-1cm [width=1.26cm]bayes.jpg …...quantum bayesianism i. pitowsky (2003). “betting on the...

109
= QM Bayes+Hilbert=Quantum Mechanics Alessio Benavoli Dalle Molle Institute for Artificial Intelligence (IDSIA) Manno, Switzerland www.idsia.ch/ ˜ alessio/ [email protected] 1 / 109

Upload: others

Post on 21-Jul-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

⊕ = QM

Bayes+Hilbert=Quantum MechanicsAlessio Benavoli

Dalle Molle Institute for Artificial Intelligence (IDSIA)Manno, Switzerland

www.idsia.ch/˜alessio/[email protected]

1 / 109

Page 2: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Hats Superposition

Alessio BenavoliAlessandro Facchini

Marco Zaffalon

2 / 109

Page 3: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Content of the talk

Subjective foundation of quantum mechanics

This consists in showing that:

• It is possible to derive all axioms (and rules) of QM from a single principle ofself-consistency (rationality) or, in other words, that QM laws of Nature arelogically consistent.

• QM is just the Bayesian theory generalised to the complex Hilbert space.

3 / 109

Page 4: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Quantum Bayesianism

• I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesiantheory of quantum probability.” Studies in History and Philosophy of ModernPhysics 34.3: 395-414.

• C. A. Fuchs, R. Schack (2013). “Quantum-Bayesian coherence.” Reviews ofModern Physics 85: 1693

• C. A. Fuchs, N. D. Mermin, R. Schack (2013). “An introduction to QBism with anapplication to the locality of quantum mechanics.” American Journal of Physics82.8 (2014): 749-754.

• N. D. Mermin (2014). “Physics: QBism puts the scientist back into science.”Nature 507.7493: 421-423.

4 / 109

Page 5: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Subjective Foundation of Probability

• B. de Finetti (1937). La prevision: ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives.Annales de l’Institut Henri Poincar e English translation in (Kyburg Jr. andSmokler, 1964).

• P. Williams (1975). “Coherence, strict coherence, and zero probabilities.”Proceedings of the Fifth International Congress on Logic, Methodology, andPhilosophy of Science, vol. VI Reidel Dordrecht, 29-33.

• P. Walley (1991). Statistical Reasoning with Imprecise Probabilities. Chapmanand Hall.

5 / 109

Page 6: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Argument

Classical probability theoryTheory of desirable gambles over real numbers

Quantum mechanicsTheory of desirable gambles over complex numbers

6 / 109

Page 7: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

(Classical definition) Theory of probability

1 Probability is a number between 0 and 1.

2 Probability of the certain event is 1.

3 Probability of the event “A or B” is P(A ∨ B) = P(A) + P(B) (if the events aremutually exclusive);

4 the conditional probability of B given the event A is defined by Bayes’ rule

P(B|A) =P(A ∩ B)

P(A)with P(A) > 0.

From these axioms, it is also possible to derive marginalization, law of total probability,independence and so on.

7 / 109

Page 8: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

(Classical) TDGs for Fair Coin

Events are Heads, Tails: Ω = Heads,Tails.A gamble g is an element of R2 g = [g1, g2].If Alice accepts g then:

• she commits herself to receive/pay g1 if Heads;

• she commits herself to receive/pay g2 if Tails.

We ask Alice to state whether a certain gamble is desirable for her, meaning that shewould commit herself to accept whatever reward or loss it will eventually lead to.

8 / 109

Page 9: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What’s desirable for Alice?

g1

g2

9 / 109

Page 10: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What’s desirable for Alice?

g1

g2

(1, 1)

10 / 109

Page 11: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What’s desirable for Alice?

g1

g2

+

Any gamble g 6= 0 such that g(ω) ≥ 0 for each ω ∈ Ω must be desirable for Alice.

11 / 109

Page 12: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What’s desirable for Alice?

g1

g2

(−1,−1)

+

12 / 109

Page 13: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What’s desirable for Alice?

g1

g2

+

Any gamble g such that g(ω) ≤ 0 for each ω ∈ Ω must not be desirable for Alice.

13 / 109

Page 14: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What’s desirable for Alice?

g1

g2

+

(−0.1, 1)

14 / 109

Page 15: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What’s desirable for Alice?

g1

g2

+

(−0.11, 1.08)

15 / 109

Page 16: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What’s desirable for Alice?

g1

g2

+

(−0.09, 0.88)

If Alice finds g to be desirable (g ∈ K), then also λg must be desirable for any 0 < λ ∈ R.

16 / 109

Page 17: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What’s desirable for Alice?

g1

g2

+

17 / 109

Page 18: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What’s desirable for Alice?

g1

g2

+

(−0.1, 1)

(0.05, 0)

If Alice finds g1, g2 desirable (g1, g2 ∈ K), then she also must accept g1 + g2.

18 / 109

Page 19: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What’s desirable for Alice?

g1

g2

+

(−0.1, 1)

(0.05, 0)

19 / 109

Page 20: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What’s desirable for Alice?

g1

g2

+

20 / 109

Page 21: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What’s desirable for Alice?

g1

g2

+

(−1, 1)

If g ∈ K then either g 0 or g − δ ∈ K for some 0 < δ ∈ Rn.

21 / 109

Page 22: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Sure Loss (Dutch Book)

g1

g2

+

(−0.5, 0.3)

22 / 109

Page 23: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Sure Loss (Dutch Book)

g1

g2

+

(−0.5, 0.3)

(0.45,−0.4)

(−0.05,−0.1)

23 / 109

Page 24: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Summing up: (Classical) TDGs

Definition 1 (Coherence)The set K of Alice’s desirable gambles is said to be coherent (rational, consistent)when it satisfies a few simple rationality criteria:

1 Accepting Positive gambles;

2 Avoiding Negative gambles;

3 Positive scaling (“change of currency”);

4 Additivity (“parallelogram rule”);

5 Openness.

24 / 109

Page 25: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

State of full or partial ignorance

g1

g2

g1

g2

25 / 109

Page 26: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Geometric properties ?

g1

g2

26 / 109

Page 27: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Geometric properties ?

g1

g2

27 / 109

Page 28: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Alice through the looking glass

Probability does not exist.B. de Finetti

Probability rules can be derived from desirability via Duality.

28 / 109

Page 29: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Optics of Desirability (Duality)

g1

g2

+

29 / 109

Page 30: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Optics of desirability

g1

g2

g⊥t ⇔ g · t = 0

30 / 109

Page 31: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Optics of desirability

g1

g2

g⊥t ⇔ g · t = 0

31 / 109

Page 32: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Optics of desirability

g1

g2

K• = t ∈ Rn | g · t ≥ 0 ∀g ∈ K

32 / 109

Page 33: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Polar cone

g1

g2

(0.5, 0.5)

(0.6, 0.8)

(0.2, 0.3)

K• = t ∈ Rn | t ≥ 0, g · t ≥ 0 ∀g ∈ K

33 / 109

Page 34: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Preserving the scale

g1

g2

34 / 109

Page 35: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Preserving the scale

g1

g2

(0, 1)

(1, 0)

p1 = (1/2, 1/2)

p2 = (1/3, 2/3)

Imprecise Probability!

K• = t ∈ Rn | t ≥ 0, 1 · t = 1, g · t ≥ 0 ∀g ∈ K= p ∈ P | g · p ≥ 0 ∀g ∈ K

35 / 109

Page 36: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Preserving the scale

g1

g2

(0, 1)

(1, 0)

p1 = (1/2, 1/2)

p2 = (1/3, 2/3)

Imprecise Probability!

K• = t ∈ Rn | t ≥ 0, 1 · t = 1, g · t ≥ 0 ∀g ∈ K= p ∈ P | g · p ≥ 0 ∀g ∈ K

36 / 109

Page 37: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Fair Coin

g1

g2

(0, 1)

(1, 0)

p = (1/2, 1/2)

K• = p = (1/2, 1/2)

37 / 109

Page 38: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

From (Classical) TDGs to probability axioms

From a few simple rationality criteria:

1 Accepting Positive gambles;

2 Avoiding Negative gambles;

3 Positive scaling (“change of currency”);

4 Additivity (“parallelogram rule”);

5 Openness.

We can derive the rule of probabilities:

1 Probability is a number between 0 and 1.

2 Probability of the certain event is 1.

3 Probability of the event “A or B” is P(A ∨ B) = P(A) + P(B) (if the events aremutually exclusive);

4 the conditional probability of B given the event A is defined by Bayes’ rule

P(B|A) =P(A ∩ B)

P(A)with P(A) > 0.

38 / 109

Page 39: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Quantum Mechanics

39 / 109

Page 40: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Stern-Gerlarch experiment

40 / 109

Page 41: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Feynman’s notation

+−||||||

Z

+−|||

Z

+−|||

Z

+−

Z

We can now compose SG apparatus in series:

+−|||

S

N−→

+−|||

T

αN−→

+−|||

R

βαN−→

41 / 109

Page 42: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Feynman’s notationOdd example:

+−|||

Z

N−→

+−|||

X

12 N−→

+−|||

Z

14 N−→

+−|||

Z

N−→

+−|||

X

12 N−→

+−|||

Z

14 N−→

+−|||

Z

N−→

+−

X

N−→

+−|||

Z

0−→

42 / 109

Page 43: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Feynman’s notationOdd example:

+−|||

Z

N−→

+−|||

X

12 N−→

+−|||

Z

14 N−→

+−|||

Z

N−→

+−|||

X

12 N−→

+−|||

Z

14 N−→

+−|||

Z

N−→

+−

X

N−→

+−|||

Z

0−→

43 / 109

Page 44: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Playing with Mat

Every propositional system can be embedded into a projectivegeometry in some linear vector space with coefficients from a field.

x

z

y

e1

e3

e2

44 / 109

Page 45: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Playing with Mat

Every propositional system can be embedded into a projectivegeometry in some linear vector space with coefficients from a field.

x

z

y

e1

e3

e2

45 / 109

Page 46: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Playing with Mat [g1 g2 g3

]g1

g2

g3

How do I say: “it comes out Heads and Alice gets g1”

e1eT1

g1

g2

g3

e1eT1 = g1 e1eT

1

1 0 00 0 00 0 0

g1

g2

g3

1 0 00 0 00 0 0

= g1

1 0 00 0 00 0 0

gIH

46 / 109

Page 47: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Playing with Mat [g1 g2 g3

]g1

g2

g3

How do I say: “it comes out Heads and Alice gets g1”

e1eT1

g1

g2

g3

e1eT1 = g1 e1eT

1

1 0 00 0 00 0 0

g1

g2

g3

1 0 00 0 00 0 0

= g1

1 0 00 0 00 0 0

gIH

47 / 109

Page 48: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Playing with Mat [g1 g2 g3

]g1

g2

g3

How do I say: “it comes out Heads and Alice gets g1”

e1eT1

g1

g2

g3

e1eT1 = g1 e1eT

1

1 0 00 0 00 0 0

g1

g2

g3

1 0 00 0 00 0 0

= g1

1 0 00 0 00 0 0

gIH

48 / 109

Page 49: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Playing with Mat

[g1 g2 g3

]g1

g2

g3

“it comes out either Heads or Tails and Alice gets either g1 or g2”

e1eT1

g1

g2

g3

e1eT1 + e2eT

2

g1

g2

g3

e2eT2 =

g1

g2

0

49 / 109

Page 50: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Playing with Mat

[g1 g2 g3

]g1

g2

g3

“it comes out either Heads or Tails and Alice gets either g1 or g2”

e1eT1

g1

g2

g3

e1eT1 + e2eT

2

g1

g2

g3

e2eT2 =

g1

g2

0

50 / 109

Page 51: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Why the canonical basis?

Every propositional system can be embedded into a projectivegeometry in some linear vector space with coefficients from a field.

x

z

y

v1

v3

v2

51 / 109

Page 52: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Why the canonical basis?

Every propositional system can be embedded into a projectivegeometry in some linear vector space with coefficients from a field.

x

z

y

v1

v3

v2

52 / 109

Page 53: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Playing with Mat

[g1 g2 g3

]g1

g2

g3

vi = Rei

How do I say: “it comes out Heads and Alice gets g1”

v1vT1 (RT )−1

g1

g2

g3

(R)−1

︸ ︷︷ ︸v1vT

1 = g1 v1vT1

v1vT1 G v1vT

1 = g1 v1vT1

53 / 109

Page 54: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Playing with Mat

[g1 g2 g3

]g1

g2

g3

vi = Rei

How do I say: “it comes out Heads and Alice gets g1”

v1vT1 (RT )−1

g1

g2

g3

(R)−1

︸ ︷︷ ︸v1vT

1 = g1 v1vT1

v1vT1 G v1vT

1 = g1 v1vT1

54 / 109

Page 55: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Girolamo Cardano Riddle

ι =√−1

55 / 109

Page 56: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Girolamo Cardano Riddle

ι =√−1

56 / 109

Page 57: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Let’s change the field then

Every propositional system can be embedded into a projectivegeometry in some linear vector space with coefficients from a field.

x

z

y

v11 + ιv12

v31 + ιv32

v21 + ιv22

57 / 109

Page 58: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Let’s change the field then

Every propositional system can be embedded into a projectivegeometry in some linear vector space with coefficients from a field.

x

z

y

v11 + ιv12

v31 + ιv32

v21 + ιv22

58 / 109

Page 59: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Playing with Mat [g1 g2 g3

]g1

g2

g3

How do I say: “it comes out Heads and Alice gets g1”

v1v†1 (R†)−1

g1

g2

g3

(R)−1

︸ ︷︷ ︸v1v†1 = g1 v1v†1

v1v†1 G v1v†1 = g1 v1v†1

Π1 G Π1 = g1 Π1

59 / 109

Page 60: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Playing with Mat [g1 g2 g3

]g1

g2

g3

How do I say: “it comes out Heads and Alice gets g1”

v1v†1 (R†)−1

g1

g2

g3

(R)−1

︸ ︷︷ ︸v1v†1 = g1 v1v†1

v1v†1 G v1v†1 = g1 v1v†1

Π1 G Π1 = g1 Π1

60 / 109

Page 61: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Gambles for a Quantum coin (Electron Spin)

G is a Hermitian matrix (complex square matrix that is equal to its own conjugatetranspose).

G =

[1 00 1

]G =

[1 22 −3

]G =

[1 1 + ι2

1− ι2 −1

]

61 / 109

Page 62: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Protocol

• A n-dimensional quantum system is prepared by the bookmaker in somequantum state. Alice has her personal knowledge about the experiment(possibly no knowledge at all). +

−|||

S

N−→

+−|||

T

αN−→

+−|||

R

βαN−→

• The bookie announces that he will measure the quantum system along its northogonal directions, that is Ω = ω1, . . . , ωn, with ωi denoting the elementaryevent “detection along i”. Mathematically, it means that the quantum system ismeasured along its eigenvectors,1 i.e., the projectors Π∗ = Π∗1 , . . . ,Π∗n.

1We mean the eigenvectors of the density matrix of the quantum system.62 / 109

Page 63: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Protocol

• A n-dimensional quantum system is prepared by the bookmaker in somequantum state. Alice has her personal knowledge about the experiment(possibly no knowledge at all). +

−|||

S

N−→

+−|||

T

αN−→

+−|||

R

βαN−→

• The bookie announces that he will measure the quantum system along its northogonal directions, that is Ω = ω1, . . . , ωn, with ωi denoting the elementaryevent “detection along i”. Mathematically, it means that the quantum system ismeasured along its eigenvectors,1 i.e., the projectors Π∗ = Π∗1 , . . . ,Π∗n.

1We mean the eigenvectors of the density matrix of the quantum system.63 / 109

Page 64: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Protocol

• Before the experiment, Alice declares the set of gambles she is willing to accept.Mathematically, a gamble G on this experiment is a Hermitian matrix, i.e.,G ∈ Cn×n

h . We will denote the set of gambles Alice is willing to accept byK ⊆ Cn×n

h .

G =

[1 00 1

]G =

[1 22 −3

]G =

[1 1 + ι2

1− ι2 −1

]

• By accepting a gamble G, Alice commits herself to receive γi ∈ R euros if theoutcome of the experiment eventually happens to be ωi . The value γi is definedfrom G and Π∗ as follows:

Π∗i G Π∗i = gi Π∗i

It is a real number since G is Hermitian.

64 / 109

Page 65: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Protocol

• Before the experiment, Alice declares the set of gambles she is willing to accept.Mathematically, a gamble G on this experiment is a Hermitian matrix, i.e.,G ∈ Cn×n

h . We will denote the set of gambles Alice is willing to accept byK ⊆ Cn×n

h .

G =

[1 00 1

]G =

[1 22 −3

]G =

[1 1 + ι2

1− ι2 −1

]• By accepting a gamble G, Alice commits herself to receive γi ∈ R euros if the

outcome of the experiment eventually happens to be ωi . The value γi is definedfrom G and Π∗ as follows:

Π∗i G Π∗i = gi Π∗i

It is a real number since G is Hermitian.

65 / 109

Page 66: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What’s desirable for Alice? (pictorial)

[1 00 1

]

Π∗i

[1 00 1

]Π∗i = 1 Π∗i

66 / 109

Page 67: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What’s desirable for Alice? (pictorial)

G 0

G ≤ 0

G

H

Π∗i GΠ∗i = γi Π∗i for i = 1, . . . , n.

67 / 109

Page 68: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Summing up: Quantum TDGs

Definition 2 (Coherence)The set K of Alice’s desirable Gambles is said to be coherent (rational, consistent)when it satisfies a few simple rationality criteria:

1 Accepting Positive Gambles;

2 Avoiding Negative Gambles;

3 Positive scaling (“change of currency”);

4 Additivity (“parallelogram rule”);

5 Openness.

I use the word Gambles (capital G) for matrix gambles.

68 / 109

Page 69: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Geometric Properties

By exploiting Pauli decomposition, any 2D Hermitian matrices can be written as:

G =

[v + z x − ιyx + ιy v − z

]= vI + xσx + yσy + zσz ,

3D projection of the cone of all positive semi-definite matrices.

69 / 109

Page 70: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Geometric properties ?

70 / 109

Page 71: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Geometric properties ?

71 / 109

Page 72: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Optics of Quantum Desirability (pictorial)

G⊥R ⇔ G · R = Tr(G†R) = 0

72 / 109

Page 73: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Optics of Quantum Desirability

[0.5 00 0.5

]

[0.7 0.2− 0.3ι

0.2 + 0.3ι 1

]

[0.1 −0.1−0.1 0.1

]

K• = R ∈ Cn×nh | R ≥ 0, G · R ≥ 0 ∀G ∈ K

73 / 109

Page 74: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Optics of Quantum Desirability

[0.5 00 0.5

]

[0.7 0.2− 0.3ι

0.2 + 0.3ι 1

]

[0.1 −0.1−0.1 0.1

]

K• = R ∈ Cn×nh | R ≥ 0, G · R ≥ 0 ∀G ∈ K

74 / 109

Page 75: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Preserving the scale

75 / 109

Page 76: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Preserving the scale

ρ1 =

[0.5 −0.1−0.1 0.5

]ρ2 =

[0.7 0.2− ι0.1

0.2 + ι0.1 0.3

]

K• = R ∈ Cn×nh | R ≥ 0, I · R = 1, G · R ≥ 0 ∀G ∈ K

76 / 109

Page 77: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Duality of coherence

• The dual of Alice’s coherent set of strictly desirable gambles is the set

M = ρ ∈ Dn×nh | ρ ≥ 0, Tr(ρ) = 1, G · ρ ≥ 0 ∀G ∈ K,

that includes all positive operators with trace one (i.e., density matrices), that arecompatible with Alice’s beliefs about the quantum system (expressed in terms ofdesirable gambles).

This is exactly the first axiom of QM,

Associated to any isolated physical system is a complex Hilbert spaceknown as the state space of the system. The system is completelydescribed by its density operator, which is a positive operator ρ with traceone, acting on the state space of the system.

expressed in a completely subjective way.

⊕ = QM

77 / 109

Page 78: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Duality of coherence

• The dual of Alice’s coherent set of strictly desirable gambles is the set

M = ρ ∈ Dn×nh | ρ ≥ 0, Tr(ρ) = 1, G · ρ ≥ 0 ∀G ∈ K,

that includes all positive operators with trace one (i.e., density matrices), that arecompatible with Alice’s beliefs about the quantum system (expressed in terms ofdesirable gambles).

This is exactly the first axiom of QM,

Associated to any isolated physical system is a complex Hilbert spaceknown as the state space of the system. The system is completelydescribed by its density operator, which is a positive operator ρ with traceone, acting on the state space of the system.

expressed in a completely subjective way.

⊕ = QM

78 / 109

Page 79: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Duality of coherence

• The dual of Alice’s coherent set of strictly desirable gambles is the set

M = ρ ∈ Dn×nh | ρ ≥ 0, Tr(ρ) = 1, G · ρ ≥ 0 ∀G ∈ K,

that includes all positive operators with trace one (i.e., density matrices), that arecompatible with Alice’s beliefs about the quantum system (expressed in terms ofdesirable gambles).

This is exactly the first axiom of QM,

Associated to any isolated physical system is a complex Hilbert spaceknown as the state space of the system. The system is completelydescribed by its density operator, which is a positive operator ρ with traceone, acting on the state space of the system.

expressed in a completely subjective way.

⊕ = QM

79 / 109

Page 80: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

State of full ignorance about a QuBit experiment

3D projection of the cone of all positive semi-definite matrices.

80 / 109

Page 81: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Dual: Bloch Sphere

M = Dn×nh → All density matrices

81 / 109

Page 82: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Maximal knowledge about a QuBit experimentAlice’s SDG K this time coincides with

K = G ∈ Cn×nh | G 0 ∪ G ∈ Cn×n

h | Tr(G†D) > 0,

D =12

[1 −ιι 1

],

where ι denotes the imaginary unit.

By exploiting Pauli decomposition:

G =

[v + z x − ιyx + ιy v − z

]= vI + xσx + yσy + zσz ,

we obtain Tr(G†D) = v + y > 0

v

y

82 / 109

Page 83: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Maximal knowledge about a QuBit experimentAlice’s SDG K this time coincides with

K = G ∈ Cn×nh | G 0 ∪ G ∈ Cn×n

h | Tr(G†D) > 0,

D =12

[1 −ιι 1

],

where ι denotes the imaginary unit. By exploiting Pauli decomposition:

G =

[v + z x − ιyx + ιy v − z

]= vI + xσx + yσy + zσz ,

we obtain Tr(G†D) = v + y > 0

v

y

83 / 109

Page 84: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Maximal knowledge about a QuBit experiment

Alice’s SDG K this time coincides with

K = G ∈ Cn×nh | G 0 ∪ G ∈ Cn×n

h | Tr(G†D) > 0,

D =12

[1 −ιι 1

],

M = ρ = D

84 / 109

Page 85: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Classical probability is “included” in QM

Π1 = e1e†1, Π2 = e2e†2

Π2

Π1

ρ =

[0.5 00 0.5

]

85 / 109

Page 86: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Fair PriceWhat is Alice’s fair price for the gamble G = Π2 = e2e†2?

max c : G − cI ∈ K

Π2

Π1−cI

G − cI

ρ =

[0.5 00 0.5

]G =

[0 00 1

]cI =

[0.1 00 0.1

]G − cI =

[−0.1 0

0 0.9

]

86 / 109

Page 87: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Fair PriceWhat is Alice’s fair price for the gamble G = Π2 = e2e†2?

max c : G − cI ∈ K

Π2

Π1

−cI

G − cI

ρ =

[0.5 00 0.5

]G =

[0 00 1

]cI =

[0.4 00 0.4

]G − cI =

[−0.4 0

0 0.6

]

87 / 109

Page 88: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Fair Price

Π2

Π1

−cI

G − cI ρ =

[0.5 00 0.5

]G =

[0 00 1

]cI =

[0.5 00 0.5

]G − cI =

[−0.5 0

0 0.5

]

c is Alice’s fair price for the gamble G

88 / 109

Page 89: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Fair Price

Π2

Π1

−cI

G − cI ρ =

[0.5 00 0.5

]G =

[0 00 1

]cI =

[0.5 00 0.5

]G − cI =

[−0.5 0

0 0.5

]

c is Alice’s fair price for the gamble G

89 / 109

Page 90: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Fair Price through Duality

Π2

Π1

−cI

G − cI ρ =

[0.5 00 0.5

]G =

[0 00 1

]cI =

[0.5 00 0.5

]G − cI =

[−0.5 0

0 0.5

]

Duality: we can show thatc = Tr(Gρ) = Tr(Π2ρ) = ρ22 so c is Alice’s probability for the event Π2 (Tails)

90 / 109

Page 91: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Fair Price through Duality

Π2

Π1

−cI

G − cI ρ =

[0.5 00 0.5

]G =

[0 00 1

]cI =

[0.5 00 0.5

]G − cI =

[−0.5 0

0 0.5

]

Duality: we can show thatc = Tr(Gρ) = Tr(Π2ρ) = ρ22 so c is Alice’s probability for the event Π2 (Tails)

91 / 109

Page 92: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

In QM: fair Price of an Event (Projector)

We have learned that

p1 = Tr(Π1ρ), p2 = Tr(Π2ρ), . . . , pn = Tr(Πnρ)

1 =n∑

i=1

pi =n∑

i=1

Tr(Πiρ)

We have derived

Born’s rule

as subjective fair price of a gamble.

In case of non-maximal cones we obtain lower and upper probabilities.

92 / 109

Page 93: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Quantum CoinAssume that Alice’s SDG is

K = G ∈ Cn×nh | G 0 ∪ G ∈ Cn×n

h | Tr(G†D) > 0,

D =12

[1 −ιι 1

],

v

y

+−||||||

Z

+−|||

Z

+−|||

Z

+−

Z

93 / 109

Page 94: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Alice’s belief on the result of a SG experiment

By duality we have seen that

ρ =12

[1 −ιι 1

]Assume we want to know what are Alice’s probabilities of observing Z+ and Z− +

−||||||

Z

Z+ = e1e†1 and Z− = e2e†2

p1 = Tr(ΠZ+ρ) =12, p2 = Tr(ΠZ−ρ) =

12

So Alice believes that the probability of observing Z+ and Z− is 12 .

94 / 109

Page 95: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Alice’s belief on the result of a SG experiment

By duality we have seen that

ρ =12

[1 −ιι 1

]Assume we want to know what are Alice’s probabilities of observing Z+ and Z− +

−||||||

Z

Z+ = e1e†1 and Z− = e2e†2

p1 = Tr(ΠZ+ρ) =12, p2 = Tr(ΠZ−ρ) =

12

So Alice believes that the probability of observing Z+ and Z− is 12 .

95 / 109

Page 96: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Alice’s belief on the result of a SG experiment

By duality we have seen that

ρ =12

[1 −ιι 1

]Assume we want to know what are the probabilities of Alice’s probabilities ofobserving Y+ and Y− +

−||||||

Y

ΠY+ =

[ 12 −ι 1

2ι 1

212

], ΠY− =

[ 12 ι 1

2−ι 1

212

]

p1 = Tr(ΠZ+ρ) = 1, p2 = Tr(ΠZ−ρ) = 0

So Alice believes that the probability of observing Y+ is 1.

96 / 109

Page 97: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Alice’s belief on the result of a SG experiment

By duality we have seen that

ρ =12

[1 −ιι 1

]Assume we want to know what are the probabilities of Alice’s probabilities ofobserving Y+ and Y− +

−||||||

Y

ΠY+ =

[ 12 −ι 1

2ι 1

212

], ΠY− =

[ 12 ι 1

2−ι 1

212

]

p1 = Tr(ΠZ+ρ) = 1, p2 = Tr(ΠZ−ρ) = 0

So Alice believes that the probability of observing Y+ is 1.

97 / 109

Page 98: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Last missing brick

The theory of DG is subjective (epistemic) but Quantum Experiments are real.Different subjects (Alice, Bob, Charlie...) must be able to reach the same conclusionconditional on some evidence.

We need a rule for updating a SDG based on new evidence (from quantumexperiments).

98 / 109

Page 99: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Coherent Updating

Assume that Alice considers an event “indicated” by a certain projector Πi inΠ = Πin

i=1.

Alice can focus on gambles that are contingent on the event Πi :

these are gambles such that “outside” Πi no utile is received or due– status quo is maintained

Mathematically, these gambles are of the form

G =

H if Πi occurs,0 if Πj occurs, with j 6= i .

or, equivalently,G = αΠi

for some α ∈ R.

99 / 109

Page 100: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Coherent Updating

Definition 3Let K be an SDG, the set obtained as

KΠi =

G ∈ Cn×nh | G 0 or ΠiGΠi ∈ K

is called the set of desirable gambles conditional on Πi .

We can also compute the dual of KΠi , i.e.,MΠi – we call it a conditional quantumcredal set.

Does this digram commute?

K KΠi

M MΠi

dualconditioning

conditioning

dual

By duality, we can show that this digram commutes when Tr(ΠiρΠi ) = Tr(Πiρ) > 0.

100 / 109

Page 101: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Coherent Updating

Definition 3Let K be an SDG, the set obtained as

KΠi =

G ∈ Cn×nh | G 0 or ΠiGΠi ∈ K

is called the set of desirable gambles conditional on Πi .

We can also compute the dual of KΠi , i.e.,MΠi – we call it a conditional quantumcredal set.

Does this digram commute?

K KΠi

M MΠi

dualconditioning

conditioning

dual

By duality, we can show that this digram commutes when Tr(ΠiρΠi ) = Tr(Πiρ) > 0.

101 / 109

Page 102: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Subjective formulation of the second axiom of QM

Given a quantum credal setM, the corresponding quantum credal set conditional onΠi is obtained as

MΠi =

ΠiρΠi

Tr(ΠiρΠi )

∣∣∣ρ ∈M ,provided that Tr(ΠiρΠi ) > 0 for every ρ ∈M.

This rule is called in QM

Luders’ Rule

or the collapse of the wave function, because after the measurement the newdensity matrix is equal to Πi with certainty.

102 / 109

Page 103: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What actually is this rule?

Let us consider the case ρ = diag(0.5, 0.5), i.e., she believes that the coin is fair and

Πi =

[1 00 0

]

From the previous rule, we derive that her conditional set of density matrices is

Π1ρΠ1

Tr(ΠiρΠi )=

[0.5 00 0

]0.5

=

[1 00 0

],

whose diagonal is p = (1, 0).

This is just a complex number version of Bayes’ rule. We are simply applyingBayes’ rule to the density matrices (in this case probability mass functions) inM.

Under the assumption that “the coin has landed head up”, Alice’s knowledge about thecoin experiment “has collapsed” to p = [1, 0] – she knows that the result of theexperiment is Head.

103 / 109

Page 104: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What actually is this rule?

Let us consider the case ρ = diag(0.5, 0.5), i.e., she believes that the coin is fair and

Πi =

[1 00 0

]From the previous rule, we derive that her conditional set of density matrices is

Π1ρΠ1

Tr(ΠiρΠi )=

[0.5 00 0

]0.5

=

[1 00 0

],

whose diagonal is p = (1, 0).

This is just a complex number version of Bayes’ rule. We are simply applyingBayes’ rule to the density matrices (in this case probability mass functions) inM.

Under the assumption that “the coin has landed head up”, Alice’s knowledge about thecoin experiment “has collapsed” to p = [1, 0] – she knows that the result of theexperiment is Head.

104 / 109

Page 105: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What actually is this rule?

Let us consider the case ρ = diag(0.5, 0.5), i.e., she believes that the coin is fair and

Πi =

[1 00 0

]From the previous rule, we derive that her conditional set of density matrices is

Π1ρΠ1

Tr(ΠiρΠi )=

[0.5 00 0

]0.5

=

[1 00 0

],

whose diagonal is p = (1, 0).

This is just a complex number version of Bayes’ rule. We are simply applyingBayes’ rule to the density matrices (in this case probability mass functions) inM.

Under the assumption that “the coin has landed head up”, Alice’s knowledge about thecoin experiment “has collapsed” to p = [1, 0] – she knows that the result of theexperiment is Head.

105 / 109

Page 106: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

What actually is this rule?

Let us consider the case ρ = diag(0.5, 0.5), i.e., she believes that the coin is fair and

Πi =

[1 00 0

]From the previous rule, we derive that her conditional set of density matrices is

Π1ρΠ1

Tr(ΠiρΠi )=

[0.5 00 0

]0.5

=

[1 00 0

],

whose diagonal is p = (1, 0).

This is just a complex number version of Bayes’ rule. We are simply applyingBayes’ rule to the density matrices (in this case probability mass functions) inM.

Under the assumption that “the coin has landed head up”, Alice’s knowledge about thecoin experiment “has collapsed” to p = [1, 0] – she knows that the result of theexperiment is Head.

106 / 109

Page 107: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

This “solves” the cat dilemma

Alice may believe that the cat is alive or dead (in her imagination), when she opensthe box she is simply updating her beliefs.

107 / 109

Page 108: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Conclusions: QM as desirability

Theory of desirability QMRationality Density Matrix (1st axiom)

Conditioning Measurement (2d axiom)Temporal coherence Time Evolution (3d axiom)

Epistemic Independence Separable States (4th axiom)

Theory of desirability QMFair price Born’ruleBayes’rule Luders rule

Marginalisation Partial tracingEpistemic independence Tensor product

violation of Frechet Bounds Entanglement

• A. Benavoli, A. Facchini and M. Zaffalon. “Quantum mechanics: The Bayesian theorygeneralized to the space of Hermitian matrices.”Physical Review A 94.4 (2016).

• ... “A Gleason-type theorem for any dimension based on a gambling formulation ofQuantum Mechanics.” Found. of Physics (2017) 47: 991–1002.

• ... “Quantum rational preferences and desirability.” Proc. of the 1st International Workshopon “Imperfect Decision Makers: Admitting Real-World Rationality”, NIPS 2016.

108 / 109

Page 109: -1cm [width=1.26cm]Bayes.jpg …...Quantum Bayesianism I. Pitowsky (2003). “Betting on the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability.” Studies in History

Conclusions: QM as desirability

Theory of desirability QMRationality Density Matrix (1st axiom)

Conditioning Measurement (2d axiom)Temporal coherence Time Evolution (3d axiom)

Epistemic Independence Separable States (4th axiom)

Theory of desirability QMFair price Born’ruleBayes’rule Luders rule

Marginalisation Partial tracingEpistemic independence Tensor product

violation of Frechet Bounds Entanglement

• A. Benavoli, A. Facchini and M. Zaffalon. “Quantum mechanics: The Bayesian theorygeneralized to the space of Hermitian matrices.”Physical Review A 94.4 (2016).

• ... “A Gleason-type theorem for any dimension based on a gambling formulation ofQuantum Mechanics.” Found. of Physics (2017) 47: 991–1002.

• ... “Quantum rational preferences and desirability.” Proc. of the 1st International Workshopon “Imperfect Decision Makers: Admitting Real-World Rationality”, NIPS 2016.

109 / 109