10316 - analysts presentation july 2012 - final - web · `çêéçê~íÉë pks pkn nmkv pkr mkq...
TRANSCRIPT
eáëÅçñ=iíÇfåíÉêáã=êÉëìäíë
Ñçê=íÜÉ=ëáñ=ãçåíÜë=ÉåÇÉÇ=PM=gìåÉ=OMNO
^ ëíêçåÖ ëáñ ãçåíÜë^=ëíêçåÖ=ëáñ=ãçåíÜë
√ oÉíìêå=íç=éêçÑáíW=¡NORKUã=EOMNNW=äçëë=¡URKSãFé E F
√ `çãÄáåÉÇ=ê~íáç=çÑ=UNKTB=EOMNNW=NNSKVBFB E BF
√ NTKSB áåÅêÉ~ëÉ áå ÇáîáÇÉåÇ SKMé EOMNNW RKNéFNTKSB=áåÅêÉ~ëÉ=áå=ÇáîáÇÉåÇ=SKMé=EOMNNW=RKNéF
√ k^s PPV Pé EOMNNW OVS PéFk^s=PPVKPé=EOMNNW=OVSKPéF
√ oçÄÉêí `ÜáäÇë íç ëìÅÅÉÉÇ oçÄÉêí eáëÅçñ ~ë√ oçÄÉêí=`ÜáäÇë=íç=ëìÅÅÉÉÇ=oçÄÉêí=eáëÅçñ=~ë=`Ü~áêã~å
N
cáå~åÅá~ä=éÉêÑçêã~åÅÉ
^ ÜÉ~äíÜó êÉëìäí^=ÜÉ~äíÜó=êÉëìäí
gìåÉ=OMNO¡MMM
gìåÉ=OMNN¡MMM
aÉÅÉãÄÉê=OMNN¡MMM¡MMM
dêçëë=éêÉãáìãë=ïêáííÉå
kÉí=éêÉãáìãë=ïêáííÉå
VMSIQQP
TMNIRMV
UQTIQRN
SSTIRSN
NIQQVIONV
NINTQIMNN
kÉí=éêÉãáìãë=É~êåÉÇ RSTITTP RRQISSU NINQRIMMT
fåîÉëíãÉåí=êÉíìêå=çå=Ñáå~åÅá~ä=~ëëÉíë
mêçÑáíLEäçëëF ÄÉÑçêÉ í~ñ
QQIQVT
NOR UMO
OTIRVM
EUR RVSF
ORIVQO
NT OTNmêçÑáíLEäçëëF=ÄÉÑçêÉ=í~ñ NORIUMO EURIRVSF NTIOTN
mêçÑáíLEäçëëF=~ÑíÉê=í~ñ NOQITVN EUTIMQNF ONIOTO
_~ëáÅ=É~êåáåÖë=éÉê=ëÜ~êÉ=EéF POKM EOOKUF RKR
fåíÉêáãLÑáå~ä=ÇáîáÇÉåÇ=EéF SKM RKN NTKM
kÉí=~ëëÉí=î~äìÉ
√ ¡ã N PPO O N NQS R N ORR V√ ¡ã NIPPOKO NINQSKR NIORRKV
√ é=éÉê=ëÜ~êÉ PPVKP OVSKP POPKR
oÉíìêå=çå=Éèìáíó=~ÑíÉê=í~ñG OMKVB ENPKPFB NKTB
P
G^ååì~äáëÉÇKfåíÉêáã=ÇáîáÇÉåÇ=íç=ÄÉ=çÑÑÉêÉÇ=~ë=~=ëÅêáé=ÇáîáÇÉåÇK
pÉÖãÉåí~ä ~å~äóëáëpÉÖãÉåí~ä=~å~äóëáë
PM=gìåÉ=OMNO PM=gìåÉ=OMNN
içåÇçå=j~êâÉí
rh=~åÇ=bìêçéÉ
fåíÉêJå~íáçå~ä
`çêéçê~íÉ=`ÉåíêÉ qçí~ä
içåÇçå=j~êâÉí
rh=~åÇ=bìêçéÉ
fåíÉêJå~íáçå~ä
`çêéçê~íÉ=`ÉåíêÉ qçí~äj~êâÉí
¡MMMbìêçéÉ=¡MMM
å~íáçå~ä=¡MMM
`ÉåíêÉ=====¡MMM
qçí~ä=¡MMM
j~êâÉí¡MMM
bìêçéÉ=¡MMM
å~íáçå~ä=¡MMM
`ÉåíêÉ=====¡MMM
qçí~ä=¡MMM
dêçëë=éêÉãáìãë=ïêáííÉå PTNIORM OSTIVUM OSTIONP J VMSIQQP PQUIVVP OSPIRNM OPQIVQU J UQTIQRN
kÉí=éêÉãáìãë=ïêáííÉå OQSIPPT ORSINOV NVVIMQP J TMNIRMV OPTIVTR OQUIUNM NUMITTS J SSTIRSN
kÉí=éêÉãáìãë=É~êåÉÇ NUSISSR OPQIUUS NQSIOOO J RSTITTP NVOITVP ONRIPQN NQSIRPQ J RRQISSU
fåîÉëíãÉåí=êÉëìäí=ÓÑá á ä
NPITSN TIUTS NRIMRP TIUMT QQIQVT VINQR RIVPQ VIMVR PIQNS OTIRVMÑáå~åÅá~ä=~ëëÉíë
NPITSN TIUTS NRIMRP TIUMT QQIQVT VINQR RIVPQ VIMVR PIQNS OTIRVM
mêçÑáí=ÄÉÑçêÉ=í~ñ SVIQSM NSIQMO QSINVV ESIORVF NORIUMO EOSISNQF ORIOVV EUOIOPNF EOIMRMF EURIRVSF
`çãÄáåÉÇ=ê~íáç SUKQB VTKMB TUKTB J UNKTB NNPKVB VNKPB NSMKNB J NNSKVB
`çãÄáåÉÇ=ê~íáç=ÉñÅäìÇáåÖ=ãçåÉí~êó=cu SUKNB VRKRB TVKSB J UNKOB NMVKSB VOKRB NSMKTB J NNRKTB
içåÇçå=j~êâÉí= `çãéêáëÉë=íÜÉ=êÉëìäíë=çÑ=póåÇáÅ~íÉ=PPI=ÉñÅäìÇáåÖ=íÜÉ=êÉëìäíë=çÑ=íÜÉ=ÑáåÉ=~êíI=rh=êÉÖáçå~ä=ÉîÉåíë=ÅçîÉê~ÖÉ=~åÇ=åçå=rp=ÜçìëÉÜçäÇ=ÄìëáåÉëë=ïÜáÅÜ=áë=áåÅäìÇÉÇ=ïáíÜáå=íÜÉ=êÉëìäíë=çÑ=rh=~åÇ=bìêçéÉK=fí=~äëç=áåÅäìÇÉë=íÜÉ=ÑáêÉ~åÇ=~îá~íáçå=ÄìëáåÉëëÉë=Ñêçã=póåÇáÅ~íÉ=PSOQI=~åÇ=íÜÉ=ä~êÖÉê=qjq=ÄìëáåÉëë=ïêáííÉå=Äó=eáëÅçñ=fåëìê~åÅÉ=`çãé~åó=iáãáíÉÇK=få=~ÇÇáíáçåI=áí=ÉñÅäìÇÉë=~å=ÉäÉãÉåí=çÑ=âáÇå~é=~åÇ=ê~åëçã=~åÇ=íÉêêçêáëã=áåÅäìÇÉÇ=áå=rh=~åÇbìêçéÉK
rh=~åÇ=bìêçéÉ= `çãéêáëÉë=íÜÉ=êÉëìäíë=çÑ=eáëÅçñ=fåëìê~åÅÉ=`çãé~åó=iáãáíÉÇI=íÜÉ=êÉëìäíë=çÑ=póåÇáÅ~íÉ=PPÛë=ÑáåÉ=~êíI=rh=êÉÖáçå~ä=ÉîÉåíë=ÅçîÉê~ÖÉ=~åÇ=åçåJrp=ÜçìëÉÜçäÇ=ÄìëáåÉëëI=íçÖÉíÜÉê=ïáíÜ=íÜÉ=áåÅçãÉ=~åÇ=ÉñéÉåëÉë=~êáëáåÖ=ÑêçãíÜÉ=dêçìéÛë=êÉí~áä=~ÖÉåÅó=~ÅíáîáíáÉë=áå=íÜÉ=rh=~åÇ=áå=ÅçåíáåÉåí~ä=bìêçéÉK=få=~ÇÇáíáçåI=áí=áåÅäìÇÉë=íÜÉ=bìêçéÉ~å=Éêêçêë=~åÇ=çãáëëáçåë=ÄìëáåÉëë=Ñêçã=póåÇáÅ~íÉ=PSOQK=fí=ÉñÅäìÇÉë=íÜÉ=êÉëìäíë=çÑ=íÜÉ=ä~êÖÉê=êÉí~áä=qjq=ÄìëáåÉëëïêáííÉå=Äó=eáëÅçñ=fåëìê~åÅÉ=`çãé~åó=iáãáíÉÇK=fí=~äëç=áåÅäìÇÉë=~å=ÉäÉãÉåí=çÑ=âáÇå~é=~åÇ=ê~åëçã=~åÇ=íÉêêçêáëã=ïêáííÉå=áå=póåÇáÅ~íÉ=PPK
fåíÉêå~íáçå~ä= `çãéêáëÉë=íÜÉ=êÉëìäíë=çÑ=eáëÅçñ=fåëìê~åÅÉ=`çãé~åó=EdìÉêåëÉóF=iáãáíÉÇI=eáëÅçñ=fåëìê~åÅÉ=`çãé~åó=E_ÉêãìÇ~F=iáãáíÉÇI=eáëÅçñ=fåÅKI eáëÅçñ=fåëìê~åÅÉ=`çãé~åó=fåÅK=~åÇ=póåÇáÅ~íÉ=PSOQ=ÉñÅäìÇáåÖ=íÜÉ=bìêçéÉ~å=Éêêçêë=~åÇ=çãáëëáçåëI=ÑáêÉ=~åÇ=~îá~íáçå=ÄìëáåÉëëK
`çêéçê~íÉ=`ÉåíêÉ `çãéêáëÉë=íÜÉ=áåîÉëíãÉåí=êÉíìêåI=Ñáå~åÅÉ=Åçëíë=~åÇ=~Çãáåáëíê~íáîÉ=Åçëíë=~ëëçÅá~íÉÇ=ïáíÜ=dêçìé=ã~å~ÖÉãÉåí=~ÅíáîáíáÉëK=`çêéçê~íÉ `ÉåíêÉ=~äëç=áåÅäìÇÉë=íÜÉ=ã~àçêáíó=çÑ=ÑçêÉáÖå=ÅìêêÉåÅó=áíÉãë=çå=ÉÅçåçãáÅ=ÜÉÇÖÉë=~åÇ=áåíê~Öêçìé=ÄçêêçïáåÖëK=`çêéçê~íÉ=`ÉåíêÉ=Ñçêãë=~=êÉéçêí~ÄäÉ=ëÉÖãÉåí=ÇìÉ=íç=áíë=áåîÉëíãÉåí=~ÅíáîáíáÉë=ïÜáÅÜ=É~êå=ëáÖåáÑáÅ~åí=ÉñíÉêå~ä=Åçìéçå=êÉîÉåìÉëK
Q
dççÇ áåîÉëíãÉåí éÉêÑçêã~åÅÉdççÇ=áåîÉëíãÉåí=éÉêÑçêã~åÅÉ
PM=gìåÉ=OMNO PM=gìåÉ=OMNN
^ëëÉí ^ååì~äáëÉÇ oÉíìêå ^ëëÉí ^ååì~äáëÉÇ oÉíìêå^ëëÉí=~ääçÅ~íáçå
B
^ååì~äáëÉÇ=êÉíìêå
B
oÉíìêå
¡MMM
^ëëÉí=~ääçÅ~íáçå
B
^ååì~äáëÉÇêÉíìêå
B
oÉíìêå
¡MMM
_çåÇë===¡ NPKN OKT OQKO OKR
rpA QVKU PKO QRKM OKN
líÜÉê TKU OKM TKS NKR
_ Ç í í ä TM T P M PP OPM TS U O N OP TTV_çåÇë=íçí~ä TMKT PKM PPIOPM TSKU OKN OPITTV
bèìáíáÉë SKN NMKV VISMO RKQ PKT OISSU
aÉéçëáíëLÅ~ëÜL OPKO MKT NISSR NTKU MKS NINQPéÄçåÇë=YPã
I I
^Åíì~ä=êÉíìêå PKN QQIQVT OKM OTIRVM
dêçìé áåîÉëíÉÇdêçìé=áåîÉëíÉÇ=~ëëÉíë ¡OIVUVã ¡OIURVã
_ÉÑçêÉ=ÑÉÉëI=ÇÉêáî~íáîÉ=éçëáíáçåë=~åÇ=áåîÉëíãÉåíë=áå=Å~í~ëíêçéÜÉ=ÄçåÇëK
R
eáÖÜ èì~äáíó ~åÇ ïÉää ÇáîÉêëáÑáÉÇ éçêíÑçäáçeáÖÜ=èì~äáíó=~åÇ=ïÉää=ÇáîÉêëáÑáÉÇ=éçêíÑçäáç
¡
^ëëÉí=~ääçÅ~íáçå
fåîÉëíãÉåí=éçêíÑçäáçW==¡OKVVÄå
√ `çåëÉêî~íáîÉ=ëíê~íÉÖó
`~ëÜG
oáëâ=~ëëÉíë
OPKO
SKN√ [RMB=çÑ=ÄçåÇ=éçêíÑçäáç=
áå=dçîÉêåãÉåí=çê=^^^=ê~íÉÇ=ÄçåÇë
B_çåÇëTMKT √ kç=ã~àçê=í~ÅíáÅ~ä=
ÅÜ~åÖÉë=áå=OMNO=eN=
_çåÇ=ÅêÉÇáí=èì~äáíó
___
__=~åÇ=ÄÉäçï
_çåÇ=ÅìêêÉåÅó=ëéäáí
bro`^a=NKU
R U
√ kç=ÉñéçëìêÉ=íç=pçîÉêÉáÖå=ÇÉÄí=áëëìÉÇ=Äó=dêÉÉÅÉI=fêÉä~åÇI=fí~äóI=mçêíìÖ~ä çê pé~áåO V
^
B TMKR
NUKR
VKO
d_mNSKN
RKU
rpaB
mçêíìÖ~ä=çê=pé~áå
√ oáëâ=~ëëÉíë=ã~áåí~áåÉÇ
√ eáÖÜ äÉîÉäë çÑ Å~ëÜ
OKVdîíK=
OVKS
^^^^^
BOQKN
ONKR
B √ eáÖÜ=äÉîÉäë=çÑ=Å~ëÜ=Éèìáî~äÉåíë=E~ää=ÖçîÉêåãÉåí=áëëìÉÇF=áå=íÜÉ=ÄçåÇ=éçêíÑçäáç
SG=¡NVUãå=çÑ=ëÜçêí=Ç~íÉÇ=ÄçåÇë=ÜÉäÇ=~ë=Å~ëÜ=Éèìáî~äÉåíëK
mçêíÑçäáçë=J rpa=ÄçåÇ=éçêíÑçäáçë=~ë ~í PM gìåÉ OMNO~ë=~í=PM=gìåÉ=OMNO
^^^B
^^B
^B
___B
__=~åÇ=ÄÉäçï
Bqçí~ä====
Baìê~íáçåãçåíÜë
mçêíÑçäáçëW=AOKPSÄå=EáåÅäK=APTã=áå=Å~ëÜ=Éèìáî~äÉåíëF
d í Ä Ç
dçîÉêåãÉåí=áëëìÉÇ MKU OSKR OTKP OSKR
dçîÉêåãÉåí ëìééçêíÉÇG M V NS M M N NT M NT U
√ dçîÉêåãÉåí=ÄçåÇë=áåÅêÉ~ëÉÇI=äçåÖÉê=Çìê~íáçå=ã~áåí~áåÉÇ
dçîÉêåãÉåí=ëìééçêíÉÇ = MKV NSKM MKN NTKM NTKU
^ëëÉí=Ä~ÅâÉÇ NPKU MKR NQKP UKO
jçêíÖ~ÖÉ=Ä~ÅâÉÇ~ÖÉåÅó
TKV TKV NOKO √ dçîÉêåãÉåí=~ÖÉåÅó
kçå=~ÖÉåÅó MKT MKQ MKN PKT QKV SKN
`çêéçê~íÉë MKU RKQ NSKS RKT OUKR NQKV
`
ëìééçêíÉÇ=ÄçåÇë=êÉÇìÅÉÇ
`~ëÜ=~åÇ=Éèìáî~äÉåíë MKN MKN MKM
qçí~ä 17.0 56.7 16.9 5.7 3.7 100.0 17.4√ `çêéçê~íÉ=ÄçåÇë=ëíáää=çÑÑÉê=î~äìÉ
GfåÅäìÇÉë=~ÖÉåÅó=ÇÉÄíI=cÉÇÉê~ä=aÉéçëáí=fåëìê~åÅÉ=`çêéçê~íáçå=Ecaf`F=Ä~åâ=ÄçåÇë=~åÇ=`~å~Çá~å=éêçîáåÅá~ä=ÇÉÄíK
T
mçêíÑçäáçë=J d_mI=bro=~åÇ=`^a=ÄçåÇ=éçêíÑçäáçë=~ë ~í PM gìåÉ OMNO~ë=~í=PM=gìåÉ=OMNO
d_m éçêíÑçäáçW ¡RQTã EáåÅäK ¡NRRã áå Å~ëÜ Éèìáî~äÉåíëF^^^B
^^B
^B
___B
líÜÉê=B
qçí~äB
aìê~íáçåãçåíÜë
dçîÉêåãÉåí=áëëìÉÇ= RPKU RPKU VKP
d_m=éçêíÑçäáçW=¡RQTã=EáåÅäK=¡NRRã=áå=Å~ëÜ=Éèìáî~äÉåíëF=
√ aÉÑÉåëáîÉ=Çìê~íáçåI=ÜáÖÜ=äÉîÉäë=çÑ=rh====íêÉ~ëìêó Äáääë
dçîÉêåãÉåí=ëìééçêíÉÇG NUKO NKO NVKQ NQKN
^ëëÉí=Ä~ÅâÉÇ RKN MKN RKO MKR
íêÉ~ëìêó=Äáääë
√ dçîÉêåãÉåí=ëìééçêíÉÇ=êÉÇìÅÉÇ
`çêéçê~íÉë PKS PKN NMKV PKR MKQ ONKR NPKP
`~ëÜ=~åÇ=Éèìáî~äÉåíë MKN MKN MKM
qçí~ä UMKT QKQ NNKM PKR MKQ NMMKM NMKS
√ `çêéçê~íÉë=ã~áåí~áåÉÇ
bro=~åÇ=`^a=éçêíÑçäáçëW=¡ORNã=EáåÅäK=¡NSã=áå=Å~ëÜ=Éèìáî~äÉåíëF= √ bìêçJÖçîÉêåãÉåí=ÉñéçëìêÉ ÇáîÉêëáÑáÉÇ
dçîÉêåãÉåí=áëëìÉÇ QQKS QQKS OPKN
dçîÉêåãÉåí=ëìééçêíÉÇG NVKT NKP MKT ONKT NNKS
^ëëÉí=Ä~ÅâÉÇ NKR NKR NKQ
ÉñéçëìêÉ=ÇáîÉêëáÑáÉÇ=~ï~ó=Ñêçã=dÉêã~åó
√ `çêéçê~íÉë=
`çêéçê~íÉë NKR QKT NUKU SKS MKP PNKV NPKO
`~ëÜ=~åÇ=Éèìáî~äÉåíë MKP MKP MKM
qçí~ä ST P S M NV U S S M P NMM M NR O
áåÅêÉ~ëÉÇ
qçí~ä STKP SKM NVKU SKS MKP NMMKM NRKO
GfåÅäìÇÉë ëìéê~å~íáçå~ä ~åÇ ÖçîÉêåãÉåí Öì~ê~åíÉÉÇ ÄçåÇëK
U
dçîÉêåãÉåí ~åÇ Ä~åâ ÉñéçëìêÉ ~å~äóëáëdçîÉêåãÉåí=~åÇ=Ä~åâ=ÉñéçëìêÉ=~å~äóëáë
`çìåíêódçîÉêåãÉåí=
áëëìÉÇdçîÉêåãÉåípìééçêíÉÇ
_~åâ=ÇÉÄí
pÉåáçê pìÄçêÇáå~íÉÇ qçí~ä¡MMM ¡MMM
^ìëíê~äá~ NNITQP
_ÉäÖáìã OPIRMQ NIRSP
` Ç ON OVQ QM VNR
¡MMM ¡MMM ¡MMM
VIURS PMM ONIUVV
ORIMST
OR NOP O TQM VM MTO
√ dÉêã~å=ÖçîÉêåãÉåí ÄçåÇ`~å~Ç~ ONIOVQ QMIVNR
aÉåã~êâ TITUS
råáíÉÇ=háåÖÇçã OTNIQTR NUIPOM
cáåä~åÇ ORM V RVN
ORINOP OITQM VMIMTO
UTS UISSO
PVIOSV OIVSN PPOIMOR
V UQN
ÖçîÉêåãÉåí=ÄçåÇ=ÉñéçëìêÉ=êÉÇìÅÉÇ
√ _ÉäÖá~åI=cêÉåÅÜ==Ç a Ücáåä~åÇ ORM VIRVN
cê~åÅÉ OPIRQS NOIORM
dÉêã~åó NMIUPR QNIUQU
fí~äó
VIUQN
NPIURU QUO RMINPS
PISPO RSIPNR
P QUO P QUO
~åÇ=aìíÅÜ=ÖçîÉêåãÉåí=ÄçåÇë=~ÇÇÉÇ
fí~äó
kÉíÜÉêä~åÇë PQIMMO UIRMV
kÉï=wÉ~ä~åÇ OSV
kçêï~ó RIRSN
PIQUO PIQUO
TIPOQ TPR RMIRTM
NISVQ NIVSP
OIRPM UIMVN
√ _~åâ=ÇÉÄí=ÉñéçëìêÉ=ÅäçëÉäó=ãçåáíçêÉÇ
ó I
pçìíÜ=hçêÉ~ OITSS
pé~áå
pïÉÇÉå OIONU OINRS
I I
OITSS
NIRMR NIRMR
NMIUST NRIOQN
pïáíòÉêä~åÇ
råáíÉÇ=pí~íÉë PVRIQQQ ONUIOTR
líÜÉê PQO RVU
NNIRVP NNIRVP
STIVTO NIPQM SUPIMPN
NIRNR OIQRR
pìéê~å~íáçå~äë OTIROM
qçí~ä TURISTS QMSIVMQ
OTIROM
OMNIMVS UIRRU NIQMOIOPQ
V
c~ëÅáå~íáåÖ Ñáå~åÅá~ä Ñ~Åíëc~ëÅáå~íáåÖ=Ñáå~åÅá~ä=Ñ~Åíë
√ oÉëÉêîÉ=êÉäÉ~ëÉë=çÑ=¡NNSã=EgìåÉ=OMNNW=¡VRãF
√ OMNN=Å~í~ëíêçéÜÉ=êÉëÉêîÉë=ÜçäÇáåÖ=ëíÉ~Çó
√ `çëí~=`çåÅçêÇá~=ìåÅÜ~åÖÉÇ=~í=AOMã=åÉí
√ pçäîÉåÅó=ff=Ó äáÖÜí=~í=íÜÉ=ÉåÇ=çÑ=íÜÉ=íìååÉä
√ AUTRã=Ä~åâ=Ñ~Åáäáíó=áåÅêÉ~ëÉÇ=J APQMã=Çê~ïå=Ççïå
NM
råÇÉêïêáíáåÖ
^å ~ÅíáîÉäó ã~å~ÖÉÇ ÄìëáåÉëë^å=~ÅíáîÉäó=ã~å~ÖÉÇ=ÄìëáåÉëë
q í ä d í ää Ç á í g OMNO ¡N MQPHSKNB vÉ~êJçåJóÉ~ê ÖêçïíÜqçí~ä=dêçìé=ÅçåíêçääÉÇ=éêÉãáìã=íç=gìåÉ=OMNOW=¡NIMQPã¡PVSã
vÉ~êJçåJóÉ~ê=ÖêçïíÜ=áå=äçÅ~ä=ÅìêêÉåÅó
OMNO=dtm=
kçåJã~êáåÉ
j~êáåÉ
HNTKMB
mêçÑÉëëáçå~ä=äá~ÄáäáíáÉë=^îá~íáçå
¡NVQã
HRKRB¡NQPã JUKOB
¡NOUháÇå~é=~åÇ=ê~åëçã
`çåíáåÖÉåÅó=
qÉêêçêáëã=
péÉÅáÉ
bêêçêë=~åÇ=çãáëëáçåë
aáêÉÅíçêë=~åÇ=çÑÑáÅÉêëÛ=äá~ÄáäáíótÜçäÉ=~ÅÅçìåí
eçãÉ=~åÇ=ÅçåíÉåíë
JRKTB¡TSã JQKUB=
HOOKOB¡URã
¡NOUã
j~å~ÖáåÖ ÖÉåÉê~ämÉêëçå~ä=~ÅÅáÇÉåí
mçäáíáÅ~ä=êáëâë
^îá~íáçå
`çåíê~ÅíçêëÛ=ÉèìáéãÉåí
`çããÉêÅá~ä=çÑÑáÅÉ
pã~ää=íÉÅÜåçäçÖó=~åÇ=ãÉÇá~=bCl
cáåÉ=~êí=
`ä~ëëáÅ=Å~ê
mêçÑÉëëáçå~ä=áåÇÉãåáíó
i~êÖÉ=íÉÅÜåçäçÖó=~åÇ ãÉÇá~ bCl
¡ONãj~êáåÉ=Üìää
båÉêÖó=äá~Äáäáíó
réëíêÉ~ãJãáÇëíêÉ~ã=ÉåÉêÖó
j~å~ÖáåÖ=ÖÉåÉê~ä=~ÖÉåíë
`çããÉêÅá~ä=éêçéÉêíó
låëÜçêÉ=ÉåÉêÖó
rp^=ÜçãÉçïåÉêë=è é
içÅ~ä=bCl=~åÇ=ÅçããÉêÅá~ä
oÉáåëìê~åÅÉ ^êí=~åÇ=éêáî~íÉ=ÅäáÉåí
péÉÅá~äíó
~åÇ=ãÉÇá~=bCl
däçÄ~ä=bClj~êáåÉ=~åÇÉåÉêÖó
NO
rp ç Éç É ë
mêçéÉêíó
o~íÉë ~êÉ ÜÉ~äíÜóo~íÉë=~êÉ=ÜÉ~äíÜó
fåëìê~åÅÉ oÉáåëìê~åÅÉ
120
140
√ o~íÉë=çå=g~é~åÉëÉ=éÉêáäë=ëáÖåáÑáÅ~åíä é
80
100 ëáÖåáÑáÅ~åíäó=ìé=
√ `~í~ëíêçéÜÉ=ê~íÉë=ÅäçëÉ=íç=~ää=íáãÉ=Éñ
=äÉîÉä=B
40
60 ÜáÖÜ=
√ mêçéÉêíó=ê~íÉë=áãéêçîáåÖ
fåÇÉ
0
20
6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
áãéêçîáåÖ
√ rh=~åÇ=bìêçéÉ~å=ÅçããÉêÅá~ä=ê~íÉë=
Feb
05 -
Jan
06A
pr 0
5 -
Mar
06
Jun
05 -
May
06
Aug
05
-Ju
l 06
Oct
05
-S
ep 0
6D
ec 0
5 -
Nov
06
Feb
06 -
Jan
07A
pr 0
6 -
Mar
07
Jun
06 -
May
07
Aug
06
-Ju
l 07
Oct
06
-S
ep 0
7D
ec 0
6 -
Nov
07
Feb
07 -
Jan
08A
pr 0
7 -
Mar
08
Jun
07 -
May
08
Aug
07
-Ju
l 08
Oct
07
-S
ep 0
8D
ec 0
7 -
Nov
08
Feb
08 -
Jan
09A
pr 0
8 -
Mar
09
Jun
08 -
May
09
Aug
08
-Ju
l 09
Oct
08
-S
ep 0
9D
ec 0
8 -
Nov
09
Feb
09 -
Jan
10A
pr 0
9 -
Mar
10
Jun
09 -
May
10
Aug
9 -
Jul 1
0O
ct 9
-S
ep 1
0D
ec 9
-N
ov 1
0Fe
b 10
-Ja
n 1
Apr
10
-M
ar 1
Jun
10 -
May
1A
ug 1
0 -
Jul 1
Oct
10
-S
ep 1
Dec
10
-N
ov 1
Feb
11 -
Jan
12A
pr 1
1 -
Mar
12
Jun
11 -
May
12
ÇÉÅäáåáåÖI=Äìí=ëíáää=ÜÉ~äíÜó
F A J O D F A J O D F A J O D F A J O D F A J F A J O D F A JNP
NO=ãçåíÜ=êçääáåÖ=éÉêáçÇ
^ÄëÉåÅÉ=çÑ=Å~í~ëíêçéÜÉ=äçëëÉëI=áãéêçîÉÇ=ìåÇÉêäóáåÖ äçëë ÉñéÉêáÉåÅÉìåÇÉêäóáåÖ=äçëë=ÉñéÉêáÉåÅÉ
ratio
Loss
r
2011 Hiscox London Market
2012 Hiscox London Market
2011 Hiscox Bermuda
2012 Hiscox Bermuda
Attritional Major catastrophe events
√ kç=ëáÖåáÑáÅ~åí=Å~í~ëíêçéÜÉ=ÉîÉåíë=~ÑÑÉÅíáåÖ=íÜÉ=êÉáåëìê~åÅÉ=äáåÉë=áå=OMNO
√ ^ííêáíáçå~ä äçëë ê~íáçë ~äëç áãéêçîÉÇ óÉ~êJçåJóÉ~ê^ííêáíáçå~ä=äçëë=ê~íáçë=~äëç=áãéêçîÉÇ=óÉ~ê çå óÉ~ê
^ää=ê~íáçë=ëÜçïå=~ë=~í=j~ó=vqaK
NQ
qÜÉ ÜáÇÇÉå Å~í~ëíêçéÜÉqÜÉ=ÜáÇÇÉå=Å~í~ëíêçéÜÉ
√ rp=éêçéÉêíó=~åÇ=Å~ëì~äíó=ã~êâÉí=Ü~ë=ANKOíå=íçí~ä=áåîÉëíÉÇ=~ëëÉíë
√ tçêäÇïáÇÉ=ã~êâÉí=≈ APJQíå=áåîÉëíÉÇ=~ëëÉíë
√ c~ää=áå=áåîÉëíãÉåí=áåÅçãÉ=Éèìáî~äÉåí=íç=~=äçëë=ÄáÖÖÉê=íÜ~å=h~íêáå~=ÉîÉêó=óÉ~ê
APRÄåbn=qçÜçâì
g~é~å=EOMNNF
NB Ñ ää á
$
≈ APMJQMÄåNB=Ñ~ää=áå
áåîÉëíãÉåí=êÉíìêå
e h~íêáå~ $75bn
≈ ANMMÄå
eK=h~íêáå~EOMMRF
PB=Ñ~ää=áåáåîÉëíãÉåí=
0 20 40 60 80 100 120Industry insured loss USD (billions)
êÉíìêå
pçìêÅÉë=J k^f`=DOMNN=mêçéÉêíó=C=`~ëì~äíó=~åÇ=qáíäÉ=fåÇìëíêó=^å~äóëáë=oÉéçêíÛI=jp`f=ïçêäÇ=áåëìê~åÅÉ=ã~êâÉí=Å~éáí~ä=áåÇÉñKpçìêÅÉW=pïáëë=oÉI=páÖã~=kçKOLOMNO
NR
dêçïíÜ áå g~é~åÉëÉ É~êíÜèì~âÉ ÉñéçëìêÉ
250
dêçïíÜ=áå=g~é~åÉëÉ=É~êíÜèì~âÉ=ÉñéçëìêÉ
içïÉê RBJ ìééÉê ORÄå=
íìêå=
200
250 içïÉê=RB ìééÉê=VRB=ê~åÖÉ
jçÇÉääÉÇ=ãÉ~å=äçëë N=qç
Üçâì=nì~
âÉ=AO
âÉí=äçëëI=Q
R=óÉ~ê=êÉí
çÇ200
AãF
OMNN
ã~ê
éÉêáç
150
Åçñ=iíÇ=äçëë=EA
100 eáëÅ
50
-2011 YE 2012 HY 2011 YE 2012 HY 2011 YE 2012 HY 2011 YE 2012 HY 2011 YE 2012 HY
5 10 year 10 25 year 25 50 year 50 100 year 100 250 yearR NM óÉ~ê NM OR óÉ~ê OR RM óÉ~ê RM NMM óÉ~ê NMM ORM óÉ~êfåÇìëíêó äçëë êÉíìêå 5-10 year 10-25 year 25-50 year 50-100 year 100-250 year
NS
RJNM=óÉ~ê NMJOR=óÉ~ê ORJRM=óÉ~ê RMJNMM=óÉ~ê NMMJORM=óÉ~ê
MN MQ NV PU======= SSjÉ~å=áåÇìëíêó=äçëë=AÄå
fåÇìëíêó=äçëë=êÉíìêåéÉêáçÇ=~åÇ=éÉêáä
_ìëáåÉëë=éÉêÑçêã~åÅÉ
j~å~ÖáåÖ íÜÉ ÄìëáåÉëëj~å~ÖáåÖ=íÜÉ=ÄìëáåÉëë
OMNO OMNN `Ü~åÖÉ dêçïíÜ
dêçëë=ïêáííÉå=éêÉãáìãë=Ñçê=íÜÉ=ëáñ=ãçåíÜë=íç=PM=gìåÉ=OMNO
OMNO=¡MMM
OMNN=¡MMM
`Ü~åÖÉB
dêçïíÜ=áå=äçÅ~ä=
ÅìêêÉåÅó=B
eáëÅçñ=içåÇçå=j~êâÉí PTNIORM PQUIVVP SKQ RKO
eáëÅçñ=fåíÉêå~íáçå~ä
- eáëÅçñ=_ÉêãìÇ~ NRVIQNN NPVISPO NQKO NNKQ
- eáëÅçñ=dìÉêåëÉó= PSIPOR QMIVSP ENNKPF ENPKRF
eá rp^ TN QTT RQ PRP PN R OV N- eáëÅçñ=rp^ TNIQTT RQIPRP PNKR OVKN
eáëÅçñ=rh=~åÇ=bìêçéÉ
eáëÅçñ rh NUQ MOU NUO VNO M S M T− eáëÅçñ=rh= NUQIMOU NUOIVNO MKS MKT
− eáëÅçñ=bìêçéÉ UPIVRO UMIRVU QKO SKQ
qçí~ä VMSIQQP UQTIQRN TKM SKVqçí~ä VMSIQQP UQTIQRN TKM SKV
NU
eáëÅçñ=içåÇçå=j~êâÉí^å çìíëí~åÇáåÖ éÉêÑçêã~åÅÉ^å=çìíëí~åÇáåÖ=éÉêÑçêã~åÅÉ
√ ^ÅíáîÉ=éçêíÑçäáç=ã~å~ÖÉãÉåí=íç=ã~ñáãáëÉ=éêçÑáíé Ö é
– dççÇ=ÖêçïíÜ=áå=íÉêêçêáëãI=ÇáêÉÅí=éêçéÉêíó=~åÇ=çÑÑëÜçêÉ=ÉåÉêÖó
– `ìí=Ä~Åâ=áå=ã~êáåÉ=Üìää=~åÇ=Å~ëì~äíó
√ oÉáåë ê~åÅÉ áãé~ÅíÉÇ Ä ä~Åâ çÑ êÉáåëí~íÉãÉåí√ oÉáåëìê~åÅÉ=áãé~ÅíÉÇ=Äó=ä~Åâ=çÑ=êÉáåëí~íÉãÉåí=éêÉãáìãë
– råÇÉêäóáåÖ ÄìëáåÉëë ÖêÉï Äó NQBråÇÉêäóáåÖ=ÄìëáåÉëë=ÖêÉï=Äó=NQB
√ `~êÉÑìä=êáëâ=ëÉäÉÅíáçå=J ÉîÉåí=Å~åÅÉää~íáçå=ÄìëáåÉëë=áÇ í íÜ ä~îçáÇë=êÉÅÉåí=ïÉ~íÜÉê=äçëëÉë
NV
eáëÅçñ=rh=^åçíÜÉê ÖççÇ éêçÑáí^åçíÜÉê=ÖççÇ=éêçÑáí
e~äÑ=óÉ~ê= e~äÑ=óÉ~ê=óOMNO¡ã
óOMNN¡ã
dêçëë éêÉãáìãë ïêáííÉå NUQKM NUOKV√ pí~ÄäÉ=ÇÉëéáíÉ=ïáíÜÇê~ï~ä=Ñêçã==
íïç é~êíåÉêëÜáéëdêçëë=éêÉãáìãë=ïêáííÉå NUQKM NUOKV
j~êâÉíáåÖ=ÉñéÉåÇáíìêÉ ESKTF ERKQF
råÇÉêïêáíáåÖ=êÉëìäí NTKT OPKV
íïç=é~êíåÉêëÜáéë
√ píêçåÖ=ÖêçïíÜ=áå=ÅçããÉêÅá~äÖ
fåîÉëíãÉåí=êÉëìäí SKO RKV
cçêÉáÖå=ÉñÅÜ~åÖÉ= ENKQF MKU
√ fåÇìëíêó=~ï~êÇ=Ó `ìëíçãÉê=`~êÉ=^ï~êÇ=Ó _êáíáëÜ=fåëìê~åÅÉ=^ï~êÇë
√ fåÅêÉ~ëÉÇ êÉëÉêîÉ Ñçê íê~Çáíáçå~ä mfmêçÑáí=ÄÉÑçêÉ=í~ñ NRKU ORKO
`çãÄáåÉÇ=ê~íáç VRKOB UTKVB
√ fåÅêÉ~ëÉÇ=êÉëÉêîÉ=Ñçê=íê~Çáíáçå~ä=mf
√ içïÉê=íÜ~å=ÉñéÉÅíÉÇ=äçëëÉë=Ñêçã=OMNO=ÑäççÇë=íç=Ç~íÉ
OM
_ìáäÇáåÖ íÜÉ rh Äê~åÇ Ó êÉíìêå íç qs_ìáäÇáåÖ=íÜÉ=rh=Äê~åÇ=Ó êÉíìêå=íç=qs
ON
eáëÅçñ=bìêçéÉ=mêçÑáí~ÄäÉ áå íçìÖÜ ÉÅçåçãáÅ ÅçåÇáíáçåëmêçÑáí~ÄäÉ=áå=íçìÖÜ=ÉÅçåçãáÅ=ÅçåÇáíáçåë
e~äÑ=óÉ~ê= e~äÑ=óÉ~ê=óOMNO
ۋ
óOMNN
ۋ
dêçëë éêÉãáìãë ïêáííÉå VVKV VPKV√ eáí=Äó=ïáåíÉê=ÑêÉÉòÉ=áå=ëçìíÜÉêå=
cê~åÅÉ ~åÇ _ÉåÉäìñ ÄìêÖä~êáÉëdêçëë=éêÉãáìãë=ïêáííÉå VVKV VPKV
j~êâÉíáåÖ=ÉñéÉåÇáíìêÉ ENKOF EMKUF
råÇÉêïêáíáåÖ=êÉëìäí MKQ NKQ
cê~åÅÉ=~åÇ=_ÉåÉäìñ=ÄìêÖä~êáÉë
√ fãéêçîÉÇ=éêçÑáí=áå=~êí=~åÇ=éêáî~íÉ=ÅäáÉåí=ÄççâÖ
fåîÉëíãÉåí=êÉëìäí OKN EMKNF
cçêÉáÖå=ÉñÅÜ~åÖÉ EMKOF OKM
√ `çåíáåìÉÇ=ÖêçïíÜ=áå=ëã~ää=ÅçããÉêÅá~ä=~åÇ=íÉÅÜåçäçÖó
mêçÑáí=ÄÉÑçêÉ=í~ñ NKN MKT
`çãÄáåÉÇ=ê~íáç NMNKSB VVKPB
√ kÉï=ÇáëíêáÄìíáçå=é~êíåÉêëÜáé=JdÉåÉê~äá=cê~åÅÉ
√ aáêÉÅí=ÖêçïáåÖ=ë~íáëÑ~Åíçêáäó
OO
eáëÅçñ=fåíÉêå~íáçå~ädêçïíÜ ~åÇ éêçÑáídêçïíÜ=~åÇ=éêçÑáí
√ eáëÅçñ=_ÉêãìÇ~
– bñÅÉääÉåí=éêçÑáí
– eÉ~äíÜÅ~êÉ=ÄìëáåÉëë=ÇÉîÉäçéáåÖ=ïÉää
– tçêâáåÖ=çå=êÉéä~ÅáåÖ=èìçí~=ëÜ~êÉ=ëìééçêí
√ eáëÅç d ÉêåëÉ√ eáëÅçñ=dìÉêåëÉó
– dççÇ=ÇáëÅáéäáåÉ=ÇÉäáîÉêë=ÖêÉ~í=éêçÑáí
√ eáëÅçñ=rp^
– `çåíáåìÉÇ=ÉñÅÉääÉåí=ÖêçïíÜ=çÑ=OVB
– fãéêçîÉÇ=ÉñéÉåëÉ=ê~íáç
– aáêÉÅí=ÄìëáåÉëë=Éñé~åÇáåÖ
OP
píÉ~Çáäó ÖêçïáåÖ rp ÇáêÉÅípíÉ~Çáäó=ÖêçïáåÖ=rp=ÇáêÉÅí
mçäáÅó=ìåáí=ë~äÉë=éÉê=ïÉÉâ=Ó rp=aáêÉÅí
RMM
PRM
QMM
QRM
Åó=ìåáíë=ëçäÇ
ORM
PMM
PRM
mçäáÅ
NRM
OMM
M
RM
NMM
kçîJNM
aÉÅJNM
g~åJNN
cÉÄJNN
j~êJNN
^éêJNN
j~óJNN
gìåJNN
gìäJNN
^ìÖ
JNN
pÉé
JNN
lÅíJNN
kçîJNN
aÉÅJNN
g~åJNO
cÉÄJNO
j~êJNO
^éêJNO
j~óJNO
gìåJNO
OQ
tÉÉâ
pìãã~êó=~åÇ=çìíäççâ
c~åí~ëíáÅ Ñáêëí Ü~äÑc~åí~ëíáÅ=Ñáêëí=Ü~äÑ
√ píê~íÉÖó=ïçêâáåÖ
− eáëÅçñ=içåÇçå=j~êâÉíI=çìíëí~åÇáåÖ
− eáëÅçñ=rh=~åÇ=eáëÅçñ=bìêçéÉI=ÖççÇ=ëíÉ~Çó=é I Ö óéÉêÑçêã~åÅÉ
− eáëÅçñ=fåíÉêå~íáçå~äI=ÖççÇ=ÖêçïíÜ=~åÇ=éêçÑáí=ááãéêçîÉãÉåí
√ `~éáí~ä=çå=íÜÉ=~ÖÉåÇ~=áå=eO
√ dêçïáåÖ=ïÜÉêÉ=ê~íÉë=~êÉ=êáëáåÖ
rp^− rp^
− g~é~åÉëÉ=éÉêáäë=
rp Ç á í íá ä í− rp=~åÇ=áåíÉêå~íáçå~ä=éêçéÉêíó
OS
^ééÉåÇáÅÉë^ééÉåÇáÅÉë
√ dÉçÖê~éÜáÅ=êÉ~ÅÜ=
√ píê~íÉÖáÅ=ÑçÅìë=
√ ^=ëóãÄáçíáÅ=êÉä~íáçåëÜáé
√ _ìëáåÉëë íêÉåÇë√ _ìëáåÉëë=íêÉåÇë
√ içåÖJíÉêã=ÖêçïíÜ
√ eáëÅçñ=iíÇ=êÉëìäíë
√ dêçìé=ëíêìÅíìêÉ
√ _çñéäçí=~åÇ=ïÜáëâÉê=Çá~Öê~ã=çÑ=eáëÅçñ=iíÇ
√ oÉ~äáëíáÅ Çáë~ëíÉê ëÅÉå~êáçëoÉ~äáëíáÅ=Çáë~ëíÉê=ëÅÉå~êáçë
√ ^î~áä~ÄäÉ=Å~éáí~ä=ÇÉÅáÇÉë=êáëâ=äáãáíë
√ dtm=ÖÉçÖê~éÜáÅ~ä=~åÇ=ÅìêêÉåÅó=ëéäáí
√ dêçìé=êÉáåëìê~åÅÉ=ëÉÅìêáíó
√ oÉáåëìê~åÅÉ
√ däçëë~êó=çÑ=íÉêãëó
OT
dÉçÖê~éÜáÅ êÉ~ÅÜdÉçÖê~éÜáÅ=êÉ~ÅÜ
_ÉêãìÇ~e~ãáäíçåe~ãáäíçå
bìêçéÉ^ãëíÉêÇ~ã_çêÇÉ~ìñ_êìëëÉäë
rh_áêãáåÖÜ~ã`çäÅÜÉëíÉêdä~ëÖçï_êìëëÉäë
`çäçÖåÉaìÄäáåe~ãÄìêÖiáëÄçåióçå
dä~ëÖçïiÉÉÇëiçåÇçåj~áÇÉåÜÉ~Çj~åÅÜÉëíÉê
ióçåj~ÇêáÇjìåáÅÜm~êáë
dìÉêåëÉó
rp^^íä~åí~`ÜáÅ~Öçiçë=^åÖÉäÉëkÉï vçêâ `áíódìÉêåëÉó
pí=mÉíÉê=mçêí
i~íáå=^ãÉêáÅ~å=Ö~íÉï~ójá~ãá
kÉï=vçêâ=`áíóp~å=cê~åÅáëÅçtÜáíÉ=mä~áåë
já~ãá
OU
píê~íÉÖáÅ ÑçÅìëpíê~íÉÖáÅ=ÑçÅìë
qçí~ä=dêçìé=ÅçåíêçääÉÇ=áåÅçãÉ=Ñçê=OMNN=NMMB=Z=¡NISSQã=
içÅ~ä=Éêêçêë=~åÇ=çãáëëáçåë~åÇ=ÅçããÉêÅá~ä
NSB
qÉÅÜ=~åÇ=ãÉÇá~=Éêêçêë=~åÇ=çãáëëáçåëoÉáåëìê~åÅÉ= OUB PB
i~êÖÉ=éêçéÉêíó
^êí=~åÇ=éêáî~íÉ=ÅäáÉåí=
NTBPB
däçÄ~ä=Éêêçêë=~åÇ=çãáëëáçåë=
RB
VB
PB
UB
j~êáåÉ=~åÇ=ÉåÉêÖó
péÉÅá~äíó=Ó âáÇå~é=~åÇ=ê~åëçãI=ÅçåíáåÖÉåÅóI=éÉêëçå~ä=~ÅÅáÇÉåí
péÉÅá~äíó=Ó íÉêêçêáëãI=ëéÉÅáÉI=éçäáíáÅ~ä=êáëâëI=~Éêçëé~ÅÉ
RBUB
pã~ää=éêçéÉêíó
OV
^ ëóãÄáçíáÅ êÉä~íáçåëÜáé^=ëóãÄáçíáÅ=êÉä~íáçåëÜáé
fåíÉêå~íáçå~ääó=íê~ÇÉÇ äáåÉë
Local specialty lines
√ i~êÖÉê=éêÉãáìãI=Å~í~ëíêçé
íê~ÇÉÇ=äáåÉë
√ mêÉãáìã=ÖêçïíÜ=ÄÉíïÉÉå=RJNRB=
lines
Profit Value
ÜÉ=ÉñéçëÉÇ
√ pÜêáåâë=~åÇ=Éñé~åÇë ~ÅÅçêÇáåÖ
éÉê=~ååìã
√ m~óë=ÇáîáÇÉåÇë
generator creatorÉñé~åÇë=~ÅÅçêÇáåÖ=íç=ê~íÉë
√ bñÅÉëë=éêçÑáíë=ää á í í á
√ _ê~åÇ=ÄìáäÇë=ëíêçåÖ=ã~êâÉí=éçëáíáçå
~ääçï=áåîÉëíãÉåí=áå=êÉí~áä=ÇÉîÉäçéãÉåí
√ mêçÑáíë=~Åí=~ë=~ÇÇáíáçå~ä=Å~éáí~ä
PM
_ìëáåÉëë íêÉåÇë_ìëáåÉëë=íêÉåÇë
q í ä d í ää Ç á í g OMNO ¡N MQPHSKNB vÉ~êJçåJóÉ~ê ÖêçïíÜqçí~ä=dêçìé=ÅçåíêçääÉÇ=éêÉãáìã=íç=gìåÉ=OMNOW=¡NIMQPã¡PVSã
vÉ~êJçåJóÉ~ê=ÖêçïíÜ=áå=äçÅ~ä=ÅìêêÉåÅó
OMNO=dtm=
kçåJã~êáåÉ
j~êáåÉ
HNTKMB
mêçÑÉëëáçå~ä=äá~ÄáäáíáÉë=^îá~íáçå
¡NVQã
HRKRB¡NQPã JUKOB
¡NOUháÇå~é=~åÇ=ê~åëçã
`çåíáåÖÉåÅó=
qÉêêçêáëã=
péÉÅáÉ
bêêçêë=~åÇ=çãáëëáçåë
aáêÉÅíçêë=~åÇ=çÑÑáÅÉêëÛ=äá~ÄáäáíótÜçäÉ=~ÅÅçìåí
eçãÉ=~åÇ=ÅçåíÉåíë
JRKTB¡TSã JQKUB=
HOOKOB¡URã
¡NOUã
j~å~ÖáåÖ ÖÉåÉê~ämÉêëçå~ä=~ÅÅáÇÉåí
mçäáíáÅ~ä=êáëâë
^îá~íáçå
`çåíê~ÅíçêëÛ=ÉèìáéãÉåí
`çããÉêÅá~ä=çÑÑáÅÉ
pã~ää=íÉÅÜåçäçÖó=~åÇ=ãÉÇá~=bCl
cáåÉ=~êí=
`ä~ëëáÅ=Å~ê
mêçÑÉëëáçå~ä=áåÇÉãåáíó
i~êÖÉ=íÉÅÜåçäçÖó=~åÇ ãÉÇá~ bCl
¡ONãj~êáåÉ=Üìää
båÉêÖó=äá~Äáäáíó
réëíêÉ~ãJãáÇëíêÉ~ã=ÉåÉêÖó
j~å~ÖáåÖ=ÖÉåÉê~ä=~ÖÉåíë
`çããÉêÅá~ä=éêçéÉêíó
låëÜçêÉ=ÉåÉêÖó
rp^=ÜçãÉçïåÉêë=è é
içÅ~ä=bCl=~åÇ=ÅçããÉêÅá~ä
oÉáåëìê~åÅÉ ^êí=~åÇ=éêáî~íÉ=ÅäáÉåí
péÉÅá~äíó
~åÇ=ãÉÇá~=bCl
däçÄ~ä=bClj~êáåÉ=~åÇÉåÉêÖó
PN
rp ç Éç É ë
mêçéÉêíó
içåÖJíÉêã ÖêçïíÜiçåÖJíÉêã=ÖêçïíÜ
_ÉêãìÇ~ eáëÅçñ=içåÇçå=j~êâÉí=J péÉÅá~äíó
1 800
eáëÅçñ=içåÇçå=j~êâÉí=J sçä~íáäÉ
eáëÅçñ=rp^eáëÅçñ=dìÉêåëÉó
eáëÅçñ=bìêçéÉeáëÅçñ=rh
1,400
1,600
1,800
MF
1,000
1,200
1,400
Éãáìãë=E¡MMM
fåíÉêå~íáçå~ääó=íê~ÇÉÇ=äáåÉë
600
800
ëë=ïêáííÉå
=éêÉ
Local
200
400dêçë Local
specialty lines
0
1991
*
1992
*
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Gpéäáí=Éëíáã~íÉÇ=Ñçê=íÜÉëÉ=óÉ~êëK
PO
eáëÅçñ iíÇ êÉëìäíëeáëÅçñ=iíÇ=êÉëìäíë
¡MMM OMNN OMNM OMMV OMMU OMMT OMMS
dêçëë éêÉãáìãë ïêáííÉå N QQV ONV N QPO STQ N QPR QMN N NQT PSQ N NVU VQV N NOS NSQdêçëë=éêÉãáìãë=ïêáííÉå NIQQVIONV NIQPOISTQ NIQPRIQMN NINQTIPSQ NINVUIVQV NINOSINSQ
kÉí=éêÉãáìãë=ïêáííÉå NINTQIMNN NINPNISOT NINRTIMOP UVUIPVQ VTQIVNM VTRIPVT
kÉí=éêÉãáìãë=É~êåÉÇ NINQRIMMT NINPNINRU NIMVUINMO VOUIMVR VSRINVM UUUIUOU
mêçÑáí ÄÉÑçêÉ í~ñ NT OTN ONN PSS POM SNU NMR NUM OPT NVV OMN MSOmêçÑáí=ÄÉÑçêÉ=í~ñ NTIOTN ONNIPSS POMISNU NMRINUM OPTINVV OMNIMSO
mêçÑáí=~ÑíÉê=í~ñ ONIOTO NTUIUMM OUMIQVT TMIUMU NVNIOQU NSPIUQS
_~ëáÅ=É~êåáåÖë=éÉê=ëÜ~êÉ RKRé QTKOé TRKOé NUKUé QUKQé QNKTé
aáîáÇÉåÇ NTKMé NSKRé NRKMé NOKTRé NOKMé NMKMéaáîáÇÉåÇ NTKMé NSKRé NRKMé NOKTRé NOKMé NMKMé
fåîÉëíÉÇ=~ëëÉíë=EáåÅä=Å~ëÜF ¡ãæ OIUTPKQ OITTVKT OISSNKS OIROOKQ OIMRMKS NITQQKU
kÉí=~ëëÉí=î~äìÉ
¡ã NIORRKV NIOSSKN NINONKP VRNKM UOQKP SUOKN
é=éÉê=ëÜ~êÉ POPKR PPOKT OVVKO ORUKN OMVKR NTPKO
`çãÄáåÉÇ=ê~íáç VVKRB UVKPB USKMB TRKPB UQKQB UVKNB
oÉíìêå=çå=Éèìáíó=~ÑíÉê=í~ñG NKTB NSKRB PMKNB VKOB OUKUB OUKVB
æbñÅäìÇáåÖ=ÇÉêáî~íáîÉë=~åÇ=Å~í~ëíêçéÜÉ=ÄçåÇëKG^ååì~äáëÉÇ=éçëí=í~ñI=Ä~ëÉÇ=çå=~ÇàìëíÉÇ=çéÉåáåÖ=ëÜ~êÉÜçäÇÉêëÛ=ÑìåÇëK
PP
dêçìé ëíêìÅíìêÉdêçìé=ëíêìÅíìêÉ=
eáëÅçñ=iíÇ
eáëÅçñ=_ÉêãìÇ~ eáëÅçñ=dìÉêåëÉó eáëÅçñ=rp^ eáëÅçñ=rh eáëÅçñ=bìêçéÉeáëÅçñ=içåÇçå=j~êâÉí
oìëëÉää=jÉêêÉíí gÉêÉãó=máåÅÜáå píÉîÉ=`~ãã _Éå=t~äíÉê píÉîÉ=i~åÖ~å= máÉêêÉJläáîáÉê=aÉë~ìääÉ
- bêêçêë=~åÇ=çãáëëáçåë
- aáêÉÅíçêë=~åÇ=
- cáåÉ=~êí- eáÖÜJî~äìÉ=ÜçìëÉÜçäÇb Ç
- oÉáåëìê~åÅÉ=- mêçéÉêíó- j~êáåÉ=~åÇ=
- oÉáåëìê~åÅÉ- dêçìé=Å~éáí~ä=ëìééçêí
- cáåÉ=~êí- háÇå~é=~åÇ==ê~åëçã
- cáåÉ=~êí- eáÖÜJî~äìÉ=ÜçìëÉÜçäÇ
çÑÑáÅÉêëÛ=äá~Äáäáíó- péÉÅá~äíó=- háÇå~é=~åÇ=ê~åëçã
- qÉêêçêáëã
- bêêçêë=~åÇ=çãáëëáçåë=
- aáêÉÅíçêë=~åÇ=çÑÑáÅÉêëÛ=äá~Äáäáíó
- péÉÅá~äíó=ÅçããÉêÅá~ä
ÉåÉêÖó- péÉÅá~äíó- háÇå~é=~åÇ=ê~åëçã
- qÉêêçêáëã
- eÉ~äíÜÅ~êÉ=áåëìê~åÅÉ
- qÉêêçêáëã - bêêçêë=~åÇ=çãáëëáçåë=
- aáêÉÅíçêë=~åÇ=çÑÑáÅÉêëÛ=äá~Äáäáíó
- péÉÅá~äíó=ÅçããÉêÅá~ä
- qÉÅÜåçäçÖó=~åÇ=ãÉÇá~
- aáêÉÅí=íç=ÅìëíçãÉê=ÅçããÉêÅá~ä=
- qÉÅÜåçäçÖó=~åÇ=ãÉÇá~
- háÇå~é=~åÇ=ê~åëçã
- qÉêêçêáëãaáêÉÅí íç
- mçäáíáÅ~ä=êáëâë- bêêçêë=~åÇ=çãáëëáçåë
- ^îá~íáçå=~åÇ=~Éêçëé~ÅÉ
ÅçããÉêÅá~ä- qÉÅÜåçäçÖó=~åÇ=ãÉÇá~
- aáêÉÅí=íç=ÅìëíçãÉê=ÜçìëÉÜçäÇ=~åÇ=
ÄìëáåÉëë- mêçéÉêíó
- aáêÉÅí=íç=ÅìëíçãÉê=ÜçìëÉÜçäÇ=~åÇ=ÅçããÉêÅá~ä=ÄìëáåÉëë=
éÅçããÉêÅá~ä=ÄìëáåÉëë=
PQ
_çñéäçí=~åÇ=ïÜáëâÉê=Çá~Öê~ã=çÑ=eáëÅçñ iíÇ åÉí äçëë EAãF gìåÉ OMNOeáëÅçñ=iíÇ=åÉí=äçëë=EAãF=gìåÉ=OMNO
içïÉê=RBJ ìééÉê=
ã~êâÉí=äçëë=
ã~êâÉí=äçëë=
ã~êâÉí=äçëë=
êâÉí=äç
ëë=
ã~êâÉí=äçëë=
å=ã~êâÉí=
700
VRB=ê~åÖÉ
jçÇÉääÉÇ=ãÉ~å=äçëë
~åÉ=h~íêáå
~=AR
MÄå=ã
ê=êÉíìêå=éÉêáçÇ=
~åÉ=^åÇ
êÉï=ARS
Äå=ã
ê=êÉíìêå=éÉêáçÇ
ÇÖÉ
=nì~
âÉ=AOQ
Äå=ã
ê=êÉíìêå=éÉêáçÇ
~åÉ=fâÉ=JAN
TÄå=ã~ê
êÉíìêå=éÉêáçÇ
ANMÄ
å=ã~êâÉí=äçëë=
ê=êÉíìêå=éÉêáçÇ
mêáÉ
í~=nì~
âÉ=ASÄ
å=ã
ê=êÉíìêå=éÉêáçÇ
çÜçâ
ì=nì~
âÉ=AOR
Äå
R=óÉ~ê=êÉíìêå=éÉêáçÇ
500
600
AãF
eìêêáÅ
~OR
=óÉ~ê
eìêêáÅ
~PM
=óÉ~ê
kçêíÜêáÇ
QM=óÉ~ê
eìêêáÅ
~T=óÉ~ê=
NVUT
g==
NR=óÉ~ê
içã~=m
NR=óÉ~ê
OMNN
=qç
äçëëI=Q
R
400
Åçñ=iíÇ=äçëë=EA
300
eáëÅ
200
-
100
JP EQ US EQ EU WS US WS JP EQ US EQ EU WS US WS JP EQ US EQ EU WS US WS JP EQ US EQ EU WS US WS JP EQ US EQ EU WS US WS
gm=bn=Ó g~é~åÉëÉ=É~êíÜèì~âÉrp=bn=Ó råáíÉÇ=pí~íÉë=É~êíÜèì~âÉbr=tp=Ó bìêçéÉ~å=ïáåÇëíçêãrp=tp=Ó råáíÉÇ=pí~íÉë=ïáåÇëíçêã
JP EQ US EQ EU WS US WS JP EQ US EQ EU WS US WS JP EQ US EQ EU WS US WS JP EQ US EQ EU WS US WS JP EQ US EQ EU WS US WS
RJNM=óÉ~ê NMJOR=óÉ~ê ORJRM=óÉ~ê RMJNMM=óÉ~ê NMMJORM=óÉ~ê
MN======MO========MR======NU MQ======MT=======MV======PS NV=======NU=======NQ=====SS PU=======PO=======NV=======VV SS=======QM=======OS======NROjÉ~å=áåÇìëíêó=äçëë=AÄå
fåÇìëíêó=äçëë=êÉíìêåéÉêáçÇ=~åÇ=éÉêáä
PR
oÉ~äáëíáÅ Çáë~ëíÉê ëÅÉå~êáçëoÉ~äáëíáÅ=Çáë~ëíÉê=ëÅÉå~êáçë
eáëÅçñ=dêçìé=J äçëëÉë=ëÜçïå=~ë=éÉêÅÉåí~ÖÉ=çÑ=OMNO=Öêçëë=~åÇ=åÉí=ïêáííÉå=éêÉãáìã=
fåÇìëíêó=äçëë=í á Ç
NTB
NOBg~é~åÉëÉ=É~êíÜèì~âÉ ARMÄå=N=áå=OQM=óÉ~ê
êÉíìêå=éÉêáçÇ
PUB
NOBdìäÑ=çÑ=jÉñáÅç=ïáåÇëíçêã ANMTÄå=N=áå=UM=óÉ~ê
OQB
NPB
TB
b êçéÉ~å
cäçêáÇ~=ïáåÇëíçêã
ANORÄå=N=áå=NMM=óÉ~ê
OOB
VB
NPBbìêçéÉ~å=ïáåÇëíçêã
p~å=cê~åÅáëÅç=
APMÄå=N=áå=OMM=óÉ~ê
ARMÄå N áå NNM óÉ~êOSB
dêçëë=äçëë kÉí=äçëë
É~êíÜèì~âÉARMÄå=N=áå=NNM=óÉ~ê
bëíáã~íÉë=ìëÉ=ãçÇÉäë=éêçîáÇÉÇ=Äó=oáëâ=j~å~ÖÉãÉåí=pçäìíáçåëI=fåÅ=~åÇ=^fo=tçêäÇïáÇÉ=`çêéçê~íáçåK=fåÇìëíêó=äçëëÉë=Éëíáã~íÉÇ=ìëáåÖ=iäçóÇÛë=ÖìáÇÉäáåÉëK
PS
^î~áä~ÄäÉ Å~éáí~ä ÇÉÅáÇÉë êáëâ äáãáíë^î~áä~ÄäÉ=Å~éáí~ä=ÇÉÅáÇÉë=êáëâ=äáãáíë
PT
dtm ÖÉçÖê~éÜáÅ~ä ~åÇ ÅìêêÉåÅó ëéäáídtm=ÖÉçÖê~éÜáÅ~ä=~åÇ=ÅìêêÉåÅó=ëéäáí
OMNO=ÅìêêÉåÅó=ëéäáíOMNO=ÖÉçÖê~éÜáÅ~ä=ëéäáí
CAD d th
UK
CAD and other
EUR
13 2%
3.9%
15.6%
North AmericaW ld id
13.2%
40.9%20 6%Worldwide
USD GBP57.8% 25.1%
20.6%
Western Europe
(excl. UK)
11.7% 11.2%
Other
PU
dêçìé êÉáåëìê~åÅÉ ëÉÅìêáíódêçìé=êÉáåëìê~åÅÉ=ëÉÅìêáíó
OMNO=êÉáåëìê~åÅÉ=éêçíÉÅíáçåëGcáêëí=äçëë=ÉñéçëìêÉ=Äó=ê~íáåÖ
oÉÅÉáî~ÄäÉë=~í=PMLMSLNO=çÑ=¡RNVKMã==
`çää~íÉê~äáëÉÇ
NN QB
^^^líÜÉê
SKVB
^PSKVB
NNKQBPKPB
^^RNKTB
^^ ^RMKOBPVKSB
^^
GoÉáåëìê~åÅÉ=éä~ÅÉãÉåíë=áå=ÑçêÅÉ=~í=N=g~åì~êó=OMNOK
PV
oÉáåëìê~åÅÉoÉáåëìê~åÅÉ
oÉáåëìê~åÅÉ=~ë=~=B=çÑ=dtm oÉáåëìê~åÅÉ=êÉÅÉáî~ÄäÉë=~ë=~=B=çÑ=íçí~ä=~ëëÉíë
PM
QM
PM
QM
PRKP
OM
PM
OM
PM P
OTKP
P OMKV
UKT
ONKTGOS
KM
UKO
OSKV
MVKQ
ONKM
ONKO
OOKS
VKM
M
NM
M
NM
NTKP
NPKT
NPKQ
NU
O
NU
NRKQ
NNKU
NMKU
NTKM
NMKM
TKT NP
KQG
N
NNKS
O
NNKM
NOKP
NV
NNKT
NNKT
M
OMMM
OMMN
OMMO
OMMP
OMMQ
OMMR
OMMS
OMMT
OMMU
OMMV
OMNM
ev=OMN
N
OMNN
ev=OMN
O
M
OMMM
OMMN
OMMO
OMMP
OMMQ
OMMR
OMMS
OMMT
OMMU
OMMV
OMNM
ev=OMN
N
OMNN
ev=OMN
O
QMG^ãÉåÇÉÇ=ÇìÉ=íç=êÉÅä~ëëáÑáÅ~íáçå=çÑ=êÉáåëìê~åÅÉ=ÅçããáëëáçåëK
däçëë~êó çÑ íÉêãëdäçëë~êó=çÑ=íÉêãë
^ååì~ä=îÉåíìêÉ qÜÉ=ëóëíÉã=ìëÉÇ=Ñçê=êìååáåÖ=~=iäçóÇÛë=ëóåÇáÅ~íÉ=ìåÇÉê=ïÜáÅÜ=É~ÅÜ=ÚóÉ~ê=çÑ=~ÅÅçìåíÛ=áë=íêÉ~íÉÇ=ëÉé~ê~íÉäóK=jÉãÄÉêë=çïå=Å~é~Åáíó=çå=~=ëóåÇáÅ~íÉ=Ñçê=~=ÚóÉ~ê=çÑ=~ÅÅçìåíÛ=~åÇ=íÜÉ=êÉëìäíë=~êÉ=ÇÉÅä~êÉÇ=ïÜÉå=íÜÉ=óÉ~ê=áë=ÅäçëÉÇ=Äó=íÜÉ=ofq`=ãÉÅÜ~åáëãI=ìëì~ääó=~ÑíÉê=íÜêÉÉ=óÉ~êëK
`ä~áãë=ê~íáç kÉí=Åä~áãë=áåÅìêêÉÇI=áåÅäìÇáåÖ=f_koI=~ë=~=éÉêÅÉåí~ÖÉ=çÑ=åÉí=É~êåÉÇ=éêÉãáìãëK=
`çãÄáåÉÇ=ê~íáç qÜÉ=íçí~ä=çÑ=íÜÉ=Åä~áãëI=ÉñéÉåëÉë=~åÇ=áãé~Åí=çÑ=ÑçêÉáÖå=ÉñÅÜ~åÖÉ=ê~íáçëK
bñéÉåëÉë=ê~íáç bñéÉåëÉë=~ë=~=éÉêÅÉåí~ÖÉ=çÑ=åÉí=É~êåÉÇ=éêÉãáìãëK
c Ç iä ÇÛ qÜ Ñ Üá Ü Ä Ü á ä Ñ Çá ÜcìåÇë=~í=iäçóÇÛë qÜÉ=~ãçìåí=çÑ=~ëëÉíëI=ïÜáÅÜ=Å~å=ÄÉ=Å~ëÜI=áåîÉëíãÉåíë=çê=äÉííÉêë=çÑ=ÅêÉÇáíI=íÜ~í=~=ëóåÇáÅ~íÉ=ãÉãÄÉê=Ü~ë=íç=ÇÉéçëáí=ïáíÜ=iäçóÇÛë=íç=ëìééçêí=Üáë=ëÜ~êÉ=çÑ=íÜÉ=Å~é~Åáíó=çå=~=ëóåÇáÅ~íÉK=qÜÉ=ãáåáãìã=~ãçìåí=áë=QMB=çÑ=íÜÉ=Å~é~Åáíó=çïåÉÇ=Äó=íÜÉ=ãÉãÄÉêK
d áíí á m á í í Ç Ñ Ä Ñ Ç Ç íádêçëë=ïêáííÉå=éêÉãáìã mêÉãáìãë=Åçåíê~ÅíÉÇ=Ñçê=ÄÉÑçêÉ=~åó=ÇÉÇìÅíáçåëK=
dêçìé=ÅçåíêçääÉÇ= qÜÉ=íçí~ä=Öêçëë=ïêáííÉå=éêÉãáìã=ÅçåíêçääÉÇ=Äó=íÜÉ=Öêçìé=áåÅäìÇáåÖ=íÜÉ=OTB=çÑ=íÜÉ=póåÇáÅ~íÉ=Å~é~Åáíó=åçí=çïåÉÇ=Äó=eáëÅçñ=áå=OMNO=EOTB=áå=OMNNFK=
f_ko fåÅìêêÉÇ=Äìí=åçí=êÉéçêíÉÇK=^å=Éëíáã~íÉ=ã~ÇÉ=~í=íÜÉ=ÉåÇ=çÑ=É~ÅÜ=~ÅÅçìåíáåÖ=é ÖéÉêáçÇ=íç=ÅçîÉê=íÜÉ=ÉñéÉÅíÉÇ=Åçëí=çÑ=äçëëÉë=íÜ~í=Ü~îÉ=çÅÅìêêÉÇ=Äìí=Ü~îÉ=åçí=óÉí=ÄÉÉå=êÉéçêíÉÇ=íç=íÜÉ=áåëìêÉê=çê=êÉáåëìêÉêK
fåÅìêêÉÇ=äçëë=ê~íáç= m~áÇ=~åÇ=çìíëí~åÇáåÖ=äçëëÉë=~ë=~=éÉêÅÉåí~ÖÉ=çÑ=éêÉãáìãëK=dêçëë=áåÅìêêÉÇ=äçëë=ê~íáç=áë=ÄÉÑçêÉ=ÇÉÇìÅíáåÖ=~åó=êÉáåëìê~åÅÉ=~åÇ=åÉí=áë=~ÑíÉê=ÇÉÇìÅíáåÖ=êÉáåëìê~åÅÉKÖ ó Ö
içåÖJí~áä ^=íÉêã=ìëÉÇ=íç=ÇÉëÅêáÄÉ=~å=áåëìê~åÅÉ=êáëâ=íÜ~í=Ü~ë=íÜÉ=éçíÉåíá~ä=Ñçê=Åä~áãë=ÇÉîÉäçéãÉåí=çê=åÉï=Åä~áãë=íç=ÄÉ=êÉéçêíÉÇ=~=åìãÄÉê=çÑ=óÉ~êë=~ÑíÉê=Éñéáêó=çÑ=íÜÉ=íÉêã=çÑ=íÜÉ=éçäáÅóK
jÉãÄÉê çê k~ãÉ qÜÉ Åçãé~åáÉë çê áåÇáîáÇì~äë ïÜç çïå íÜÉ Å~é~Åáíó çÑ ~ ëóåÇáÅ~íÉ ~åÇ ïÜçjÉãÄÉê=çê=k~ãÉ qÜÉ=Åçãé~åáÉë=çê=áåÇáîáÇì~äë=ïÜç=çïå=íÜÉ=Å~é~Åáíó=çÑ=~=ëóåÇáÅ~íÉ=~åÇ=ïÜç=ÄÉäçåÖ=íç=íÜÉ=ãÉãÄÉêëÜáé=çÑ=íÜÉ=pçÅáÉíó=çÑ=iäçóÇÛëK
QN
däçëë~êó çÑ íÉêãëdäçëë~êó=çÑ=íÉêãë
kÉí=éêÉãáìãë=É~êåÉÇ mêÉãáìãë=êÉÅÉáîÉÇ=~ÑíÉê=íÜÉ=Åçëí=çÑ=êÉáåëìê~åÅÉ=~åÇ=~ÇàìëíãÉåí=Ñçê=ìåÉ~êåÉÇ=éêÉãáìãK=råÉ~êåÉÇ=éêÉãáìã=ÅçîÉêë=íÜÉ=ÑìíìêÉ=éÉêáçÇ=çÑ=êáëâ=çÑ=~å=áåëìê~åÅÉ=éçäáÅóK
kÉí=éêÉãáìãë=ïêáííÉå mêÉãáìãë=Åçåíê~ÅíÉÇ=Ñçê=~ÑíÉê=ÇÉÇìÅíáçå=çÑ=êÉáåëìê~åÅÉK
léÉå=óÉ~ê ^=vÉ~ê=çÑ=^ÅÅçìåí=çÑ=~=ëóåÇáÅ~íÉ=ïÜáÅÜ=Ü~ë=åçí=ÄÉÉå=ÅäçëÉÇ=Äó=oÉáåëìê~åÅÉ=qç=`äçëÉ=Eofq`FK=ofq`=ìëì~ääó=çÅÅìêë=~í=íÜÉ=ÉåÇ=çÑ=íÜÉ=íÜáêÇ=óÉ~êK=^=vÉ~ê=çÑ=^ÅÅçìåí=Å~å=ÄÉ=äÉÑí=çéÉå=ÄÉóçåÇ=íÜÉ=íÜáêÇ=óÉ~ê=áÑ=íÜÉ=ÉñíÉåí=çÑ=íÜÉ=ÑìíìêÉ=äá~Äáäáíó=Å~ååçí=ÄÉ=~ÅÅìê~íÉäó=èì~åíáÑáÉÇK=
nì~äáÑóáåÖ=èìçí~=ëÜ~êÉ qÜÉëÉ=~êÉ=èìçí~=ëÜ~êÉ=êÉáåëìê~åÅÉ=éçäáÅáÉëI=ïÜáÅÜ=iäçóÇÛë=~ääçï=áå=ÅÉêí~áå=ÅáêÅìãëí~åÅÉëI=íÜ~í=Éå~ÄäÉ=~=ëóåÇáÅ~íÉ=íç=ïêáíÉ=Öêçëë=éêÉãáìã=áå=ÉñÅÉëë=çÑ=áíë=Å~é~ÅáíóK
oÉáåëìê~åÅÉ íç ÅäçëÉ Ó ofq` qÜÉ êÉáåëìê~åÅÉ íç ÅäçëÉ ÅçãéêáëÉë ~ éêÉãáìã é~ó~ÄäÉ Äó íÜÉ ÅäçëáåÖ óÉ~êoÉáåëìê~åÅÉ=íç=ÅäçëÉ= ofq` qÜÉ=êÉáåëìê~åÅÉ=íç=ÅäçëÉ=ÅçãéêáëÉë=~=éêÉãáìã=é~ó~ÄäÉ=Äó=íÜÉ=ÅäçëáåÖ=óÉ~ê=íç=íÜÉ=ãÉãÄÉêë=çå=íÜÉ=åÉñí=çéÉå=óÉ~ê=çÑ=~ÅÅçìåí=~åÇ=~=Åçåíê~Åí=ïÜáÅÜ=íê~åëÑÉêë=íÜÉ=äá~Äáäáíó=Ñçê=~ää=Åä~áãë=áå=êÉëéÉÅí=çÑ=íÜÉ=ÅäçëáåÖ=óÉ~ê=íç=íÜÉ=åÉñí=çéÉå=óÉ~êK===
oìåJçÑÑ ~ÅÅçìåí ^í iäçóÇÛëI ~ óÉ~ê çÑ ~ÅÅçìåí ïÜáÅÜ áë âÉéí çéÉå ~ÑíÉê íÜÉ Ç~íÉ çå ïÜáÅÜ áíoìå çÑÑ=~ÅÅçìåí ^í=iäçóÇ ëI=~=óÉ~ê=çÑ=~ÅÅçìåí=ïÜáÅÜ=áë=âÉéí=çéÉå=~ÑíÉê=íÜÉ=Ç~íÉ=çå=ïÜáÅÜ=áí=ïçìäÇ=åçêã~ääó=Ü~îÉ=ÄÉÉå=ÅäçëÉÇK
pìÄêçÖ~íáçå qÜÉ=êáÖÜí=çÑ=íÜÉ=ìåÇÉêïêáíÉê=íç=Úëí~åÇ=áå=íÜÉ=ëÜçÉë=çÑ=íÜÉ=áåëìêÉÇÛ=~åÇ=í~âÉ=çîÉê=íÜÉ=fåëìêÉÇDë=êáÖÜíëI=ÑçääçïáåÖ=é~óãÉåí=çÑ=~=Åä~áãI=íç=êÉÅçîÉê=íÜÉ=é~óãÉåí=çÑ=~å=áåÅìêêÉÇ=äçëë=Ñêçã=~=íÜáêÇ=é~êíó=êÉëéçåëáÄäÉ=Ñçê=íÜÉ=äçëëK=fí=áë=é~óãÉåí=çÑ=~å=áåÅìêêÉÇ=äçëë=Ñêçã=~=íÜáêÇ=é~êíó=êÉëéçåëáÄäÉ=Ñçê=íÜÉ=äçëëK=fí=áë=äáãáíÉÇ=íç=íÜÉ=~ãçìåí=çÑ=äçëë=é~áÇ=Äó=íÜÉ=áåëìê~åÅÉ=éçäáÅóK
póåÇáÅ~íÉ=Å~é~Åáíó ^äëç=êÉÑÉêêÉÇ=íç=~ë=íÜÉ=Úëí~ãéÛK=qÜÉ=ã~ñáãìã=~ãçìåí=çÑ=ÄìëáåÉëë=íÜ~í=~=ëóåÇáÅ~íÉ=áå=iäçóÇÛë=Å~å=ïêáíÉ=éÉê=óÉ~êI=~ÖÖêÉÖ~íÉÇ=Ñêçã=~ää=áíë=ãÉãÄÉêëK
QO