital allocation policy: Investment for growth
ه We plan to invest around 100.0 billion yen in total over three years during JSR20i6.
0 500 1,000
JSR20i6
FY March2015 Forecast
(rough estimate)
Petrochemicals businessFine Chemicals businessStrategic business and other
Unit: 100 million yen
ه FY March 2015: ه 1st phase of JBE’s plant
construction ه Construction of a mass production
plant by JM Energyه FY March 2016:
ه 2nd phase of JBE’s plant construction
ه FY March 2017:ه Construction of a plant in Hungary
* Reference: Progress on capital expenditure
◆ Main investment projects
◆ Main capital investment projects:ه FY March 2015:
ه Capital investment to MBLه Capital investment to KBI Biopharma
Inc.
Ⅲ
34.0%
36.0%
117.8%
46.5%
46.7%
29.2%
46.7% 52.3%
64.6%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
120.0%
0
50
100
150
200
250
'07/3 '08/3 '09/3 '10/3 '11/3 '12/3 '13/3 '14/3 '15/3
The ratio of total amounts returned to
shareholders to profit
Am
ount
s re
turn
ed to
sha
reho
lder
s (1
00 m
illio
n ye
n)
Share buyback
Dividends
The ratio of total amounts returned toshareholders to profit
28
Capital allocation policy : Return to shareholdersه We have been implementing the return to shareholders stably and flexibly.ه We will maintain the ratio of total amounts returned to shareholders to profit at a level of 50% or higher
through dividend payment and share buyback.
Changes in amounts returned to shareholders and the ratio of total amounts returned to shareholders to profit
Ⅲ
Annual dividendper share (yen)
24 32 32 26 32 32 34 38 40
Dividend payoutratio
18.0% 21.7% 56.8% 46.5% 28.3% 29.2% 27.0% 35.8% 31.2%
Total payoutratio
34.0% 36.0% 117.8% 46.5% 46.7% 29.2% 46.7% 52.3% 64.6%
We have modified our policy in the following three points, considering the change in the business environment and progress against the budget in each business over one year.
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Summary: Year One Progress Review on JSR20i6
In FY March 2015, business results slightly exceeded the original budget due to better-than-expected results in the Fine Chemicals business, despite sluggish results in the Petrochemicals business.
Earnings guidance for FY March 2016 is likely to be below expectations. This is mainly due to a sluggish market in the Petrochemicals business and the structural reform JSR implemented. The Fine Chemicals business generated better-than-expected results and the Life Sciences business may increase earnings further.We will strive to achieve the target under JSR20i6 and aim to take giant steps forward under Post JSR20i6.
Ⅳ
30
* "FY ended March 31 "JSR's accounting period (fiscal year) is defined as the period from April 1 to March 31 of the following year. When noted "FY March 2015", this indicates the period from April 1, 2014 to March 31, 2015“
* The forecasts, future plans and strategies made in this document contain a variety of uncertain factors, since it has been prepared based on judgments from currently available information. Actual business results may differ from those projected, depending on factors such as the economic status of the market
surrounding the company.