圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. introduction wargame concepts selected wargame tools

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USING BUSINESS WAR GAMING TO GENERATE ACTIONABLE INTELLIGENCE 圖圖圖 圖圖圖 圖圖圖 圖圖圖

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Page 1: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

USING BUSINESS WAR GAMING TO

GENERATE ACTIONABLE INTELLIGENCE

圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安

Page 2: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Introduction

Wargame Concepts

Selected

Wargame Tools

Page 3: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Introduction

Wargame Concepts

Selected

Wargame Tools

•Jay Kurtz

Page 4: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

KappaWest 總裁

Jay Kurtz

• Having a basic

understand

of the Business

Wargame

• Do you need a Business

Wargame?

Page 5: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Introduction

Wargame Concepts

Selected War game Tools

• What is a Business Wargame?• Wargame structure• Wargame Purposes• “Green Path” v.s. “Red Path”• Is a Business Wargame appropriate?

Page 6: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

What is a Business Wargame?

RPG (role-played game)

Page 7: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

What is a Business Wargame?

RPG (role-played game)

Simulation of

business situations

Page 8: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

What is a Business Wargame?

RPG (role-played game)

Simulation of

business situations

Real or fictional situation

Page 9: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

What is a Business Wargame?

RPG (role-played game)

Simulation of

business situations

Multiple parties

represented

Real or fictional situation

Page 10: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Team in a Business Wargame

Page 11: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Team in a Business Wargame

Page 12: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Team in a Business Wargame

Page 13: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Team in a Business Wargame

Page 14: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Business Wargame Purposes

Support “Green Path”

planning

Generate the intelligence

Page 15: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

“Green Path” V.S. “Red Path”

Page 16: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

“Green Path” V.S. “Red Path”

Now

•Existing products

•Existing services

•Capabilities &

limitations

•Culture

•Relationships

•Systems

•Technology

•People & skill sets

Page 17: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

“Green Path” v.s. “Red Path”

Now

•Existing products

•Existing services

•Capabilities &

limitations

•Culture

•Relationships

•Systems

•Technology

•People & skill sets

Future Reality

•Markets

•Channels

•Customers

•Goals

•Competition

•Shareholder

expectations

Page 18: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

“Green Path” v.s. “Red Path”

Now

•Existing products

•Existing services

•Capabilities &

limitations

•Culture

•Relationships

•Systems

•Technology

•People & skill sets

Future Reality

•Markets

•Channels

•Customers

•Goals

•Competition

•Shareholder

expectations

Red Path

Page 19: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

“Green Path” v.s. “Red Path”

Now

•Existing products

•Existing services

•Capabilities &

limitations

•Culture

•Relationships

•Systems

•Technology

•People & skill sets

Future Reality

•Markets

•Channels

•Customers

•Goals

•Competition

•Shareholder

expectations

Red Path

Green Path

Page 20: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Business Wargame Purposes

Support “Green Path” planning

Generate the intelligence

Page 21: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Business Wargame Purposes

Look Forward to

“the Future”

Page 22: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

External Situation Internal Situation

Is a Business Wargame appropriate?

Page 23: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

External Situation Internal Situation

Is a Business Wargame appropriate?

The market is shifting.

New competitors are

entering the market.

A significant competitor

is shifting it’s strategy.

Page 24: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

External Situation Internal Situation

We are over confident.

We have a poor

consensus.

We’re doing “red path”

planning.

Is a Business Wargame appropriate?

The market is shifting.

New competitors are

entering the market.

A significant competitor

is shifting it’s strategy.

Page 25: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Introduction

Wargame Concepts

Selected Wargame Tools

•Where tools fit in Wargame process•“Big Picture”•Mapping

Page 26: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Where tools fit in wargame process

Page 27: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Where tools fit in wargame process

Data

Page 28: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Where tools fit in wargame process

Informatio

n

Data

Page 29: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Where tools fit in wargame process

Informatio

n

Intelligenc

e

Data

Page 30: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Plain

&

Action

Where tools fit in wargame process

Informatio

n

Intelligenc

e

Data

Page 31: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Plain

&

Action

Where tools fit in wargame process

Informatio

n

Intelligenc

e

Data

Success

Page 32: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

The “Big Picture”

Page 33: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Mapping

Page 34: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Mapping

Page 35: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Mapping

Page 36: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Mapping

Page 37: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Mapping

Keep investing

Page 38: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Mapping

Page 39: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Mapping

Page 40: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Mapping

Page 41: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Mapping

Keep investing in

B 、 D 、 H 、 J

Selling A & C to

Competitor Green

and let them fight it

out

Not invest much in

E

Page 42: 圖資三 江如意 詹念琪 歐怡安. Introduction Wargame Concepts Selected Wargame Tools

Question?