bctc-2007
TRANSCRIPT
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Name of chairman
2007 full ear conference call - 21 Februar 2008
2007 full year conference call
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2 Name of chairman2007 full ear conference call - 21 Februar 2008
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward lookingstatements which reflect Managements currentviews and estimates. The forward lookingstatements involve certain risks and uncertaintiesthat could cause actual results to differ materiallyfrom those contained in the forward looking
statements. Potential risks and uncertaintiesinclude such factors as general economicconditions, foreign exchange fluctuations,competitive product and pricing pressures and
regulatory developments.
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2007 Highlights
Successful delivery of the Nestl ModelFood and Beverages the driver of growth and profitabilitySignificant improvement in key metrics despite environment
Nutrition, health and wellness transformationCompletion of the Healthcare and Gerber acquisitionsAnnualised sales of over CHF 11 billion for Nestl Nutrition
Organisational transformation agile fleetIndividual businesses focused on individual opportunities
Strategic brands drive growth
Billionaire brands enabling both volume growth & pricing First mover advantage
Early identification of input costs & pre-emptive strategies meanthey have no material impact on 07 performance
Hi hli h ll i i
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2007 Highlights all metrics improveDelivering the Nestl Model
Sales total
Organic growth
EBIT
EBIT margin
Net profit
Net profit margin
Working capital
(% of sales)
Operating cash flow
ROIC
- before goodwill
- after goodwill
+ 9.2 %
+ 7.4 %
+ 12.9 %
+ 50 bps
+ 15.8 %
+ 60 bps
- 10 bps
+ 15.1 %
+ 100 bps
+ 50 bps
+ CHF 9.1 bn
+ CHF 1.7 bn
+ CHF 1.4 bn
+ CHF 1.7 bn
CHF 107.6 bn
CHF 15.0 bn
14.0 %
CHF 10.6 bn
9.9 %
6.6 %
CHF 13.4 bn
22.2 %
12.2 %
Improvements FY 07 v 06 FY 07 Total
F d d B
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Food and BeveragesAll metrics improve
2007
2006
RIG OG EBITmarginSales
CHF 100.3 bn
CHF 91.8 bn
+ 9.2 % + 40 bps
12.6 %
12.2 %
Strongon-goinggrowth
4.0 %
7.1 %
5.9 %
4.2 %
EBIT
+ 12.7 %
CHF 12.6 bn
CHF 11.2 bn
C ti d t th
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Continued strong growthGroup and Food & Beverages
CHF 100.3 bn
Food & Beverages
Pricing
Acq./Div.Exchange Rates
CHF 107.6 bn
Total Group
+ CHF 9.1 bn
+ 9.2 %
total+ 3.0 %
+ 1.4 %
+ 0.4 %
+ 4.4 %
+ CHF 8.5 bn
+ 7.1 %
OG + 9.2 %total
+ 4.0 %
+ 0.6 %
+ 1.5 %
+ 3.1 %
+ 7.4 %
OG
RIG
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Total Food & Beverages*
* each region includes sales of Food & Beverages, Nestl Waters and Nestl Nutrition businesses, Nespresso and F&B JVs
Sales
CHF bn
x.x
2.9
4.4
5.3
4.2
8.6
9.6
39.0
Europe
% RIG
% Organic Growth
Americas
42.5
Asia, Oceania, Africa
18.8
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
%Growth
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Dairy(incl. Ice cream)
Product groups RIG & organic growth
% RIG % Organic growth
%Growth
7.6
5.0
1.7
6.5
3.2
2.3
3.8
10.210.3
6.6
7.8
9.7
4.0
5.3
7.0
11.0
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Powdered &Liquid Beverages(ex-Nestl Waters)
NestlWaters
NestlNutrition
Prepareddishes &cooking aids
Confectionery PetCare Pharma
SalesCHF bn 17.9 10.4 20.7 8.4 18.5 12.3 7.312.1
Total Beverages (RIG 6.6 % OG 8.9 %) Total Milk, Nutrition & Ice cream (RIG 2.8 % OG 8.3 %)
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%Growth % RIG % Organic Growth
SalesCHF bn
Primary: RIG & Organic growth
2.0
3.3
4.45.0
6.5
21.4
4.0
3.0
8.1
8.8
6.6
9.7
23.2
7.1
ZoneEurope
28.5
ZoneAmericas
32.9
ZoneAOA
16.6
NestlWaters
10.4
NestlNutrition
8.4
Other F&B
3.5
Total F&B
100.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
F&B "Billionaire Brands" represent
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F&B Billionaire Brands representabout 70 % of F&B sales
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Accelerating trend in pricing
1.8
2.2
2.6
3.1
07
H1
07
9M
07
FY
07
Q1
% CumulativePricing
F&B
0.5
1
1.5
2
0
2.5
3
3.5
2007 Full Year Results
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2007 Full Year ResultsKey factors of margin improvement
EBIT2006
COGS Distribution Marketing R&D EBIT2007
13.5 %
+ Operation Excellence
+ Mix
- Input costs
- 60
GROUP EBIT MARGIN + 50 bps (+ 60 constant currency)F&B EBIT MARGIN + 40 bps (+ 50 constant currency)
Spend
+ 8.1 %
14.0 %
EBIT + 12.9 %
+ CHF 1.7 bn
+ 20
CHF spend + 1.5 bn
Media % up with sales+ Trade spend efficiencies+ Volume growth
+ 90
+ GNBS+ Growth
+ Efficiencies
Administration- 10
+ 10
+ 50
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High quality results
Increased input cost pressure Currency translation impact of 10 bps
Increased media spend Improved trade spend efficiency Increased R&D spend
Improved management of Admin costs
Increased EBIT by CHF 1.7 bn
Improved EBIT margin by 50 basis points
2007 performance demonstrates value of growth
EBIT P i i
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EBIT Primary reporting
11.7 12.0
ZoneEUR
15.8 16.3
ZoneAMS
16.616.3
ZoneAOA
8.78.2
NestlWaters
16.9
13.6
17.2
15.8
NestlNutrition
OtherF&B
12.2 12.6
TotalF&B
% EBIT 2006 % EBIT 2007
+ 30 bps
+ 30 bps
+ 220 bps
+ 40 bps
- 50 bps
- 30 bps
+ 50 bps
2006 EBIT figuresrestated to reflect internal changes in management responsibility as of 1.01.07
EBIT S d t
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EBIT Secondary segment
% EBIT 2006 % EBIT 2007
Powdered & liquidBeverages
(ex-Nestl Waters)
Dairy (incl.Ice Cream)
Prep.Dishes &
Cook. AidsConfectionery PetCare
Pharma.products
22.4 22.4
0 bps
11.5 11.6
+ 10 bps 15.1 15.5
+ 40 bps
31.9
33.3+ 140 bps
13.2 13.0
- 20 bps
10.211.1
+ 90 bps
Increased earnings per share,
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Increased earnings per share,proposed dividend and payout ratio
Dividend per share CHF
Earnings per share (Full) CHF
19.51
17.04
+ 16.4%
7.20
16.05
8.00
10.40
23.90
20062003 2004 2005 2007
9.00
20.78
12.20
27.81
+ 17.3%
CHF 4.4 bn ofshares bought backin 2007 on going
I d t f ki it l
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Improved management of working capital
Working capital total (in % sales)
6.2
6.4
6.6
6.8
7.0
7.2
7.4
7.6
7.8
Working capital total includes Trade receivables, Inventories, Trade payables, Other receivables, Prepayments,
Accruals, Current tax payables and Other short term payables. Calculation is based on year-end figures.
10 bpsimprovement
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
7.2
6.9
7.7
6.7 6.6
Strong cash flow generation
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Free cash flow (FCF)
Strong cash flow generation
Operating cash flow (OCF)
0
2
4
6
8
10
6.64
10.41
6.56
10.21
7.02
11.68
2005 2006 20072003 2004
6.36
10.13
CHFbillion 12
OCF
+ CHF 1.76 bn
FCF+ CHF 1.21 bn
8.23
13.4414
2007 Summarised
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2007 Summarised
9.2 % sales growth; 7.4 % organic growth
EBIT margin up 50 bps to 14 %
Nestl generated an additional- CHF 9.1 billion of sales- CHF 1.7 billion of EBIT
- CHF 1.4 billion of net profit- CHF 1.7 billion of operating cash flow
Well placed for further improvement in 2008- another year of delivering the Nestl Model- Strong EPS & share buyback contribute to outperforminglong-term shareholder value creation
Questions & Answers
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Questions & Answers
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We plan to deliver the Nestl Modelannually over the next 10 years
5-6 % organic growthSustainable improvement in EBIT
Improving trend in Return on Invested Capital
Background slides
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Background slides
Nestl Raw Materials Packaging & Energy
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Nestl Weighted Average Commodity Price Index
(Raw Materials, Packaging and Energy in CHF)
(Jan 1998=100) to December 2007
50
70
90
110
130
150
170
190
Jan-03 Jul-03 Jan-04 Jul-04 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08
Price
Index
Nestl Raw Materials, Packaging & Energy
Nestl Main Agricultural Commodities
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Nestl Weighted Average Main Agricultural Commodities Index
in CHF (Jan 1998=100) to end December 2007
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
Jan-03 Jul-03 Jan-04 Jul-04 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08
PriceIndex
Nestl Main Agricultural Commodities
P&L: EBIT to Net profit
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EBIT 13.5 14.0 + 50
Net other income/expenses (0.5) (0.6) - 10Financial income 0.5 0.6 + 10Financial expense (1.2) (1.4) - 20
Profit before taxes 12.3 12.6 + 30Taxes (3.4) (3.2) + 20Share of results of Associates 1.0 1.2 + 20
Net profit/loss on disc. operations 0.1 0.0 - 10
Profit for the period 10.0 10.6 + 60Attrib. to the shareholdersof the parent (Net profit) 9.3 9.9 + 60
Net profit (CHF million) 9,197 10,649 + 15.8 %
FY 2006 FY 2007 Diff. basis points
As % of sales (rounded)
P&L: EBIT to Net profit
FY 2007 underlying tax rate & EPS
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Underlying full year tax rate
25.7 %, down from 27.8 % in 2006
Underlying EPS CHF 28.01, up 16.1 % from CHF 24.12
Underlying Earning Per Share (EPS) definition:Net profit before, impairments, restructuring costs, results on disposals, significant one-off items.
The above items have been adjusted for tax.
FY 2007 underlying tax rate & EPS
Cash conversion cycle
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0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
20052002 2003 2004
5650 4746
2001
Days
Definition Cash conversion cycle:(AVG trade receivables/sales) x 365 + (AVG inventory/ COGS) x 365- (AVG trade payables/ COGS) x 365
46
Cash conversion cycle
2006 2007
4034
Return on invested capital improves
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Return on invested capital improves
excluding goodwillincluding goodwill
2005
20.8 %
2002
18.9 %
11.0 %
2003
19.9 %
11.0 %
2004
19.9 %
10.8 %
11.4 %
+ 100 bps
+ 50 bps
2006
21.2 %
11.7 %
12.2 %
22.2 %
2007
Net indebtedness*
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* Total financial liabilities minus liquid assets.Liquid assets do not include the carrying value of treasury shares of CHF 8.0 billion.
** Restated
CHFbn
2003 2004 2005 2006
H1 H2 H1 H1 H1H2 H2
21.1
14.415.4
10.2
12.5**
9.7**
13.5
11.0
13.4
0
5
10
15
20
25
H2 H1
2007Figures atperiod end
21.2
H2
Currencies
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Euro (1) 1.57 1.64 4.4 %U.S. dollar (1) 1.25 1.20 (4.3 %)
sterling (1) 2.31 2.40 3.5 %
Real (100) 57.82 61.81 6.9 %
Yen (100) 1.08 1.02 (5.2 %)
Mex. Pesos (100) 11.47 10.96 (4.4 %)
FY 2006 FY 2007 % changeWeighted average FX ratesCHF per
2007 full year conference call
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y