damage survey and analysis of the 20 may 2013 newcastle … · 2014-02-02 · damage survey and...

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Damage Survey and Analysis of the 20 May 2013 Newcastle-Moore, OK, EF-5 Tornado Kiel Ortega 1,2 , Donald Burgess 1,2 , Gabriel Garfield 1,3 , Christopher Karstens 1,2 , James LaDue 4 , Timothy Marshall 5 , Tiffany Meyer 1,4 , Brandon Smith 1,2 , Richard Smith 3 , Doug Speheger 3 , and Gregory Stumpf 1,6 1 Univ. Oklahoma/CIMMS 2 NOAA/OAR/NSSL 3 NOAA/NWS/WFO OUN 4 NOAA/NWS/WDTB 5 Haag Engineering Company 6 NOAA/NWS/MDL Oil tanks (3) (unknown dimension) Propane tanks (2) (10 tons empty) Lockers Acknowledgments The authors would like to thank the other surveyors and those who provided support during the survey: Tanya Brown, Kristin Calhoun, Chuck Doswell, John Ferree, Jack Friedman, Darrel Kingfield, Patrick Marsh, Lans Rothfusz, Ashlie Sears, Bruce Thoren and Jeremy Wesely. Thanks also to Jim Kurdzo and the Advanced Radar Research Center for sharing PX-1000 images and loops. Additional thanks to all of the emergency responders, especially the Oklahoma Highway Patrol, Oklahoma City Police Department, Moore Police and Fire Departments, Norman Police Department and the Newcastle Fire Department, for their assistance in providing guidance (and a helicopter) to the survey teams and their tireless service in response to this tornado. This poster was prepared by Kiel Ortega with funding provided by NOAA/Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research under NOAA-University of Oklahoma Cooperative Agreement #NA11OAR4320072, U.S. Department of Commerce. The statements, findings, conclusions, and recommendations are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of NOAA or the U.S. Department of Commerce. 4 Norman-based survey teams initiated surveys on 21 May, plus aerial photography Centralized collection/coordination using NWS Damage Assessment Tool (DAT) Follow up surveys in the proceeding week (total ~20 people spanning public and private entities) Additional data from aerial photos, satellite images, and other ground teams 4,222 Damage Indicators (30 other points surveyed) EF0: 2,057 | EF1: 825 | EF2: 506 | EF3: 462 | EF4: 361 | EF5: 11 Path StartTornadic? Intermittent convergent path Anecdotal evidence of circulation on the ground Hints of debris via dual- polarized radar data Path StartNon-Tornadic? Definitive video evidence not present until official start Lack of definite dual-pol debris signature until near official start Doppler velocity signature inbound-dominant; balanced over official start and path Official Start: 1956Z Official End: 2035Z Maximum width: 1737 m Official Length: 13.85 mi Justify EF5 Justify EF4 All had removal of some percentage of base plates No capability to evaluate wall-to-roof connections All had some sort of anchor bolting; many bolts were bent. Evidence of the wall holding? All had deficiencies w.r.t. WFCM Wide bolt spacing, lack of clips for wall stud-to- base plate 5 surveyed EF-5 rated homes had toe-nailed connections for wall stud- to-base plate connections Several were within tight gradients of damage (1 w/ across the street EF1 neighbor) Historical damage ratings of similar damage (3 May 1999, 24 May 2011) Area near Moore Medical Center EF-scale contours (colored lines) Damage points (color coded by EF-rating) Tornado centerline in black Yellow arrows illustrate vehicle lofting directions Tornado looped (via PX-1000 radar data) Vehicles parked at Moore Medical Center thrown west into open field and southeast into the Emergency Room entrance One vehicle landed on top of the 2-story MMC Damage along dashed path officially entered into Storm Data as thunderstorm wind damage Propane tank thrown 890 m Oil tank thrown 2.1 km 2 km EF-5 rated homes EF-5 rated home EF-5 rated home EF-4 rated home EF-4 rated home Tornado crossing I-44 at the Canadian River 2003Z EF-5 rated home Using DAT, surveyors relayed information back to WFO OUN in real-time for continuous updates of the tornado path and outline Early path data was used by private companies, like DirecTV, to modify billing Dept. of Health using high- resolution information to guide surveys 686 lb siren thrown 150 m

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Page 1: Damage Survey and Analysis of the 20 May 2013 Newcastle … · 2014-02-02 · Damage Survey and Analysis of the 20 May 2013 Newcastle-Moore, OK, EF-5 Tornado Kiel Ortega1,2, Donald

Damage Survey and Analysis of the 20 May 2013 Newcastle-Moore, OK, EF-5 Tornado Kiel Ortega1,2, Donald Burgess1,2, Gabriel Garfield1,3, Christopher Karstens1,2, James LaDue4, Timothy Marshall5, Tiffany Meyer1,4, Brandon Smith1,2,

Richard Smith3, Doug Speheger3, and Gregory Stumpf1,6 1Univ. Oklahoma/CIMMS 2 NOAA/OAR/NSSL 3NOAA/NWS/WFO OUN 4 NOAA/NWS/WDTB 5Haag Engineering Company 6 NOAA/NWS/MDL

Oil tanks (3) (unknown dimension)

Propane tanks (2) (10 tons empty)

Lockers

Acknowledgments The authors would like to thank the other surveyors and those who provided support during the survey: Tanya Brown, Kristin Calhoun, Chuck Doswell, John Ferree, Jack Friedman, Darrel Kingfield, Patrick Marsh, Lans Rothfusz, Ashlie Sears, Bruce Thoren and Jeremy Wesely. Thanks also to Jim Kurdzo and the Advanced Radar Research Center for sharing PX-1000 images and loops. Additional thanks to all of the emergency responders, especially the Oklahoma Highway Patrol, Oklahoma City Police Department, Moore Police and Fire Departments, Norman Police Department and the Newcastle Fire Department, for their assistance in providing guidance (and a helicopter) to the survey teams and their tireless service in response to this tornado.

This poster was prepared by Kiel Ortega with funding provided by NOAA/Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research under NOAA-University of Oklahoma Cooperative Agreement #NA11OAR4320072, U.S. Department of Commerce. The statements, findings, conclusions, and recommendations are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of NOAA or the U.S. Department of Commerce.

• 4 Norman-based survey teams initiated surveys on 21 May, plus aerial photography • Centralized collection/coordination using NWS Damage Assessment Tool (DAT) • Follow up surveys in the proceeding week (total ~20 people spanning public and private entities) • Additional data from aerial photos, satellite images, and other ground teams

4,222 Damage Indicators (30 other points surveyed) EF0: 2,057 | EF1: 825 | EF2: 506 | EF3: 462 | EF4: 361 | EF5: 11

Path Start—Tornadic? • Intermittent convergent path •Anecdotal evidence of circulation on the ground •Hints of debris via dual-polarized radar data

Path Start—Non-Tornadic? •Definitive video evidence not present until official start •Lack of definite dual-pol debris signature until near official start •Doppler velocity signature inbound-dominant; balanced over official start and path

Official Start: 1956Z

Off

icia

l En

d:

20

35

Z

Maximum width: 1737 m

Official Length: 13.85 mi

Justify EF5 Justify EF4

All had removal of some percentage of base plates

No capability to evaluate wall-to-roof connections

All had some sort of anchor bolting; many bolts were bent. • Evidence of the wall

holding?

All had deficiencies w.r.t. WFCM • Wide bolt spacing, lack

of clips for wall stud-to-base plate

5 surveyed EF-5 rated homes had toe-nailed connections for wall stud-to-base plate connections

Several were within tight gradients of damage (1 w/ across the street EF1 neighbor)

Historical damage ratings of similar damage (3 May 1999, 24 May 2011)

Area near Moore Medical Center

EF-scale contours (colored lines) Damage points (color coded by EF-rating) Tornado centerline in black Yellow arrows illustrate vehicle lofting directions

•Tornado looped (via PX-1000 radar data) •Vehicles parked at Moore Medical Center thrown west into open field and southeast into the Emergency Room entrance •One vehicle landed on top of the 2-story MMC

Damage along dashed path officially entered into Storm Data as thunderstorm wind damage

Propane tank thrown 890 m

Oil tank thrown 2.1 km

2 km

EF-5 rated homes

EF-5 rated home

EF-5 rated home

EF-4 rated home

EF-4 rated home

Tornado crossing I-44 at the Canadian River 2003Z

EF-5 rated home

• Using DAT, surveyors relayed information back to WFO OUN in real-time for continuous updates of the tornado path and outline • Early path data was used by private companies, like DirecTV, to modify billing • Dept. of Health using high-resolution information to guide surveys

686 lb siren thrown 150 m