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savaluto bazris finansuri analizi

amiran azalaZeanalitikosi

MFX Broker [email protected]

(+995) 593 991 332

evroaSS dolari

iaponuri ienibritanuli funtikanaduri dolari

avstraliuri dolariaxal zelandiuri dolari

Sveicariuli franki

12 - 16 oqtomberi, 2015 w. N5

mniSnvnelovania! ganxiluli fundamenturi da teqnikuri analizi ar unda miiRoT, rogorc savaWro rekomendacia an savaWro signali, anali-tikosi ar agebs pasuxs Tqven mier miRebul savaWro gadawyvetilebaze, miRebul mogebaze an zaralze

1fundamenturi analizi wina kvira daiwyo stabilu-rad, dabali likvidurobiT, radga-nac amerikis, kanadis da iaponiis bankebi ar muSaobdnen orSabaTs. ia-poniaSi gaxldaT sportisa da jan-mrTelobis saerTaSoriso dRe, kanadaSi madlobis, xolo amer-ikaSi qristofore komumbis dRe.

sur. #1, kanadis centraluri bankis Tavmjdomare

miuxedavad uqme dRisa orS-abaTs kanadis centrauli bankis prezidenti Stefen polozi warsd-ga biznesis ekonomikis nacionaluri asociaciis winaSe, 15 wuTiani mox-senebiT, vaSingtonSi. man isaubra fi-nansuri stabilurobis elementebis integrirebaze monetarul politi-kaSi da monetaruli politikis cvl-ilebebze. polozma gamoyo msesx-eblebis da kreditorebis roli monetaruli politikis miznebis miRwevisaTvis. aseve isaubra krizis-amde arsebuli monetaruli poli-tikis elementembze da dasZina, rom saWiroa msgavSi cvlilebebis Setana.

samSabaTs, 13 oqtombers gave-caniT CineTis savaWro balanss, ro-melic stabilur mdgomareobaSia da TiTqmis ar Secvlila wina mo-nacemTan SedarebiT, magram aRsan-iSnavia, rom prognozirebulze 14.4 miliardiT meti aRmoCnda, daax-loebiT igive gansxvavebaa prognoz-sa da realur monacemebs Soris wina TveSi. CineTis fasiani qaRaldebis gaufasurebis da ekonomikis zrdis tempis Sesustebis fonze, savaWro balansis bolo ori Tvis monace-

bi stabilurobis ganwyobas qmnis ba-zris monawileebSi. es dadebiTadradganac mas didi adgili uka-via CineTis sagareo vaWrobaSi.

sur. #2, CineTis sagareo vaWroba

samSabaTs aseve gavecaniT didi britaneTis momxmarebelTa fasebis indeqss da germaniis institucional-uri investorebis ganwyobas. orive mo-nacemi mimdinare wlis ganmavlobaSi stabilurad mcirdeba, dadebiTi mo-nacemidan am TveSi TiTqmis nulamde daeca da prognozebis mixedviT gadava uaryofiT - nuls qvemoT niSnulebSi. 14 oqtombers adgilobrivi droiT 0:10 saaTze, axali zelan-diis sarezervo bankis Tavmjdomare grem vileri sityivT warsdga fi-nansuri profesionalebis insti-tutSi, oklendSi. sadac dasZina,

sur. #3, axali zelandiis sarezervo bankis Tavmjdomare grem vileri,

rom am wels globalur ekonomikas Sexvda axali sirTule, SeSfoTeba gaZlierda bolo TveebSi, rodesac gaxda cnobili CineTis warmoebi-sa da savaWrobis, laTinuri amerik


2fundamenturi analizi

is da mTlianad aRmosavleT aziis warmoebisa da vaWrobis monacemebi.am etapze msoflio ekonomika iz-rdeba saSualod 3 -is fargleb-Si, rac 2009 wlis Semdeg yvelaze dabal monacems warmoadgens. mi-uxedavad amisa gvaqvs mxardaWris faqtori, monetaruli stimuli-rebidan pozitiuri efeqtis saxiT.

amave dRes 16:30-ze gaxda cnobi-li aSS-s sacalo gayidvebis cvlile-ba da mwarmoebelTa fasebis indeqsi. romlebic Sesabamisad 0.1 da 0.5 % - iT Semcirda. xsenebul indeqsebze Sem-cirebis tendencia stabilurad gr-Zel deba bolo ori Tvis ganmavlobaSi xuTSabaTi 15 oqtomberi mniS-vnelovani dRe gaxldaT amerikis da avstraliis institutebisaTvis, radganac gavecaniT umuSevrobis sa-Civrebs da dasaqmebis cvlilebebs. avstraliaSi dasaqmeba sagrZno-blad Semcirda da Seadgina -5.1, wina 18.1 - is winaaRmdeg, prognozirebu-li 7.2. umuSevrobis maCvenebeli ki ucvlelia 6.2 % - is farglebSi..

sur. #4, aSS umuSevrobis maCvenebeli

aSS umuSevarTa saCivrebi sagrZnoblad Semcirda, swored am movlenam Seuwyo xeli EURUSD savaWro instrumentis Rrma koreq-cias. saCivrebma Seadgina 255 aTasi, prognozirebad 269 aTasis winaaRm-deg, rac ivlisis monacemis tolia.

sur. #5, aSS umuSevrobis saCivrebi

arsebuli monacemebi bazreb-ze ar cvlis seqtemberi-oqtombris aRmaval/xarisebr trends, magram mniSvnelovania gamovyoT aSS, sa-dac rogorc avRniSneT sagrZno-blad Semcirda umuSevrobis sa-Civrebi oqtombris meore kviraSi. miuxedavad misi mniSvnelobisa, Sei-Zleba gamoiwvios mxolod Rrma koreqcia da ara trendis cvlile-ba. trendis cvlilebisaTvis saW-iroa meti fundamenturi argumenti.

momdevno kviraSi yuradReba miaqcieT:

orSabaTs, CineTis mTliani Sida produqtis da sawarmoo pr-duqciis wliur monacemebs.

samSabaTs, avstraliaSi Sex-vedra monetarul politika-ze, aSS-s samSenelo nebarTvebi

oTxSabaTs, kanadis centralu-ri bankis sabuTebis relizi, mon-etaruli politikis da sap-rocento ganakveTis Sesaxeb.

xuTSabaTs, 22 oqtombers, evropis cen-traluri bankis sabrocento ganakve-Ti da mario dragis preskonferencia

paraskevs, germaniis da safrange-Tis warmoebis indeqsebi, aseve kanad-is samomxmareblo fasebis indeqsi.


3

EEEUR USD, H4 grafiki, indikatorebi: 233.0 MA, Stoch. (K 5, D 3, slowing 3), MACD (fast EMA 12, slow EMA 26, MACD SMA 9)

evro aSS dolaris savaWro instrumentis H4 grafikze kargad Cans aRmava-li trendis Rrma koreqcia, romelsac ramdenime mxardaWeris done aqvs am kvira-Si. amave taimfreimze fibonaCis damxmare instrumentis mixedviT trendis 38.2 da 50.0 procentiani done. amas emateba 1 saaTian grafikze 233 MA indikatori.

trendi jer kidev aRmavalia, ar SegacdinoT Rrma koreqciam. paternebi am etapze ar fiqsirdeba.

winaaRmdegoba: 1.1400; 1.1492; 1.1710;

mxardaWera: 1.1344; 1.1328; 1.1299; 1.1253;

teqnikuri analizi


4

USD JPY, D1 grafiki, indikatorebi: 233.0 MA, Stoch. (K 5, D 3, slowing 3), MACD (fast EMA 12, slow EMA 26, MACD SMA 9)

aSS dolari - iaponuri ienis fasi ar Secvlila mniSvnelovnad, is kvlav imy-ofeba 118.54 - 121.75 diapazonSi. diapazonidan gamosvlisvTvis saWiroa mniSvnelo-vani fundameturi mxardaWera, rasac miviRebT noembris pirvel kviraSi, oqtombris monacemebis makroekonomikur analizidan gamomdinare. dRiur grafikze fiqsir-deba divergencia, amitom girCevT ivaWroT dRis SigniT, M5-H1 taimfreimebs Soris.

winaaRmdegoba: 120.58; 121.75;123.42; 130.00 (fibonaCi 50.0 % D1 bolo trendi)

mxardaWera: 118.54 (fibonaCi 50.0 % D1 bolo trendi);116.13

teqnikuri analizi


5

GBP USD, D1 grafiki, indikatorebi: 233.0 MA, Stoch. (K 5, D 3, slowing 3), MACD (fast EMA 12, slow EMA 26, MACD SMA 9)

dRiur taimfreimze kargad Cans paterni ormagi simaRle, romelic gvamcnobs trendis Sebrunebas, am etapze paterni imyofeba testirebis pro-cesSi, amas emateba zogadad aSS dolaris indeqsis koreqcia. MACD indikato-ri adasturebs paternis Serulebas da gvaniSnebs yidvas testirebis Semdgom.

riskebis Sesamcireblad girCevT orSabaTs Tavi SeikavoT aqtiuri Sesyid-visgan da daelodoT damatebiT argumentebs.

winaaRmdegoba: 1.5472; 1.5661;mxardaWera: 233.0 MA(D1); 1.5160;

teqnikuri analizi


6

USD CAD, 4H grafiki, indikatorebi: 233.0 MA, Stoch. (K 5, D 3, slowing 3), MACD (fast EMA 12, slow EMA 26, MACD SMA 9)

aSS dolari kanaduri dolaris 4 saaTian grafikze oqtom-bris dasawyisidan yalibdebo paterni soli (gTxovT ixiloT kvireuli analizis #4 gamoSveba), paterni Sesrulda da 1.3073 wi-naaRmdegobis donemde, mogvca 117 punqtis mogebis saSualeba. trendis principebis mixedviT wina moZraoba gaxldaT koreqcia, am kviraSi ki kargad Cans D1-D2 diagonalebSi moqceuli trendi.

winaaRmdegoba: 1.2977, 1.3073

mxardaWera: 1.2876; 1.2771

teqnikuri analizi


7

USD CHF, 4H grafiki, indikatorebi: 233.0 MA, Stoch. (K 5, D 3, slowing 3), MACD (fast EMA 12, slow EMA 26, MACD SMA 9)

aSS dolari Sveicariuli frankis 4 saaTian grafikze gaZlier-da daRmavali trendi, fasma gaarRvia trendis mimarTulebiT D1 tren-duli xazi. am etapze Camoyalibebulia samkuTxedi D3-D4 trendu-li xazebis diapazonSi. am samkuTxedis garRvevam SesaZloa damatebiTi informacia mogvawodos, trendis gagrZelebis an misi koreqciis Sesaxeb.

winaaRmdegoba: 0.9580; 0.9642; MA 233; 0.9725;mxardaWera: 0.9523; 0.9478;

teqnikuri analizi


8

AUD USD, D1 grafiki, indikatorebi: 233.0 MA, Stoch. (K 5, D 3, slowing 3), MACD (fast EMA 12, slow EMA 26, MACD SMA 9)

avstraliuri dolari aSS dolaris dRius grafikze wina kviraSi fiqsir-deboda ormagi simaRle, magram sabolood paterni dairRva da Camoyalibda samkuTxedi, paterni "soli", paternis mixedviT qveda trenduli xazis garRvevis Semdeg SesaZlebelia gayidva, magram fundamenturi analizi sapirispiros gvkarnaxobs, Sesabamisad fiqsirdeba divergencia. divergenciidan gamosvlas daWirdeeba 19-20 oqtomberi, ris Semdegac SevZlebT trendis dadgenas. kviris dasawyisSi naklebad sarisko iqneba vaWroba mokle periodian taimfreimebze.

winaaRmdegoba: 0.7445, MA 233mxardaWera: 0.7230; 0.6980

teqnikuri analizi


amiran azalaZeanalitikosi

MFX Broker [email protected]

(+995) 593 991 332

9

NZD USD, D1 grafiki, indikatorebi: 233.0 MA, Stoch. (K 5, D 3, slowing 3), MACD (fast EMA 12, slow EMA 26, MACD SMA 9)

axal zelandiuri dolaris da aSS dolaris davaWro instumentze SeimC-neva trendis cvlileba, D1 taimfreimze, radganac fasi , mniSvvnelovani wi-naaRmdegobis miuxedavad gacda kvireuli grafikze fibonaCis 23.6 %-ian dones.

mokle periodSi es trendis cvlilebaa, xolo kvireuli grafikze koreqcia, Semdegi mniSvnelovani donea 0.6989, romelsac moyveba 0.7149.

winaaRmdegoba: 0.6924; / MA 233; 0.7150 (fibonaCi 38.2%, W1);

mxardaWera: 0.6755 (fibonaCi 23.6%, W1); 0.6476; 0.6217;

teqnikuri analizi

gisurvebT momgebian vaWrobas !

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