3 2558

1. 2558 3.5 0.9 2557

2. ( )

3. ?

2

2557 0.9

3

0.61.7

-2.0

-4.9

0.7

-2.5

-6.8

0.40.9

-14

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

Private C Gov C Private Inv Public Inv Exportgoods

(volume)

ExportServices

ImportGoods

ImportServices(volume)

GDP

Pe

rce

nt

H1 H2 Year

:

2557 ()

2558 3.5

4

0.6

3.7

3.1

13.1

1.0

17.8

3.2

8.8

3.5

0 5 10 15 20

Private Con

Gov Con

Private Inv

Public Inv

Export goods (volume)

Export Services

Import Goods

Import Services (volume)

GDP

:

2558 ()

(Percent)

-0.3

-8.5

6.1

3.2

0.5

-2.0

7.3

4.6

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

GoodsExports

(growth)

GoodsImports(growth)

TradeAccount(% GDP)

CurrentAccount(% GDP)

Pe

rce

nt

2014 2015p

:

5

:

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

ASEAN Japan USA EU China &Hong

Kong(SAR)

TotalExports

% y

oy

H1 2014 H2 2014 Q1/2015

-35

-25

-15

-5

5

15

25

35

Rice Rubber&products

Motor cars,parts &

accessories

Iron andsteel &

products

Computer& parts

Chemicalproducts

Refinedfuels

Integratedcircuits

% y

oy

H1 2014 H2 2014 Q1/ 2015

: 40

:

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

Q1/2

013

Q2/2

013

Q3/2

013

Q4/2

013

Q1/2

014

Q2/2

014

Q3/2

014

Q4/2

014

Q1/2

015

Indonesia Philippines VietnamMalaysia Thailand

: Comtrade * 12 50

6

*

(% )

2556-2558 ()

2.7

-12.14.3

9.6

3.0

9.4

12.5

8.8

23.8

15.3

1.2

26.2

21.3

11.6

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30

Thailand

Indonesia

Malaysia

Phillipines

Vietnam

India

China2009-112012-13

: CEIC

7

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Motor vehicles Motor vehicle parts &accessories

Perc

enta

ge-p

oint

Thailand Indonesia

India China

2.1 2.10.3 1.0 3.5% 0.4 1.1 7.4%

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Computer & parts Integrated circuits

Perc

enta

ge-p

oint

ThailandMalaysiaPhillipinesVietnamChina

3.6 2.6 1.1 1.0 48.3% 1.5 5.6 1.9 0.4 17.8%

2551-2556 ()

: Comtrade : 2556

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

Thailand Vietnam India

Perc

enta

ge-p

oint

17.7% 11.7% 32.6%

2551-2556 ()

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

Thailand Indonesia Malaysia Vietnam32.8% 27.5% 8.9% 9.5%

: Comtrade

: 2556

2551-2558( 2558 2551)

: WEF, Global Competitive Index : ( ) 2558 144

9

-55

-31

-13

-3

-80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40

Labor market efficiency

Innovation

Institution

Global Competitiveness Index

Thailand Vietnam Philippines Malaysia Indonesia

(84)

(67)

(66)

(31)

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

Per

cen

t

Thailand Philippines VietnamChina Indonesia

()

10

: World Development Indicators: 2557

( ) 2554-2557

() ()

( )

: World Development Indicators

()

-18

-15

-12

-9

-6

-3

0

3

6

9

12

2011 2012 2013 2014

Per

cen

tage

-po

ints

Thailand (-4.7) Indonesia (-6.5)

Philippines (3.4) Vietnam (-3.2)

China (3.6)

(2001 =100)

:

118.6

152.2

89.0

136.5

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Agriculture

Manufacturing

Construction

Hotels&restaurants

Transport,storage,&communications

Financial intermediation

Total

2557 40

11

360

380

400

420

440

460

480

500

Village SmallTown

Town City Large City

Reading Mathematics Science

PISA 2555

: Program for International Student Assessment (PISA), OECD 12

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Tokyo(Japan)

Seoul(Korea)

Shanghai(China)

Jakata(Indonesia)

KualaLumpur

(Malaysia)

Bangkok(Thailand)

Rural AreasVietnam

Hanoi(Vietnam)

Reading Mathematics Science

:

13

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010

Quartile 1 (Poorest)

Quartile 2

Quartile 3

Quartile 4 (Richest)

.. 2542

Functional illiterate

(below level 2)

32%Average

performers (levels 2, 3,

and 4)67%

High performers (level 5 and

above)1%

14

419.6 419.6

6.0

15.8

380

390

400

410

420

430

440

450

Thailand 2003 Thailand 2012

PISA

read

ing

scor

e

QualityStudent2003

PISA 2546-2555

15 (PISA 2555)

: OECD PISA 2012

: OECD PISA 2012

15

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0 50 100

Ch

ange

in P

ISA

re

adin

g sc

ore

Percentile of student performance

Overall

Quality

Student

40 PISA

68 2546 73 2555 (

2 )

PISA 2546-2555

16

30:1 1970 (..2513) 16:1 2555

17

( 1 1 )

19.7%

8.7%

0%

4%

8%

12%

16%

20%

Bangkok Mae Hong Son

25.3

10.8

0

4

8

12

16

20

24

28

Bangkok Mae Hong Son

( )

1.61

0.71

0.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.41.61.8

Bangkok Mae Hong Son

: 2553

18 ESA 1

20

85 19,864 ( 20 ) 20 ()

15 (2,921 )

19

()

2,921 2,921

1,908 1,908

16,943

9,421

14,252

Status Quo School NetworkOptimization

Non-isolated largeschoolsNon-isolated smallschoolsIsolated largeschoolsIsolated smallschools

Num

ber o

f sch

ools

( Clusters )

353,198

291,007

110,725

12,600

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

Status Quo After reorganization

Number of total classes

Number of classes with < 1 teacher per class

20

:

www.worldbank.org/th

21