eurocat ccasn stakeholders meeting ottawa, november 2008 ester garne
TRANSCRIPT
European Surveillance of Congenital Anomalies
Supported by the EU Public Health Programme
WHO Collaborating Centre for the Epidemiological Surveillance of Congenital Anomalies
What is EUROCAT?
European network of population-based registries for the epidemiologic surveillance of congenital anomalies.
Started in 1979 More than 1.4 million births surveyed per year
in Europe 39 registries in 20 countries 26% of European birth population covered High quality multiple data source registries,
ascertaining terminations of pregnancy as well as births.
Full Member
Associate Member
< 10,000 births per year
10,000 – 40,000 births per year
> 40,000 births per year
EUROCAT Objectives
Provide essential epidemiologic information on congenital anomalies in Europe
Co-ordinate the establishment of new registries throughout Europe collecting comparable, standardised data
Co-ordinate the detection and response to clusters and early warning of teratogenic exposures
EUROCAT Objectives cont.
evaluate the effectiveness of primary prevention
assess the impact of developments in prenatal screening
provide an information and resource centre and ready collaborative research network to address the causes and prevention of congenital anomalies and the treatment, care and outcome of affected individuals
Methods
Livebirths, fetal deaths with GA 20 weeks and terminations of pregnancy (TOPFA) after prenatal diagnosis of malformation
Follow-up during first year of life for late diagnosed cases in most registries
All registries are population based
Multiple sources of ascertainment ICD10 Q chapter for inclusion and list of
minor anomalies for exclusion (codes and/or text)
Central database at University of Ulster
Local and central data
Data send to Central Registry once per year (2 deadlines)
Local and central datavalidation Local approval of data before published
on the website No data used without local approval for
the specific purpose (research) Data owned by local registry Only year of birth for data send outside
Central Registry
Size of EUROCAT registries
Large difference in number of births covered: from 4.000 births per year til 65.000 births per year
For full membership: Recommend minimum 5000 births per year At least 15.000 births before prevalence data is
placed on the website Optimal size of a EUROCAT registry is 10.000-
20.000 births per year
Distribution of type of malformation
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
% o
f to
tal
All full member registries 2000-2005
All Anomalies, Full Member Registries, 1992-2004
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
199
2
199
3
199
4
199
5
199
6
199
7
199
8
199
9
200
0
200
1
200
2
200
3
200
4
Years
Pre
vale
nce
per
10,0
00 b
irth
s
All Anomalies LB Prevalence All Anomalies TOPFA PrevalenceAll Anomalies Total Prevalence Cardiac Anomalies Total Prevalence
For most malformations there is no clear limit between the normal situation and the malformation
Therefore strict definitions and inclusion or exclusion criteria are
needed before comparison of data
Discharge diagnosis cannot be the only source of data - examples from Odense
Discharge diagnosis Reviewed diagnosis
Hypospadia Hooded foreskin
Malformation of hand Reduction defect of hand
Unspecified malformation Gastroschisis
Choanal atresia Only suspected – not confirmed
Patent ductus Term baby with pulmonary hypertension
Hydronephrosis Multicystic renal dysplasia
Malformation of circulatory system
Pulmonary valve atresia
Statistical surveillance
The main aim of EUROCAT and what EU is funding us for
Looking for new teratogenes – including drugs
Surveillance is to detect clusters and trends and to act as early warning system
Clustering in space and time
Monitoring – Surveillance Detection of clusters – New teratogens
Based on the malformation codes Statistical noise from
Different doctors code differently Specified versus unspecified Number of digits used Malformation / syndrome feature Inclusion of genetic syndromes (diagnosed
or undiagnosed) Other known etiology (fetal alcohol
syndrome etc)
Methods
Statistical software developed for use at both central and local level
Cluster analysis: requiring minimum 7 cases over a 5 year period and aim to detect clusters of less than 18 months within the last 2 years of the period
Trends: 10 years data using number of cases per year and number of births per year
Detection of clusters and trends
Annual statistical surveillance done at central registry after February deadline for sending data
Preliminary discussion at the spring PMC meeting Results send to local registries one month before
the annual meeting Session at the annual meeting in June to discuss
local clusters and trends Statistical monitoring report published 3-6 months
after the meeting – next time with a press release
Statistical problemsProblem Solution
Subgroups may be heterogenous and inflated by genetic conditions
We have revised the subgroups to make them more specified and clinically relevant
Chromosomal cases often have several major malformations
Chromosomal cases deleted from non-chromosomal subgroups
Surveillance based on date of birth problematic when adding livebirths and TOPFA
Surveillance based on calculated date of conception (using GA)
Surveillance of multiple malformations
Flow-chart developed but not yet implemented in routine surveillance
Change in registry uptake area
No solution yet
Local registry investigations of clusters 2006 data surveillance
Apparent cluster with cause for concern, investigation ongoing (n = 0)
Not “true” cluster as associated with aetiologic hetero-geneity, change in diagnosis, familial recurrence (n = 1)
Excess of cases confirmed but no further investigation proposed other than further surveillance (n = 5)
Increase in cases due to increasing use of invasive diagnostic procedures or improvements in prenatal ultrasound detection rates or better ascertainment (n = 2)
Data quality issues found to explain cluster (n = 4)
No report of preliminary investigations send to Central registry (n = 5)
17 clusters in 2002-2006
Cluster - Dublin
Ventricular septal defect Date of conception 1.5 months (06-07-04 – 26-08-04): 18 cases
Expected: 4.6, p = 0.012
Decreasing trend of VSD in same time period
Local investigation: no obvious reason. Registry will monitor VSD rates with paediatric cardiology department
Cluster - Odense
Edward syndrome/trisomy 18 Date of conception 03/09/02 – 11/02/03: 6 cases
Expected: 1,14, p = 0,033
Local investigation: one was a familial translocation. After exclusion of this case, the cluster disappeared
Personal unique ID numbers in Scandinavia
Given at birth and is used in every contact to official authorities until death
051108 – 5689 boy born today 051108 – 6708 girl born today
051198 – 3478 girl 10 years today
Sweden add five digits
European differences
Some differences are related to acces to datasources
Some differences are related to difference in diagnostic methods
Some differences are related to laws and recommendations
Access to data sources
Active or passive case ascertainment
Length of follow-up of late diagnosed cases in childhood
Main data-sources: prenatal, postnatal, genetic, obstetric or paediatric
Diagnostic methods - examples
Hip dislocation: routine ultrasound after birth or clinical diagnosis
Access to MR scan: many cerebral malformations only visible at MR
Access to echocardiography: small muscular VSD’s may close spontaneously or may not be diagnosed if access to echo is restricted or waiting time for echo is long
European laws and recommendations
Different recommendations on prenatal screening – ultrasound and invasive tests
Different laws on terminations of pregnancy
Prevalence of hydronephrosis -
all cases and prenatally diagnosed
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
pr 1
0,00
0 bi
rth
s
prevalence prev prenatal
Garne et al. Journal of Paediatric Urology, in press
Distribution of type of birth - 2000-2006
Registry Country LB FD TOPFA
Paris France 64% 1% 34%
Northern Region
UK 76% 2% 21%
Tuscany Italy 82% 1% 17%
Odense Denmark 83% 2% 15%
Mainz Germany 87% 3% 10%
Groningen Netherlands 90% 3% 6%
Dublin Ireland 94% 6% 0%
Wielkopolska Poland 99% 1% -
European differences
In Paris very high level of prenatal diagnosis and TOPFA allowed at all GA - In Poland mainly malformations visible at birth, TOPFA only on very limited indications
In many European countries livebirths are a selected group of all pregnancies
European differences are a challenge in surveillance and research – not a limitation
Why European collaboration?
Sharing of expertise and resources Pooling of data Comparison of data Common response to public health
questions
www.eurocat.ulster.ac.uk
Risk of congenital anomalies near hazardous-waste landfill sites in Europe: the EUROHAZCON study.
Multicentre case-control study in seven regions, 1089 cases of non-chromosomal anomaly and 2366 controls.
Dolk H, Vrijheid M, Armstrong B, Abramsky L, Bianchi F, Garne E, Nelen V, Robert E, Scott JES, Stone D, Tenconi R.. Risk of congenital anomalies near hazardous waste landfill sites in Europe: the EUROHAZCON study. Lancet 1998; 352: 423-27
Prevalence of gastroschisis in Europe, by maternal age
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1980-1984 1985-1989 1990-1994 1995-2000 2000-2002
time period
Pre
vale
nce
per
10,
000
bir
ths
<20
20-24
25-29
30-34
35+
all ages
Loane, Dolk, Bradbury and EUROCAT Working group: Increasing prevalence of gastroschisis in Europe 1980-2002: a phenomenon restricted to younger mothers? Paediatr Perinat Epidemiol. 2007 Jul;21(4):363-9.
Exposure to anti-epilectic drugs during pregnancy
Concern about Lamotrigine has recently centered on a signal regarding a 14-fold higher rate of isolated orofacial clefts in infants exposed during pregnancy (FDA alert September 2006)
EUROCAT decided in December 2006 to do a study on lamotrigine exposure during pregnancy to confirm this finding
Population-based case-control study with malformed controls based on EUROCAT data
19 registries contributed to the study with data for some or all of the period 1995-2005
The study population covered a total of 3.9 million births Nearly 500 cases exposed to any anti-epilectic drug We could not confirm the increased risk of facial clefts after
lamotrigine expoure
Dolk et al. "Does Lamotrigine Use in Pregnancy Increase Orofacial Cleft Risk Relative to Other Malformations", Neurology 2008
Cerebral palsy and congenital malformations
SCPE database
1976-1996
EUROCAT 1980-1992Livebirths
only
RatioSCPE/
EUROCAT
Cerebral malformations excl NTD
859.5 7.8 110
Microcephaly 222.5 2.7 82
Hydrocephaly 161.4 2.7 60
Eye 17.5 5.7 3.1
Facial clefts 39.3 13.6 2.9
Congenital heart disease 63.3 48.1 1.3
Digestive and abdominal wall
17.5 14.2 1.2
Malformations of diaphragm 6.5 2.5 2.6
Renal 10.9 18.1 0.6
Hypospadia and other genital
10.9 15.9 0.7Garne E et al. Cerebral palsy and congenital malformations. Eur J Peadiatr Neurology 2007
Neural tube defects in Europe
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Year
Pre
vale
nce
per
100
00 b
irth
s
UK & Ireland Rest of Europe
Evaluation of the impact of Chernobyl on the prevalence of congenital anomalies in 16 regions of Europe.Observed and expected cases among pregnancies exposed in the first month following Chernobyl
O O/E 95%CI
Down Syndrome 24 0.94 0.60 - 1.40
Neural Tube Defects British isles (5 regs) Cont Europe (11 regs)
29
25
0.61
1.21
0.41 - 0.88
0.78 - 1.79
Hydrocepahly 36 0.83 0.58 - 1.14
Microcephaly 26 0.87 0.57 - 1.28
An/Microphthalmia 11 1.03 0.51 - 1.85
Congenital cataract 7 0.72 0.29 - 1.49
Source: Dolk H, Nichols R and a EUROCAT Working Group. Evaluation on the impact of Chernobyl on the prevalence of congenital anomalies in 16 regions of Europe. Int J Epid 1999; 28: 941-948
Pharmacovigilance
The lamotrigine study has shown that the EUROCAT database can be used to answer questions of public concern on drug exposure during pregnancy
The largest existing database in the world for studying exposure to anti-epileptic drugs
Studies on drugs for other chronic maternal diseases possible Controls inside the EUROCAT database
Answer possible in less than one year
Our method can answer questions on increased risk of a specific malformation but cannot give the exact risk of malformations in exposed pregnancies
We hope to expand the network by getting information on non-malformed controls - if we can find funding
Terminations of pregnancy
Different laws on termination of pregnancy TOP after prenatal detection of malformation is a major
burden for the couple The future goal should be primary prevention of
malformations – not to diagnose prenatally and terminate (secondary prevention)
2000 late TOPFA (GA ≥ 24 weeks) in the EUROCAT database for the latest 5 year period
If primary prevention is not possible: early prenatal diagnosis of severe malformations very important to avoid the very difficult situation with a late TOPFA
EUROCAT paper published on European policies on prenatal diagnosis and termination of pregnancyBoyd BJOG 2008
Collaboration creates a whole that is greater than the sum of its part
Epidemiology 1997
The strenght of EUROCAT collaboration
www.eurocat.ulster.ac.uk