hawaiian holdings, inc. (ha) - amazon web...
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This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act
of 1995 that reflect the Company’s current views with respect to certain current and future events and financial
performance. Words such as “expects,” “anticipates,” “projects,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “estimates,” variations of
such words, and similar expressions are also intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking
statements are and will be, as the case may be, subject to many risks, uncertainties and assumptions relating to the
Company’s operations and business environment, all of which may cause the Company’s actual results to be materially
different from any future results, expressed or implied, in these forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties
include, without limitation, the Company’s ability to accurately forecast quarter and year-end results; economic volatility;
the price and availability of aircraft fuel; fluctuations in demand for transportation in the markets in which the Company
operates; the Company’s dependence on tourist travel; foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations; and the Company’s
ability to implement its growth strategy.
The risks, uncertainties and assumptions referred to above that could cause the Company’s results to differ materially from
the results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements also include the risks, uncertainties and assumptions
discussed from time to time in the Company’s public filings and public announcements, including the Company’s Annual
Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015 and the Company’s Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, as well
as other documents that may be filed by the Company from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. All
forward-looking statements included in this presentation are based on information available to the Company on the date
hereof. The Company does not undertake to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect events or
circumstances that may arise after the date hereof even if experience or future changes make it clear that any projected
results expressed or implied herein will not be realized.
Forward-looking statements
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Strong domestic year-over-year unit revenue trend
Note 1: Domestic PRASM includes North America and Neighbor Islands routes.Note 2: Capacity is based on data from Diio Mi as of 7/28/2016 and defined as the industry seats from North America to Hawai‘i in HA’s markets.
9.6% 4.0%
-4.7%
-2.9%
-8.6% -8.1%
-1.5%2.0%
1.3% 2.6%
0%
4%
9%10% 10%
13%
6%5% 4%
0%2%
0%
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16E 4Q16E
Domestic PRASM YoY Industry Seat Growth YoY
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Outperforming competitors on the West Coast
Growing Hawaiian Airlines West Coast PRASM Premium
HNL OGGLAX l l
SFO l l
OAK l l
SJC l l
SEA l l
LAS l Key
PDX l l Over 5%
SAN l l 2% to 5%
PHX l l -2% to 2%
Note: Estimates based on USDOT DB1B and T100 for trailing twelve month ending March 31, 2016.
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International – improvements in underlying market performance and the lapping of FX headwinds
JPY / USD
2015
AUD / USD
¥100
¥105
¥110
¥115
¥120
¥125
Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov
JPY / USD
2016
AUD / USD
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
1.50
Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov
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TTM 2Q15 MarketPerformanceand Network
Changes
FX FuelSurcharge
TTM 2Q16
International PRASM
Growing our presence in Japan
Japan is the largest source of
international visitors to Hawai‘i
40% of outbound U.S. traffic
from Japan is to Hawai‘i
Increasing flights to Tokyo
Launched daily Narita-Honolulu
service in July 2016
Launching a second daily Haneda
service in December split between
Honolulu and Kona
2nd largest seat share (24%) of
flights from Japan to Hawai‘i1
Note : Based on data available through January 1, 2017 on Diio Mi as of 7/28/2016.
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Growing sales of value-added products
• Averaging over $4M/month2
• Growth will come from additional inventory, pricing optimization, and new distribution channels
• >10% credit card portfolio growth
• >20% growth in credit card spend
$14.69
$19.72
$22.01 $23.25
2013 2014 2015 2Q2016Other
Baggage
Sales of HawaiianMiles
Extra Comfort / Preferred Seat Sales
Value-added revenue per passenger
Note 1: “Other” includes ticket fees, first class upgrades, vacation commissions and on-board sales.Note 2: Includes Extra Comfort and Preferred Seat revenue.
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1
1.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
Targeting low single digit CASM ex-Fuel growth
Note 1: 2011 CASM ex-fuel excludes lease termination expense of $70.0M.
Note 2: 2016 CASM ex-fuel guidance excludes any assumptions for the amendable contract with our
pilots’ union.
Wages, Benefits, & Profit Sharing
Aircraft Rent8.70
8.18 7.88 8.15 8.31
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E
CASM ex-Fuel (in cents)2016 CASM ex-Fuel Y/Y
Headwinds
Up 2.5% to up 4.5%
Maintenance
Purchased Services
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1
2
2
Record financial performance in 2015 with further improvements in 2016
$0.85 $1.06
$0.88
$1.55
$3.09
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Adjusted Earnings Per Share Adjusted Pre-Tax Margin
4.6% 4.6%3.6%
6.9%
13.2%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
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Free cash flow strengthens our balance sheet
Note: 18-mo FCF consists of periods FY2015 and 1H2016.
Uses of 18-mo FCF = $645M
$(118)M$761M
$133M $159M
$735M
Cash fromOperations
Aircraft SLB Property,Equipment, &
PDP
Free Cash Flow
Sources of 18-mo FCF
$266M
$131M
$50M
$186M
$11M
Prepay Aircraft DebtScheduled Principal Debt RepaymentShare Buy BackConvertible Notes Buy BackPension Contribution
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Lowering our leverage and interest expense
Note 1: Leverage is defined as adjusted debt to EBITDAR.Note 2: Aircraft Rent is capitalized at 7x.
$1,050M
$772M
$586M
2014 2015 2Q2016
4.2x
2.7x2.2x
2014 2015 2Q2016
Decreasing Debt Obligation Decreasing Leverage
Expected interest expense savings of ~$19M in 2016
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Pilots IAM/Salaried
Funding our pension plans in excess of minimum requirements
Reducing our pension liability leads to:
- Decreases in future contributions
- Decreases in future pension expense
- Decreases in PBGC premiums
- Tax savings 2Q2016
Pension liability OPEB
Detail of pension liability
$197M
$177M
Pension and other postretirement liability Benefits
$148M
$29M
$11M of pension contributions through 2Q16 doubling minimum requirements
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30%32%
34%
2014 2015 2Q2016
Maintaining a strong liquidity ratio
• Strong cash position with
the current favorable
operating environment
• Strong liquidity while
investing in our business
Note 1: Cash = cash, cash equivalents, short term investments and $175M availability under the
revolving credit facility.
Cash1 / TTM revenue
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• Hawai‘i’s leading airline
• Profitable with strong financial metrics
• Generating free cash flow and strengthening our
balance sheet
• Creating long-term value for our shareholders
Conclusion
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Third Quarter and Full Year 2016 Outlook
Note: CASM ex-fuel guidance excludes any assumptions for the amendable contract with our pilots’
union.
FY16 Guidance
Item Full Year 2015 Full Year 2016 Guidance
Cost per ASM Excluding Fuel (cents)....... 8.31 Up 2.5% to up 4.5%
ASMs (millions)........................................ 17,726.3 Up 3% to up 5%
Gallons of jet fuel consumed (millions)... 234.2 Up 2.5% to up 4.5%
Economic fuel price per gallon................ $2.04 $1.50 to $1.60
The table below summarizes the Company’s expectations for the third quarter ending September 30, 2016 and full year ending December 31, 2016, expressed as an expected percentage change compared to the results for the quarter ended September 30, 2015 and year ended December 31, 2015 (the historical results for which are presented for reference).
3Q16 Guidance
ItemThird Quarter 2015
Third Quarter 2016 Guidance
Cost per ASM Excluding Fuel (cents)......... 7.97 Up 2% to up 5%
Operating Revenue Per ASM (cents)......... 13.55 Down 1% to up 2%
ASMs (millions)......................................... 4,663.2 Up 4.5% to up 6.5%
Gallons of jet fuel consumed (millions).... 61.2 Up 4% to 6%
Economic fuel price per gallon.................. $1.95 $1.50 to $1.60
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Non-GAAP Reconciliations: Adjusted Net Income and CASM ex-Fuel
NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS
($ in thousands, except CASM data) FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 2Q2016
GAAP Operating Expenses $1,630,176 $1,832,955 $2,022,118 $2,069,747 $1,891,364 $475,720
Less: aircraft fuel, including taxes and delivery (513,284) (631,741) (698,802) (678,253) (417,728) (83,798)
Less: lease termination expense (70,014) - - - - -
Adjusted operating expenses - excluding aircraft fuel and lease termination
$1,046,878 $1,201,214 $1,323,316 $1,391,494 $1,473,636 $391,922
Available Seat Miles 12,039,933 14,687,472 16,785,827 17,073,630 17,726,322 4,551,094
CASM - GAAP (in cents) 13.54 12.48 12.05 12.12 10.67 10.45
Less: aircraft fuel and lease termination expense (in cents) (4.84) (4.30) (4.16) (3.97) (2.36) (1.84)
CASM Excluding Fuel and lease termination expense (in cents) 8.70 8.18 7.88 8.15 8.31 8.61
NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS
($ in thousands) FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 2Q2016
Net Income (Loss), GAAP $(2,649) $53,237 $51,854 $68,926 $182,646 $79,570
Lease termination expense 70,014 - - - - -
Loss on extinguishment of debt - - - (3,885) 12,058 6,643
Changes in fair value of fuel derivatives 6,432 3,958 (8,684) 43,106 (1,015) (29,886)
Tax effect of adjustments (25,432) (1,583) 3,474 (18,796) (4,417) 8,832
Adjusted Net Income, Non-GAAP $43,218 $55,612 $46,644 $97,121 $189,272 $65,159
The Company evaluates its financial performance utilizing various GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures, including operating income and CASM. Pursuant to Regulation G, the Company has included the following reconciliation of reported non-GAAP financial measures to comparable financial measures reported on a GAAP basis. The Company believes that excluding fuel costs from certain measures is useful to investors because it provides an additional measure of management’s performance excluding the effects of a significant cost item over which management has limited influence.
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Non-GAAP Reconciliations: Adjusted Pre-tax Income and Pre-Tax Margin
NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS
($ in thousands) FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 2Q2016
Income Before Income Taxes, as reported $(1,082) $85,786 $86,410 $113,447 $295,688 $128,640
Add back:
Changes in fair value of fuel derivatives 6,432 3,958 (8,684) 43,107 (1,015) (29,866)
Loss on extinguishment of debt - - - 3,885 12,058 6,643
Lease termination expense 70,014 - - - - -
Adjusted Income Before Income Taxes, Non-GAAP $75,364 $89,744 $77,726 $160,438 $306,731 $105,417
Revenue $1,650,459 $1,962,353 $2,155,865 $2,314,879 $2,317,467 $594,590
NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS
($ in thousands) FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 2Q2016
Pre-Tax Margin, as reported (0.1)% 4.4% 4.0% 4.9% 12.7% 21.6%
Add back:
Changes in fair value of fuel derivatives, net of tax 0.4% 0.2% (0.4)% 1.8% - (5.0%)
Loss on extinguishment of debt, net of tax - - - 0.1% 0.5% 1.1%
Lease termination expense, net of tax 4.3% - - - - -
Adjusted Pre-Tax Margin 4.6% 4.6% 3.6% 6.9% 13.2% 17.7%
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LeverageNON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS
($ in thousands) FY 2014 FY 2015 2Q2016 TTM
Debt and capital lease obligations $1,049,637 $772,144 585,977
Add back:
Aircraft leases capitalized at 7x last 12 months’ aircraft rent
744,954 809,571 825,433
Adjusted debt and capital lease obligations $1,794,691 $1,581,715 $1,411,410
Income Before Income Taxes $112,634 $295,688 $386,172
Add back:
Interest and amortization of debt expense 64,420 55,678 46,245
Depreciation and amortization 96,374 105,581 106,999
Aircraft Rent 106,422 115,653 117,918
EBITDAR $379,850 $572,600 $657,334
Adjustments
Add back: 43,108 (1,015) (20,378)
Changes in fair value of derivative contracts
Loss on extinguishment of debt 3,885 12,058 14,809
Adjusted EBITDAR $426,843 $583,643 $651,765
Leverage Ratio 4.2x 2.7x 2.2x
The Company evaluates its financial performance utilizing various GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures, including operating income and CASM. Pursuant to Regulation G, the Company has included the following reconciliation of reported non-GAAP financial measures to comparable financial measures reported on a GAAP basis. The Company believes that excluding fuel costs from certain measures is useful to investors because it provides an additional measure of management’s performance excluding the effects of a significant cost item over which management has limited influence.
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