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FOR RELEASE: APRIL 5, 2012

PLEASE NOTE: EMBARGOED FOR WIRE RELEASE UNTIL 6:00 AMAPRIL 05

ROMNEY TOPS SANTORUM 2-1 IN NEW YORK GOP RACE,

QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;

OBAMA, GILLIBRAND BOTH HAVE BIG LEADS

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney thumps former Pennsylvania U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum

54 21 percent among likely Republican primary voters in New York State, according to a

Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has 9 percent and Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul has 8

percent. This is the first measure of likely Republican voters in New York by the independent

Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University and cant be compared with earlier surveys of registered

voters. Eight percent of likely GOP primary voters remain undecided and 39 percent of those who

name a candidate say they might change their mind before the April 24 New York presidential

primary.

Romney tops Santorum 60 17 percent among men and 48 25 percent among women.

The former governor also leads among groups which have gone to Santorum in other states, 49

26 percent among self-described conservatives and 45 26 percent among Tea Party members.

Assuming the numbers hold until April 24, Gov. Mitt Romney sweeps the statewide

Republican vote good for 34 delegates to the party convention. The question is whether

Santorum can pick off one of the 29 districts, each good for two delegates? said Maurice Carroll,

director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

President Barack Obama and Democratic incumbent U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand have bigleads 2-1 in the Senate race over possible challengers among New York State registered voters,

New York State voters approve 56 38 percent of the job President Barack Obama is

doing, his best score in almost a year and up from a 50 46 percent approval rating February 15.

-more-

Maurice Carroll, Director,Quinnipiac University PollingInstitute(203) 582-5334

Rubenstein Associates, Inc.

Public Relations

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Quinnipiac University Poll/April 5, 2012 page 2

Today, women approve of the president 59 34 percent, up from 52 42 percent in

February. Men approve 52 43 percent, up from a negative 46 49 percent. Independent voters

split 45 45 percent, up from a negative 41 54 percent.

Obama leads Romney 56 33 percent and tops Santorum 59 30 percent.Women back Obama over Romney 60 27 percent while men go Democratic 52 39

percent. Obama leads 45 37 percent among independent voters and 91 3 percent among

Democrats. Republicans back Romney 87 8 percent.

New York is still a super-blue state. President Barack Obama trounces any of the GOP

challengers in a general election match-up, Carroll said. That 94 1 percent lead among black

voters gives the president a jumbo cushion.

U.S. Senate Race

U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand has a 60 21 percent approval rating, her highest score ever

and topping her previous high of 54 22 percent in a June 29, 2011, Quinnipiac University poll.

Today, approval is 77 6 percent among Democrats and 58 21 percent among independent

voters. Republicans disapprove 49 36 percent. Men approve 57 26 percent while women

approve 63 16 percent.

Gillibrand leads possible Republican challengers by margins of 2-1 or higher:

57 27 percent over Brooklyn/Queens U.S. Rep. Robert Turner;

57 23 percent over Nassau County Comptroller George Maragos; 58 25 percent over businesswoman Wendy Long.

In the Senate primary, 57 percent of Republicans are undecided. Turner has 19 percent,

followed by Long with 11 percent and Maragos with 7 percent.

If a happy campaign is one with a lot of opponents, even happier is one with a lot of

anonymous opponents, Carroll said. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrands three opponents, so far, fall short

of even the generic GOP vote. But its seven long months until Election Day.

From March 28 April 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,597 New York State voters

with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell

phones. The survey includes 372 likely Republican primary voters with a margin of error of +/-5.1

percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public

opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and

the nation as a public service and for research.

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For more data or RSS feedhttp://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or

follow us on Twitter.

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1. If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates

were: Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, and Ron Paul, for whom would you vote?

(If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Gingrich, Romney, Santorum or Paul?

(Table includes leaners and early voters)

LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS.............

TEA PARTY

Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No

Gingrich 9% 7% 12% 10% 7% 13% 8%

Romney 54 60 48 49 66 45 57Santorum 21 17 25 26 14 26 19

Paul 8 10 5 9 3 9 8

SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 - 1 - -

DK/NA 8 6 10 6 10 7 8

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME

Yes No 100K

Gingrich 10% 9% 10% 8% 12%

Romney 62 51 41 57 69

Santorum 20 21 25 19 14

Paul 5 9 13 7 4

SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 - -DK/NA 3 10 11 7 2

1a. (Candidate choice given q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change

your mind before the election?

CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1

CAND CHOICE

Tot MR RS

Mind made up 59% 71% 47%

Might change 39 26 53

DK/NA 2 3 -

2. (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for United States Senator were

being held today, and the candidates were: Wendy Long, Bob Turner, and George Maragos,

for whom would you vote?

REGISTERED REPUBLICANS

Tot Men Wom

Long 11% 11% 11%

Turner 19 24 13

Maragos 7 8 5

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 2DK/NA 57 50 67

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3. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were

Barack Obama the Democrat and - Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Union

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHld

Obama 56% 8% 91% 45% 52% 60% 46% 94% 56%

Romney 33 87 3 37 39 27 43 1 32

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 3 3 1 2 - 1

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 2 4 2 3 3 1 3

DK/NA 7 3 4 11 5 9 6 4 7

WHITE...............................................

COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry

Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld

Obama 60% 36% 38% 36% 42% 49% 25% 38% 43%

Romney 33 50 49 53 49 37 61 50 43

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 1 3 1 4 1 1

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 5 4 3 3 4 4 4 6

DK/NA 5 7 6 7 3 9 7 7 7

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......

Yes No 100K 18-34 35-54 55+

Obama 65% 51% 63% 56% 54% 55% 66% 55% 54%

Romney 27 36 25 30 35 40 22 34 36

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 3 2 - 5 1 1

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 4 2 3 3 1 3 2 3

DK/NA 6 8 9 7 6 4 5 8 5

TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were

Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?

(2011 wording referenced "2012 election")

Apr 05 Feb 15 Dec 21

2012 2012 2011

Obama 56 52 53

Romney 33 35 35

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 2

DK/NA 7 7 7

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4. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were

Barack Obama the Democrat and - Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Union


Obama 59% 11% 92% 52% 55% 63% 49% 95% 59%

Santorum 30 83 3 31 34 26 39 1 30

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 - 4 3 1 2 - 1

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 5 3 3 4 - 3

DK/NA 6 2 4 8 6 7 6 3 7

WHITE...............................................



Obama 65% 39% 41% 38% 47% 52% 26% 42% 45%

Santorum 29 46 45 50 43 35 59 46 39

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 3 1 2 2 2

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 5 5 4 3 4 5 4 6

DK/NA 3 8 7 6 4 7 8 6 8


Yes No 100K 18-34 35-54 55+

Obama 68% 53% 65% 58% 57% 60% 68% 58% 58%

Santorum 23 34 24 31 31 35 22 31 32

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 2 1 3 1 2

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 2 3 4 2 3 3 3

DK/NA 5 7 8 5 7 3 4 7 6

TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were

Barack Obama the Democrat and Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Apr 05 Feb 15

2012 2012

Obama 59 53Santorum 30 35

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3

DK/NA 6 7

5. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates

were - Bob Turner the Republican and Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat, for whom would you

vote?

Union


Turner 27% 75% 5% 26% 33% 21% 33% 3% 25%

Gillibrand 57 14 87 50 51 62 51 86 61

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 2 1

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 2 2 1 2

DK/NA 13 9 6 20 12 14 13 7 12

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were - George Maragos the Republican and Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat, for whom would

you vote?

Union


Maragos 23% 68% 3% 22% 29% 18% 30% 1% 22%

Gillibrand 57 16 86 49 51 62 52 80 62

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 4 1

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 1 4 3 2 2 3 2DK/NA 15 14 7 23 15 16 14 12 13


were - Wendy Long the Republican and Conservative party candidate and Kirsten Gillibrand

the Democratic party candidate, for whom would you vote?

Union


Long 25% 70% 3% 24% 29% 20% 30% 4% 23%

Gillibrand 58 17 89 51 52 64 53 85 63

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 -WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 4 3 2 3 1 2

DK/NA 13 10 5 20 13 13 12 8 12

9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as

United States Senator?

Union


Approve 63% 42% 78% 61% 62% 64% 61% 73% 70%

Disapprove 25 48 12 26 30 21 28 13 23

DK/NA 12 10 10 13 7 16 10 14 7


Yes No 100K 18-34 35-54 55+

Approve 71% 58% 61% 66% 63% 69% 62% 64% 65%

Disapprove 22 28 21 26 27 28 23 25 26

DK/NA 8 14 18 7 10 4 15 11 9

UpStat NYC Sub

Approve 56% 71% 63%

Disapprove 27 21 29

DK/NA 16 8 9

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TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as

United States Senator? (*High also 69% Oct 2001)

APPROVE.......

High Low

Apr 05 Feb 15 Dec 21 Oct 26 Sep 20 Dec 08 Apr 15

2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2004* 1999

Approve 63 60 62 61 59 69 51

Disapprove 25 29 27 28 31 16 22

DK/NA 12 11 11 11 9 15 28

10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as


Union


Approve 60% 36% 77% 58% 57% 63% 58% 68% 62%

Disapprove 21 49 6 21 26 16 26 7 22

DK/NA 19 15 17 21 17 21 17 25 17

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......Yes No 100K 18-34 35-54 55+

Approve 68% 55% 59% 62% 61% 63% 61% 60% 61%

Disapprove 17 24 16 27 21 23 17 20 23

DK/NA 16 21 25 10 18 14 21 20 16

UpStat NYC Sub

Approve 59% 63% 57%

Disapprove 23 16 25

DK/NA 18 20 18

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as


APPROVE.......

High Low

Apr 05 Feb 15 Dec 21 Oct 26 Sep 20 Apr 05 Feb 17

2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2012 2009

Approve 60 47 50 50 52 60 28

Disapprove 21 26 23 24 23 21 10

DK/NA 19 27 27 26 24 19 62

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11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

Union


Approve 56% 11% 88% 45% 52% 59% 45% 95% 57%

Disapprove 38 87 9 45 43 34 49 4 37

DK/NA 6 2 3 10 5 6 6 1 6

WHITE...............................................



Approve 59% 36% 43% 36% 42% 48% 27% 40% 45%

Disapprove 36 58 54 58 53 45 70 54 50

DK/NA 5 6 4 6 5 7 3 6 4


Yes No 100K 18-34 35-54 55+

Approve 64% 51% 61% 57% 54% 55% 64% 56% 53%

Disapprove 30 43 32 38 41 41 32 38 41DK/NA 5 6 7 6 5 5 4 6 6

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as

President?

APPROVE.......

High Low

Apr 05 Feb 15 Dec 21 Oct 26 Sep 20 Feb 19 Aug 12

2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2009 2011

Approve 56 50 50 50 50 72 45

Disapprove 38 46 45 45 45 17 49

DK/NA 6 5 5 5 6 10 6

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