津波 131112 前日シンポ...the research group lead by prof. dante figueroa from the university...

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津波防災の今後の技術の方向性 -観測,警報,防災情報- 2013年11月12日,第60回海岸工学講演会 前日シンポジウム,九州大学 関西大学社会安全学部 高橋 智幸

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Page 1: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

津波防災の今後の技術の方向性-観測,警報,防災情報-

2013年11月12日,第60回海岸工学講演会 前日シンポジウム,九州大学

関西大学社会安全学部高橋 智幸

Page 2: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

16時08分M8.4

11日14時49分M7.9

15時14分M7.9

15時30分M7.9

21時35分M8.8

18時47分M8.8

13時50分M8.8

20時20分M8.8

13日07時30分M8.8

地震発生:3月11日14時46分頃,M9.0

3m6m3m

3m6m>10m6m4m3m

3m6m4m8m>10m>10m>10m>10m>10m4m

6m8m6m3m>10m>10m>10m>10m>10m>10m4m6m4m3m3m3m3m

22時53分M8.8

12日03時20分M8.8

17時58分M9.0

Page 3: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

11日14時49分M7.9

15時14分M7.9

地震発生:3月11日14時46分頃,M9.0

3m6m3m

3m6m>10m6m4m3m

切り替え

引用:港空研資料 No.1231

第1波

発生した津波を観測↓

津波警報の信頼性向上

Page 4: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

港空研(2011)に加筆

観測体制の整備(短期的)↓

既設設備の活用

GPS波浪計

Page 5: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

56

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ᅗ㻟㻚㻞㻔㻟㻕 ➨㻝ḟሗ࿌䛾㝯㉳䞉ỿ㝆㔞䛸䛾㐪䛔䠄䜿䞊䝇䐡䠅

➨�ḟሗ࿌ࡢ㝯㉳࣭ỿ㝆㔞

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内閣府(2012)のケース③の図面を修正

GPS波浪計→ 津波波源に含まれる↓

津波波源の情報↓

津波警報の過小評価の有無をチェック

Page 6: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

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地震発生

津波警報(信頼性の向上)

門廻ら(2013)

Page 7: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

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門廻ら(2013)

Page 8: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

観測体制の整備(中長期的)

↓点での観測+

面的,広域の観測(例)海洋レーダ

送信アンテナ

受信アンテナ

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Hinata et al. (2011)海洋レーダが観測した東北津波の流速分布

Page 9: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

観測体制の整備(中長期的)

↓点での観測+

面的,広域の観測(例)海洋レーダ

海洋レーダによる東北津波の流速分布(観測)と水位分布(推定)

Hinata et al. (2011)

Page 10: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

観測体制の整備(中長期的)

↓点での観測+

面的,広域の観測(例)海洋レーダ

May 2011

Page 2 of 2

HELZEL Messtechnik GmbH, Carl-Benz-Str. 9, 24568 Kaltenkirchen, Germany

Tel.: +49 (0) 4191 95 20 – 31, Fax: – 40, Email: [email protected] Web: www.helzel.com

The theoretical basis for this approach is that tsunami waves generate a characteristic periodic ocean

surface current pattern that can be used as the tsunami “signature”. This tsunami signature was detected

in the signal recorded by the WERA system in Chile. A comparison of the measured radar signatures with

nearby sea level measurements showed a high correlation between the two signals confirming that the

WERA system was successful in capturing the tsunami signal (see Figure 1).

This unique radar measurement of a real

tsunami is the proof of concept the ocean radar

community has been waiting for. The delay of

this discovery and announcement is solely due

to fact that the radar site in Chile (see Figure 2)

is not equipped with real time telemetry.

In addition, the significance of this finding

required the rigorous review of the acquired

data and confirmation of the results by three

independent scientific groups (University of

Concepcion, Chile, University of Hamburg, and

Hamburg University of Technology, Germany).

The final and detailed results of the analysis will

be presented by these groups in upcoming

conferences and in the peer reviewed literature.

The used ocean radar system WERA, manufactured by Helzel Messtechnik of Germany, is the most

reliable and accurate system. It can be easily operated from land and provides data over a range

exceeding 200 km (for low HF frequencies). Within this range a tsunami signature can be detected

making WERA a useful component for any national and/or international Tsunami Early Warning System.

Helzel Messtechnik provides a WERA tsunami

detection software package with automated

analysis on three different levels as displayed in

Figure 3. The adaptation to location specific

conditions requires scientific expertise that can

be provided by Helzel Messtechnik and their

scientific partners.

More detailed information on tsunami research

using WERA HF radars can be found online at

www.helzel.com

1 D. E. Barrick, 1979. “A coastal radar system for tsunami warning”, Remote Sensing of the Environment Vol. 8, 353-358]

² K.-W. Gurgel, A. Dzvonkovskaya, T. Pohlmann, T. Schlick, E. Gill, 2011. "Simulation and detection of tsunami signatures in ocean surface currents

measured by HF radar“, Ocean Dynamics, Earth and Environmental Science, Springer, DOI 10.1007/s10236-011-0420-9

Fig. 2: WERA ocean radar system at Rumena, Chile, (near Concepcion).

The system shown operates at 22 MHz and consists of a short array of

8 antennas that receive the signal backscattered from the surface of the

ocean.

Fig. 3: The WERA tsunami detection software package. It consists of three

levels of analysis that can be integrated into any Tsunami Early Warning

System. Its application requires a 50 km minimum distance between the

coastline and the continental shelf edge.

2011 Tohoku Tsunami

North-west

Fig.1: Left panel: Used beam (15°) for the plot on the right panel. The direction of the approaching tsunami is marked yellow, thesize of the measured pixel is marked red.Upper panel: Colour coded plot of WERA derived current velocities as function of time (x axis) and range (y axis).Lower panel: Sea surface elevation measurements from a tide gauge located approximately 50 km away from the WERA site.Note the significant correlation between the WERA derived velocity and sea surface elevation variability due to the tsunamigenerated by the earthquake in Japan.

WERA in Chile observed Tsunami Signature

The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, hasreported that their WERA radar system was able to capture the signal of the tsunami that strucknortheast Japan in March, 2011. This is the first time ever that an ocean radar detected an approachingtsunami.

After the strong earthquake occurred in Japan on March 11, 2011, the generated tsunami travelledacross the Pacific Ocean and reached the coast of Chile within 22 hours. Following the earthquake andtsunami news, and due to lack of internet access, Prof. Dante Figueroa drove to the remote WERAocean radar site and manually switched his WERA system into fastest operation mode, which allows thecollection of real-time data every 30 seconds.

The theoretical basis for the detection of an approaching tsunami with ocean radars was firstintroduced by Dr. D. Barrick in 19791; nevertheless until this event, no real data of tsunami detectionexisted to confirm the ability of ocean radar systems to detect an approaching tsunami. Following theSumatra tsunami in 2004, Drs A. Dzvonkovskaya and K.-W. Gurgel (University of Hamburg, Germany)used a numerical model that was able to prove that ocean radar systems could be used as TsunamiEarly Warning Systems². The results clearly showed that ocean radar systems can be used as a tsunamiwarning system, assuming the distance between the coastline and shelf edge is long enough (> 50 km)to allow sufficient time for warning. This can be achieved only with array type antenna systems likeWERA which are the only systems able to provide the spatial and temporal resolution required forreliably detecting the fast approaching tsunami wave².

HELZEL (2011)

Page 11: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

観測体制の整備(中長期的)

津波波源

紀伊水道や伊勢湾へ伝播

をカバー

する津波も観測可能 

室戸岬潮岬

超巨大地震↓

津波警報の信頼性向上+

激甚被災地の探索

↓点での観測+

面的,広域の観測(例)海洋レーダ

津波波源は内閣府(2003)から転記Google Mapを使用

Page 12: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

白浜局(和歌山県西牟婁郡白浜町)

美浜局(和歌山県日高郡美浜町)

2012年9月末和歌山県に

海洋レーダを設置完了↓

研究観測中

2012年度から津波を対象とした海洋レーダによる研究観測を開始関西大学・国土技術政策総合研究所・琉球大学・情報通信研究機構

Page 13: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

2012年10月28日(日本時間)カナダ・クイーンシャーロット諸島地震津波

M7.7

JAMSTEC HPより

7mm程度の海面変動

岡本(2013)

Page 14: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

海洋レーダ(関西大・国総研・琉球大・NICT)

GPS波浪計(港空研,2011) DONET(JAMSTEC HPより)

津波モニタリング

防災実務者

生データ

防災情報の種類,量,インターフェース

シミュレーション

付加価値

Page 15: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

避難所までの最短経路 ≠ 安全な避難路

Page 16: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

AR (Augmented Realty,拡張現実)↓

実際の風景 + 防災情報(浸水深や避難所,避難ビル,避難経路)

AR画面:防災情報のアイコンやデータを表示

避難所・避難ビルのアイコン避難経路の方向

瓦礫が浮かんだ水面(動画)

浸水深

避難所,避難ビル,避難経路

地図画面:堺市ハザードマップを表示

携帯端末用アプリ

+紙のハザードマップ

↓防災教育の教材※災害時には

  使用しない!

梅本ら(2013)

Page 17: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

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東北津波 AR Viewer

東北地方太平洋沖地震津波合同調査グループ

梅本ら(2013)

Page 18: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

避難訓練支援ツール(開発中,プロトタイプ完成)

GPS & ジャイロ小型PC

神戸市に適用予定

イメージ

避難訓練 避難経路+避難所津波外力(到達時間,浸水深)

Page 19: 津波 131112 前日シンポ...The research group lead by Prof. Dante Figueroa from the University of Concepcion in Chile, has reported that their WERA radar system was able to capture

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