deutsche bank 16th annual european leveraged finance conference in london. presentation by group...
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Deutsche Bank 16th Annual European Leveraged Finance Conference in London. Presentation by Group Treasurer Jyrki Tammivuori. 14 June 2012.TRANSCRIPT
Stora Enso Investor PresentationJyrki Tammivuori SVP, Group Treasurer
London 14 June 2012
It should be noted that certain statements herein which are not historical facts. including. withoutlimitation those regarding expectations for market growth and developments; expectations for growthand profitability; and statements preceded by “believes”. “expects”. “anticipates”. “foresees”. or similarexpressions. are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private SecuritiesLitigation Reform Act of 1995. Since these statements are based on current plans. estimates andprojections. they involve risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to materially differ fromthose expressed in such forward-looking statements. Such factors include. but are not limited to: (1)operating factors such as continued success of manufacturing activities and the achievement ofefficiencies therein. continued success of product development. acceptance of new products or servicesby the Group’s targeted customers. success of the existing and future collaboration arrangements.changes in business strategy or development plans or targets. changes in the degree of protectioncreated by the Group’s patents and other intellectual property rights. the availability of capital onacceptable terms; (2) industry conditions. such as strength of product demand. intensity of competition.prevailing and future global market prices for the Group’s products and the pricing pressures thereto.price fluctuations in raw materials. financial condition of the customers and the competitors of theGroup. the potential introduction of competing products and technologies by competitors; and (3)general economic conditions. such as rates of economic growth in the Group’s principal geographicmarkets or fluctuations in exchange and interest rates.
214 June 2012Stora Enso presentation
Stora Enso’s business
Printing and Reading Biomaterials Building and Living Renewable Packaging
What we do
Operational EBIT, 147 EUR millionGroup Sales*, EUR 2 673 million
3Stora Enso presentation
46%
9%
14%
29%26%
Printing andReading
Biomaterials Building andLiving
RenewablePackaging
Other
46%
5% 6%
42%
1%
Printing andReading
Biomaterials Building andLiving
RenewablePackaging
Other
14 June 2012
*Including inter-segment sales elimination
Q1 2012 Earnings remained moderate as expected
Operational EBIT EUR 147 million
Strong cash flow EUR 224 million
Liquidity EUR 1 251 million
14 June 2012 4Stora Enso presentation
Summary financials Q1 2012
EUR million I/2012 IV/2011 I/2011 Change %Q1 12/Q1 11
Change %Q1 12/Q4 11
Sales 2 673.3 2 681.6 2 726.9 -2.0 % -0.3 %Operational EBITDA 262.1 242.9 368.3 -28.8 % 7.9 %Operational EBIT 147.4 144.9 258.3 -42.9 % 1.7 %Profit before tax. excl. NRI 101.0 141.4 206.7 -51.1 % -28.6 %Profit before tax 89.9 110.3 179.5 -49.9 % -18.5 %EPS excl. NRI (EUR) 0.10 0.10 0.22 -54.5 % 0.0 %Operational ROCE. % 6.8 6.7 11.9 -42.9 % 1.5 %
Cash flow from operations 223.7 302.3 162.9 37.3 % -26.0 %Cash flow after investing activities 111.4 73.8 91.7 21.5 % 50.9 %Debt/equity 0.46 0.47 0.38 21.1 % -2.1 %
514 June 2012Stora Enso presentation
Operational EBIT in line with previous quarter
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 6
Flexibility improvements continuedFixed Cost/Sales
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 7
Printing and Reading and Renewable Packaging created the cash flow in Q1 2012
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 8
Rethink strategy
Growth markets
Renewable packaging
Biomaterials
Competitive paper
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 9
Strongest growth in demand of virgin fibre-based consumer board will be in Asia
14 June 2012 10
CAGR0,2 %
CAGR3,5 %
CAGR1,4 %
CAGR4,6 %
CAGR3,3 %
CAGR6,9 %
Asia
Middle East & Africa
Eastern Europe
Western EuropeNorth
America
South America
Fibre-based consumer board consumption CAGR
China 9%Pakistan 9%
India 6%
Middle East 4%
2010-2020 Million tonnes
Source: Pöyry and Stora EnsoStora Enso presentation
Focusing on high quality segments in China
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 11
Chinese platformfor growthUnique position
A world leading position
Technologies and specifications
Committed customers
Robust sustainability
Unique integrate
Established footprint
Innovation
Well prepared project to accelerete growth
12
Every third beverage
carton in the world is
produced from Stora Enso materials!
Accelerate what works
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation
Stora Enso’s engines
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 13
Growth enginesRenewable Packaging
Plantation based pulp
Building and living
Cash enginesPrinting and Reading
Nordic market pulp
Low cost base saw milling
14 June 2012
GrowthOperating Capital
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 14
54 %
16 %
24 %
6 %
Printing and ReadingBiomaterialsRenewable PackagingBuilding and Living
35 %
65 %
Cash EngineGrowth Engine
2011 20XX
New investments will contribute well to cash generation
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 15
-1500-1000
-5000
500100015002000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 path 20XX
Capex restructuringInv for future Net cash from operationsEBITDA from new projects
Investment for future and net cash
from operations2011
Maturity profile 31 March 2012
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 16
EUR 413m 5.125% 2014
SEK 500m 3.5% 2015SEK 1.4 bn S+3.7% 2015SEK 2.4 bn 5.75% 2015
EUR 390m E+4.21% 2016USD 507m 6.404% 2016
USD 300m 7.25% 2036
Revolving Credit Facility € 700 million matures in January 2015 and is fully undrawn
€m Commercial paperOther loans / liabilitiesBonds
Funding sources Q1 2012
• Cash position +1251 MEUR
• Revolving Credit Facility(Jan 2015) +700 MEUR (fully undrawn)
• Other Credit Facilities+600 MEUR
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 17
Bonds
CPs
Loans
Loans fromMultilateralsand ECAs
Credit rating situation
Rating agency Long/short-term rating Valid from
Standard & Poor's BB (stable)/B 22 November 2011
Moody's Ba2 (stable)/NP 3 November 2011
Fitch BB (stable)/B 22 Jun 2010 (unsolicited)
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 18
Sales and operational EBIT forecast for Q2 2012 Compared with Q1 2012
• Group sales slightly higher andoperational EBIT approximately in the range of Q1 2012
• Maintenance stoppages in several European mills with main impact in Biomaterials
• Benefits of improving variable costs slowly apparent in the results
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 19
Summary
• Quarterly performance as expected
• Cost position and operational performance improvement need to continue
• Transformation accelerating: Montes del Plata pulp mill, and Chinese pulp and packaging board mill
• Strong liquidity, good access to funding and balanced maturity profile
14 June 2012 20Stora Enso presentation
14 June 2012 21Stora Enso presentation
Debt increase due to large investments for the future
Net Debt/Equity2009 – Q4 2011
0,51
0,39
0,47
0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
2009 2010 2011
Net Debt/Operational EBITDA
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 22
3,2
2,0 2,1
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
4,0
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
2009 2010 2011
EUR
milli
on
Net DebtNet Debt/Operational EBITDA
Cash in & out
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 23
-8%
-4%
0%
4%
8%
12%
Printing &Reading
Biomaterials Building &Living
RenewablePackaging
Group
Capex restructuring Inv for future Net cash from operations
2007-2011% of sales
Business improved q-on-q, other lowerOperational EBIT by segments
EUR million I/2012 IV/2011 I/2011 Change %Q112/Q111
Change %Q112/Q411
Printing and Reading 67.3 55.6 85.2 -21.0 % 21.0%% of sales 5.5 4.3 7.0 -21.4 % 27.9 %
Biomaterials 7.2 27.2 53.5 -86.5 % -73.5 %% of sales 3.0 10.6 18.3 -83.6 % -71.7 %
Building and Living 9.8 6.0 11.8 -16.9 % 63.3 %% of sales 2.6 1.6 2.9 -10.3 % 62.5 %
Renewable Packaging 61.7 32.8 101.0 -38.9 % 88.1 %% of sales 7.9 4.3 12.5 -36.8 % 83.7 %
Other 1.4 23.3 6.8 -79.4 % -94.0 %% of sales 0.2 3.6 0.9 -77.8 % -94.4 %
2414 June 2012Stora Enso presentation
Business improved q-on-q, other lowerOperational EBIT by segment
EUR million I/2012 IV/2011 Change Q1 12/Q4 11
Printing and Reading 67.3 55.6 11.7
Biomaterials 7.2 27.2 -20.0
Building and Living 9.8 6.0 3.8
Renewable Packaging 61.7 32.8 28.9
Other 1.4 23.3 -21.9
Group 147.4 144.9 2.5
2514 June 2012Stora Enso presentation
Working capital decreased year-on-yearQ1 2010 – Q1 2012
14 June 2012
*Operative working capital = trade receivables + inventories – trade payables
26Stora Enso presentation
Transaction risk and hedgesas at 31 March 2012
27
Operational EBIT: Currency strengthening of + 10% EUR millionUSD 116
SEK -90
GBP 62
EUR million USD GBP SEK
Estimated annual net operating cash flow exposure 1 160 620 -900
Transaction hedges as at 31 March 2012 -580 -280 390
Hedging percentage as at 31 March 2012 for the next 12 months 50% 45% 43%
The sensitivity is based on estimated next 12 months net operating cash flow. The calculation does not take into account currency hedges, and assumes no changes occurs other than a single currency exchange rate movement. Weakening would have the opposite impact.
USD and GBP have additional hedges for 13-14 months which will increase the hedging percentage by 2% and 4% respectively.
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation
Net Financial Items
EUR million I/2012 IV/2011 I/2011Change %Q112/Q111
Change %Q112/Q411
Net interest expense -37.7 -35.1 -23.0 -63.9 -7.4
Foreign exchange gains and losses 8.0 -3.0 -11.9 n/m n/m
Other financial items. of which -4.3 -21.1 -16.3 73.6 79.6
PIK notes 2.0 2.0 1.5
Fair valuation of interest rate derivates* -3.3 -4.4 13.9
Fair valuation of long-term debt -0.5 -0.4 -0.5
NewPage lease provision 13.6 - -
Arktos writeoff - -10.2 -
Other items -16.1 -8.1 -31.2
Total net financial items -34.0 -59.2 -51.2 33.6 42.6
28
*Not hedge accounted interest rate derivatives.
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation
Softwood pulp prices Stora Enso’s market pulp is softwood
Source: FOEX
2914 June 2012Stora Enso presentation
Pulp wood and saw log pricesWood prices in Finland
Source: METLA
3014 June 2012Stora Enso presentation
Wood prices in Sweden
31
Pulpwood includes pine. spruce and birch. Sawlogs include pine and spruce.
Source: SDC. Skogsstyrelsen
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation
RCP prices
German RCP price development. free deliveredSource: Verband Deutscher Papierfabriken/Stora Enso
3214 June 2012Stora Enso presentation
Energy balance* Q1 2012
Impact** on operating profit from 10% change in: EUR million p.a.
Electricity market price ~9
Fossil fuel price ~17
Self sufficiency 47% Self sufficiency 63%
Total energy self sufficiency 59%
**) Remaining impact on non-hedged volume
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 33
*) Pulp. paper and board mills. Europe and overseas
Full year 2011 operational EBIT improved by 9%
• Operational EBIT EUR 867 million
• Operational ROCE 10.0%
• Strong cash flow EUR 1 034 million,
• Good cash liquidity EUR 1 134 million
• Net debt EUR 2 746 million
• Purpose of Bond Issue is maturity extension
• Excellent access to funding– MdP, EIB
14 June 2012 34Stora Enso presentation
Solid year and satisfactory quarter
2,0 %
3,0 %
4,0 %
5,0 %
6,0 %
7,0 %
8,0 %
9,0 %
10,0 %
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
10Q1 10Q2 10Q3 10Q4 11Q1 11Q2 11Q3 11Q4
EU
R m
illio
n
Operational EBIT*
Operational EBIT margin %, 4 Q avg
14 June 2012 35Stora Enso presentation
0,0 %
1,0 %
2,0 %
3,0 %
4,0 %
5,0 %
6,0 %
7,0 %
8,0 %
9,0 %
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2010 2011
EU
R m
illio
n
Operational EBIT*
Operational EBIT margin %
*Operational EBIT comprises the operating profit excluding NRI and fair valuations of the segments and Stora Enso’s share of the operating profit excluding NRI and fair valuations of its equity accounted investments (EAI). Fair valuations include equity incentive schemes, synthetic
options net of realised and open hedges, CO2 emission rights and valuations of biological assets related to forest assets in EAI.
Newsprint and Book Paper Magazine Paper Fine Paper
Consumer Board Industrial Packaging Wood Products
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 36
Breakdown by segment 2011
Operational EBIT, EUR 867 million*(Share of Group’s operational EBIT)
Sales, EUR 10 965 million
*excluding non-recurring items
12%
19% 20%
23%
15%
9% 13% 15%
31%
8% 7%
22%
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 37
Ownership distribution – by voting power31 Dec 2011
22 %
25 %
3 %6 %
27 %
3 %1 %
13 %
Finnish Institutions Solidium Oy *)Finnish private shareholders Swedish institutionsFoundation Asset Management Swedish private shareholdersADRs Under nominee names
(non-Finnish/ non-Swedish shareholders)
*) Entirely owned by the Finnish State
TOP 10 Shareholders 1 Foundation Asset Management2 Solidium Oy3 Social Insurance Institution of Finland4 Varma Mutual Pension Insurance Company5 Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company6 MP-Bolagen i Vetlanda AB (Werner von Seydlitz)7 Erik Johan Ljungberg’s Education Foundation8 Nordea Investment Funds9 Bergslaget’s Healthcare Foundation10 The State Pension Fund, Finland
Curtailments increased to reduce inventories % of capacity
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 38
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q310 Q410 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411
% o
f cap
acity
Paper and Board Wood Products
Flexibility improvements continueFixed cost/sales
14 June 2012 39Stora Enso presentation
0,24
0,26
0,28
0,30
FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011
Fixe
d C
ost/S
ales
Productivity continued to increase55% per person since 2005
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 40
Continuing operations
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
400 000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Sal
es/e
mpl
oyee
Over 80% of investments to high-return growth EUR million
14 June 2012Stora Enso presentation 41
951
254
447
92
197
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Cash flow generated by operations
Cash outflow
EU
R m
illion
Dividend
Investments to other
Investments to high-return growth
Net financial items and net income tax paid
Feb/Mar 2012 New Issue and Liability Management
14 June 2012 42Stora Enso presentation
• On 29 February 2012 Stora Enso issued successfully a new 7yr €500m fixed-rated EUR bond, coupon being 5.50% and yield 5.531%
• Simultaneously, Stora Enso announced a tender offer on its €750m 5.125% June 2014 bond at E+130bp. The total amount tended was €340.2m at the price of 105.97.
Rationale“We have a strong liquidity position and good access to various financing markets. We issued the bond and announced the tender offer for the Eurobond maturing in 2014 to take advantage of the good credit market conditions and extend our maturity profile”
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019-2035 2036Commercial paperOther loans / liabilitiesBonds