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US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

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Page 1: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

US Army Corps of Engineers

BUILDING STRONG®

USACE – ACF Operations

Bailey CraneWater ManagementUSACE, Mobile District

Page 2: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Page 3: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Mobile District Basins

Page 4: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Conduct water management activities for Corps reservoirs

Supervise flood control Technical assistance Exchange data with National

Weather Service and provide information to District elements

Operation of rainfall and river reporting network

Maintain project data Preparation/revision of water

control manuals Develop hydrologic models

Water Management – USACE Perspective

Page 5: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Water Management Staff

Supervisory Hydraulic Engineer

4 Hydraulic Engineers

1 Engineer Interns

1 Hydrologic Technician

Office staffed 365 days/year (limited hours on weekends)

Page 6: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®6

Lake Lanier

West Point Lake

Walter F. George Lake

Andrews L&D

Lake Seminole/Woodruff Dam

Flint River

Chattahoochee River

Apalachicola River

The ACF Basin

Buford Dam and Lake Sidney Lanier

Page 7: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Recreation

Water Quality

Hydropower

Navigation

Project Purposes and Demands

Municipal &Industrial

Environmental

Page 9: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Minimum Flows on the ACF

5000 cfsApalachicola R. at

Chattahoochee

750 cfsat Peachtree Ck

670 cfsbelow West Point

• Lanier and West Point have instantaneous flow requirements; Jim Woodruff has a daily average flow requirement

• Peachtree Creek

• Minimum flow below Jim Woodruff varies with RIOP rules

Page 10: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

ACF BasinACF BasinBasin Storage

When Full:

62.5% - Lake Lanier

17.6% - West Point

14% - W. F. George

ACF StorageACF Storage

Page 11: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

ACF Drainage AreaACF Drainage Area Lanier1040 Miles2

West Point2210 Miles2

WF George4080 Miles2

Jim Woodruff9770 Miles2

Only 6% of Drainage Area!

Page 12: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

What Does This Mean?

ReFill Rate Compared to Lanier

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

Rat

io t

o L

anie

r

Series1 1.0 3.5 3.2 7.5

Lake Lanier West Point W.F. George Lake Seminole

100 MW

West Point and WF GeorgeWill fill 3 ½ time faster than Lanier

If the reservoirs did not release a drop of Water

Page 13: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Current System Drivers

“Balanced System” Operations

State water quality flow requirement near Peachtree Creek on Chattahoochee River

Revised Interim Operating Plan (RIOP)

Page 14: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

State Water Quality Requirement

State Water Quality Requirement

1,100- 1,500 cfs minimum release to meet Metro-Atlanta 750/650-cfs WQ

flow

Page 15: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Revised Interim Operating Plan Dictates operations based on basin inflow and

releases from Jim Woodruff Dam

Year-round operations to support flow needs for sturgeon spawning, young sturgeon, mussels, and host fish for mussels

Minimize or avoid impacts of low flow operations on listed species or critical habitat

Provide for storage when water is more plentiful to allow for future augmentation during low flows in support of mussels

Minimize impact to other project purposes

Page 16: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

RIOP Operations-Release Decision Matrix

Page 17: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

How Did We Get Here?

Page 18: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Page 19: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Page 20: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Page 21: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Historic Low Flows on the Flint

Most flows below the 10th percentile during late August and September

Daily record lows at numerous gages on many days

Page 22: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Woodruff Discharge vs Basin Inflow

Woodruff Discharge

7 Day Basin Inflow

5,000 CFS Minimum Release

Flow supplemented with storage

Page 23: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Forecasting Lake LevelsQPF’s

CPC Precip Outlooks

SERFC River Forecasts

Page 24: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Forecasting Lake Levels

Short term forecasts use QPF’s and river flow forecasts NWS, SERFC

Long term forecast based on predicted climate conditions and forecasted percent of normal rainfall Climate Prediction Center

Flood forecasts use QPF’s, river flow forecasts, and data collected by project personnel.

Page 25: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Lake Lanier► Authorized by PL 79-525► Completed 1957► Authorized Project Purposes

Flood Control Hydropower

Water Quality Water Supply

Recreation Navigation

Fish & Wildlife

Top of Flood Pool Elev 1085

Top of Conservation (summer) Elev 1071

Top of Conservation (winter) Elev 1070

Current Pool Elev 1058.3

Feet Below Full (Winter Pool) 11.7 ft

Plant Capacity 127 MW

Page 26: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Lake Lanier-5 Week Forecast

1035.00

1040.00

1045.00

1050.00

1055.00

1060.00

1065.00

1070.00

1075.00 Lanier Action Zones and Actual 2011 Elevations

Top of Conservation

Zone 1

Zone 2

Zone 3

Zone 4

Bottom of Conservation

Elevation in FT NGVD

1-Jan 1-Feb 1-Mar 1-Apr 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 1-Aug 1-Sep 1-Oct 1-Nov 1-Dec

Record Low Elevations 1960-2010

Actual data thru November 28, 2011

2011 Actual Elevation Forecast Elevation Historical Average Elevation Record Low Elevation (1960-2010)

Page 27: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

► Authorized by PL 87-874► Completed 1975► Authorized Project Purposes

Flood Control Hydro Power

Recreation Water Quality

Navigation Fish/Wildlife

Top of Flood Pool Elev 641

Top of Gates (closed) Elev 638

Top of Conservation (summer) Elev 635

Top of Conservation (winter) Elev 628

Current Pool Elev 623.0

Feet Below Full (Winter Pool) 5 feet

Plant Capacity 87 MW

West Point

Page 28: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

West Point-5 Week Forecast

620.00

622.00

624.00

626.00

628.00

630.00

632.00

634.00

636.00

638.00

640.00West Point Action Zones and Actual 2011 ElevationsElevation in FT MSL

Top of Conserva-tion

Zone 1

Zone 2

Zone 3

Zone 4

Bottom of Conservation

1-Jan 1-Feb 1-Mar 1-Apr 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 1-Aug 1-Sep 1-Oct 1-Nov 1-Dec

Actual data thru November 28, 2011

2011 Actual Elevation Forecast Elevation Historical Average Elevation

Page 29: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

► Authorized by PL 79-525► Completed 1963► Authorized Project Purposes

Hydro Power Water Quality

Recreation Fish/Wildlife

Navigation

Top of Flood Pool NA

Top of Gates (closed) Elev 192

Top of Conservation (summer) Elev 190

Top of Conservation (winter) Elev 188

Current Pool Elev 184.8

Feet Below Full (Winter Pool) 3.3 ft

Plant Capacity 162 MW

Walter F. George

Page 30: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Walter F. George-5 Week Forecast

184.00

185.00

186.00

187.00

188.00

189.00

190.00

191.00

192.00W.F. George Action Zones and Actual 2011 ElevationsElevation in FT MSL

Zone 1

Zone 2

Zone 3

Zone 4

1-Jan 1-Feb 1-Mar 1-Apr 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 1-Aug 1-Sep 1-Oct 1-Nov 1-Dec

Bottom of Con-servation

Top of Conservation

Actual data thru November 28, 2011

2011 Actual Elevation Forecast Elevation Historical Average Elevation

Page 31: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

1-Jan 1-Feb 1-Mar 1-Apr 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 1-Aug 1-Sep 1-Oct 1-Nov 1-Dec -

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

2011 ACF Basin Composite Conservation & Flood Storage

Co

mp

osi

te C

on

serv

atio

n &

Flo

od

Sto

rag

e, (

ac-f

t)

Top of Conservation

Drought Zone

Composite Zone 3

Composite Zone 2

Composite Zone 1

Composite Zone 4

Actual data through 11-28-2011

George ConservationWest Point ConservationLake Lanier Conservation

George Flood StorageWest Point Flood StorageLake Lanier Flood Storage

Add value of 1,856,000 acre-ft to include inactive storage.

Remaining Composite Storage in the ACF

5 Week Forecast

Page 32: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Long-Term Outlook

Page 33: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

3 Month Precipitation Outlook

Page 34: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Long-Term Forecasts

Developed using ACF ResSim Baseline Model

Based on percentile flows of entire period of record

Page 35: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Lake Lanier – 3 Month Forecast

2011 Observed Elevations10th Percentile Hydrology25th Percentile Hydrology50th Percentile Hydrology

Top of Conservation

Page 36: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

West Point -3 Month Forecast

2011 Observed Elevations10th Percentile Hydrology25th Percentile Hydrology50th Percentile Hydrology

Top of Conservation

Page 37: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Walter F. George - 3 Month Forecast

2011 Observed Elevations10th Percentile Hydrology25th Percentile Hydrology50th Percentile Hydrology

Top of Conservation

Page 38: US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® USACE – ACF Operations Bailey Crane Water Management USACE, Mobile District

BUILDING STRONG®

Summary

Conditions for the upcoming fall and spring are forecast to be drier than normal as La Nina conditions persist

Full refill of storage projects on the ACF is unlikely for the upcoming year

The Corps will take advantage of opportunities to store water while meeting basin-wide needs and project purposes