how to tame a gorilla program - Управление проектами · how to tame a gorilla...
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Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 1
How to Tame a Gorilla ProgramCritical Path 2.0 case study at SanDisk
ProjectPro Corp.www.ProjectProCorp.com
� President ProjectPro Corp.
� Specializes in Microsoft Project and Project Server
Presenter Intro: Eric Uyttewaal, PMP
� BS, EngineeringMS, Business Administration
� Author “Forecast Scheduling with Microsoft Project 2010” & “Dynamic Scheduling with Microsoft Office Project 2003”
� Formerly: Executive Director at IIL as developer and manager of the Orange, Blue, Black Belt certification curriculum
� Email: [email protected]
� Tel: 613-692-7778
Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 2
Presenter Intro: Al Rusnak, PMP
� ASIC Program Manager at SanDisk®
� Specializing in Scheduling and Risk Analysis
� Lead scheduler on mission-critical programs
� Degrees:
� BS, Electrical Engineering
� MS, Electrical Engineering
� Email: [email protected]
� Tel: 408-801-1613
What Situation Are You In?
Single, Isolated Project
Master- orSubproject
No Resource-loading A B
Resources & Workload-leveled C D
Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 3
AssignmentsTeam Members
What is a ‘Program’?
StrategyExecutives
ProgramsProgram Managers
ProjectsProject Managers
PortfoliosPortfolio Managers
The Challenge of Scheduling Programs
Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 4
Drowning in the Data?
The SanDisk Situation: As-Is and As-Needed
� As-Is:
– “System” is not linked to show interaction between schedules
– Manual syncing of dates
– Schedules are often suspected of being out-of-date
– Resource availability drives schedules
– “System” is labor-intensive
– Critical Path 1.0 technology
� As-Needed:
– See complete CP across resource-leveled projects in program
– Find that CP in an easy way: Critical Path 2.0 technology
– Optimize the CP
– Critical Path 2.0 technology
Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 5
The Program Was Considered to Be “In Control” When (Verbatim)
� The program schedule has at least ten major milestones (ten sub networks)
� All subproject schedules are dynamic models that forecast the subprojects
– “Forecast Scheduling with Microsoft Project 2010 ” checklist
� We have a detailed Critical Path to the next two major milestones
� We have 90% confidence level (simulation) the next 2 major milestones would be completed on time
� We have a high-level Critical Path (deliverables only) for entire program that forecasts on-time completion
1 of 2
The Program Was Considered to Be “In Control” When (Visually) 2 of 2
?? % on time????
90% probability on time
90% probability on time
90% probability on time
90% probability on time
90% probability on time
90% probability on time
90% probability on time
90% probability on time
90% on time!!!
Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 6
Our Reasons to Divide the Program into Multiple Subprojects
� Delegate to a scheduler closer to the work
� More than 2,000 tasks in the program
� Multiple people need to update the master schedule
� People are in different countries, in different time zones and speak different languages
Consequences of Multiple Subproject Schedules
� Multiple schedulers have to adhere to scheduling guidelines for the program
� Dependencies between schedules and a Critical Path that runs across schedules
� Sharing resources across subprojects, perhaps even across programs
Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 7
Why Re-integrating the Subproject Schedules?
Integrated Master Schedule
Subprojects with cross-project dependencies
1. Identify and optimize the Critical Path into next milestone(s)2. Determine appropriate buffers (deadlines) for handoffs3. Report accurate forecasts on the program as a whole
Integrated Master Schedule (IMS) and Program Critical Path
Subproject A Subproject B Subproject C
Integrated Master Schedule (IMS)
Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 8
Options for Managing the Dependencies between Subprojects
1. Do Not Model Them- Coordinate dates manually in regular meetings!- no Critical Path
2. Model them using Deliverables feature- no Critical Path
3. Model them using Links-between-Projects feature- Links lost, duplicated or slow
4. Model them using PPMS add-in(ProjectPro Program Management Solution)+ Critical Path, links protected
PPMS Example Program “Write Book”
Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 9
PPMS: Identifying the Handoffs
Provider Project: ‘Publishing’ Receiver Project: ‘Authoring’
OutlinePublisher hands ‘Outline’ to Authors
Task Name Handoff
Outline‘Outline’ received from publisher by Authors
Task Name Handoff
PPMS Excel Dashboard - Lists all Handoffs (Links between Subprojects)
Dashboard Handoffs Program ‘Write Book’
Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 10
Demo PPMS
How the IMS is Generated
� Create project files at function level
� Identify all cross-project milestones in .MPP’s
� Copy cross-project dependencies to .XLS file
� Create cross-project links with PPMS
� Level workloads at the program level
� Identify Resource-Critical Path with CCP
� Optimize Resource-Critical Path
� Simulate to get high-confidence date (project buffer)
Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 11
Dealing with Shared Resources
� Model with Generic Resources first!
� Optimize the IMS:
1. Adding idle resources to the most-Critical Path(s)
2. Moving resources from non-Critical to Critical Paths
3. Continue until resourcing is (perfectly) balanced
How Leveling Affects the Critical Path 1.0
Harry 9 D
Harry 6 D
write X
write Y
Harry 9 D
leveling
Harry 9 D
Harry 6 DHarry 6 D
write X
write Y
Before leveling:
After leveling:
Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 12
How Leveling Affects the Critical Path 1.0
Harry 9 D
Harry 6 D
write X
write Y
Harry 9 D
leveling
Harry 9 D
Harry 6 DHarry 6 D
write X
write Y
Before leveling:
After leveling:
Resource Dependencies Differ from Logical Dependencies
A logical dependency imposes the sequence:
Harry
Harry
Write X
Write Y
Harry
Harry
Write X
Write Y
Write
OR
A resource dependency is a relationship between two activities where the sequence can be switched. The relationship is the sharing of the same resource:
Source: Forecast Scheduling with Microsoft Project 2010
Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 13
Hunting for the Critical Path in an IMS
� Demo CCP in IMS
ID Handoff Codes Schedule Code
Blocks Name Resource Names DurationStart Finish Total Slack
77 Start AS Start PM 0 days 1/2/12 1/2/12 106.13 days
39 Start SY Start 0 days 1/2/12 1/2/12 96.13 days
274 AS Blk5 L3 - FE View s, IO, Preliminary IP IO 0 days 6/29/12 6/29/12 40 days
276 AS Blk5 L3 - BE View s, IO, Preliminary IP IO 0 days 6/29/12 6/29/12 40 days
282 AS Blk5 Top Integration for Subsystem Design 3 days 6/29/12 7/3/12 40 days
290 AS Blk5 Top Integration Design 1 day 7/4/12 7/4/12 346 days
328 AS Blk1 Alpha Release, Final Spec Design 0 days 7/14/12 7/14/12 21 days
344 AS Blk1 Top Integration for Subsystem Design 4 days 7/16/12 7/19/12 21 days
346 AS Blk1 BIST Setup DFT 2 days 7/20/12 7/23/12 21 days
347 AS Blk1 BIST Analysis DFT 3 days 7/24/12 7/26/12 21 days
348 AS Blk1 RTL vs. BIST RTL Formal AnalysisDFT 2 days 7/27/12 7/30/12 21 days
349 AS Blk1 Preliminary RTL w ith BIST inserted completeDesign 0 days 7/30/12 7/30/12 21 days
432 AS MS L3 - Preliminary RTL w ith BIST InsertedDesign 0 days 7/30/12 7/30/12 21 days
575 AS Top Top Integration Design 2 days 7/31/12 8/1/12 21 days
576 AS Top Preliminary RTL Design CompleteDesign 0 days 8/1/12 8/1/12 21 days
763 AS Top RTL Verif ication, Preliminary Verif ication 24 days 8/2/12 9/4/12 35 days
764 AS Top RTL Verif ication, Trial Verif ication 39 days 9/5/12 10/29/12 35 days
770 AS Top RTL Verif ication, Final, High PriorityVerif ication[200%] 43 days 10/30/12 12/27/12 40 days
771 AS Top RTL Verif ication, Final, Low PriorityVerif ication[300%] 48 days 10/30/12 1/3/13 35 days
772 AS Top Complete RTL Verification Verif ication 0 days 1/3/13 1/3/13 35 days
704 AS Top Final Layout Complete PD 0 days 1/22/13 1/22/13 22 days
705 AS Top Tapeout, Base Layers PD 0 days 1/22/13 1/22/13 22 days
905 AS P0 GDSII into JDV Process 4 days 1/23/13 1/28/13 22 days
906 AS P0 JDV, Base layers Process 3 days 1/29/13 1/31/13 22 days
907 AS P0 Mask Generation, Base layer, 1st maskProcess 7 edays 1/31/13 2/7/13 32.63 edays
908 AS P0 Minesw eeper, Metal Layers Process 4 edays 2/7/13 2/11/13 32.63 edays
909 AS P0 Wafer Fab, P0, FE Process Fab[1] 15 edays 2/11/13 2/26/13 32.63 edays
910 AS P0 Wafer Fab, P0, BE Process Fab[1] 15 edays 2/26/13 3/13/13 32.63 edays
911 AS P0 Shipping ef fort at Fab Process 3 days 3/14/13 3/18/13 22 days
20 WaferOutP0 AS Wafer Out, Rev P0 (Assumes SHL cycle time)Process 0 days 3/18/13 3/18/13 22 days
14 WaferOutP0 PK Wafer Out, P0 0 days 3/18/13 3/18/13 22 days
53 PK Assembly SDSS (PK) 10 days 3/19/13 4/1/13 22 days
54 PK Ship to US Package Designer 2 days 4/2/13 4/3/13 22 days
20 EVTPartsP0Pack PK EVT Parts, P0 0 days 4/3/13 4/3/13 22 days
55 PK Assembled 256 BGA Parts delivered 0 days 4/3/13 4/3/13 22 days
832 EVTPartsP0Pack AS Ship P0 Pkg Ship [0.1],Pkg 1 day 4/4/13 4/4/13 22 days
833 AS Test (No testing for EVT parts)PE 0 days 4/4/13 4/4/13 22 days
834 AS EVT (Blind Build) Parts availablePE 0 days 4/4/13 4/4/13 22 days
947 AS Parts for Fast Chaz Test (ASIC) 0 days 4/4/13 4/4/13 22 days
949 AS Ship Parts to SDIL for IP validationPE 2 days 4/5/13 4/8/13 22 days
950 AS Fast Chaz PLM SD 10 days 4/9/13 4/22/13 22 days
951 AS SDIL Fast Chaz completed PLM SD 0 days 4/22/13 4/22/13 22 days
971 AS Fast Chaz completed Characterization 0 days 4/22/13 4/22/13 22 days
973 AS Design Updates IP 2 w ks 4/23/13 5/6/13 4.4 w ks
744 AS Generate Split Hex File / Translate ROM Memory / IP QAIP 0.5 days 5/24/13 5/24/13 8 days
745 AS Translate ROM Memory IP 0.5 days 5/24/13 5/24/13 8 days
746 AS Layout w ith ROM change and ECOsPD 4 days 5/27/13 5/30/13 8 days
747 AS Review DRC and Generate POSPD 1 day 5/31/13 5/31/13 8 days
748 AS Metal Layer Tapeout PD 0 days 5/31/13 5/31/13 8 days
737 AS Scan pattern generation and re-simulationDFT[50%] 5 days 6/3/13 6/7/13 8 days
753 AS Scan, Full set of test vector generation / simulationDFT 15 days 6/10/13 6/28/13 8 days
799 AS DFT Vectors completed (milestone)DFT 0 days 6/28/13 6/28/13 8 days
801 AS Test Program release ef fort for EVT, release ATest (ASIC) 15 days 7/1/13 7/19/13 8 days
802 AS Test Vectors Released, Final TestTest (ASIC) 0 days 7/19/13 7/19/13 8 days
877 AS Test PE[50%] 3 days 7/22/13 7/24/13 8 days
67 DVTPartsA AS Rev A DVT Parts Test (ASIC) 0 days 7/24/13 7/24/13 8 days
878 AS P1 DVT Parts available PE 0 days 7/24/13 7/24/13 8 days
12 DVTPartsA FW DVT Parts, Rev A 0 days 7/24/13 7/24/13 8 days
140 FW Unit Test Resource5 2 days 7/25/13 7/26/13 8 days
147 FW Read ID Resource5 2 days 7/29/13 7/30/13 10 days
148 FW Read Device Parameters Resource5 2 days 7/31/13 8/1/13 8 days
149 FW Get Debug Data Resource5 2 days 8/2/13 8/5/13 6 days
177 FW Bench Test Resource12 3 days 8/6/13 8/8/13 6 days
178 FW Unit Test (Get config commands)Resource12 2 days 8/9/13 8/12/13 6 days
25 FWRelease FW FW Release, System 0 days 8/12/13 8/12/13 6 days
11FWRelease QU FW Release, System 0 days 8/12/13 8/12/13 6 days
29 QU Dow n Load Code System Engineer (QU) 2 days 8/13/13 8/14/13 6 days
38 QU Test w ith Supply #1 Host System Engineer (QU) 5 days 8/22/13 8/28/13 46 days
39 QU Test w ith Supply #2 Host System Engineer (QU) 5 days 8/29/13 9/4/13 41 days
40 QU Test w ith Supply #3 Host System Engineer (QU) 5 days 9/5/13 9/11/13 36 days
41 QU Test w ith Supply #4 Host System Engineer (QU) 5 days 9/12/13 9/18/13 31 days
42 QU Test w ith Supply #5 Host System Engineer (QU) 5 days 9/19/13 9/25/13 26 days
43 QU Test w ith Supply #6 Host System Engineer (QU) 5 days 9/26/13 10/2/13 21 days
44 QU Compatibility Testing Complete System Engineer (QU) 0 days 10/2/13 10/2/13 21 days
30 QU Test at Room Temperature System Engineer (QU) 5 days 10/3/13 10/9/13 16 days
31 QU Test at High Temperature System Engineer (QU) 5 days 10/10/13 10/16/13 11 days
32 QU Test at Low Temperature System Engineer (QU) 5 days 10/17/13 10/23/13 6 days
102 CompatComplete SY Compatibility Testing Complete System Engineer (SY) 0 days 10/23/13 10/23/13 6 days
104 SystemQualCompleteSY L3 - System Qual Complete System Engineer (SY) 0 days 10/23/13 10/23/13 6 days
14 CompatComplete QU Compatibility Testing Complete 0 days 10/23/13 10/23/13 6 days
18 SystemQualCompleteQU System Qual Complete 0 days 10/23/13 10/23/13 6 days
45 QU System Qual Complete, Rev A System Engineer (QU) 0 days 10/23/13 10/23/13 6 days
Buffer 128.1 d with task 274
No Predecessor
SNET Constraint: Jun 29
SNET Constraint: Jun 29
Res. dep. of Design, Buffe r 7 d w ith assignment De sign on task 328
FNET Constraint: Jul 14
Weekend on calendar 'Standard'
Res. dep. of Ve rification
Buffer 14 d with assignment Verification on task 7 70
Buffer 15 eh with task 911
Elapsed duration on pred. task 910
Res. dep. of IP
Weekend on calendar 'Standard'
Res. dep. of Resource5
Res. dep. of Resource5
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU)
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU)
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU)
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU)
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU)
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU)
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU)
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of Sys tem Engineer (QU)
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Enginee r (QU)
S T M F T S W S T M F T S W S T M F T S W S T M F T S W S T M F T S WAug 7, '11 Oct 30, '11 Jan 22, '12 Apr 15, '12 Jul 8, '12 Sep 30, '12 Dec 23, '12 Mar 17, '13 Jun 9, '13 Sep 1, '13 Nov 24, '13 Feb 16, '14 May 11, '14 Aug 3, '14 Oct 26, '14 Jan 18, '15 Apr 12, '15
IMS Critical Path into Next Major MilestoneWorkload-Leveled
Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 14
Critical Path Handoffs (PPMS)ID Handoff Codes Name Schedule Code Resource Names Duration Start Early Finish
681 Place and Route and Final Timing closure AS PD 10 days 12/25/12 1/7/13
698 BIST Verif ication, Gate AS DFT 5 days 1/3/13 1/9/13
703 Compressed / Non-compressed, 1st 10 patterns clean AS DFT 5 days 1/10/13 1/16/13
704 Final Layout Complete AS PD 0 days 1/16/13 1/16/13
705 Tapeout, Base Layers AS PD 0 days 1/16/13 1/16/13
905 GDSII into JDV AS Process 3 days 1/17/13 1/21/13
906 JDV, Base layers AS Process 3 days 1/22/13 1/24/13
907 Mask Generation, Base layer, 1st mask AS Process 7 edays 1/24/13 1/31/13
908 Minesw eeper, Metal Layers AS Process 4 edays 1/31/13 2/4/13
909 Wafer Fab, P0, FE AS Process Fab[1] 15 edays 2/4/13 2/19/13
910 Wafer Fab, P0, BE AS Process Fab[1] 15 edays 2/19/13 3/6/13
911 Shipping ef fort at Fab AS Process 3 days 3/7/13 3/11/13
20 WaferOutP0 Wafer Out, Rev P0 (Assumes SHL cycle time) AS Process 0 days 3/11/13 3/11/13
14 WaferOutP0 Waf er Out, P0 PK 0 days 3/11/13 3/11/13
53 Assembly PK SDSS (PK) 10 days 3/12/13 3/25/13
54 Ship to US PK Package Designer 2 days 3/26/13 3/27/13
20 EVTPartsP0Pack EVT Parts, P0 PK 0 days 3/27/13 3/27/13
55 Assembled 256 BGA Parts delivered PK 0 days 3/27/13 3/27/13
832 EVTPartsP0Pack Ship P0 AS Pkg Ship [0.1],Pkg 1 day 3/28/13 3/28/13
833 Test (No testing for EVT parts) AS PE 0 days 3/28/13 3/28/13
834 EVT (Blind Build) Parts available AS PE 0 days 3/28/13 3/28/13
947 Parts for Fast Chaz AS Test (ASIC) 0 days 3/28/13 3/28/13
949 Ship Parts to SDIL for IP validation AS PE 2 days 3/29/13 4/1/13
950 Fast Chaz AS PLM SD 10 days 4/2/13 4/15/13
951 SDIL Fast Chaz completed AS PLM SD 0 days 4/15/13 4/15/13
971 Fast Chaz completed AS Characterization 0 days 4/15/13 4/15/13
973 Design Updates AS IP 2 w ks 4/16/13 4/29/13
744 Generate Split Hex File / Translate ROM Memory / IP QA AS IP 0.5 days 4/30/13 4/30/13
745 Translate ROM Memory AS IP 0.5 days 4/30/13 4/30/13
746 Layout w ith ROM change and ECOs AS PD 4 days 5/1/13 5/6/13
747 Review DRC and Generate POS AS PD 1 day 5/7/13 5/7/13
748 Metal Layer Tapeout AS PD 0 days 5/7/13 5/7/13
736 BIST / ROM signature regeneration AS DFT[50%] 2 days 5/8/13 5/9/13
737 Scan pattern generation and re-s imulation AS DFT[50%] 5 days 5/8/13 5/14/13
796 Start Rev A test vector effort AS Verif ication 5 days 5/8/13 5/14/13
754 BIST Final test vector and LVDB generation AS DFT 3 days 5/10/13 5/14/13
753 Scan, Full set of test vector generation / simulation AS DFT 15 days 5/15/13 6/4/13
797 Develop J750 Test Vectors AS Verif ication 15 days 5/15/13 6/4/13
798 Special Functional Vectors AS Verif ication 15 days 5/15/13 6/4/13
799 DFT Vectors completed (milestone) AS DFT 0 days 6/4/13 6/4/13
801 Test Program release effort for EVT, release A AS Test (ASIC) 15 days 6/5/13 6/25/13
802 Test Vectors Released, Final Test AS Test (ASIC) 0 days 6/25/13 6/25/13
877 Test AS PE[50%] 3 days 6/26/13 6/28/13
67 DVTPartsA Rev A DVT Parts AS Test (ASIC) 0 days 6/28/13 6/28/13
878 P1 DVT Parts available AS PE 0 days 6/28/13 6/28/13
12 DVTPartsA DVT Parts, Rev A FW 0 days 6/28/13 6/28/13
140 Unit Test FW Resource5 2 days 7/1/13 7/2/13
147 Read ID FW Resource5 2 days 7/3/13 7/4/13
148 Read Device Parameters FW Resource5 2 days 7/5/13 7/8/13
Res. dep. of DFT w ith task 698
Buffer 15 eh w ith task 911
Elapsed duration on pred. task 910
Res. dep. of IP w ith task 973
Res. dep. of DFT w ith task 754
Weekend on calendar 'Standard'
Res. dep. of Resource5 w ith task 147
T M F T S W S T M F T S W S T M F T S W S T M F T S W S T MNov 27, '11 Jan 22, '12 Mar 18, '12 May 13, '12 Jul 8, '12 Sep 2, '12 Oct 28, '12 Dec 23, '12 Feb 17, '13 Apr 14, '13 Jun 9, '13 Aug 4, '13 Sep 29, '13 Nov 24, '13
Critical Handoff Milestones
65 handoffs, but only 4 critical handoffs:
Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 15
Critical Path End Date
ID Handoff Codes Name Schedule Code Resource Names Duration Start Early Finish
149 Get Debug Data FW Resource5 2 days 7/9/13 7/10/13
177 Bench Test FW Resource12 3 days 7/11/13 7/15/13
178 Unit Test (Get conf ig commands) FW Resource12 2 days 7/16/13 7/17/13
25 FWRelease FW Release, System FW 0 days 7/17/13 7/17/13
11FWRelease FW Release, System QU 0 days 7/17/13 7/17/13
29 Dow n Load Code QU System Engineer (QU) 2 days 7/18/13 7/19/13
38 Test w ith Supply #1 Host QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 7/22/13 7/26/13
39 Test w ith Supply #2 Host QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 7/29/13 8/2/13
30 Test at Room Temperature QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 8/5/13 8/9/13
31 Test at High Temperature QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 8/12/13 8/16/13
32 Test at Low Temperature QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 8/19/13 8/23/13
40 Test w ith Supply #3 Host QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 8/26/13 8/30/13
41 Test w ith Supply #4 Host QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 9/2/13 9/6/13
42 Test w ith Supply #5 Host QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 9/9/13 9/13/13
43 Test w ith Supply #6 Host QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 9/16/13 9/20/13
18 SystemQualComplete System Qual Complete QU 0 days 9/20/13 9/20/13
44 Compatibility Testing Complete QU System Engineer (QU) 0 days 9/20/13 9/20/13
45 System Qual Complete, Rev A QU System Engineer (QU) 0 days 9/20/13 9/20/13
Res. dep. of Resource5 with task 148
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) with task 29
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) w ith task 38
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) with task 39
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) with task 30
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) w ith task 31
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) with task 32
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) w ith task 40
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) with task 41
Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) with task 42
T M F T S W S T M F T S W S T M F T S W S T M F T S W S TNov 27, '11 Jan 22, '12 Mar 18, '12 May 13, '12 Jul 8, '12 Sep 2, '12 Oct 28, '12 Dec 23, '12 Feb 17, '13 Apr 14, '13 Jun 9, '13 Aug 4, '13 Sep 29, '13
Accumulated Leveling Delay = 72 days !!
NamePre-leveled
FinishPost-leveled
Finish
System Qual Complete, Rev. A 10 Jul 13 20 Sep 13
Critical Path Analysis
MS Project 1 CCP 2
Unleveled Critical Path Yes Yes
Workload-Leveled Critical Path No Yes
Elapsed durations (ed) No Yes
Multiple Calendars No Yes
Logical Dependencies Yes Yes
Resource Dependencies No Yes
Most-Critical Path No Yes
Longest-Path No Yes
1 Critical Path 1.0 compliant2 Critical Path 2.0 compliant
Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 16
Tools Used
Tool Supplier
Microsoft Project 2010 Microsoft Corp.
PPMS – to Link & Unlink schedules ProjectPro Corp.
CCP – for Critical Path analysis ProjectPro Corp.
Monte Carlo Simulation Al Rusnak
Roadmap for the Pilot Program
� Forecast Scheduling and Forecasting Programs training
� Review schedules to make sure guidelines are followed
� ProjectPro provides software licenses:
– ProjectPro Program Management Solution (PPMS)
– Complete Critical Paths (CCP)
� Create the Integrated Master Schedule (IMS)
� Identify/optimize Critical Path of next major milestones
� Do this for four consecutive weeks (=CSF)
� Support from ProjectPro during the entire program
Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 17
Program Schedule Process
1. Generate Project Schedules
2. Add handoff Milestones and Codes
3. Update Project Schedules and submit to repository
4. Integrate Project Schedules to Program (PPMS)
5. Find Resource-Critical Path and Optimize (CCP)
6. Des-integrate: standalone Project Schedules (PPMS)
7. Update Handoff Milestone Dates
Determining the High-Confidence Date for the Program
� Task Duration Estimates:
– 50% Confidence durations
– 90% Confidence durations
� MS Project Forecasts Finish Date (FF)
– Based on 50% confidence durations
� High-Confidence Forecast Finish Date (HCFF)
– Including 90% confidence durations in Monte Carlo simulation
– HCFF - FF = Program Buffer
� Only 1 buffer = Program Buffer
Богданов и партнеры
Богданов и партнеры 18
Bin Frequency Cumulative %
10/25/13 0 0.00%
10/29/13 2 0.20%
11/02/13 1 0.30%
11/06/13 1 0.40%
11/10/13 4 0.80%
11/14/13 9 1.70%
11/18/13 7 2.40%
11/22/13 35 5.90%
11/26/13 26 8.50%
11/30/13 61 14.60%
12/04/13 48 19.40%
12/08/13 76 27.00%
12/12/13 72 34.20%
12/16/13 59 40.10%
12/20/13 136 53.70%
12/24/13 65 60.20%
12/28/13 129 73.10%
01/01/14 58 78.90%
01/05/14 59 84.80%
01/09/14 50 89.80%
01/13/14 25 92.30%
01/17/14 34 95.70%
01/21/14 14 97.10%
01/25/14 12 98.30%
01/29/14 3 98.60%
02/02/14 4 99.00%
02/06/14 4 99.40%
02/10/14 0 99.40%
Time Simulation Results: Statistical Analysis - Resource leveled
25166445 System Qual Complete, Rev A
Mean 12/19/13
Standard Error .5496
Median 12/19/13
Mode 01/06/14
Standard Deviation 17.3814
Sample Variance 302.1142
Kurtosis .9349
Skewness 0.273146532
Range 145.3097222
Minimum 10/25/13
Maximum 03/19/14
Sum 41627042.5
Count 1000
Largest(1) 03/19/14
Smallest(1) 10/25/13
Confidence Level(95.0%) 1.0786
Time Simulation Results:Frequency and Cumulative Histogram
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System Qual Complete, Rev. A
� Unleveled, forecast: 10 Jul 2013� Leveled, forecast: 20 Sep 2013� High Confidence: 09 Jan 2014
� Program Duration: 542 Calendar Days� Leveling Delay: +72 Calendar Days� Program Buffer: +85 Work Days
� Critical Handoffs 4 out of 65
Time Simulation Results – OverviewProof of Concept Schedules
Cost Simulation Results:Frequency and Cumulative Histogram
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Cost Simulation Results on Subproject Level
Differences between Single Project Schedule and Subproject Schedule (that is part of IMS)
Single Project Subproject
• Complete Network Logic
• (Often) one Critical Path
• No external dependencies
• Multiple ending points in network
• Multiple Critical Paths
• Many external dependencies ---�
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Differences Single Project versus IMS schedule
Single Project Integrated Master Schedule (IMS)
Network logicProject schedule has one ending point in its network logic
Subproject schedules have multiple ending points, but IMS has one.
Cross-project dependencies
None Many
Critical Paths of interest
One Multiple, often ten or more
Critical activities
Each schedule has critical activities
Some subproject schedules have program-critical activities, othershave none
Resource dependencies
FewMany (for product-development programs in first-to-market companies)
Situations and the Tools You Need
Single, Isolated Project
Master withSubprojects
No Resources Critical Path 1.0/2.0MS ProjectCCP recommended
Critical Path 1.0/2.0MS Project + PPMS + CCP
Resources & Workload-leveled
Critical Path 2.0MS Project + CCP
Critical Path 2.0MS Project + PPMS + CCP
CCP = Complete Critical Paths from ProjectProCorp.comPPMS = ProjectPro Program Management Solution from ProjectProCorp.com
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Program Forecast Report: Buffer Consumption
Key Benefits of This Approach for SanDisk
� Provides complete Critical Paths in workload-leveled programs:
– Real visibility on the dynamics in the program
– Shows the criticality of the resources (functions)
� Allows to optimize resource needs and allocations
� Allows to recover from slippages (what-if scenarios!)
� Keeps all schedules standalone:
– schedules open fast, working offline, easy updating
� Allows project-specific resource pools or shared pool
� Provides high-confidence forecasts for product release dates
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Integrated Master Schedule: Summary
� Multiple subproject files can be linked
� The real Resource-Critical Path can be identified
� Schedule delays can be decreased or resolved
� A 90%-probable commit-date can be calculated at the program level
� The program can be forecasted continuously!
Our Recommendations
1. Achieve agreement among stakeholders on when program is considered “in control.”
2. The more subproject schedules, the better
3. Protect unity of data at all cost!
4. Address differences in scheduling styles
5. Create autonomous subproject teams
6. Make resource names unique across the program
7. Use generic resources first to optimize the program as a whole (Time-to-Market!)
8. Use Critical Path 2.0 and compliant tools (CCP + PPMS)!
9. Standardize the WBS for sub schedules (see next slide)
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Standardized Levels of the WBS
� Level 0 – Subprojects (=major component)
– Nouns (without verbs): e.g., ASIC, Firmware, Parts, Test Software, Reliability, Tested Parts
� Level 1 – Subcomponents
– Nouns (without verbs): e.g., for ASIC: Subsystems, Top Design
� Level 2 – Function
– Nouns (without verbs): e.g., for ASIC: Logic Design, Physical Design, FPGA Design, Documentation, Verification, Test Preparation, Package, Foundry, and Design Validation
� Level 3 – Tangible Deliverables
– Nouns (without verbs): e.g., for ASIC: Preliminary, Trial and Final RTL; Preliminary, Trial and Final Synthesis and Layout; RTL, Gate Level Verification and multiple FPGA releases.
� Lowest Level – Activities
– Use verbs (present/imperative tense)
References
1. Uyttewaal, E. (2010). Forecast scheduling with Microsoft Project 2010, Canada: ProjectPro.
2. PMI (2008). Standard for Program Management —Second edition, PMI, USA
3. PMI (2011). Practice standard for scheduling—Second edition.Newtown Square, PA: Author.
4. DCMA (2009). DCMA 14 Point Assessment materials, DCMA, USA (http://guidebook.dcma.mil/79/Online_Version_IMP-IMS_11_21_09.pptx)
5. National Defense and Industry Association (2012). Planning and Scheduling Excellence Guide (PASEG), NDIA, USA.
6. U.S Government Accountability Office (2012). General best practices for project schedules—exposure draft, GAO, USA. Retrieved from http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-12-120G
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Thank You for Attending Our Presentation!
Eric Uyttewaal, [email protected]
613-692-7778
Al Rusnak, [email protected]: 408-801-1613