แนวทางการปฏิรูปรถไฟไทย 25-11-2014
DESCRIPTION
รายงานแนวทางการปฏิรูประบบรถไฟของไทย จัดทำขึ้นโดยชมรมวิศวะจุฬาฯร่วมปฏิรูปประเทศไทย(วศ.รปปท.) ซึ่งมีสมาชิกเป็นผู้เชี่ยวชาญที่ใช้ชีวิตอยู่ในวงการขนส่งทางรถไฟของประเทศไทยมาอย่างยาวนาน และมีความกังวลถึงความไม่เหมาะสมหลายจุดของโครงการก่อสร้างทางรถไฟในรัฐบาลที่ผ่านมา และเพื่อให้รัฐบาลชุดปัจจุบันได้ตัดสินใจอนุมัติโครงการก่อสร้างรถไฟสายต่างๆในประเทศ ที่มาจากพื้นฐานข้อมูลที่มีการวิเคราะห์ข้อดี ข้อเสียอย่างละเอียด รอบด้านและรอบคอบ เพื่อให้การลงทุนพัฒนาระบบรถไฟของประเทศเป็นไปอย่างมั่นคงและมีประสิทธิภาพ คุ้มค่ามากที่สุด เพื่อตอบสนองระบบโลจิสติกส์ ลดต้นทุนการขนส่ง ทำให้การส่งออกของประเทศมีต้นทุนต่ำลง และสามารถแก้วิกฤติพลังงาน รวมทั้งเป้าหมายที่จะให้สัดส่วนการขนส่งสินค้าในระบบราง ในปัจจุบันร้อยละ 2 เป็นร้อยละ 10 ภายใน 25-30 ปี และเพิ่มสัดส่วนการขนส่งผู้โดยสารในระบบราง จากปัจจุบันร้อยละ 5 เป็นร้อยละ 15 ใน 25-30 ปีข้างหน้าTRANSCRIPT
-
(..)
( )
-
1.
2. : Modal Shift
3.
4.
(Standard Gauge vs. Meter Gauge)
5. Standard Gauge
(2)
5
-
1. 64 Capacity Logistics
2. Demand Forecast (AEC, Shift Freight Service, etc.)
3. Freight Modal Shift ( Mixed Operation )
(3)
-
(4)
()
4.
5. (Direction for Long Term Planning)
Ultimate Stage
6.
( )
7.
(
)
-
5 11
(5)
-
22 Mar 11 , Editorial, Logistics Digest
17% GDP
7-10% GDP
8 1%
=
Logistics
Performance Index (LPI)
35
(6)
8 1%
-
78
3.5-5.0 7.0
2
200 .
6 887 . 5-6
15-20 %
(7)
-
3,700 200
40
100
35-45
2,400 2
(8)
-
Ribbon Development /Urbanization
Japan 66%
France 76%
UK 80%
Germany 88%
Spain 77%
China 47%
Thailand 31% Vietnam 21%
Scattered human settlement is not a place where public (mass) transport can appropriately function
Possessing
High
Speed Rail (HSR)
Dream to
possess
HSR??
Urban population (%)
-
1.
2. : Modal Shift
3.
4.
(Standard Gauge vs. Meter Gauge)
5. Standard Gauge
(10)
5
-
2.
2.1
)
) 50
Door to Door
) !!! : * *
* * *
*
) :-
Logistics
-
2.2
:-
3 :-
) (Urban Mass Transit Lines) -
1-2 .
) (Commuter Lines), (Inter-city
Lines) (Long Distance Lines)
(Main Lines)
7-10-30 .
2.
-
2.2 () ) (High Speed Rail)
100-200 .
1-2 .
300 .
300-600 .
? Transit Oriented Development (TOD)
2.
-
2.3 (Dedicated Freight Lines and Dedicated Passenger Lines)
( 100 ./.)
( 160 ./.)
Mixed Operation Unmanageable Operation (
)
(Dedicated Freight Lines)
* * * *
* Logistic
2.
-
(16)
/ (Dedicated Tracks Concept)
-
2.3 () (Dedicated Freight Lines and Dedicated Passenger Lines)
Dedicated Freight Lines
N-S E-W (Dedicated Freight
Corridor) Logistics
Dedicated Freight Lines Dedicated Passenger Lines
2.
-
2.4
(Ultimate Solution for Rail Transportation System):-
A) Dedicated Passenger Lines :
Double Tracks for Urban Mass Transit Lines (BTS, MRT)
Double Tracks for Commuter Lines, Intercity Lines & Long Distance Lines
Double Tracks for High Speed Lines
-
( BTS)
2.
-
2.4 ()
(Ultimate Solution for Rail Transportation System) :-
B) Dedicated Freight Lines :
Double Tracks for Freight Lines (N-S, E-W Corridors)
Supporting Facilities : (ICD) (CY)
Double Handling cost
( Mode) Alliance IT Single Window Service
2.
-
2.5
(Dedicated Passenger Rail) Meter
gauge 160 /.
(Dedicated Freight Rail)
( Double Tracks)
(20)
2.
-
Dedicated Passenger Lines Dedicated Single line for Freight
MODAL SHIFT Meter gauge 160 /. 110 ./. - 720 . 7 .
(25-30 )
2
Dedicated passenger tracks and Dedicated freight tracks
Modal shift
(21)
2.
-
2.6 :-
1 ~2,449
2 (Inland Container Depots, ICD) Capacity
3 (Container Yard, CY)
4 Barter Trade
(22)
2.
-
5
Double handling cost
6 Logistics
Alliance
Mode (--
) IT
Single Window Service
7 -
(
BTS)
(23)
2.
-
1. 2. 100 3. 4. 5. - 6. ICD & CY 7.
-
.
.
2.7 ULTIMATE STAGE ARRANGEMENT OPTION1: .
-
(26)
STAGE : - ( 2557) = - - -
-
- (Mixed Operation)
2.7 ULTIMATE STAGE ARRANGEMENT OPTION1 : .
STAGE Mixed Operation
-
2.7 ULTIMATE STAGE ARRANGEMENT OPTION1 : .
STAGE : - 2 Meter G.
- Mixed Operation (No Dedicated Freight Tracks)
- Freight Modal Shift Logistics
( )
STAGE = Mixed Operation
(MG.)
-
2.7 ULTIMATE STAGE ARRANGEMENT OPTION1: .
STAGE :- 1.435.180./. 1.0.
STAGE = Mixed Operation
STAGE = 180.
STAGE Mixed Operation
-
-
(SG.) (MG.)
-
..
2.8 ULTIMATE STAGE ARRANGEMENTOPTION2: ..
-
(30)
STAGE : - ( 2557) = - - -
-
- (Mixed Operation)
2.8 ULTIMATE STAGE ARRANGEMENTOPTION2: ..
STAGE Mixed Operation
-
(31)
STAGE : - (Dedicated Passenger Tracks) - (Dedicated Freight Track)
- Modal Shift ( Logistics )
(31)
(MG.)
STAGE =
-
-
STAGE =
(Dedicated Passenger
Tracks)
(MG.)
2.8 ULTIMATE STAGE ARRANGEMENTOPTION2: ..
-
STAGE : - 2 (Dedicated Freight Tracks) -
(MG.)
STAGE =
-
-
STAGE =
(Dedicated Passenger
Tracks)
(MG.)
STAGE =
(Dedicated Freight Tracks)
STAGE =
2.8 ULTIMATE STAGE ARRANGEMENTOPTION2: ..
-
(33)
STAGE : (S.G.) (HSR) -
(MG.) (SG.)
STAGE =
(Dedicated Freight Tracks)
STAGE = HSR
STAGE =
-
-
STAGE =
(Dedicated Passenger
Tracks)
(MG.)
STAGE =
2.8 ULTIMATE STAGE ARRANGEMENTOPTION2: ..
-
(34)
OPTION2A :
STAGE : - (S.G.) (HSR) - -
(MG.)
(MG.)
2 (MG.)
(.)
(S.G.)
STAGE
STAGE =
STAGE =
(Dedicated Passenger Tracks)
-
STAGE
=
-
Meter G..
1.0 . 1.0 .
Std. G. 2 (?)
2 Std. G. ( 741,472 MB)
6 Meter G. ( 127,472 MB)
-
Standard Gauge
Meter Gauge
Meter Gauge (Extension II)
- =
- - =
- =
- =
- =
- =
- =
- =
- =
- = 22
- - =
- =
-
.
-
(.)
-
.
-
.
-
1.
2. : Modal Shift
3.
4.
(Standard Gauge vs. Meter Gauge)
5. Standard Gauge
(42)
5
-
:-
(43)
3.
-
3.1 :-
(1)
Price
Water House Cooper, ADB, TDRI Change
Management (CD )
(44)
3.
-
3.2 ()
(
)
3.3 :-
Commitment
65
(45)
3.
-
3.4
35
35 Career Path
3.5 Infrastructure :-
3.6 TOR:-
(46)
3.
-
3.7
()
.
(47)
3.
-
3.8
3.9
Discourage
* *
3.10 :
(48)
3.
-
A Common Business Structure of Railway
Infrastructure
Infrastructure
Bu
sin
ess U
nit
Non-Core Business Core Business
IMO (Infrastructure
Maintenance and
Operation)
Property management
Train Operation
Rail-related Non rail-related
-
.
Network Development
/
PSO
Business Unit
1 3
2
TRAIN OPERATION(?)
4
Non-Core Business Core Business
IMO
(0-100%) ???
100%
Core Business
-
3.11
.
3.
-
:- 1. IMO TO Model
2. IMO Regulator
3. .
-
1.
2. : Modal Shift
3.
4.
(Standard Gauge vs. Meter Gauge)
5. Standard Gauge
(64)
5
-
Meter Gauge vs. Standard Gauge
Track Gauge
Meter Gauge=1000mm
Standard Gauge=1435 mm
Track Gauge ()
-
(66)
4.
Meter Gauge 160 ./. Meter Gauge :-
4.1
4.2 ASEAN
4.3 Logistics ( 11)
4.4
-
( 11) Standard Gauge 1 (Meter Gauge) :
1 (Meter Gauge) 1.435 (Standard Gauge) 1 2-3 2530 1.435 50
1 ASEAN .2550 ( ) (AEC)
(67)
4.
-
4.1
. Meter Gauge (1.00 .) 160 ./. 160 ./. 100 ./.
. sub-structure . 20 80
. Meter Gauge Standard Gauge
.
. (Coach Body) (Loading Gauge) (Structural Gauge) 1.00 . High Cube Container container
-
. Standard Gauge ( ) Meter Gauge
. UIC (International Union of Railway) Meter Gauge Cape Gauge ( 20%) UICs Meter Gauge Group . . 1995 Meter Gauge 2007 UIC Meter Gauge WMGS (World Meter Gauge Standard) Meter Gauge
Meter Gauge 160 ./. 1.00 1.067 . ( )
-
4.1 :- . ()
1.067 . (Cape Gauge) . 1.676 .(Broad
Gauge) .
Russian Gauge (1.520 1.524 .) .
1.00 . (Meter Gauge) . ()
European Standard Gauge 60% European Standard Gauge
-
ADB Regional Operations (Approximate not precise)
Russian gauge
1520 mm
China 1435 mm.
Standard Gauge
Europe 1435 mm.
Standard Gauge
India++ 1676 mm.
Broad Gauge
ASEAN 1000 mm.
Meter gauge
1067 mm.
Cape gauge
Japan, Taiwan++
1067 mm.
Cape gauge
Track Gauge
-
Meter Gauge 4,043 . SKRL (Singapore-Kunming Rail Link) (Missing Link) Meter Gauge
(Land Bridge) Land Bridge 1.00 . Standard Gauge
-
Existing
Infrastructure
Track Conditions
Running
Track
Distance
(km) %
Single 3,763 93.07
Double 173 4.28
Triple 107 2.65
Total 4,043 100
-
Rail connections in South-East Asia
Vientiane
Tavoy
Yangon
Mandalay
Penh Phnom
Bangkok
Singapore
Hat Yai
Kuala Lumpur
Beijing
Kunming
Lao Cai
Hanoi
Ho Chi Minh City
Cambodia - Viet Nam
Thailand Lao PDR
Myanmar - India Myanmar - China
Thailand - Myanmar
Thailand - Cambodia
Lao PDR China Existing international connections
Viet Nam / China
Singapore/Malaysia/Thailand
Existing main national lines
Myanmar / Thailand / Viet Nam
Cambodia
United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific
Missing
Links
between
Countries
-
(75)
-
Oriental Express
(76)
-
Oriental Express
(77)
-
(78)
-
Meter Gauge 4,043 . Standard Gauge Meter Gauge .
1.435 . . Standard
Gauge
4.4 Standard Gauge
(79)
-
. Standard Gauge Meter Gauge (Complicated & Risky Transition Period)
4.4 Standard Gauge
(80)
-
.
Signaling & Telecommunication (S&T) S&T
. ICD (Inland Container Depot) 200 container -
4.4 Standard Gauge
(81)
-
. Meter Gauge 25 Standard Gauge 50 (: 5 Standard Gauge 10 Meter Gauge )
4.4 Standard Gauge
(82)
-
. 3 50 2% 10% 25-30 50
4.4 Standard Gauge
(83)
-
. Standard Gauge Missing Ling ( SKRL)
4.4 Standard Gauge
(84)
-
( 160 ./.)( 100 ./.) Meter Gauge Meter Gauge European Standard Gauge * 20 * * *(Regional Hub)
4.5
(85)
-
1.
2. : Modal Shift
3.
4.
(Standard Gauge vs. Meter Gauge)
5. Standard Gauge
(86)
5
-
29 2557 . 2 European Standard Gauge 1.435 180 ./.
1. ---- 737 392,570
2. --- 655 348,890
( 741,460 )
- 392,570 + - = 4
(87)
5. STANDARD GAUGE
-
Meter G..
1.0 . 1.0 .
Std. G. 2 (?)
2 Std. G. ( 741,472 MB)
6 Meter G. ( 127,472 MB)
-
: 4 Standard Gauge Meter Gauge ( 1.0 . 160 /. 1.0 . 1.435 .)
( 1.435 .? 1.0 .) (89)
5. STANDARD GAUGE
-
SingaporeKunming Rail Link Route
Singapore
1. 1.0 . ) --- (- ) ) --- ( ) ) --- ( )
2. 1.435 . ) ---Yuxi ( ) ) ---Yuxi ( )
Malaysia
Vietnam
Dong Ha
Ho Chi Minth
Myanmar
China
Laos
Kunming
Phnom Penth Loc Ninth
Aranyaprathet Bangkok
Si So Phon Cambodia Poi Pet
153
110
232
632
254 129
48
737
655
331
300
514
Yuxi
Vung Anh Spur line
1.0 . 1.0 . 1.435 .
-
1. Dali-Ruili
Railway
2. Yuxi-Mohan
Railway
91
Project Locations: RAIL
MOU
-
92 Project Locations: INLAND
WATERWAYS
243 244
Luang Prabang
Landmark 243
Houayxay
* * *MOU?
-
:
5.1. 1.435 . 1.0 .
4 Standard Gauge
Supporting
Facilities Standard Gauge
CY, ICD
5.2
(
) MOU
Supply Demand
1.0 .
5. STANDARD GAUGE
-
5.3
SKRL Route (Singapore-Kunming Rail Link) 1.00 .
( Missing Link )
5.4 1.0 .
1.0 . 10.5 .
(Spur Line)
1.0 . Vung Anh
1.0 . Meter Gauge
5.5
(Overhead Crain)
Container Bogie Meter Gauge
(
)
5. STANDARD GAUGE
-
5.6 1.435
. (European Standard Gauge) 1.00.
(Meter Gauge) 1.0 .
1.435 .
1.0 . Standard Gauge
Standard Gauge
( 84% = 22,301 . 1.067 . )
100-130 ./.
1.0 .
160 ./.
5.7
Air Port Rail Link
5. STANDARD GAUGE
-
5.8
5.9 1.0 .
Standard Gauge Priority
1.0 .
1.435 .
MOU
Logistics
North-South & East-West
Corridor
Logistics
Land Bridge
5. Standard Gauge
-
5.10 1.0 . Established Supporting Facilities 20 (, , ICD, CY, ) 1.067.
5.11
250 -300 ./. ( 180 ./.)
1.435 .
Ridership
1.435 .
5.12 180 /. ( )
5. Standard gauge
-
5. STANDARD GAUGE
5.13 .
Meter Gauge
. (
)
. Link http://thaipublica.org/2014/07/a-mirror-of-thailand-
pridiyatorn/ **. 2
7.4 6-7
Ridership
5.14 Standard Gauge
180 ./.( Meter Gauge
160 ./.)
10
()
supporting facilities Meter G.
( Flexibility )
-
5.15 Standard
Gauge 1.435 .
5.16
1.0 . 6
1.0 . 1
Dedicated Freight Track
Modal Shift
logistic Projection
11
freight forwarders
3.5
5. STANDARD GAUGE