Convex combination of topics proportions and movie proportions within topic
P(rel|usr,vid) ≈ P(cons|usr,vid) = {1,0}
P(cons|pos,evi,rel)P(pos|rel)P(evi|usr,vid)P(rel|usr,vid,obv-ctxt,unobv-ctxt)
PositionTheir final decision Evidence
The recommender
P(cons|pos,evi,rel)P(pos|rel)P(evi|usr,vid)P(rel|usr,vid,obv-ctxt,unobv-ctxt)
TakeRate = #plays / #presentations
P(cons|pos,evi,rel)P(pos|rel)P(evi|usr,vid)P(rel|usr,vid,obv-ctxt,unobv-ctxt)
Can’t do anything about this bit
P(cons|pos,evi,rel)P(pos|rel)P(evi|rel)P(rel|usr,vid,obv-ctxt,unobv-ctxt)