emapi 2015 bernard-verdier

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Low abundance effects of alien plants on native plant richness Maud Bernard-Verdier & Philip E. Hulme EMAPi 2015 – September 24 th

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Page 1: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Low abundance effects of alien plants on native plant richness

Maud Bernard-Verdier & Philip E. Hulme

EMAPi 2015 – September 24th

Page 2: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Invasion impact assessed at high alien abundances

Page 3: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Invasion impact assessed at high alien abundances

Very abundant or dominant

Absent or rare

?

Local abundance of the alien plant

Native richness

Page 4: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Native richness and abundance of the alien

• At what abundance do alien plants start having an impact?

• At the landscape scale, what implications for risk assessment and management?

Species A

Species B

Species C

a1 a2 a3

Criticalabundance values

Local abundance of the alien plant

Native richness

Page 5: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Study of a highly invaded landscape

Banks Peninsula New Zealand

40 % plant species are non-native

5 mi

Page 6: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Study of a highly invaded landscape

5 mi

Page 7: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Study of a highly invaded landscape

Page 8: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Extensive vegetation survey

Vegetation survey (1982-1985) by Hugh D. Wilson

Systematic 1000 x 1000 yards grid6 x 6 m plots

Page 9: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Extensive vegetation survey

Vegetation survey (1982-1985) by Hugh D. Wilson

Systematic 1000 x 1000 yards grid6 x 6 m plots

Abundance scores:

1. Rare2. Occasional3. Frequent4. Common5. Abundant6. Dominant

Page 10: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Identifying gradients of alien abundance

751 grassland plots466 vascular plant species

Species selection criteria:

≥ 3 abundance classes≥ 5 obs. per class

= 55 focal alien species

Page 11: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

At what abundance are alien speciesassociated to a decrease in native richness?

Page 12: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Native richness along an alien abundance gradientN

ativ

e α

-ric

hn

ess

Contrasts with rare abundances (GLM)

= Effect size

Local abundance of the alien plant

e.g. Lolium perenne

Page 13: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Assigning critical abundancesEf

fect

siz

e co

mp

ared

to

rar

e(b

oo

tstr

ap 9

5%

CI) Critical abundance

= lowest abundance at which we observe a significantly negative effect followed by only negative effects

e.g. Lolium perenne

Occa

sio

na

l

Fre

qu

en

t

Co

mm

on

Ab

un

da

nt

Do

min

an

t

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

Local abundance of the alien plant

Page 14: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

0

10

20

30

40

50

Occ

asio

nal

Frequ

ent

Com

mon

Abu

ndan

t

Dom

inan

t

A range of critical abundances

55 Alien species : 11 critical abundances

Nu

mb

er o

f sp

ecie

s

All species

Negative effects

Critical

abundances

• 20% of aliens associated with a decrease in native richness

• >80% of critical abundances were below the highest abundance class

• Proportionally more frequent toward higher abundances

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Occ

asio

nal

Frequ

ent

Com

mon

Abu

ndan

t

Dom

inan

t

Pro

po

rtio

n p

er c

lass

Page 15: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Occa

sio

nal

Fre

qu

en

t

Com

mo

n

Ab

und

an

t

Dom

inan

t

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

Occa

sio

nal

Fre

qu

en

t

Com

mo

n

Ab

und

an

t

Dom

inan

t

-2

-1

0

1

2

Dactylis glomerata

Occa

sio

nal

Fre

qu

en

t

Com

mo

n

Ab

und

an

t

Dom

inan

t

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

Lolium perenne

Low to high critical abundances

Achillea millefolium

Different shape of relationships between alien

abundance and native richness = different mechanisms?

High critical abundances are not the general rule

Effe

ct s

ize

Page 16: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

What consequences at the landscape scale ?

Page 17: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Spread of potential impact across the landscape

Achillea millefolium Dactylis glomerata

Presence 233 611

Page 18: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Spread of potential impact across the landscape

Achillea millefolium Dactylis glomerata

Dominance

Presence 233 611

14 15

Page 19: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Spread of potential impact across the landscape

Above critical abundance

Dominance

Presence 233 611

14 15

171 15

Achillea millefolium Dactylis glomerata

Changes ranking of species

Page 20: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Scaling-up to γ-richness across plots

αi

αi

αi

αi

αi

αi

αiαi

αi

αiαi

αiγ

γ-richness : total number of unique species across plots

How do declines in local richness translate to the regional species pool?

Page 21: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Rar

e

Occ

asiona

l

Frequ

ent

Com

mon

Abu

ndan

t

Dom

inan

t

0

50

100

150

200

γ-richness

Trends in native γ-richness

Local abundance of the focal species

e.g. Lolium perenneCritical abundance

for α-richness

Page 22: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

γ-richness

Rar

e

Occ

asiona

l

Frequ

ent

Com

mon

Abu

ndan

t

Dom

inan

t

0

50

100

150

200

Trends in native γ-richness

Expected given the number of plots in each abundance class

Local abundance of the focal species

Critical abundance for α-richness

e.g. Lolium perenne

239 4411664106100

Page 23: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

γ-richness

Rar

e

Occ

asiona

l

Frequ

ent

Com

mon

Abu

ndan

t

Dom

inan

t

0

50

100

150

200

Trends in native γ-richness

Expected given the number of plots in each abundance class

Local abundance of the focal species

Critical abundance for α-richness

e.g. Lolium perenne

Effect Size of decrease in γ-richness

239 4411664106100

Page 24: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Loss in mean α-richness above critical abundances

Loss

in γ-r

ich

nes

s co

mp

ared

to

nu

llLoss in α vs. γ richness at critical abundance

• No correlation

• Loss in γ-richness always larger than loss in α-richness

Page 25: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Conclusions

• Negative relationship between native richness and alien abundance for 20% of alien species

• Low abundance effects are widespread

• Spatial extent is not directly an indicator of impact spread

• Species loss at the landscape scale is not proportional to loss at the local scale

Page 26: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Implications for management

• Low abundance alien species may be currently overlooked

• We might be underestimating impacts at the landscape scale

Prioritizing species based on impact at the landscape scale

• low vs. high critical abundances suggest different underlying ecological processes of invasion

- Different management targets

- Different management approaches

Page 27: EMAPI 2015 Bernard-Verdier

Bio-Protection Research CentrePO Box 85084Lincoln UniversityLincoln 7647, New ZealandP + 64 3 423 0932F + 64 3 325 3864 www.bioprotection.org.nz

Thank you

Hugh WilsonFederico TomasettoJennifer BuffordTyler BrummerWill Godsoe