第 15 章 總體經濟分析

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第 15 章 總體經濟分析. 影響股價之經濟變數. 15.1 所得. ◎ 「國民生產毛額 (GNP) 」可寫為:. Y = C + I + G + ( X - M ). C = 消費: 就一國而言,通常有一定的消費傾向, 短期內消費的增加有限,易受物價水準影響。. I = 投資: 投資是產業增加設備及服務的金額,受利 率水準之影響最大,利率愈高、投資意願愈低。. G = 政府移轉性支出: 主要來源為稅收,政府推動 公共建設時,可帶動經濟繁榮 。. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • 15 *

  • *

  • 15.1 (GNP) X = M = G = I = C = Y = C + I + G + (X - M)*

  • 15.2 1. (1) (PRIME RATE)(2) (INTERBANK RATE) *

  • (3) (CALL MONEY RATE)(6) (5) (TB) (CP) (CD) (BA) (4) (DISCOUNT RATE) (Rediscount Rate)(Discount Window)*

  • 2. M1a = + M1b = + = M1a + ( = - )*

  • = + ( ) + + + + + M2 = + + = M1b + *

  • (7) (6) (SELECTIVE CONTROLS) (5) (4) (DEPOSIT TRANSFERS)(3) (RESERVE REQUIREMENT)(2) (DISCOUNT RATE) (OPEN MARKET OPERATION)*

  • 3. (inom = ireal + IP + DRP + MRP + LP) (INFLATION PREMIUM) = (CPIt - CPIt-1) / CPIt-1 (CPI) (REAL RATE) = + + + + (Determinants)*

  • (DEFAULT RISK PREMIUM) (LIQUIDITY PREMIUM) (MATURITY RISK PREMIUM) = - = - = - *

  • f1 = ( - ) f1 f3 = ( - ) f3 f2 = ( - ) f2 *

  • 15.3 (GATT) 1947 1995 GATT (WTO)] *

  • 15.4 (Inflation Rate) (3) (2) (1) *

  • [] *

  • 15.5 1. *

    M1b

  • *

  • 2. *

    1. + 2. - 3. + 4. + 5. + 6. + 7. + 8. - 9. -10. +11. +12. +

  • 3. *

    61/2 - 62.1263/1 - 66/766/8 - 67/1067/11 - 71/8 1113713310 125-514498-322323-626626-442 71/9 - 73/573/6 - 74/774/8 - 79/279/3 - 82/9 19124737 442-869989-637643-11,66111,419-3,832 82/10 - 83/1284/1 - 85/385/4 - 86/886/9 - 88/2 12141515 3,806-7,1207,120-5,0085,060-8,1208,120-6,383 88/3 - 89/389/4-90/990/10-91/491/5-91/4 111561 6,383-10,32810,328-3,6363,636-6,0656,065-4108

  • 15.6 (3o/oo) 1990 9 24 19 3,200 1996 1 4 346 1994 10 13 89 130 1993 12 31 *

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